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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 30, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pistons46%10099
8Wizards54%101104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.3
42.6
37.2
24
63%
4
8
2
1
0
5
2
2
4-5
80%
7-13
3-7
54%
45%
2-4
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.9
40.1
37.7
19
70%
5
1
0
1
1
2
0
5
5-6
83%
4-7
5-10
57%
49%
2-4
50%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.4
35.5
30.7
15
63%
8
3
0
1
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
48%
1-4
25%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.0
29.3
39.9
15
56%
0
4
0
1
0
4
0
0
3-3
100%
6-12
8-17
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.9
27.9
28.7
6
50%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
44%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.4
15.6
21.0
11
75%
6
0
1
1
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.4
15.3
14.8
2
33%
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
13.2
11.2
7
55%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-2
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
8.8
6.2
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.9
6.7
6.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.9
5.1
8.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.4
3.8
0
1-1
51%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.0
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.8
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.9
45.9
42.0
13
41%
5
3
5
2
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
6-13
7-15
46%
48%
0-2
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
44.3
39.7
36
71%
7
11
0
2
0
2
1
6
11-12
92%
5-8
6-13
63%
48%
5-12
42%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.8
28.6
20.9
15
84%
2
3
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
6-6
2-5
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.2
24.9
30.6
9
70%
7
0
0
1
1
2
4
3
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
55%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.6
5.5
39.5
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
48%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.9
23.1
18.7
8
50%
2
5
2
0
0
2
1
1
4-7
57%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.8
22.7
14.3
9
67%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-5
2-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.5
20.6
10.5
8
45%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.7
20.5
2.2
4
40%
5
1
0
0
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
0-0
40%
44%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.4
4.0
9.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.5
6.4
0
1-2
45%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.4
2.5
0
0-1
49%
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.3
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.0
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.