for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, January 30, 2007
FinalWin Prob.pScore
23
Bucks
30%96
80
10
Heat
70%102
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
89.98998.7
MIA logo MIA
120.99182.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MILWright STEAL (2 STL)80
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILNoel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Posey 10' Jump Shot80
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MILNoel 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Markota 1 AST)80
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)77
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Barron 14' Jump Shot77
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:04MILBarron STEAL (2 STL)77
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:17MIAWright 8' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)77
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:31MILBarron STEAL (1 STL)77
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:41MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)77
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:07MILNoel 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:22MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)75
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 275
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:23MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:39MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 2:41MILMISS Noel 12' Fadeaway Jumper75
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 2:59MIABarron Dunk (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)75
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23MILNoel 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Greer 1 AST)75
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31MIAMISS Doleac 14' Turnaround Jump Shot73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MILMarkota Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56MILMISS Greer 13' Jump Bank Shot73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13MILWright STEAL (1 STL)73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49MILMISS Greer 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09MILMarkota REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33MIAQuinn 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Doleac 4 AST)73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54MILGadzuric 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25MIAHEAT Rebound71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Barron 13' Turnaround Jump Shot71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30MILGreer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30MILGreer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:26MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:28MILMISS Villanueva 12' Hook Shot66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:50MILDoleac STEAL (5 STL)66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:57MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:08MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10MILMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:26MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:55MILVillanueva 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)66
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:12MILNoel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:34MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:36MILWright BLOCK (2 BLK)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:53MIAPayton 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:32MILVillanueva 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)64
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 11:48MIAPayton Driving Layup (6 PTS)62
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL62
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot62
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILWilliams 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gadzuric 2 AST)62
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)60
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot60
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)60
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILMISS Patterson 17' Jump Shot60
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot60
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 1:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)60
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 1:04MILMISS Villanueva 14' Jump Shot60
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 1:24MIAPayton Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)60
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 1:27MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 1:28MILMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot60
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 1:51MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (28 PTS)60
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 2:03MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 2:05MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 2:13MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)60
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 2:17MILWade STEAL (2 STL)60
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 2:28MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 260
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 260
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 2:33MILDoleac STEAL (4 STL)60
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 2:45MILBoykins Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)60
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 2:58MIADoleac Layup (6 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)59
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 3:11MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 3:12MILMISS Bogut Layup59
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 3:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 3:16MILMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 3:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)59
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 4:03MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)59
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 4:13MILBoykins Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)56
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 4:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)55
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 4:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)55
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 4:48MILBell Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)55
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 4:54MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot53
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 5:09MILVillanueva 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)53
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 5:28MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)51
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 5:56MILVillanueva 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Boykins 5 AST)51
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 6:21MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)49
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 6:29MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 6:31MILWade BLOCK (1 BLK)49
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 6:52MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)49
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 7:06MILWilliams 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 7:30MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)47
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 7:35MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 7:37MILMISS Bogut 20' Jump Shot47
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 7:45MILBucks Rebound47
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMISS Payton Layup47
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 8:16MILBogut 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)47
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 8:36MIAWade Reverse Layup (24 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)45
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 8:48MILMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot45
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 8:54MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot45
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 9:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 9:15MILMISS Bogut 14' Jump Shot45
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 9:34MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 9:49MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 9:49MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 9:52MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)43
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 10:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q3 - 10:02MILMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 10:22MILBucks Rebound43
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Payton 8' Jump Shot43
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 10:46MILBoykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)43
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 10:55MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Mourning Layup40
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q3 - 11:09MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q3 - 11:11MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot40
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 11:30MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (22 PTS)40
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 11:49MILBell Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)40
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA37
0.7%
66
99.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILVillanueva 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
0.8%
66
99.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)35
0.6%
66
99.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0MILVillanueva Layup (4 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)35
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q2 - 1:02MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Doleac 3 AST)33
0.8%
63
99.2%
Q2 - 1:06MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)33
1.1%
60
98.9%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 133
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q2 - 1:24MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
1.4%
58
98.6%
Q2 - 1:26MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q2 - 1:31MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)33
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q2 - 1:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
1.4%
58
98.6%
Q2 - 1:52MILMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot33
1.4%
58
98.6%
Q2 - 2:09MIAPosey Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)33
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q2 - 2:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Walker Reverse Layup33
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 2:37MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q2 - 3:04MIAWalker Layup (6 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)31
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q2 - 3:22MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q2 - 3:23MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 231
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q2 - 3:23MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
2.3%
54
97.7%
Q2 - 3:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q2 - 3:24MILMISS Patterson Layup30
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q2 - 3:31MIAWalker Tip Shot (4 PTS)30
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q2 - 3:32MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
2.4%
52
97.6%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS Walker Layup30
2.6%
52
97.4%
Q2 - 3:47MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
2.4%
52
97.6%
Q2 - 3:47MILMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 229
2.4%
52
97.6%
Q2 - 3:57MIAWade Driving Dunk (20 PTS)29
2.4%
52
97.6%
Q2 - 4:10MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
2.9%
50
97.1%
Q2 - 4:10MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
2.9%
50
97.1%
Q2 - 4:13MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)27
2.6%
50
97.4%
Q2 - 4:26MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)27
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 4:30MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)25
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 4:35MILDoleac STEAL (3 STL)25
1.9%
50
98.1%
Q2 - 4:51MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)25
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 5:14MILDoleac STEAL (2 STL)25
2.4%
48
97.6%
Q2 - 5:42MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)25
2.7%
48
97.3%
Q2 - 5:47MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
3.0%
46
97.0%
Q2 - 5:50MILMISS Gadzuric Layup25
3.1%
46
96.9%
Q2 - 5:51MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)25
3.4%
46
96.6%
Q2 - 5:52MILMISS Gadzuric Layup25
3.1%
46
96.9%
Q2 - 6:08MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
3.6%
46
96.4%
Q2 - 6:19MILWalker STEAL (1 STL)25
3.2%
46
96.8%
Q2 - 6:33MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
3.6%
46
96.4%
Q2 - 6:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
3.9%
44
96.1%
Q2 - 6:47MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 225
4.0%
44
96.0%
Q2 - 6:47MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
4.2%
44
95.8%
Q2 - 6:48MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
4.0%
44
96.0%
Q2 - 6:50MILMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)24
3.7%
44
96.3%
Q2 - 6:53MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
4.0%
44
96.0%
Q2 - 6:55MILMISS Boykins 9' Running Jump Shot24
3.7%
44
96.3%
Q2 - 7:20MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
4.4%
44
95.6%
Q2 - 7:30MILBoykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
3.9%
44
96.1%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)21
3.2%
44
96.8%
Q2 - 8:08MILPatterson 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)21
3.6%
42
96.4%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMourning 7' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)19
3.3%
42
96.7%
Q2 - 8:43MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
3.6%
40
96.4%
Q2 - 8:45MILMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot19
3.8%
40
96.2%
Q2 - 8:53MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
4.1%
40
95.9%
Q2 - 8:55MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot19
3.9%
40
96.1%
Q2 - 9:13MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)19
3.8%
40
96.2%
Q2 - 9:21MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
3.2%
40
96.8%
Q2 - 9:44MILPatterson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
3.4%
38
96.6%
Q2 - 9:50MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
3.1%
38
96.9%
Q2 - 10:12MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)14
2.9%
38
97.1%
Q2 - 10:23MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
3.3%
38
96.7%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 214
3.2%
38
96.8%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
3.1%
38
96.9%
Q2 - 10:55MIAHEAT Rebound14
3.2%
37
96.8%
Q2 - 10:56MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot14
3.3%
37
96.7%
Q2 - 11:17MIAWalker 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
3.7%
37
96.3%
Q2 - 11:40MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
4.1%
35
95.9%
Q2 - 11:41MILMISS Villanueva Layup14
4.2%
35
95.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL14
4.4%
35
95.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)14
4.4%
35
95.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
5.1%
33
94.9%
Q1 - 0:11.0MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
5.2%
33
94.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)14
5.4%
33
94.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0MILMISS Gadzuric Dunk14
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
6.5%
31
93.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0MILMISS Patterson 11' Jump Shot14
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
6.5%
31
93.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Doleac Tip Shot14
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Doleac Tip Shot14
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup14
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q1 - 1:18MILDoleac STEAL (1 STL)14
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q1 - 1:24MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q1 - 1:37MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q1 - 1:39MILMISS Gadzuric 8' Jump Shot14
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q1 - 1:43MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q1 - 1:45MILWright BLOCK (1 BLK)14
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q1 - 1:54MILBucks Rebound14
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q1 - 1:55MILPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)14
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWade Dunk (14 PTS)14
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q1 - 2:14MILWade STEAL (1 STL)14
7.4%
29
92.6%
Q1 - 2:33MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
8.0%
29
92.0%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 214
8.1%
28
91.9%
Q1 - 2:38MILPayton STEAL (2 STL)14
8.0%
28
92.0%
Q1 - 2:46MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)14
8.7%
28
91.3%
Q1 - 3:01MILWilliams Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)14
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q1 - 3:11MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 214
10.8%
25
89.2%
Q1 - 3:11MIAHEAT Rebound14
10.6%
25
89.4%
Q1 - 3:12MILMISS Villanueva 16' Jump Shot14
10.8%
25
89.2%
Q1 - 3:13MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 3:14MILMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
10.8%
25
89.2%
Q1 - 3:28MILBucks Rebound14
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 3:30MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
11.2%
25
88.8%
Q1 - 3:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
10.5%
25
89.5%
Q1 - 3:38MILDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)14
10.8%
25
89.2%
Q1 - 3:44MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot14
11.2%
25
88.8%
Q1 - 3:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
10.5%
25
89.5%
Q1 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade Layup14
11.2%
25
88.8%
Q1 - 4:04MILVillanueva 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)14
10.5%
25
89.5%
Q1 - 4:23MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)12
9.9%
25
90.1%
Q1 - 4:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 4:41MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot12
11.7%
22
88.3%
Q1 - 4:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)12
12.5%
22
87.5%
Q1 - 5:12MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 5:14MILMISS Skinner 9' Hook Shot12
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 5:31MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)12
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 5:51MILBogut 7' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 6:12MIAWade Layup (7 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)10
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 6:18MILPayton STEAL (1 STL)10
16.9%
15
83.1%
Q1 - 6:33MIAWade Follow Up Dunk (5 PTS)10
18.1%
15
81.9%
Q1 - 6:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
19.3%
13
80.7%
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot10
20.3%
13
79.7%
Q1 - 6:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
19.3%
13
80.7%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot10
20.3%
13
79.7%
Q1 - 6:56MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
19.3%
13
80.7%
Q1 - 6:57MILMISS Bell Free Throw 2 of 210
19.5%
13
80.5%
Q1 - 6:57MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 210
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 7:09MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)10
20.7%
13
79.3%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
21.8%
11
78.2%
Q1 - 7:20MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 110
22.0%
11
78.0%
Q1 - 7:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
20.7%
11
79.3%
Q1 - 7:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 7:37MILMISS Williams 8' Running Jump Shot8
23.6%
8
76.4%
Q1 - 7:46MILBoykins Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)8
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 8:01MIAKapono Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
23.2%
8
76.8%
Q1 - 8:21MILBogut Layup (2 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)7
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 8:38MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)5
23.2%
6
76.8%
Q1 - 8:55MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 8:57MILMISS Skinner 7' Jump Shot5
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 9:08MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot5
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
24.1%
4
75.9%
Q1 - 9:30MILMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 25
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 9:30MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 9:45MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)4
24.5%
4
75.5%
Q1 - 10:00MILWilliams Layup (2 PTS)4
25.5%
2
74.5%
Q1 - 10:06MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot2
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 10:25MILWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 10:36MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 10:54MILSkinner Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 11:34MILBoykins 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 11:38MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.1%
0
75.9%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Mourning Dunk0
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Bogut: Tip to Payton0
22.8%
0
77.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.95 47.6%
MIA
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
7
17
41%
MIA
23
33
70%
Midrange
MIL
17
42
40%
MIA
17
32
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
MIA
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
Free Throws
MIL
14
21
67%
MIA
9
16
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Villanueva1753%8.5 / 16
M. Williams1444%7.0 / 16
C. Bell1267%6.0 / 9
E. Boykins1179%5.5 / 7
D. Noel770%3.5 / 5
A. Bogut650%3.0 / 6
R. Patterson528%2.5 / 9
D. Gadzuric325%1.5 / 6
E. Ilyasova350%1.5 / 3
L. Greer233%1.0 / 3
B. Skinner0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2878%14.0 / 18
J. Kapono1583%7.5 / 9
J. Posey1372%6.5 / 9
M. Doleac1169%5.5 / 8
A. Walker1155%5.5 / 10
G. Payton867%4.0 / 6
A. Mourning750%3.5 / 7
D. Wright758%3.5 / 6
U. Haslem650%3.0 / 6
C. Quinn2100%1.0 / 1
E. Barron225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
70
+12
-19
82
MIA
79
+9
-12
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.95 47.6%
MIA
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.1
104.2
MIL 89.9 +31.0
MIA 120.9
Pace
92.3
90.1
MIL 98.7 +15.8
MIA 82.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.5
MIL 14.6 +2.8
MIA 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.6%
MIL 44.6%
MIA 64.7% +20.1%
TO %
15.7%
15.3%
MIL 18.6%
MIA 14.1% +4.5%
ORB %
27.8%
24.9%
MIL 23.9%
MIA 25.8% +1.9%
FTrt
28.6
32.1
MIL 28.4 +7.9
MIA 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
57.6%
MIL 50.0%
MIA 61.7% +11.7%
STL %
7.7%
7.6%
MIL 7.9%
MIA 15.4% +7.5%
BLK %
4.4%
8.8%
MIL 1.5%
MIA 10.2% +8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
52.4%
MIL 47.6%
MIA 62.5% +14.9%
Rim FG%
58.1%
61.8%
MIL 41.2%
MIA 69.7% +28.5%
Mid FG%
40.0%
40.5%
MIL 40.5%
MIA 53.1% +12.6%
3P %
35.6%
34.3%
MIL 40.0%
MIA 53.8% +13.8%
FT %
73.3%
69.0%
MIL 66.7% +10.4%
MIA 56.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.1%
34.9%
MIL 23.0%
MIA 42.3% +19.3%
Mid Att. %
37.0%
40.7%
MIL 56.8%
MIA 41.0% +15.7%
3P Att. %
21.9%
24.5%
MIL 20.3% +3.6%
MIA 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points80110
Rebounds3443
Assists1529
Steals714
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)35 (2)
Field Goals30-7447-78
At-the-Rim FG7-1723-33
Midrange FG17-4217-32
2-Point FG24-5940-65
3-Point FG6-157-13
Free Throws14-219-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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23 Milwaukee Bucks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31
31.3
11
79%
2
5
0
0
2
3
1
1
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24
30.5
14
44%
2
2
1
0
4
3
0
2
4-6
67%
5-11
45%
0-2
0%
Charlie Bell
F · 6'3" 200 · 28
26.5
12
67%
1
0
1
0
2
4
0
1
3-6
50%
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22
26.3
6
50%
4
1
2
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F · 6'9" 255 · 31
15.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22
24.6
17
53%
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
7-13
54%
1-3
33%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29
21.7
3
25%
11
2
1
0
1
2
5
6
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 32
20.1
5
28%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
13.4
2
33%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23
12.0
7
70%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
10.2
3
50%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21
7.5
0
0%
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Julius Hodge
#24 · G · 6'7" 220 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Bobby Simmons
#21 · F · 6'6" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Michael Redd
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
48%
34
15
7
1
19
0
11
23
14-21
67%
24-59
41%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.