| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BC945C;}%20.st1{fill:%23860038;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M356.2,121.3V98.4l-5.6-5.7c-72-68.5-226.2,21.4-278.6,64.8l-25.9,40.1l32.2-8c-49.4,62-31.8,102.7-29.7,106.9%20c5.2,14.6,17.1,26.3,36.3,34c14.6,5.8,31.2,6.6,45.4,5.9c61.4-2.9,134-41.2,180.9-81.9l1.1-0.9l9.3-47.1l-18.2,10.1%20c-63.3,27.8-114.2,43.2-114.2,43.2c-33.3,10.4-48.6,12.1-59.5,9.5l-1.3-0.4c-3-1.2-3.5-3.9-3.5-4.6c-0.5-20.8,35.4-65.6,53.4-85%20c16.8-18.1,43.3-37.9,65.7-47.3c15-6.3,24.7-8.8,29.2-8.4c-1.2,3.9-3.3,8.7-6.2,14.5c0,0-24,47.3-25,49.2L356.2,121.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M213.9,118c-20.6,10.9-44.3,32.8-51.7,40.7C101.8,223,59.5,309,191.7,267.8c0,0,51.4-15.6,115.2-43.6%20C126.3,376.8-44.2,313,123.6,152.5c-15.3,3.5-30.7,6.8-45.8,11c53.7-44.5,201.1-127.4,266.9-64.8l-70.3,43.1%20C304.6,82.7,250.2,96.6,213.9,118'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) CLE | 102.3 | 87 | 86.4 |
 MIA | 105.7 | 87 | 87.6 |
Scoring Opportunities
CLE
73
+13
-14
86
MIA
70
+14
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
CLE
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | CLE | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 89 0% | 92 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (41 PTS) | 89 1.6% | 92 98.4% |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (40 PTS) | 89 2.0% | 91 98.0% |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | CLE | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 86 2.4% | 90 97.6% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 | 86 2.2% | 90 97.8% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 | 86 1.2% | 90 98.8% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 86 0.8% | 90 99.2% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | CLE | MISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot | 86 1.2% | 90 98.8% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (39 PTS) | 86 3.3% | 90 96.7% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 86 3.9% | 89 96.1% |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (38 PTS) | 86 2.7% | 89 97.3% |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (37 PTS) | 86 3.3% | 88 96.7% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 86 17.0% | 87 83.0% |
| Q4 - 0:24.0 | MIA | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 30.6% | 87 69.4% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 86 22.3% | 87 77.7% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | CLE | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 85 19.7% | 87 80.3% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | CLE | Ilgauskas Free Throw Technical (6 PTS) | 85 24.1% | 87 75.9% |
| Q4 - 0:46.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (36 PTS) | 84 14.0% | 87 86.0% |
| Q4 - 1:00 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 84 37.5% | 84 62.5% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | CLE | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 84 39.6% | 84 60.4% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | CLE | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 84 49.0% | 84 51.0% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS) | 84 53.2% | 84 46.8% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS) | 84 55.5% | 83 44.5% |
| Q4 - 1:37 | CLE | Gibson 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST) | 84 63.3% | 82 36.7% |
| Q4 - 1:51 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 81 40.0% | 82 60.0% |
| Q4 - 1:53 | CLE | MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 31.8% | 82 68.2% |
| Q4 - 2:19 | MIA | Wade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS) | 81 42.8% | 82 57.2% |
| Q4 - 2:36 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 81 48.8% | 80 51.2% |
| Q4 - 2:38 | CLE | MISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 54.2% | 80 45.8% |
| Q4 - 2:57 | CLE | Gooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 81 62.9% | 80 37.1% |
| Q4 - 2:59 | CLE | MISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 53.1% | 80 46.9% |
| Q4 - 3:26 | MIA | Wade Driving Finger Roll (29 PTS) | 81 63.6% | 80 36.4% |
| Q4 - 3:41 | CLE | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 81 67.1% | 78 32.9% |
| Q4 - 4:00 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS) | 78 49.9% | 78 50.1% |
| Q4 - 4:01 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 78 67.4% | 75 32.6% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Jump Shot | 78 73.1% | 75 26.9% |
| Q4 - 4:16 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 78 67.5% | 75 32.5% |
| Q4 - 4:17 | CLE | MISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 1 | 78 68.7% | 75 31.3% |
| Q4 - 4:18 | CLE | Gooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 76 59.3% | 75 40.7% |
| Q4 - 4:19 | CLE | MISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 52.5% | 75 47.5% |
| Q4 - 4:48 | MIA | Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 76 59.4% | 75 40.6% |
| Q4 - 5:03 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 76 71.8% | 72 28.2% |
| Q4 - 5:05 | CLE | MISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot | 76 73.9% | 72 26.1% |
| Q4 - 5:25 | CLE | Hughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 76 78.5% | 72 21.5% |
| Q4 - 5:27 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Alley Oop Dunk | 76 76.7% | 72 23.3% |
| Q4 - 5:43 | CLE | Gibson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15) | 76 72.1% | 72 27.9% |
| Q4 - 5:54 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS) | 76 78.6% | 72 21.4% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | CLE | Ilgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14) | 76 80.3% | 70 19.7% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 76 85.3% | 70 14.7% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS) | 76 85.9% | 69 14.1% |
| Q4 - 6:42 | CLE | Pollard Traveling Turnover (P1.T13) | 76 88.3% | 68 11.7% |
| Q4 - 6:53 | CLE | Cavaliers Rebound | 76 91.5% | 68 8.5% |
| Q4 - 6:54 | CLE | MISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot | 76 89.4% | 68 10.6% |
| Q4 - 7:14 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 76 89.4% | 68 10.6% |
| Q4 - 7:14 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 76 89.8% | 67 10.2% |
| Q4 - 7:19 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 76 91.5% | 66 8.5% |
| Q4 - 7:21 | CLE | MISS Pollard 17' Jump Shot | 76 92.2% | 66 7.8% |
| Q4 - 7:34 | MIA | Wade 12' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Payton 2 AST) | 76 93.6% | 66 6.4% |
| Q4 - 8:01 | CLE | Snow 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST) | 76 93.6% | 64 6.4% |
| Q4 - 8:21 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P12.T19) | 74 92.0% | 64 8.0% |
| Q4 - 8:28 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 74 89.9% | 64 10.1% |
| Q4 - 8:30 | CLE | Wade BLOCK (2 BLK) | 74 90.6% | 64 9.4% |
| Q4 - 8:42 | MIA | Wade Palming Turnover (P11.T18) | 74 92.1% | 64 7.9% |
| Q4 - 8:54 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 74 90.0% | 64 10.0% |
| Q4 - 8:55 | CLE | MISS Pavlovic Layup | 74 90.7% | 64 9.3% |
| Q4 - 9:08 | MIA | Walker Tip Shot (4 PTS) | 74 90.7% | 64 9.3% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 74 92.5% | 62 7.5% |
| Q4 - 9:12 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper | 74 93.6% | 62 6.4% |
| Q4 - 9:28 | CLE | Pavlovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 74 92.5% | 62 7.5% |
| Q4 - 9:43 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 71 88.6% | 62 11.4% |
| Q4 - 9:43 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 71 89.0% | 61 11.0% |
| Q4 - 9:47 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 71 90.7% | 60 9.3% |
| Q4 - 9:48 | CLE | O'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK) | 71 91.4% | 60 8.6% |
| Q4 - 9:59 | MIA | Mourning Foul Turnover (P2.T17) | 71 92.7% | 60 7.3% |
| Q4 - 10:17 | CLE | Pavlovic Driving Dunk (7 PTS) | 71 89.3% | 60 10.7% |
| Q4 - 10:36 | MIA | Payton Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 69 87.2% | 60 12.8% |
| Q4 - 10:41 | CLE | Posey STEAL (2 STL) | 69 89.4% | 58 10.6% |
| Q4 - 10:51 | CLE | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 69 91.5% | 58 8.5% |
| Q4 - 10:53 | MIA | MISS Mourning 9' Hook Shot | 69 90.9% | 58 9.1% |
| Q4 - 11:18 | CLE | Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Snow 4 AST) | 69 88.2% | 58 11.8% |
| Q4 - 11:26 | CLE | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 66 83.1% | 58 16.9% |
| Q4 - 11:28 | MIA | MISS Walker Layup | 66 82.1% | 58 17.9% |
| Q4 - 11:30 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 66 79.7% | 58 20.3% |
| Q4 - 11:32 | MIA | MISS Walker Layup | 66 82.1% | 58 17.9% |
| Q4 - 11:34 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 66 79.7% | 58 20.3% |
| Q4 - 11:36 | MIA | MISS Posey 19' Jump Shot | 66 82.1% | 58 17.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 66 79.7% | 58 20.3% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 66 79.7% | 58 20.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 82.2% | 58 17.8% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | CLE | Posey STEAL (1 STL) | 66 78.3% | 58 21.7% |
| Q3 - 0:06.0 | CLE | Pavlovic Free Throw Technical (5 PTS) | 66 81.6% | 58 18.4% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P10.T16) | 65 78.4% | 58 21.6% |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | CLE | Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 65 74.7% | 58 25.3% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | CLE | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 62 66.2% | 58 33.8% |
| Q3 - 0:55.0 | MIA | MISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 64.8% | 58 35.2% |
| Q3 - 1:07 | CLE | Hughes Foul Turnover (P1.T10) | 62 60.3% | 58 39.7% |
| Q3 - 1:12 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P9.T15) | 62 65.0% | 58 35.0% |
| Q3 - 1:21 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 62 60.3% | 58 39.7% |
| Q3 - 1:23 | CLE | MISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot | 62 61.8% | 58 38.2% |
| Q3 - 1:45 | MIA | Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 62 65.1% | 58 34.9% |
| Q3 - 2:05 | CLE | Varejao Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 62 71.4% | 55 28.6% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14) | 60 67.9% | 55 32.1% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 60 63.3% | 55 36.7% |
| Q3 - 2:19 | MIA | MISS Mourning Layup | 60 66.5% | 55 33.5% |
| Q3 - 2:42 | CLE | Marshall Layup (2 PTS) | 60 63.4% | 55 36.6% |
| Q3 - 2:51 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P8.T13) | 58 59.4% | 55 40.6% |
| Q3 - 3:01 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 58 54.1% | 55 45.9% |
| Q3 - 3:03 | CLE | MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 55.6% | 55 44.4% |
| Q3 - 3:29 | MIA | Kapono 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 58 58.8% | 55 41.2% |
| Q3 - 3:50 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 58 62.8% | 53 37.2% |
| Q3 - 3:52 | CLE | MISS James 7' Jump Shot | 58 64.2% | 53 35.8% |
| Q3 - 3:54 | CLE | Cavaliers Rebound | 58 67.2% | 53 32.8% |
| Q3 - 3:55 | CLE | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 58 64.2% | 53 35.8% |
| Q3 - 4:03 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 58 66.2% | 53 33.8% |
| Q3 - 4:03 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 58 66.8% | 52 33.2% |
| Q3 - 4:24 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 58 69.4% | 51 30.6% |
| Q3 - 4:25 | CLE | MISS Gibson Free Throw 3 of 3 | 58 70.0% | 51 30.0% |
| Q3 - 4:25 | CLE | Gibson Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS) | 58 72.2% | 51 27.8% |
| Q3 - 4:25 | CLE | Gibson Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS) | 57 71.3% | 51 28.7% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | CLE | Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 56 66.2% | 51 33.8% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 56 64.9% | 51 35.1% |
| Q3 - 4:37 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 56 61.7% | 51 38.3% |
| Q3 - 4:39 | CLE | MISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 63.1% | 51 36.9% |
| Q3 - 4:59 | MIA | Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST) | 56 66.3% | 51 33.7% |
| Q3 - 5:14 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 56 72.2% | 48 27.8% |
| Q3 - 5:15 | CLE | MISS James 21' Fadeaway Jumper | 56 73.2% | 48 26.8% |
| Q3 - 5:43 | MIA | O'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 56 75.7% | 48 24.3% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | CLE | James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 56 78.4% | 46 21.6% |
| Q3 - 6:23 | MIA | Wade Reverse Layup (15 PTS) | 54 74.4% | 46 25.6% |
| Q3 - 6:44 | CLE | Gooden 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 54 77.2% | 44 22.8% |
| Q3 - 6:56 | CLE | Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 52 74.5% | 44 25.5% |
| Q3 - 6:57 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 52 74.0% | 44 26.0% |
| Q3 - 6:57 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 52 72.8% | 44 27.2% |
| Q3 - 7:18 | CLE | Hughes 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 52 69.8% | 44 30.2% |
| Q3 - 7:23 | CLE | Hughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 50 66.9% | 44 33.1% |
| Q3 - 7:25 | MIA | MISS Wade Reverse Dunk | 50 65.7% | 44 34.3% |
| Q3 - 7:32 | CLE | O'Neal STEAL (1 STL) | 50 62.9% | 44 37.1% |
| Q3 - 7:47 | MIA | O'Neal 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 50 66.9% | 44 33.1% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 50 69.3% | 42 30.7% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 71.8% | 42 28.2% |
| Q3 - 8:17 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 50 69.3% | 42 30.7% |
| Q3 - 8:19 | CLE | MISS Hughes 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 70.4% | 42 29.6% |
| Q3 - 8:39 | MIA | Haslem 8' Hook Shot (7 PTS) | 50 72.8% | 42 27.2% |
| Q3 - 8:41 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 50 75.3% | 40 24.7% |
| Q3 - 8:43 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Bank Shot | 50 77.5% | 40 22.5% |
| Q3 - 8:56 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 50 75.3% | 40 24.7% |
| Q3 - 8:57 | CLE | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 76.3% | 40 23.7% |
| Q3 - 9:13 | CLE | Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 50 77.1% | 40 22.9% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | MIA | MISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 76.3% | 40 23.7% |
| Q3 - 9:32 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 50 74.4% | 40 25.6% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | CLE | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 1 | 50 74.8% | 40 25.2% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | MIA | Payton 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) | 48 71.6% | 40 28.4% |
| Q3 - 10:24 | CLE | Gibson 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 9 AST) | 48 73.4% | 38 26.6% |
| Q3 - 10:30 | CLE | Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 46 70.8% | 38 29.2% |
| Q3 - 10:32 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 10' Hook Shot | 46 69.8% | 38 30.2% |
| Q3 - 10:53 | CLE | Ilgauskas Dunk (5 PTS) (James 8 AST) | 46 67.5% | 38 32.5% |
| Q3 - 11:07 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 44 63.8% | 38 36.2% |
| Q3 - 11:08 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot | 44 62.8% | 38 37.2% |
| Q3 - 11:26 | CLE | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST) | 44 60.5% | 38 39.5% |
| Q3 - 11:32 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 41 53.9% | 38 46.1% |
| Q3 - 11:34 | MIA | MISS Wade Reverse Layup | 41 52.8% | 38 47.2% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | CLE | Wade STEAL (3 STL) | 41 50.3% | 38 49.7% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | CLE | 41 53.9% | 38 46.1% | |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 41 52.8% | 38 47.2% |
| Q2 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 41 60.4% | 35 39.6% |
| Q2 - 0:23.0 | CLE | MISS Hughes 9' Jump Shot | 41 61.0% | 35 39.0% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 41 62.6% | 35 37.4% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 41 64.1% | 34 35.9% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | CLE | Hughes 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 41 63.5% | 34 36.5% |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Wade Dunk (10 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST) | 39 59.5% | 34 40.5% |
| Q2 - 1:18 | CLE | Gibson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 39 63.2% | 32 36.8% |
| Q2 - 1:36 | MIA | O'Neal 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 39 64.8% | 32 35.2% |
| Q2 - 1:53 | CLE | Gooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 39 69.0% | 30 31.0% |
| Q2 - 1:53 | CLE | Gooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 38 68.3% | 30 31.7% |
| Q2 - 1:53 | CLE | Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 37 64.8% | 30 35.2% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | CLE | MISS James Driving Layup | 37 63.7% | 30 36.3% |
| Q2 - 1:58 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 37 64.8% | 30 35.2% |
| Q2 - 2:00 | MIA | MISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot | 37 64.3% | 30 35.7% |
| Q2 - 2:07 | CLE | Kapono STEAL (1 STL) | 37 61.8% | 30 38.2% |
| Q2 - 2:26 | MIA | Walker Foul Turnover (P1.T12) | 37 64.6% | 30 35.4% |
| Q2 - 2:46 | CLE | Gooden Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 37 62.0% | 30 38.0% |
| Q2 - 2:52 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T11) | 35 58.7% | 30 41.3% |
| Q2 - 3:09 | CLE | James Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST) | 35 54.8% | 30 45.2% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | MIA | Haslem Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 33 52.2% | 30 47.8% |
| Q2 - 3:36 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 33 54.8% | 28 45.2% |
| Q2 - 3:38 | CLE | MISS Gooden 8' Hook Shot | 33 55.9% | 28 44.1% |
| Q2 - 3:56 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 33 58.2% | 28 41.8% |
| Q2 - 3:56 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 | 33 58.8% | 27 41.2% |
| Q2 - 4:00 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 33 57.8% | 27 42.2% |
| Q2 - 4:02 | CLE | MISS James 12' Jump Shot | 33 58.0% | 27 42.0% |
| Q2 - 4:13 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 33 60.0% | 27 40.0% |
| Q2 - 4:13 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 33 60.5% | 26 39.5% |
| Q2 - 4:36 | CLE | James Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 33 62.8% | 25 37.2% |
| Q2 - 4:41 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 33 65.4% | 25 34.6% |
| Q2 - 4:43 | MIA | MISS Wade 21' Jump Shot | 33 64.6% | 25 35.4% |
| Q2 - 5:10 | CLE | Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 33 62.2% | 25 37.8% |
| Q2 - 5:26 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 30 57.0% | 25 43.0% |
| Q2 - 5:26 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 30 57.4% | 24 42.6% |
| Q2 - 5:36 | CLE | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 30 59.5% | 23 40.5% |
| Q2 - 5:36 | CLE | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 29 58.9% | 23 41.1% |
| Q2 - 5:46 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T10) | 29 59.7% | 23 40.3% |
| Q2 - 6:01 | CLE | Pollard 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 29 56.1% | 23 43.9% |
| Q2 - 6:22 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 27 54.0% | 23 46.0% |
| Q2 - 6:22 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 27 54.5% | 22 45.5% |
| Q2 - 6:39 | CLE | Hughes 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) | 27 56.2% | 21 43.8% |
| Q2 - 6:56 | MIA | Wade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9) | 25 54.0% | 21 46.0% |
| Q2 - 7:03 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 25 50.5% | 21 49.5% |
| Q2 - 7:05 | CLE | MISS Hughes 18' Jump Shot | 25 51.4% | 21 48.6% |
| Q2 - 7:10 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 25 53.3% | 21 46.7% |
| Q2 - 7:12 | MIA | MISS Payton Reverse Layup | 25 52.5% | 21 47.5% |
| Q2 - 7:39 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 50.5% | 21 49.5% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | CLE | MISS Pavlovic 19' Jump Shot | 25 51.4% | 21 48.6% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | MIA | Mourning Slam Dunk (2 PTS) | 25 53.1% | 21 46.9% |
| Q2 - 8:08 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 25 55.3% | 19 44.7% |
| Q2 - 8:10 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 25 57.3% | 19 42.7% |
| Q2 - 8:23 | CLE | Hughes 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) | 25 55.3% | 19 44.7% |
| Q2 - 8:40 | CLE | Cavaliers Rebound | 23 53.1% | 19 46.9% |
| Q2 - 8:41 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 | 23 50.5% | 19 49.5% |
| Q2 - 8:41 | CLE | Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 23 52.3% | 19 47.7% |
| Q2 - 8:41 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 22 50.5% | 19 49.5% |
| Q2 - 8:43 | CLE | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 48.4% | 19 51.6% |
| Q2 - 8:49 | CLE | Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 22 50.5% | 19 49.5% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | MIA | MISS Wade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot | 22 49.6% | 19 50.4% |
| Q2 - 9:05 | CLE | Varejao Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 22 47.2% | 19 52.8% |
| Q2 - 9:19 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 22 50.1% | 19 49.9% |
| Q2 - 9:21 | MIA | MISS Walker 12' Jump Bank Shot | 22 49.2% | 19 50.8% |
| Q2 - 9:44 | CLE | Pavlovic 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Snow 3 AST) | 22 47.3% | 19 52.7% |
| Q2 - 9:58 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (6 PTS) | 20 45.1% | 19 54.9% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | CLE | Snow 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST) | 20 47.1% | 17 52.9% |
| Q2 - 10:35 | CLE | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 18 44.9% | 17 55.1% |
| Q2 - 10:37 | CLE | MISS Pavlovic 9' Jump Shot | 18 43.0% | 17 57.0% |
| Q2 - 10:44 | CLE | Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 44.9% | 17 55.1% |
| Q2 - 10:46 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot | 18 44.1% | 17 55.9% |
| Q2 - 10:57 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 18 42.2% | 17 57.8% |
| Q2 - 10:59 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas 14' Jump Shot | 18 43.0% | 17 57.0% |
| Q2 - 11:12 | CLE | Pavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 44.4% | 17 55.6% |
| Q2 - 11:14 | MIA | MISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 18 43.7% | 17 56.3% |
| Q2 - 11:39 | CLE | Jones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Snow 2 AST) | 18 42.0% | 17 58.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | CLE | 16 39.7% | 17 60.3% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | CLE | Cavaliers Rebound | 16 39.7% | 17 60.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | CLE | MISS Snow 22' Jump Shot | 16 38.1% | 17 61.9% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Payton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 16 39.3% | 17 60.7% |
| Q1 - 0:22.0 | CLE | Pavlovic 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Snow 1 AST) | 16 37.5% | 17 62.5% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 14 34.8% | 17 65.2% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 14 35.9% | 16 64.1% |
| Q1 - 0:55.0 | CLE | Wade STEAL (2 STL) | 14 37.5% | 15 62.5% |
| Q1 - 1:00 | CLE | Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 39.3% | 15 60.7% |
| Q1 - 1:02 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Alley Oop Dunk | 14 38.8% | 15 61.2% |
| Q1 - 1:15 | CLE | Cavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2) | 14 37.6% | 15 62.4% |
| Q1 - 1:41 | MIA | Walker Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 14 39.3% | 15 60.7% |
| Q1 - 1:42 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 14 42.1% | 13 57.9% |
| Q1 - 1:43 | MIA | MISS Posey Layup | 14 43.4% | 13 56.6% |
| Q1 - 2:00 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 42.1% | 13 57.9% |
| Q1 - 2:02 | CLE | MISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 14 42.7% | 13 57.3% |
| Q1 - 2:16 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7) | 14 44.2% | 13 55.8% |
| Q1 - 2:30 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 14 42.1% | 13 57.9% |
| Q1 - 2:31 | CLE | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 14 42.7% | 13 57.3% |
| Q1 - 2:53 | MIA | Wade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 14 44.2% | 13 55.8% |
| Q1 - 2:58 | CLE | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 14 46.7% | 11 53.3% |
| Q1 - 3:14 | CLE | Hughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 14 48.6% | 11 51.4% |
| Q1 - 3:16 | CLE | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 14 46.8% | 11 53.2% |
| Q1 - 3:35 | MIA | Mourning Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 14 48.6% | 11 51.4% |
| Q1 - 3:50 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 46.1% | 11 53.9% |
| Q1 - 3:52 | CLE | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 14 46.9% | 11 53.1% |
| Q1 - 4:08 | CLE | Cavaliers Rebound | 14 48.4% | 11 51.6% |
| Q1 - 4:09 | CLE | Haslem BLOCK (1 BLK) | 14 46.5% | 11 53.5% |
| Q1 - 4:12 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5) | 14 48.4% | 11 51.6% |
| Q1 - 4:18 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 14 45.7% | 11 54.3% |
| Q1 - 4:20 | CLE | MISS James 10' Hook Shot | 14 46.5% | 11 53.5% |
| Q1 - 4:43 | MIA | Wade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 14 48.4% | 11 51.6% |
| Q1 - 4:59 | CLE | Gooden 9' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 14 45.7% | 11 54.3% |
| Q1 - 5:10 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 43.5% | 11 56.5% |
| Q1 - 5:12 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 12 42.8% | 11 57.2% |
| Q1 - 5:35 | CLE | Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 12 41.2% | 11 58.8% |
| Q1 - 5:44 | CLE | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 37.4% | 11 62.6% |
| Q1 - 5:46 | MIA | MISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot | 9 36.8% | 11 63.2% |
| Q1 - 5:59 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 9 35.3% | 11 64.7% |
| Q1 - 6:01 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 9 36.7% | 11 63.3% |
| Q1 - 6:16 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 9 35.3% | 11 64.7% |
| Q1 - 6:17 | CLE | MISS Gooden 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 9 35.9% | 11 64.1% |
| Q1 - 6:20 | CLE | Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 9 37.3% | 11 62.7% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | CLE | Mourning BLOCK (1 BLK) | 9 35.9% | 11 64.1% |
| Q1 - 6:35 | MIA | Haslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 9 37.3% | 11 62.7% |
| Q1 - 6:57 | CLE | Ilgauskas Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 9 39.1% | 9 60.9% |
| Q1 - 7:13 | MIA | Kapono Traveling Turnover (P1.T3) | 7 37.4% | 9 62.6% |
| Q1 - 7:21 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 35.5% | 9 64.5% |
| Q1 - 7:23 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas 14' Jump Bank Shot | 7 36.1% | 9 63.9% |
| Q1 - 7:35 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 7 37.4% | 9 62.6% |
| Q1 - 7:43 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 7 35.5% | 9 64.5% |
| Q1 - 7:45 | CLE | MISS James 9' Jump Shot | 7 36.0% | 9 64.0% |
| Q1 - 8:03 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1) | 7 37.6% | 9 62.4% |
| Q1 - 8:03 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 7 35.6% | 9 64.4% |
| Q1 - 8:04 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 13' Running Hook Shot | 7 37.0% | 9 63.0% |
| Q1 - 8:31 | CLE | Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 7 35.6% | 9 64.4% |
| Q1 - 8:42 | MIA | Kapono Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 4 32.4% | 9 67.6% |
| Q1 - 8:54 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 4 33.9% | 7 66.1% |
| Q1 - 8:56 | CLE | MISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot | 4 34.5% | 7 65.5% |
| Q1 - 9:13 | CLE | Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 35.7% | 7 64.3% |
| Q1 - 9:15 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot | 4 35.1% | 7 64.9% |
| Q1 - 9:27 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 33.6% | 7 66.4% |
| Q1 - 9:29 | CLE | MISS Gooden 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 4 34.2% | 7 65.8% |
| Q1 - 9:50 | MIA | Payton 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 35.8% | 7 64.2% |
| Q1 - 10:01 | CLE | Gooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 4 37.1% | 5 62.9% |
| Q1 - 10:01 | CLE | MISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 2 | 3 36.7% | 5 63.3% |
| Q1 - 10:18 | MIA | O'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) | 3 37.3% | 5 62.7% |
| Q1 - 10:20 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 3 38.9% | 3 61.1% |
| Q1 - 10:22 | MIA | MISS Kapono Layup | 3 40.3% | 3 59.7% |
| Q1 - 10:47 | CLE | Gibson Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS) | 3 38.8% | 3 61.2% |
| Q1 - 10:47 | CLE | Gibson Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS) | 2 38.5% | 3 61.5% |
| Q1 - 10:47 | CLE | Gibson Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS) | 1 38.0% | 3 62.0% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | MIA | Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST) | 0 35.5% | 3 64.5% |
| Q1 - 11:22 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 39.0% | 0 61.0% |
| Q1 - 11:24 | CLE | MISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot | 0 39.5% | 0 60.5% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | CLE | Gooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 40.7% | 0 59.3% |
| Q1 - 11:44 | MIA | MISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 40.2% | 0 59.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball O'Neal vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Haslem | 0 39.0% | 0 61.0% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
CLE
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
9
16
56%
MIA
16
29
55%
Midrange
CLE
16
38
42%
MIA
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
CLE
15
24
63%
MIA
28
35
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Cavaliers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gibson | 19 | 95% | 9.5 / 10 | |
| L. James | 17 | 43% | 8.5 / 20 | |
| D. Gooden | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| S. Pavlovic | 10 | 71% | 5.0 / 7 | |
| L. Hughes | 8 | 36% | 4.0 / 11 | |
| Z. Ilgauskas | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| D. Marshall | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| D. Jones | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| E. Snow | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| A. Varejao | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| S. Pollard | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 41 | 68% | 20.5 / 30 | |
| S. O'Neal | 16 | 50% | 8.0 / 16 | |
| J. Kapono | 13 | 81% | 6.5 / 8 | |
| U. Haslem | 7 | 58% | 3.5 / 6 | |
| G. Payton | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| A. Walker | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| J. Posey | 3 | 30% | 1.5 / 5 | |
| A. Mourning | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
CLE
73
+13
-14
86
MIA
70
+14
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
CLE
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 105.9 104.2 | CLE 102.3 MIA 105.7 +3.4 |
| Pace | 90.5 90.1 | CLE 86.4 MIA 87.6 +1.2 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.3 16.5 | CLE 16.7 MIA 16.4 +0.2 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 48.4% 50.6% | CLE 48.7% +0.2% MIA 48.5% |
| TO % | 15.0% 15.3% | CLE 14.8% +4.1% MIA 18.9% |
| ORB % | 29.7% 24.9% | CLE 19.5% MIA 31.4% +11.9% |
| FTrt | 32.0 32.1 | CLE 31.6 MIA 53.0 +21.4 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 57.4% 57.6% | CLE 57.6% +27.6% MIA 30.0% |
| STL % | 8.3% 7.6% | CLE 10.3% +2.3% MIA 8.0% |
| BLK % | 6.9% 8.8% | CLE 1.9% MIA 9.3% +7.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.9% 52.4% | CLE 51.7% MIA 54.1% +2.4% |
| Rim FG% | 59.1% 61.8% | CLE 56.3% +1.1% MIA 55.2% |
| Mid FG% | 37.1% 40.5% | CLE 42.1% +2.1% MIA 40.0% |
| 3P % | 35.2% 34.3% | CLE 36.4% +3.1% MIA 33.3% |
| FT % | 69.6% 69.0% | CLE 62.5% MIA 80.0% +17.5% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 36.4% 34.9% | CLE 21.1% MIA 43.9% +22.9% |
| Mid Att. % | 42.5% 40.7% | CLE 50.0% MIA 37.9% +12.1% |
| 3P Att. % | 21.1% 24.5% | CLE 28.9% +10.8% MIA 18.2% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
| Game Totals | CLE | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 87 | 87 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.2 | 23.8 |
| Points | 89 | 92 |
| Rebounds | 32 | 44 |
| Assists | 19 | 9 |
| Steals | 9 | 7 |
| Blocks | 1 | 5 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 14 (1) | 17 (2) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 8 (5) | 11 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 24 (0) | 33 (2) |
| Field Goals | 33-76 | 30-66 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 9-16 | 16-29 |
| Midrange FG | 16-38 | 10-25 |
| 2-Point FG | 25-54 | 26-54 |
| 3-Point FG | 8-22 | 4-12 |
| Free Throws | 15-24 | 28-35 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.