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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
February 1, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Cavaliers43%9289
12Heat57%9492
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
37.4
30.6
8
36%
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
4-9
40%
44%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.1
35.6
40.9
17
40%
6
9
1
2
0
2
1
5
3-8
38%
4-11
8-16
36%
52%
2-7
29%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.4
31.8
29.2
11
49%
9
1
1
1
0
0
4
5
3-5
60%
4-9
5-11
44%
50%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.9
28.9
19.2
19
89%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
4-6
67%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.7
27.5
21.3
6
47%
5
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
2-3
67%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
16.9
19.9
2
100%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.2
15.0
22.3
10
63%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
14.6
18.0
5
50%
4
0
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.4
14.2
17.8
5
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
1-4
25%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.8
13.0
17.5
4
40%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.0
5.3
2.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.2
17.6
1
1-2
42%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.0
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.2
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
42.4
33.8
41
67%
4
5
3
2
2
12
0
4
23-24
96%
9-19
8-16
47%
51%
0-1
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.5
34.9
24.0
6
50%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
34.6
25.7
13
81%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
3-5
60%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
30.8
25.0
7
61%
9
0
0
1
1
0
2
7
1-4
25%
3-4
4-7
75%
51%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.9
28.1
18.6
16
50%
8
2
1
0
1
0
2
6
4-7
57%
6-13
4-7
46%
57%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.1
32.2
24.7
3
30%
6
0
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
24.1
23.2
4
33%
10
0
0
1
0
1
4
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.0
13.0
20.4
2
25%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
55%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.6
20.1
0
2-4
45%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.3
15.5
1
1-2
44%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.2
14.0
0
2-4
49%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
7.0
0
1-1
43%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.2
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.