Final Win Prob. pScore
1257%97
103
2643%95
91
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
122.68484.4
ATL logo Hawks
111.08282.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORATL
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR103
91
Q4 - 0:22.0TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)103
91
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot103
91
Q4 - 0:33.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)103
91
Q4 - 0:35.0TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2103
91
Q4 - 0:35.0TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)103
91
Q4 - 0:35.0ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P5.PN)102
91
Q4 - 0:51.0TORSUB: Garbajosa FOR Nesterovic102
91
Q4 - 0:51.0ATLHAWKS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)102
91
Q4 - 0:51.0ATLChildress P.FOUL (P2.T3)102
91
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Childress 5 AST)102
91
Q4 - 1:13ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)102
89
Q4 - 1:14TORMISS Peterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
89
Q4 - 1:39ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)102
89
Q4 - 1:39ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)102
88
Q4 - 1:39TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P5.T4)102
87
Q4 - 1:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)102
87
Q4 - 1:47TORMISS Calderon 27' 3PT Jump Shot102
87
Q4 - 2:11ATLSmith P.FOUL (P4.T2)102
87
Q4 - 2:11TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)102
87
Q4 - 2:11ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)102
87
Q4 - 2:11ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot102
87
Q4 - 2:11ATLMISS Johnson Layup102
87
Q4 - 2:31TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)102
87
Q4 - 2:52TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)100
87
Q4 - 2:52ATLChildress Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)100
87
Q4 - 3:04TORPachulia STEAL (1 STL)100
87
Q4 - 3:21TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)100
87
Q4 - 3:23ATLMISS Childress 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
87
Q4 - 3:36ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)100
87
Q4 - 3:38TORMISS Nesterovic 14' Turnaround Jump Shot100
87
Q4 - 3:58TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
87
Q4 - 4:00ATLMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot100
87
Q4 - 4:17TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)100
87
Q4 - 4:30ATLPachulia L.B.FOUL (P4.T1)97
87
Q4 - 4:30TORRaptors Rebound97
87
Q4 - 4:30TORMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
87
Q4 - 4:46TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
87
Q4 - 4:49ATLMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot97
87
Q4 - 5:02TORBosh 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)97
87
Q4 - 5:22ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)95
87
Q4 - 5:43ATLSUB: Williams FOR Lue95
84
Q4 - 5:43TORSUB: Parker FOR Bargnani95
84
Q4 - 5:43ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)95
84
Q4 - 5:49TORNesterovic Layup (12 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)95
84
Q4 - 5:52TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)93
84
Q4 - 5:54TORMISS Bargnani 28' 3PT Jump Shot93
84
Q4 - 6:13ATLChildress 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)93
84
Q4 - 6:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)93
81
Q4 - 6:26TORMISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot93
81
Q4 - 6:49TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
81
Q4 - 6:51ATLMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot93
81
Q4 - 7:14TORCalderon 20' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)93
81
Q4 - 7:22TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford91
81
Q4 - 7:22TORRaptors Rebound91
81
Q4 - 7:23TORChildress BLOCK (1 BLK)91
81
Q4 - 7:40TORRaptors Rebound91
81
Q4 - 7:40ATLMISS Smith Layup91
81
Q4 - 7:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)91
81
Q4 - 7:49TORMISS Ford 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
81
Q4 - 8:02TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
81
Q4 - 8:04ATLMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot91
81
Q4 - 8:19TORPeterson P.FOUL (P2.T3)91
81
Q4 - 8:33TORPeterson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ford 10 AST)91
81
Q4 - 8:5088
81
Q4 - 8:56TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
81
Q4 - 8:57ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot88
81
Q4 - 9:21TORNesterovic Foul Turnover (P3.T10)88
81
Q4 - 9:21TORNesterovic OFF.Foul (P4)88
81
Q4 - 9:37ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)88
81
Q4 - 9:37ATLSUB: Lue FOR Williams88
80
Q4 - 9:37ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)88
80
Q4 - 9:37TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P3.T2)88
79
Q4 - 9:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)88
79
Q4 - 9:43TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
79
Q4 - 10:01TORSUB: Bosh FOR Parker88
79
Q4 - 10:01ATLJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)88
79
Q4 - 10:19TORFord 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)88
79
Q4 - 10:37ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Childress 4 AST)86
79
Q4 - 10:48ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
77
Q4 - 10:49TORMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot86
77
Q4 - 11:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)86
77
Q4 - 11:09ATLSmith Layup (20 PTS)86
77
Q4 - 11:10ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
75
Q4 - 11:10ATLMISS Childress Tip Shot86
75
Q4 - 11:12ATLMISS Smith Layup86
75
Q4 - 11:29TORPeterson Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)86
75
Q4 - 11:44ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)84
75
Q4 - 11:44TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.T1)84
74
Q4 - 11:44ATLPachulia Layup (10 PTS)84
74
Q4 - 11:44ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)84
72
Q4 - 11:45ATLMISS Pachulia Layup84
72
Q4 - 12:0084
72
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL84
72
Q3 - 0:00.0TORChildress STEAL (2 STL)84
72
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)84
72
Q3 - 0:35.0TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)84
72
Q3 - 0:35.0TORRaptors Rebound83
72
Q3 - 0:35.0TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 283
72
Q3 - 0:35.0TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Bosh83
72
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P3.PN)83
72
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLChildress Driving Layup (8 PTS)83
72
Q3 - 1:11ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
70
Q3 - 1:13TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
70
Q3 - 1:20TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
70
Q3 - 1:21ATLMISS Claxton Layup83
70
Q3 - 1:37TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)83
70
Q3 - 1:37TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)82
70
Q3 - 1:37ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)81
70
Q3 - 1:37ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P2.PN)81
70
Q3 - 1:47TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
70
Q3 - 1:49ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot81
70
Q3 - 2:09TORPeterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)81
70
Q3 - 2:28ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)78
70
Q3 - 2:34ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
67
Q3 - 2:35TORMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot78
67
Q3 - 2:51TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
67
Q3 - 2:52ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot78
67
Q3 - 3:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
67
Q3 - 3:14TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 278
67
Q3 - 3:14TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
67
Q3 - 3:14ATLChildress S.FOUL (P1.PN)77
67
Q3 - 3:24TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
67
Q3 - 3:25ATLMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot77
67
Q3 - 3:34ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
67
Q3 - 3:36TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot77
67
Q3 - 3:51ATLJohnson Driving Layup (20 PTS)77
67
Q3 - 4:09TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)77
65
Q3 - 4:09TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
65
Q3 - 4:09TORSUB: Ford FOR Calderon75
65
Q3 - 4:09ATLClaxton P.FOUL (P2.PN)75
65
Q3 - 4:29ATLJohnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)75
65
Q3 - 4:45TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)75
63
Q3 - 4:45TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
63
Q3 - 4:45TORSUB: Peterson FOR Graham73
63
Q3 - 4:45ATLClaxton S.FOUL (P1.PN)73
63
Q3 - 5:04ATLJohnson Layup (16 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)73
63
Q3 - 5:07ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
61
Q3 - 5:08TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
61
Q3 - 5:15TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
61
Q3 - 5:17ATLMISS Claxton 7' Jump Shot73
61
Q3 - 5:29ATLSUB: Claxton FOR Smith73
61
Q3 - 5:29TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Nesterovic73
61
Q3 - 5:29TORParker P.FOUL (P2.T3)73
61
Q3 - 5:33TORWilliams STEAL (1 STL)73
61
Q3 - 5:42TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
61
Q3 - 5:44TORMISS Graham 6' Hook Shot73
61
Q3 - 5:55ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)73
61
Q3 - 6:15TORBosh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)73
61
Q3 - 6:25ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)73
61
Q3 - 6:25TORGraham S.FOUL (P3.T2)73
60
Q3 - 6:25ATLPachulia Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)73
60
Q3 - 6:45TORParker 17' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)73
58
Q3 - 7:04TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
58
Q3 - 7:06ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot71
58
Q3 - 7:23ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
58
Q3 - 7:24TORMISS Nesterovic 10' Hook Shot71
58
Q3 - 7:36ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Wright71
58
Q3 - 7:36ATLWright P.FOUL (P4.T4)71
58
Q3 - 7:49TORSUB: Graham FOR Garbajosa71
58
Q3 - 7:4971
58
Q3 - 7:49ATLWright P.FOUL (P3.T3)71
58
Q3 - 7:49ATLSmith 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)71
58
Q3 - 7:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
56
Q3 - 7:55TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot71
56
Q3 - 8:08ATLJohnson Layup (14 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)71
56
Q3 - 8:12ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
54
Q3 - 8:13TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot71
54
Q3 - 8:19ATLWright P.FOUL (P2.T2)71
54
Q3 - 8:39ATLSmith Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)71
54
Q3 - 8:53ATLSUB: Childress FOR Lue71
52
Q3 - 8:53ATLHAWKS Rebound71
52
Q3 - 8:55ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot71
52
Q3 - 9:21TORParker 7' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)71
52
Q3 - 9:48ATLJohnson Driving Layup (12 PTS)69
52
Q3 - 10:00TORCalderon P.FOUL (P2.T1)69
50
Q3 - 10:00ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
50
Q3 - 10:01ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
50
Q3 - 10:23TORNesterovic Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)69
50
Q3 - 10:39ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
50
Q3 - 10:45ATLHAWKS Rebound67
48
Q3 - 10:45ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
48
Q3 - 10:59TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
48
Q3 - 10:59TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
48
Q3 - 10:59ATLSmith S.FOUL (P3.T1)65
48
Q3 - 11:17ATLJohnson 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
48
Q3 - 11:40TORCalderon 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)65
46
Q3 - 12:0063
46
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL63
46
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound63
46
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Claxton 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
46
Q2 - 0:22.0TORGarbajosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)63
46
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLSUB: Richardson FOR Smith62
46
Q2 - 0:22.0TORRaptors Rebound62
46
Q2 - 0:22.0TORMISS Garbajosa Free Throw 1 of 262
46
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Williams62
46
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLWilliams L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)62
46
Q2 - 0:22.0TORRaptors Rebound62
46
Q2 - 0:22.0TORMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot62
46
Q2 - 0:37.0TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)62
46
Q2 - 0:39.0TORMISS Garbajosa 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
46
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLChildress Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)62
46
Q2 - 1:11TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
44
Q2 - 1:11TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)61
44
Q2 - 1:11ATLSmith S.FOUL (P2.PN)60
44
Q2 - 1:26ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)60
44
Q2 - 1:44TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)60
42
Q2 - 1:44TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Peterson59
42
Q2 - 1:44TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
42
Q2 - 1:44ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P1.T4)58
42
Q2 - 1:58ATLWilliams Dunk (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)58
42
Q2 - 2:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
40
Q2 - 2:19TORMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 258
40
Q2 - 2:19TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)58
40
Q2 - 2:19ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Lue57
40
Q2 - 2:19ATLSUB: Claxton FOR Wright57
40
Q2 - 2:19TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)57
40
Q2 - 2:19ATLWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T3)57
40
Q2 - 2:19TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
40
Q2 - 2:21TORMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
40
Q2 - 2:35ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Childress 3 AST)57
40
Q2 - 2:58TORCalderon Layup (8 PTS)57
38
Q2 - 3:12ATLWright L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)55
38
Q2 - 3:12TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
38
Q2 - 3:12ATLMISS Lue 28' 3PT Jump Shot55
38
Q2 - 3:19ATLWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
38
Q2 - 3:21ATLMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
38
Q2 - 3:44TORPeterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
38
Q2 - 4:03TORSUB: Peterson FOR Graham52
38
Q2 - 4:03ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
38
Q2 - 4:03ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
37
Q2 - 4:03TORGraham S.FOUL (P2.PN)52
36
Q2 - 4:05ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
36
Q2 - 4:06TORMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot52
36
Q2 - 4:07TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
36
Q2 - 4:08TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
36
Q2 - 4:32ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)52
36
Q2 - 4:32TORSUB: Parker FOR Peterson52
35
Q2 - 4:32TORPeterson S.FOUL (P1.T4)52
35
Q2 - 4:32ATLWilliams Driving Layup (6 PTS)52
35
Q2 - 4:48TORPeterson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Garbajosa 2 AST)52
33
Q2 - 4:58TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
33
Q2 - 5:00ATLMISS Lue 3PT Jump Shot49
33
Q2 - 5:14TORChildress STEAL (1 STL)49
33
Q2 - 5:31TORSUB: Garbajosa FOR Nesterovic49
33
Q2 - 5:3149
33
Q2 - 5:31ATLSmith Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)49
33
Q2 - 5:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
33
Q2 - 5:35ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot49
33
Q2 - 5:44ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
33
Q2 - 5:45TORMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot49
33
Q2 - 6:01ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
33
Q2 - 6:01ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
32
Q2 - 6:01TORSUB: Bosh FOR Bargnani49
31
Q2 - 6:01TORBargnani S.FOUL (P2.T3)49
31
Q2 - 6:04TORWright STEAL (1 STL)49
31
Q2 - 6:15TORRaptors Rebound49
31
Q2 - 6:17ATLMISS Childress Layup49
31
Q2 - 6:30TORNesterovic Foul Turnover (P1.T4)49
31
Q2 - 6:30TORNesterovic OFF.Foul (P1)49
31
Q2 - 6:36TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
31
Q2 - 6:37ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot49
31
Q2 - 6:51TORBargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)49
31
Q2 - 6:58ATLWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)46
31
Q2 - 7:09ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
31
Q2 - 7:09TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford46
30
Q2 - 7:09ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
30
Q2 - 7:09TORFord S.FOUL (P2.T2)46
29
Q2 - 7:24TORFord 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)46
29
Q2 - 7:48ATLHAWKS Violation: Delay of game Violation44
29
Q2 - 7:48ATLSUB: Childress FOR Johnson44
29
Q2 - 7:48ATLSUB: Wright FOR Pachulia44
29
Q2 - 7:48ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T7)44
29
Q2 - 7:48ATLJohnson OFF.Foul (P3)44
29
Q2 - 7:58TORPeterson Dunk (4 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)44
29
Q2 - 8:02ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)42
29
Q2 - 8:17ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Claxton42
29
Q2 - 8:17ATLSUB: Lue FOR Childress42
29
Q2 - 8:17ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)42
29
Q2 - 8:24TORNesterovic Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)42
29
Q2 - 8:36TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
29
Q2 - 8:37ATLMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot40
29
Q2 - 8:56TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)40
29
Q2 - 9:06TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
29
Q2 - 9:07TORMISS Peterson 8' Jump Shot37
29
Q2 - 9:24ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
29
Q2 - 9:24ATLPachulia Tip Shot (5 PTS)37
29
Q2 - 9:26ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot37
27
Q2 - 9:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
27
Q2 - 9:34TORMISS Ford 20' Jump Shot37
27
Q2 - 9:49ATLSmith 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
27
Q2 - 10:02ATLSUB: Smith FOR Shel. Williams37
25
Q2 - 10:02TORFord P.FOUL (P1.T1)37
25
Q2 - 10:16TORPeterson 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)37
25
Q2 - 10:39ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
25
Q2 - 10:55TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)35
23
Q2 - 11:10ATLClaxton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)33
23
Q2 - 11:32TORNesterovic Dunk (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)33
21
Q2 - 11:45ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)31
21
Q2 - 11:52TORRaptors Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#3)31
21
Q2 - 12:0031
21
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL31
21
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound31
21
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Claxton 38' 3PT Jump Shot31
21
Q1 - 0:03.0TORGraham Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)31
21
Q1 - 0:23.0TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
21
Q1 - 0:24.0TORMISS Ford 19' Jump Shot29
21
Q1 - 0:31.0TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
21
Q1 - 0:32.0ATLMISS Pachulia Hook Shot29
21
Q1 - 0:44.0TORBargnani Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)29
21
Q1 - 0:53.0TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
21
Q1 - 0:55.0TORMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot29
21
Q1 - 1:02TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
21
Q1 - 1:04ATLMISS Claxton 20' Jump Shot29
21
Q1 - 1:20TORGraham Foul Turnover (P1.T1)29
21
Q1 - 1:20TORGraham OFF.Foul (P1)29
21
Q1 - 1:37ATLWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
21
Q1 - 1:45TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Bosh29
19
Q1 - 1:57TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)29
19
Q1 - 1:57TORSUB: Peterson FOR Parker28
19
Q1 - 1:57TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)28
19
Q1 - 1:57ATLSUB: Williams FOR Johnson27
19
Q1 - 1:57TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)27
19
Q1 - 1:57ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P2.PN)27
19
Q1 - 2:05TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
19
Q1 - 2:07ATLMISS Johnson Layup27
19
Q1 - 2:26TORParker Dunk (7 PTS)27
19
Q1 - 2:30ATLClaxton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
19
Q1 - 2:38ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
19
Q1 - 2:40TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot25
19
Q1 - 2:59ATLJohnson Driving Layup (6 PTS)25
19
Q1 - 3:13ATLHAWKS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)25
17
Q1 - 3:18TORBosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
17
Q1 - 3:31ATLShel. Williams P.FOUL (P1.T4)23
17
Q1 - 3:38ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
17
Q1 - 3:38TORSUB: Ford FOR Calderon23
16
Q1 - 3:38ATLSUB: Claxton FOR Williams23
16
Q1 - 3:38TORBargnani S.FOUL (P1.T3)23
16
Q1 - 3:38ATLPachulia Layup (2 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)23
16
Q1 - 3:44TORCalderon 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)23
14
Q1 - 4:04TORSUB: Graham FOR Garbajosa20
14
Q1 - 4:04TORRaptors Rebound20
14
Q1 - 4:04ATLMISS Childress Layup20
14
Q1 - 4:09ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
14
Q1 - 4:10TORMISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot20
14
Q1 - 4:24TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
14
Q1 - 4:25ATLMISS Pachulia 9' Hook Shot20
14
Q1 - 4:38ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
14
Q1 - 4:39TORMISS Garbajosa 18' Jump Shot20
14
Q1 - 4:56ATLJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
14
Q1 - 5:10TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Nesterovic20
12
Q1 - 5:10ATLHAWKS Rebound20
12
Q1 - 5:11ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot20
12
Q1 - 5:32TORBosh 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)20
12
Q1 - 5:37TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
12
Q1 - 5:39TORPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)18
12
Q1 - 5:53ATLSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Smith18
12
Q1 - 5:53ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
12
Q1 - 5:53ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
12
Q1 - 6:11TORGarbajosa 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)18
12
Q1 - 6:20ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Wright16
12
Q1 - 6:20ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)16
12
Q1 - 6:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
12
Q1 - 6:26TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot16
12
Q1 - 6:43ATLSmith Layup (8 PTS)16
12
Q1 - 6:45ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
10
Q1 - 6:47ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
10
Q1 - 6:58ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
10
Q1 - 6:59TORMISS Garbajosa Layup16
10
Q1 - 7:02TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
10
Q1 - 7:04TORMISS Garbajosa 19' Jump Shot16
10
Q1 - 7:23ATLSmith Driving Dunk (6 PTS)16
10
Q1 - 7:30TORCalderon P.FOUL (P1.T2)16
8
Q1 - 7:43TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)16
8
Q1 - 7:43ATLSUB: Childress FOR Lue15
8
Q1 - 7:43ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
8
Q1 - 7:43TORCalderon Layup (2 PTS)15
8
Q1 - 7:45ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
8
Q1 - 7:58TORNesterovic 1' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)13
8
Q1 - 8:11TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
8
Q1 - 8:12ATLMISS Lue 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
8
Q1 - 8:34TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)11
8
Q1 - 8:34TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
8
Q1 - 8:34ATLSmith S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
8
Q1 - 8:45ATLLue P.FOUL (P1.T1)9
8
Q1 - 8:54ATLSmith Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)9
8
Q1 - 9:17TORNesterovic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)9
6
Q1 - 9:33ATLLue 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
6
Q1 - 9:52TORParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garbajosa 1 AST)7
4
Q1 - 10:02TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 10:04ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 10:18TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)4
4
Q1 - 10:34ATLSmith Dunk (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:49TORMISS Garbajosa 14' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:50TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 10:52TORSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)2
2
Q1 - 11:05ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:05ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
1
Q1 - 11:05TORParker S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:15ATLHAWKS Rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:17ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:34TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:42TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:44ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Bosh: Tip to Lue0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORATL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.17 58.5%
ATL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
14
18
78%
ATL
21
32
66%
Midrange
TOR
13
34
38%
ATL
12
33
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
ATL
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
TOR
22
27
81%
ATL
16
16
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2467%12.0 / 18
M. Peterson2188%10.5 / 12
J. Calderon1478%7.0 / 9
R. Nesterovic1260%6.0 / 10
A. Parker1250%6.0 / 12
A. Bargnani1169%5.5 / 8
T. Ford425%2.0 / 8
J. Garbajosa321%1.5 / 7
J. Graham250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2874%14.0 / 19
J. Smith2662%13.0 / 21
M. Williams1146%5.5 / 12
J. Childress1161%5.5 / 9
Z. Pachulia1169%5.5 / 8
T. Lue214%1.0 / 7
S. Claxton213%1.0 / 8
L. Wright0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
74
+14
-10
88
ATL
70
+15
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.17 58.5%
ATL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
102.9
TOR 122.6 +11.6
ATL 111.0
Pace
93.3
90.2
TOR 84.4 +2.4
ATL 82.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.2
TOR 17.1 −0.5
ATL 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
47.1%
TOR 55.5% +8.0%
ATL 47.5%
TO %
13.8%
16.7%
TOR 11.5% −0.7%
ATL 12.2%
ORB %
22.3%
29.3%
TOR 29.7% +3.2%
ATL 26.5%
FTrt
30.3
34.6
TOR 37.0 +16.7
ATL 20.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
55.6%
TOR 72.2% +27.8%
ATL 44.4%
STL %
7.6%
8.2%
TOR 7.1% +1.0%
ATL 6.1%
BLK %
6.3%
8.7%
TOR 1.5%
ATL 5.8% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
50.8%
TOR 58.5% +6.2%
ATL 52.3%
Rim FG%
59.5%
55.2%
TOR 77.8% +12.2%
ATL 65.6%
Mid FG%
42.7%
39.3%
TOR 38.2% +1.8%
ATL 36.4%
3P %
36.3%
32.9%
TOR 42.9% +21.5%
ATL 21.4%
FT %
78.8%
76.1%
TOR 81.5%
ATL 100.0% +18.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.1%
38.8%
TOR 24.7%
ATL 40.5% +15.8%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
44.9%
TOR 46.6%
ATL 41.8% −4.8%
3P Att. %
22.4%
16.3%
TOR 28.8% +11.0%
ATL 17.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORATL
Possessions8482
Possession Minutes23.924.0
Points10391
Rebounds3635
Assists2616
Steals65
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)26 (0)
Field Goals36-7336-79
At-the-Rim FG14-1821-32
Midrange FG13-3412-33
2-Point FG27-5233-65
3-Point FG9-213-14
Free Throws22-2716-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 23
37.7
24
67%
10
5
0
0
2
0
3
7
12-14
86%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 31
35.1
12
60%
5
2
1
0
3
5
4
1
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 210 · 32
34.5
12
50%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
30.7
14
78%
2
5
1
0
2
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
18.5
3
21%
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 220 · 29
28.3
21
88%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
5-7
71%
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21
22.9
11
69%
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'0" 165 · 24
17.3
4
25%
0
10
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 230 · 25
15.1
2
50%
4
1
1
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 170 · 36
F · 6'9" 235 · 22
F · 6'10" 238 · 24
#9 · F · 6'10" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'6" 245 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'2" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
59%
36
26
6
1
10
0
11
25
22-27
81%
27-52
52%
9-21
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.