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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 2, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Raptors57%97103
26Hawks43%9591
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.9
37.7
37.6
24
70%
10
5
0
1
0
2
3
7
12-14
86%
6-11
8-15
55%
51%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.7
35.1
22.8
12
60%
5
2
1
0
0
3
4
1
0-0
-
6-10
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.6
34.5
33.2
12
51%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
1-6
17%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
30.7
36.9
14
75%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-6
5-9
67%
53%
1-2
50%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
18.5
24.2
3
22%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
28.3
20.7
21
88%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
49%
5-7
71%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.3
22.9
22.7
11
71%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
2-4
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.9
17.3
21.9
4
25%
0
10
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
15.1
16.5
2
50%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.9
3.7
0
0-1
38%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
2.5
0
0-1
43%
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.7
0.6
0
0-0
50%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.2
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.7
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.6
41.9
32.8
11
44%
5
1
1
1
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
5-12
4-10
42%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.6
34.7
39.1
28
74%
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
10-14
7-14
71%
50%
2-4
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.2
34.3
29.0
26
60%
12
4
0
1
1
3
3
9
6-6
100%
10-17
4-9
59%
48%
0-2
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.8
17.3
21.6
2
14%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
15.6
19.1
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.6
40.1
33.0
11
63%
8
5
2
1
1
1
1
7
4-4
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
54%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.0
32.5
23.5
11
59%
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
0
3-3
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.7
15.2
26.1
2
13%
2
2
0
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
44%
0-2
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
8.2
18.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 22.9
0.4
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.1
9.6
0
1-2
45%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
2.4
0
0-1
49%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.8
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.4
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.