FinalWin Prob.pScore
2920%92
86
580%102
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
95.69093.0
DET logo DET
106.79087.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET86
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILMISS Bogut 22' Jump Shot86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETMaxiell Dunk (12 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILMISS Bogut 11' Jump Shot86
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 286
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 1:13MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 1:13MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)85
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 1:18DETPISTONS Rebound84
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 1:18DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)84
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 1:18DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 284
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 1:23MILBogut Driving Dunk (21 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)84
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 1:28DETMaxiell 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)82
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 1:50MILWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)82
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 2:06DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)82
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 2:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 2:19MILMISS Patterson 6' Hook Shot82
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 2:36DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)82
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q4 - 2:51MILBell Layup (12 PTS)82
11.5%
84
88.5%
Q4 - 2:56DETHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)80
8.9%
84
91.1%
Q4 - 3:10MILPatterson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)80
5.1%
84
94.9%
Q4 - 3:25DETPrince Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)80
8.9%
84
91.1%
Q4 - 3:37MILPatterson 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)80
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q4 - 3:47DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)78
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q4 - 4:06MILPatterson Layup (14 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)78
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q4 - 4:22DETPrince Tip Shot (14 PTS)76
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 4:23DETPrince REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)76
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q4 - 4:25DETMISS Prince 8' Hook Shot76
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 4:34DETWebber REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q4 - 4:35DETMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot76
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 4:54MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q4 - 5:04MILBucks Rebound74
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 5:06DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 5:28MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 5:28MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 273
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 5:41DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 5:41DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q4 - 5:50DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q4 - 5:51MILMISS Boykins 14' Jump Shot73
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q4 - 6:16DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)73
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q4 - 6:38MILBoykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)73
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q4 - 7:00DETMaxiell Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)70
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q4 - 7:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q4 - 7:11MILMISS Patterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q4 - 7:38MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q4 - 7:39DETMISS Maxiell 13' Jump Shot70
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q4 - 7:54MILVillanueva Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)70
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q4 - 8:13DETMaxiell Dunk (7 PTS)70
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q4 - 8:33MILDelfino STEAL (1 STL)70
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q4 - 8:51MILBucks Rebound70
9.4%
75
90.6%
Q4 - 8:52DETMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot70
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q4 - 9:12DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q4 - 9:12MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 270
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q4 - 9:12MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 270
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q4 - 9:25MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)70
9.7%
75
90.3%
Q4 - 9:26DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 270
9.4%
75
90.6%
Q4 - 9:26DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)70
8.1%
75
91.9%
Q4 - 9:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)70
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q4 - 9:26DETMISS Prince Layup70
11.3%
74
88.7%
Q4 - 9:37DETPrince REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)70
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q4 - 9:39DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot70
11.3%
74
88.7%
Q4 - 9:57MILPatterson Layup (12 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)70
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q4 - 10:18DETPrince Tip Shot (11 PTS)68
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q4 - 10:19DETPrince REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)68
10.0%
72
90.0%
Q4 - 10:21DETMISS Prince Layup68
11.7%
72
88.3%
Q4 - 10:22DETPrince REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)68
10.0%
72
90.0%
Q4 - 10:23DETMISS Hunter Layup68
11.7%
72
88.3%
Q4 - 10:36MILBogut Dunk (18 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)68
10.0%
72
90.0%
Q4 - 10:51MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q4 - 10:53DETMISS Mohammed 20' Jump Shot66
7.7%
72
92.3%
Q4 - 11:12MILVillanueva 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)66
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q4 - 11:20MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q4 - 11:23DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot64
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q4 - 11:47MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)64
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL62
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)62
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)62
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 0:07.0DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0MILMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot62
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)62
6.2%
70
93.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 262
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILPatterson Layup (10 PTS) (Bell 5 AST)62
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 1:00DETMaxiell Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)60
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q3 - 1:02DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 1:05MILMohammed BLOCK (2 BLK)60
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 1:29DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q3 - 1:29DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
8.0%
66
92.0%
Q3 - 1:29DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 1:31DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot60
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 1:38DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 1:40DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 2:01MILBoykins Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)60
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 2:12DETPrince Tip Shot (7 PTS)60
11.2%
65
88.8%
Q3 - 2:14DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
13.0%
63
87.0%
Q3 - 2:15DETMISS Prince Layup60
14.6%
63
85.4%
Q3 - 2:30MILBogut 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T13)60
13.0%
63
87.0%
Q3 - 2:43DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 2:43DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
15.7%
62
84.3%
Q3 - 2:43DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q3 - 2:44MILMohammed BLOCK (1 BLK)60
18.7%
61
81.3%
Q3 - 2:49MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
21.0%
61
79.0%
Q3 - 2:51DETMISS Maxiell 19' Jump Shot60
20.0%
61
80.0%
Q3 - 3:05DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
18.0%
61
82.0%
Q3 - 3:08MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot60
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 3:23DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)60
20.9%
61
79.1%
Q3 - 3:23DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)60
21.3%
60
78.7%
Q3 - 3:33DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
23.9%
59
76.1%
Q3 - 3:34MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 260
24.3%
59
75.7%
Q3 - 3:34MILWilliams Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)60
27.5%
59
72.5%
Q3 - 3:34MILWilliams Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)59
24.1%
59
75.9%
Q3 - 3:34MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)58
19.8%
59
80.2%
Q3 - 3:34MILBucks Rebound57
18.1%
59
81.9%
Q3 - 3:35DETMISS Billups Layup57
17.3%
59
82.7%
Q3 - 3:36DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
15.4%
59
84.6%
Q3 - 3:38DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot57
17.3%
59
82.7%
Q3 - 3:54MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
15.4%
59
84.6%
Q3 - 3:54MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
14.9%
59
85.1%
Q3 - 4:12DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)55
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q3 - 4:12DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)55
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q3 - 4:14DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
15.1%
57
84.9%
Q3 - 4:15MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot55
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 4:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)55
17.8%
57
82.2%
Q3 - 4:16MILMISS Bogut Layup55
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 4:37DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
17.9%
57
82.1%
Q3 - 4:37DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)55
18.1%
56
81.9%
Q3 - 4:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
20.2%
55
79.8%
Q3 - 4:54MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot55
21.1%
55
78.9%
Q3 - 5:02MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
23.1%
55
76.9%
Q3 - 5:06DETMISS Wallace 14' Turnaround Jump Shot55
22.2%
55
77.8%
Q3 - 5:19MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 5:19MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
19.2%
55
80.8%
Q3 - 5:41DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)53
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q3 - 5:46DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
22.9%
52
77.1%
Q3 - 5:48MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
23.9%
52
76.1%
Q3 - 6:01MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)53
25.5%
52
74.5%
Q3 - 6:02DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot53
24.5%
52
75.5%
Q3 - 6:11DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
22.4%
52
77.6%
Q3 - 6:13MILMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot53
23.3%
52
76.7%
Q3 - 6:31MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)53
25.6%
52
74.4%
Q3 - 6:33DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
24.6%
52
75.4%
Q3 - 6:48MILBogut Layup (15 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)53
22.5%
52
77.5%
Q3 - 7:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)51
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q3 - 7:02DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
19.0%
52
81.0%
Q3 - 7:21MILPatterson Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)51
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q3 - 7:25DETWebber Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)51
19.8%
52
80.2%
Q3 - 7:40DETPISTONS Rebound51
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q3 - 7:41MILMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
17.9%
52
82.1%
Q3 - 8:11DETWebber 15' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)51
19.6%
52
80.4%
Q3 - 8:16MILBillups STEAL (1 STL)51
21.8%
50
78.2%
Q3 - 8:34MILWilliams Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)51
24.9%
50
75.1%
Q3 - 8:34DETWebber Tip Shot (10 PTS)50
22.2%
50
77.8%
Q3 - 8:34DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q3 - 8:35DETMISS Wallace Layup50
26.8%
48
73.2%
Q3 - 8:44MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)50
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q3 - 8:59MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q3 - 9:01DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
18.2%
48
81.8%
Q3 - 9:20MILPatterson Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)47
16.7%
48
83.3%
Q3 - 9:32MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q3 - 9:35DETMISS Billups 16' Turnaround Jump Shot45
14.3%
48
85.7%
Q3 - 9:53MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)45
13.0%
48
87.0%
Q3 - 9:54MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q3 - 9:55MILWebber BLOCK (2 BLK)45
13.6%
48
86.4%
Q3 - 10:22DETWebber 15' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)45
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q3 - 10:44MILBogut Layup (10 PTS)45
16.3%
46
83.7%
Q3 - 11:09DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Webber 3 AST)43
14.2%
46
85.8%
Q3 - 11:29MILBogut 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS)43
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q3 - 11:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)41
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q3 - 11:47DETMISS Wallace 11' Running Jump Shot41
13.7%
44
86.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET41
12.6%
44
87.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
12.6%
44
87.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot41
13.3%
44
86.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot41
13.3%
44
86.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0DETDelfino Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)41
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
16.3%
42
83.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILMISS Boykins 9' Running Jump Shot41
16.7%
42
83.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0DETDelfino 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
17.6%
42
82.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETMISS Webber 19' Jump Shot41
21.3%
40
78.7%
Q2 - 1:11DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 1:13MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot41
20.7%
40
79.3%
Q2 - 1:28DETPrince Dunk (5 PTS)41
21.5%
40
78.5%
Q2 - 1:48MILWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)41
24.9%
38
75.1%
Q2 - 2:02DETBillups 18' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)38
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q2 - 2:38MILBoykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)38
21.9%
36
78.1%
Q2 - 2:40MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
17.7%
36
82.3%
Q2 - 2:43DETMISS Billups 9' Jump Shot35
17.2%
36
82.8%
Q2 - 2:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q2 - 2:49MILMISS Boykins Layup35
16.6%
36
83.4%
Q2 - 2:57DETBillups Driving Layup (7 PTS)35
17.7%
36
82.3%
Q2 - 3:14MILVillanueva Tip Shot (8 PTS)35
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 3:16MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
17.6%
34
82.4%
Q2 - 3:17MILMISS Bogut Layup33
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 3:38MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
17.6%
34
82.4%
Q2 - 3:41DETMISS Webber 14' Jump Bank Shot33
17.0%
34
83.0%
Q2 - 3:58MILBogut 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)33
15.8%
34
84.2%
Q2 - 4:12DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 4:12DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
14.4%
33
85.6%
Q2 - 4:28MILBucks Rebound31
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 4:28MILGadzuric Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P4.T9)31
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 4:29MILWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)31
16.0%
32
84.0%
Q2 - 4:30MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q2 - 4:31MILMISS Gadzuric Alley Oop Dunk31
16.0%
32
84.0%
Q2 - 4:42DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)31
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 4:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q2 - 4:45MILWebber BLOCK (1 BLK)31
21.3%
29
78.7%
Q2 - 5:08DETWebber 11' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)31
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q2 - 5:31MILPatterson Layup (4 PTS)31
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q2 - 5:33MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q2 - 5:34MILMISS Boykins Layup29
20.9%
27
79.1%
Q2 - 5:38MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q2 - 5:40MILMISS Patterson Layup29
20.9%
27
79.1%
Q2 - 5:59DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)29
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q2 - 6:15MILGadzuric Foul Turnover (P3.T8)29
23.7%
25
76.3%
Q2 - 6:29MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
26.1%
25
73.9%
Q2 - 6:31DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot29
25.4%
25
74.6%
Q2 - 6:45MILBoykins Layup (4 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)29
23.7%
25
76.3%
Q2 - 6:49MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
22.1%
25
77.9%
Q2 - 6:51DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot27
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q2 - 7:05DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
19.8%
25
80.2%
Q2 - 7:08MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot27
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q2 - 7:16MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
21.7%
25
78.3%
Q2 - 7:18DETMISS Hamilton Layup27
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q2 - 7:22DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
19.8%
25
80.2%
Q2 - 7:25MILMISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot27
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q2 - 7:41MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
21.7%
25
78.3%
Q2 - 7:43DETMISS Delfino 19' Jump Shot27
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q2 - 8:05MILGadzuric Foul Turnover (P2.T7)27
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q2 - 8:12MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q2 - 8:14DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot27
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q2 - 8:34MILBoykins 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q2 - 8:40MILBucks Rebound25
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q2 - 8:41MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot25
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q2 - 8:58DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)25
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q2 - 9:08DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q2 - 9:10MILMISS Gadzuric 18' Jump Shot25
19.9%
23
80.1%
Q2 - 9:33DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
21.2%
23
78.8%
Q2 - 9:48MILGadzuric 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)25
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q2 - 10:12DETHamilton Reverse Layup (8 PTS)25
24.7%
21
75.3%
Q2 - 10:30DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
26.3%
19
73.7%
Q2 - 10:33DETMISS Maxiell 6' Hook Shot25
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q2 - 10:52MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)25
26.3%
19
73.7%
Q2 - 11:02DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)22
22.1%
19
77.9%
Q2 - 11:23MILSkinner 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)22
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q2 - 11:44MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
19.0%
19
81.0%
Q2 - 11:46DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot20
18.6%
19
81.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL20
17.6%
19
82.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)20
19.0%
19
81.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Maxiell Dunk20
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 0:13.0MILWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)20
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0MILBucks Rebound17
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0MILMISS Boykins 10' Jump Shot17
14.1%
19
85.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0DETMISS McDyess 10' Turnaround Jump Shot17
14.4%
19
85.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.8%
19
86.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0MILMISS Boykins 21' Jump Shot17
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 1:03MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q1 - 1:04DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 217
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 1:04DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
13.7%
19
86.3%
Q1 - 1:16DETPISTONS Rebound17
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q1 - 1:17MILMISS Bogut 14' Jump Shot17
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 1:33DETWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 1:33DETWebber Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
16.2%
17
83.8%
Q1 - 1:46DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
17.5%
16
82.5%
Q1 - 1:48MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q1 - 1:56DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
18.6%
16
81.4%
Q1 - 2:11MILVillanueva Layup (6 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)17
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 2:31DETWallace 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
16.0%
16
84.0%
Q1 - 2:55MILPatterson Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)15
17.4%
14
82.6%
Q1 - 2:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
16.0%
14
84.0%
Q1 - 3:01DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot13
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 3:13MILBell Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)13
14.6%
14
85.4%
Q1 - 3:26MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
15.9%
14
84.1%
Q1 - 3:29DETMISS Webber 7' Hook Shot13
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 3:44DETWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
14.6%
14
85.4%
Q1 - 3:46DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 4:08MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)13
14.3%
14
85.7%
Q1 - 4:35DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
12.4%
14
87.6%
Q1 - 4:54MILBell Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)10
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 5:01DETWebber Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
12.2%
12
87.8%
Q1 - 5:21DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 5:22MILMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot8
11.6%
12
88.4%
Q1 - 5:45DETWallace 15' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
12.2%
12
87.8%
Q1 - 5:57DETWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
13.1%
10
86.9%
Q1 - 5:59MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot8
13.4%
10
86.6%
Q1 - 6:22DETHamilton Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)8
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 6:35MILVillanueva Tip Shot (4 PTS)8
15.0%
8
85.0%
Q1 - 6:36MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
14.0%
8
86.0%
Q1 - 6:38MILMISS Patterson Layup6
13.3%
8
86.7%
Q1 - 6:40MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
14.0%
8
86.0%
Q1 - 6:41MILMISS Bogut Layup6
13.3%
8
86.7%
Q1 - 7:00DETWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)6
14.0%
8
86.0%
Q1 - 7:11MILWallace STEAL (1 STL)6
14.7%
6
85.3%
Q1 - 7:30DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)6
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 7:53MILBogut Layup (4 PTS)6
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 8:11DETBillups Foul Turnover (P2.T2)4
15.6%
4
84.4%
Q1 - 8:15MILPrince STEAL (2 STL)4
14.5%
4
85.5%
Q1 - 8:30MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
15.6%
4
84.4%
Q1 - 8:32DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.2%
4
84.8%
Q1 - 8:43DETWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.5%
4
85.5%
Q1 - 8:45MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot4
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 9:03DETHamilton Layup (2 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)4
15.5%
4
84.5%
Q1 - 9:21MILBogut Layup (2 PTS)4
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 9:40DETWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 9:40DETWebber Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
15.8%
1
84.2%
Q1 - 9:56MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
16.3%
0
83.7%
Q1 - 10:00MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 10:03DETMISS Webber 16' Jump Bank Shot2
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 10:19MILPrince STEAL (1 STL)2
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 10:28MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.4%
0
82.6%
Q1 - 10:31DETMISS Hamilton 7' Jump Shot2
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 10:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 10:46MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot2
16.6%
0
83.4%
Q1 - 11:10MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.2%
0
82.8%
Q1 - 11:12DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 11:30MILVillanueva 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)2
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 11:44DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
15.2%
0
84.8%
Q1 - 11:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.3%
0
85.7%
Q1 - 11:48MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot0
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Bogut: Tip to Williams0
15.2%
0
84.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.6%
DET
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
20
34
59%
DET
16
24
67%
Midrange
MIL
8
29
28%
DET
15
40
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
DET
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
Free Throws
MIL
12
16
75%
DET
28
33
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bogut2153%10.5 / 20
R. Patterson1662%8.0 / 13
M. Williams1554%7.5 / 14
C. Bell1246%6.0 / 13
C. Villanueva1071%5.0 / 7
E. Boykins1042%5.0 / 12
B. Skinner2100%1.0 / 1
D. Gadzuric0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2063%10.0 / 16
R. Hamilton1860%9.0 / 15
T. Prince1450%7.0 / 14
R. Wallace1447%7.0 / 15
C. Webber1260%6.0 / 10
J. Maxiell1255%6.0 / 11
C. Delfino440%2.0 / 5
A. McDyess225%1.0 / 4
L. Hunter0-0.0 / 1
N. Mohammed0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
72
+13
-18
85
DET
80
+14
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.6%
DET
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.1
108.1
MIL 95.6 +11.1
DET 106.7
Pace
92.3
88.0
MIL 93.0 +5.9
DET 87.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
17.0
MIL 15.5 +1.0
DET 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
48.8%
MIL 48.1% +3.9%
DET 44.2%
TO %
15.7%
13.2%
MIL 17.6%
DET 9.9% +7.7%
ORB %
27.8%
28.3%
MIL 25.0%
DET 31.8% +6.8%
FTrt
28.6
30.7
MIL 20.8
DET 42.9 +22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
60.1%
MIL 55.9%
DET 57.6% +1.7%
STL %
7.7%
8.0%
MIL 6.7% +1.1%
DET 5.6%
BLK %
4.4%
9.2%
MIL 3.1%
DET 7.9% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
52.2%
MIL 50.6%
DET 51.1% +0.5%
Rim FG%
58.1%
58.3%
MIL 58.8%
DET 66.7% +7.9%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.7%
MIL 27.6%
DET 37.5% +9.9%
3P %
35.6%
34.4%
MIL 42.9% +27.5%
DET 15.4%
FT %
73.3%
77.4%
MIL 75.0%
DET 84.8% +9.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.1%
31.1%
MIL 44.2% +13.0%
DET 31.2%
Mid Att. %
37.0%
48.8%
MIL 37.7% +14.3%
DET 51.9%
3P Att. %
21.9%
20.1%
MIL 18.2% +1.3%
DET 16.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points8696
Rebounds4044
Assists1919
Steals65
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)14 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)30 (3)
Field Goals34-7733-77
At-the-Rim FG20-3416-24
Midrange FG8-2915-40
2-Point FG28-6331-64
3-Point FG6-142-13
Free Throws12-1628-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 198 · 24
42.7
15
54%
5
7
2
0
2
4
0
5
5-5
100%
2-8
25%
2-5
40%
C · 7'0" 260 · 22
40.7
21
53%
13
3
0
1
3
4
2
11
3-5
60%
9-18
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
40.3
12
46%
3
5
2
0
2
3
2
1
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
2-5
40%
F · 6'5" 223 · 32
37.5
16
62%
6
1
2
1
4
1
2
4
2-4
50%
7-10
70%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 232 · 22
22.6
10
71%
6
1
0
0
2
4
2
4
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
G · 5'5" 133 · 31
30.4
10
42%
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-10
20%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31
19.5
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
6
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 29
6.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
4
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
G · 6'7" 220 · 23
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'6" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#52 · F · 6'10" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
51%
40
19
6
2
18
0
10
30
12-16
75%
28-63
44%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.