for complete access.
All Games Saturday, February 3, 2007
Final Win Prob. pScore
10
Heat
60%99
117
27
Bucks
40%96
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
121.99689.6
MIL logo Bucks
100.098105.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL117
98
Q4 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound117
98
Q4 - 0:00.0MILMISS Greer 41' 3PT Jump Shot117
98
Q4 - 0:01.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)117
98
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Quinn 28' 3PT Jump Shot117
98
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)117
98
Q4 - 0:25.0MILMISS Ilyasova 12' Jump Shot117
98
Q4 - 0:32.0MILNoel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)117
98
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot117
98
Q4 - 0:51.0MILGreer 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)117
98
Q4 - 1:02MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T20)117
96
Q4 - 1:18MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)117
96
Q4 - 1:21MILMISS Bogut Layup117
96
Q4 - 1:31MIAJones Layup (2 PTS)117
96
Q4 - 1:51MIASUB: Wright FOR Kapono115
96
Q4 - 1:52MIAHeat Rebound115
96
Q4 - 1:54MILMISS Noel 18' Jump Shot115
96
Q4 - 2:04MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)115
96
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Doleac 5' Jump Shot115
96
Q4 - 2:23MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)115
96
Q4 - 2:35MIASUB: Doleac FOR Wade115
96
Q4 - 2:35MIASUB: Jones FOR O'Neal115
96
Q4 - 2:35MIASUB: Quinn FOR Haslem115
96
Q4 - 2:38MILSUB: Hodge FOR Williams115
96
Q4 - 2:38MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Boykins115
96
Q4 - 2:38MILSUB: Greer FOR Bell115
96
Q4 - 2:38MILSUB: Noel FOR Skinner115
96
Q4 - 2:38115
96
Q4 - 2:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)115
96
Q4 - 2:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)115
96
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Hook Shot115
96
Q4 - 3:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)115
96
Q4 - 3:13MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot115
96
Q4 - 3:32MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)115
96
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)113
96
Q4 - 3:38MIABogut BLOCK (2 BLK)113
96
Q4 - 3:54MILBoykins Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T17)113
96
Q4 - 4:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)113
96
Q4 - 4:00MIAHeat Rebound112
96
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2112
96
Q4 - 4:00MILSkinner S.FOUL (P3.PN)112
96
Q4 - 4:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)112
96
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot112
96
Q4 - 4:10MIAHeat Rebound112
96
Q4 - 4:10MIABogut BLOCK (1 BLK)112
96
Q4 - 4:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)112
96
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot112
96
Q4 - 4:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)112
96
Q4 - 4:32MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot112
96
Q4 - 4:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)112
96
Q4 - 4:52MILSUB: Skinner FOR Villanueva111
96
Q4 - 4:52MILSUB: Bell FOR Patterson111
96
Q4 - 4:52MILBogut S.FOUL (P5.PN)111
96
Q4 - 4:52MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)111
96
Q4 - 4:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)109
96
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Haslem Layup109
96
Q4 - 4:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)109
96
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Wade Layup109
96
Q4 - 5:09MIAO'Neal Violation:Defensive Goaltending109
96
Q4 - 5:09MILPatterson 4' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)109
96
Q4 - 5:10MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)109
94
Q4 - 5:12MILMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
94
Q4 - 5:14MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)109
94
Q4 - 5:16MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot109
94
Q4 - 5:35MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (32 PTS)109
94
Q4 - 5:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)107
94
Q4 - 5:49MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
94
Q4 - 5:58MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)107
94
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2107
94
Q4 - 6:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)107
94
Q4 - 6:00MILPatterson S.FOUL (P4.T4)106
94
Q4 - 6:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)106
94
Q4 - 6:11MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
94
Q4 - 6:19MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)106
94
Q4 - 6:19MILBUCKS Rebound106
94
Q4 - 6:19MILMISS Boykins 3PT Jump Shot106
94
Q4 - 6:32MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T18)106
94
Q4 - 6:50MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (38 PTS)106
94
Q4 - 6:50MIAKapono S.FOUL (P4.T2)106
93
Q4 - 6:50MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (37 PTS)106
93
Q4 - 7:07MIAKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)106
91
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (29 PTS)103
91
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (28 PTS)102
91
Q4 - 7:20MILWilliams C.P.FOUL (P4.T3)101
91
Q4 - 7:21MILPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)101
91
Q4 - 7:35MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)101
91
Q4 - 7:36MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)101
91
Q4 - 7:39MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P9.T15)99
91
Q4 - 7:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
91
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 199
91
Q4 - 7:54MILVillanueva S.FOUL (P3.T2)99
91
Q4 - 7:54MIAO'Neal Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)99
91
Q4 - 8:09MILVillanueva Dunk (16 PTS) (Patterson 4 AST)97
91
Q4 - 8:23MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)97
89
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot97
89
Q4 - 8:40MILVillanueva Layup (14 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)97
89
Q4 - 8:56MIAKapono Layup (25 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)97
87
Q4 - 9:05MIASUB: Posey FOR Quinn95
87
Q4 - 9:05MILVillanueva L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)95
87
Q4 - 9:05MIAHeat Rebound95
87
Q4 - 9:05MILMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot95
87
Q4 - 9:21MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)95
87
Q4 - 9:36MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (35 PTS)92
87
Q4 - 9:41MIAWilliams STEAL (3 STL)92
85
Q4 - 10:00MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
85
Q4 - 10:00MILVillanueva Dunk (12 PTS)92
85
Q4 - 10:01MILMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
83
Q4 - 10:21MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)92
83
Q4 - 10:28MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
83
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Quinn 13' Jump Shot90
83
Q4 - 10:38MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Walker90
83
Q4 - 10:38MIASUB: Haslem FOR Mourning90
83
Q4 - 10:38MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)90
83
Q4 - 10:44MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)90
83
Q4 - 10:44MIAWalker S.FOUL (P2.T1)90
82
Q4 - 10:44MILWilliams Layup (32 PTS)90
82
Q4 - 10:47MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)90
80
Q4 - 10:57MILPatterson Foul Turnover (P1.T14)90
80
Q4 - 10:57MILPatterson OFF.Foul (P3)90
80
Q4 - 11:00MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
80
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot90
80
Q4 - 11:23MILVillanueva Dunk (10 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)90
80
Q4 - 11:29MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)90
78
Q4 - 11:31MILMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
78
Q4 - 11:51MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T15)90
78
Q4 - 11:51MIAWalker OFF.Foul (P1)90
78
Q4 - 12:0090
78
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA90
78
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL90
78
Q3 - 0:02.0MILWilliams 10' Jump Shot (30 PTS)90
78
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)90
76
Q3 - 0:38.0MILWilliams Layup (28 PTS)90
76
Q3 - 1:03MIAMourning Layup (9 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)90
74
Q3 - 1:15MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
74
Q3 - 1:17MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot88
74
Q3 - 1:32MIAKapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)88
74
Q3 - 1:49MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)85
74
Q3 - 1:49MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)85
73
Q3 - 1:49MIAKapono S.FOUL (P3.T4)85
72
Q3 - 1:53MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
72
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot85
72
Q3 - 2:14MILBoykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)85
72
Q3 - 2:25MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem85
69
Q3 - 2:25MILSUB: Bogut FOR Gadzuric85
69
Q3 - 2:25MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)85
69
Q3 - 2:27MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)85
69
Q3 - 2:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
69
Q3 - 2:35MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
69
Q3 - 2:56MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)82
69
Q3 - 3:02MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P8.T13)79
69
Q3 - 3:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)79
69
Q3 - 3:20MILBell S.FOUL (P2.PN)78
69
Q3 - 3:20MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)78
69
Q3 - 3:33MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
69
Q3 - 3:33MILSUB: Boykins FOR Patterson76
68
Q3 - 3:33MILSUB: Gadzuric FOR Skinner76
68
Q3 - 3:33MIASUB: Quinn FOR Posey76
68
Q3 - 3:33MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal76
68
Q3 - 3:33MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
68
Q3 - 3:33MIAPosey S.FOUL (P3.T3)76
67
Q3 - 3:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
67
Q3 - 3:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
67
Q3 - 3:46MILPatterson S.FOUL (P2.T4)74
67
Q3 - 3:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
67
Q3 - 3:58MILMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot74
67
Q3 - 4:19MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)74
67
Q3 - 4:20MIAWade Dunk (20 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)74
67
Q3 - 4:24MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T12)72
67
Q3 - 4:33MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)72
67
Q3 - 4:50MILPatterson 2' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS)70
67
Q3 - 5:06MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)70
65
Q3 - 5:22MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
65
Q3 - 5:22MILWilliams Tip Shot (24 PTS)68
65
Q3 - 5:23MILMISS Williams Layup68
63
Q3 - 5:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)68
63
Q3 - 5:36MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Bogut67
63
Q3 - 5:36MILBogut S.FOUL (P4.T3)67
63
Q3 - 5:36MIAWade Layup (17 PTS)67
63
Q3 - 5:45MILWilliams Foul Turnover (P6.T11)65
63
Q3 - 5:45MILWilliams OFF.Foul (P3)65
63
Q3 - 5:56MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
63
Q3 - 5:57MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 265
63
Q3 - 5:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
63
Q3 - 5:57MILSkinner S.FOUL (P2.T2)64
63
Q3 - 6:21MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS)64
63
Q3 - 6:36MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)64
61
Q3 - 6:48MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
61
Q3 - 6:49MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 262
61
Q3 - 6:49MILBUCKS Rebound62
61
Q3 - 6:49MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 262
61
Q3 - 6:49MIAPosey S.FOUL (P2.T2)62
61
Q3 - 6:51MIAPatterson STEAL (3 STL)62
61
Q3 - 7:13MILSkinner 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS)62
61
Q3 - 7:28MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)62
59
Q3 - 7:36MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)62
59
Q3 - 7:48MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
59
Q3 - 7:50MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 7:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
59
Q3 - 8:01MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 8:10MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)60
59
Q3 - 8:19MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
59
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 8:37MILBogut Layup (4 PTS) (Patterson 3 AST)60
59
Q3 - 8:58MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)60
57
Q3 - 9:12MILBell Foul Turnover (P1.T9)58
57
Q3 - 9:12MILBell OFF.Foul (P1)58
57
Q3 - 9:20MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)58
57
Q3 - 9:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
57
Q3 - 9:31MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
57
Q3 - 9:36MIAPosey P.FOUL (P1.T1)55
57
Q3 - 9:41MIASkinner STEAL (1 STL)55
57
Q3 - 9:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
57
Q3 - 10:01MILMISS Patterson 3' Hook Shot55
57
Q3 - 10:25MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)55
57
Q3 - 10:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
57
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Kapono 15' Jump Shot53
57
Q3 - 10:52MILBell 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)53
57
Q3 - 10:58MIAWade Layup (15 PTS)53
55
Q3 - 11:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
55
Q3 - 11:09MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot51
55
Q3 - 11:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
55
Q3 - 11:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
55
Q3 - 11:21MILBogut S.FOUL (P3.T1)49
55
Q3 - 11:35MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)49
55
Q3 - 12:0049
53
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL49
53
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound49
53
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot49
53
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAWalker Slam Dunk (9 PTS)49
53
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
53
Q2 - 0:34.0MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 247
53
Q2 - 0:34.0MILBUCKS Rebound47
53
Q2 - 0:34.0MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 247
53
Q2 - 0:34.0MILBoykins Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)47
53
Q2 - 0:34.0MILBoykins Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)47
52
Q2 - 0:34.0MIASUB: Posey FOR Payton47
51
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAPayton Ejection:Second Technical47
51
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAPayton T.FOUL (P2.PN)47
51
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAPayton T.FOUL (P2.PN)47
51
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAPayton P.FOUL (P2.PN)47
51
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAPayton Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)47
51
Q2 - 0:57.0MILBell Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)45
51
Q2 - 0:57.0MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Bogut45
50
Q2 - 0:57.0MILSUB: Patterson FOR Williams45
50
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAPayton S.FOUL (P1.PN)45
50
Q2 - 0:57.0MILBell Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)45
50
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)45
48
Q2 - 1:21MILWilliams 11' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)45
48
Q2 - 1:33MILBUCKS Rebound45
46
Q2 - 1:33MILMISS Boykins Free Throw Technical45
46
Q2 - 1:33MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Kapono )45
46
Q2 - 1:44MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)45
46
Q2 - 1:46MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)45
46
Q2 - 1:59MIAWade Layup (13 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)45
46
Q2 - 2:08MILBoykins Foul Turnover (P2.T7)43
46
Q2 - 2:08MILBoykins OFF.Foul (P1)43
46
Q2 - 2:12MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
46
Q2 - 2:14MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot43
46
Q2 - 2:32MIAWalker Layup (7 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)43
46
Q2 - 2:44MILSkinner Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)41
46
Q2 - 2:4441
45
Q2 - 2:44MIAKapono S.FOUL (P2.T4)41
45
Q2 - 2:44MILSkinner Layup (2 PTS)41
45
Q2 - 2:44MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
43
Q2 - 2:45MILMISS Bogut Layup41
43
Q2 - 3:05MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T9)41
43
Q2 - 3:05MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P2)41
43
Q2 - 3:09MIAHeat Rebound41
43
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot41
43
Q2 - 3:21MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
43
Q2 - 3:21MIASUB: Haslem FOR Mourning41
42
Q2 - 3:21MILBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)41
42
Q2 - 3:21MIAMourning S.FOUL (P3.T3)41
41
Q2 - 3:40MIAMourning Layup (7 PTS)41
41
Q2 - 3:49MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
41
Q2 - 3:51MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot39
41
Q2 - 4:08MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)39
41
Q2 - 4:16MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
39
Q2 - 4:19MIASkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)39
39
Q2 - 4:33MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)39
39
Q2 - 4:33MIASUB: Wade FOR Posey39
38
Q2 - 4:33MILBUCKS Rebound39
38
Q2 - 4:33MILMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 239
38
Q2 - 4:33MIAKapono S.FOUL (P1.T2)39
38
Q2 - 4:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
38
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
38
Q2 - 4:57MILWilliams 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)39
38
Q2 - 5:01MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
36
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
36
Q2 - 5:23MILBoykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)39
36
Q2 - 5:36MILSUB: Skinner FOR Villanueva39
33
Q2 - 5:36MILSUB: Bogut FOR Gadzuric39
33
Q2 - 5:36MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)39
33
Q2 - 5:40MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)39
33
Q2 - 5:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
33
Q2 - 6:00MILMISS Boykins 3PT Jump Shot36
33
Q2 - 6:17MIAWalker 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
33
Q2 - 6:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
33
Q2 - 6:24MILMISS Williams Layup34
33
Q2 - 6:48MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)34
33
Q2 - 7:03MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)32
33
Q2 - 7:09MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
31
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot32
31
Q2 - 7:29MILGadzuric Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)32
31
Q2 - 7:38MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
29
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
29
Q2 - 7:53MILSUB: Bell FOR Patterson32
29
Q2 - 7:53MIASUB: Payton FOR Wade32
29
Q2 - 7:53MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)32
29
Q2 - 8:00MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
29
Q2 - 8:00MILVillanueva Dunk (6 PTS)32
29
Q2 - 8:03MILMISS Williams Layup32
27
Q2 - 8:08MIABoykins STEAL (1 STL)32
27
Q2 - 8:28MILPatterson Dunk (7 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)32
27
Q2 - 8:34MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)32
25
Q2 - 9:01MILWilliams Layup (9 PTS)29
25
Q2 - 9:08MIAWade Dunk (11 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)29
23
Q2 - 9:11MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
23
Q2 - 9:13MILMISS Patterson Layup27
23
Q2 - 9:16MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)27
23
Q2 - 9:17MILMISS Patterson Layup27
23
Q2 - 9:19MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)27
23
Q2 - 9:21MILMISS Gadzuric 5' Jump Shot27
23
Q2 - 9:27MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
23
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
23
Q2 - 9:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
23
Q2 - 9:53MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 227
23
Q2 - 9:53MILSUB: Gadzuric FOR Skinner27
23
Q2 - 9:53MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
23
Q2 - 9:53MILSUB: Williams FOR Bell27
22
Q2 - 9:53MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal27
22
Q2 - 9:53MIASUB: Kapono FOR Jones27
22
Q2 - 9:53MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.T1)27
22
Q2 - 10:01MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)27
22
Q2 - 10:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
22
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Wade 4' Hook Shot25
22
Q2 - 10:15MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
22
Q2 - 10:18MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
22
Q2 - 10:35MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T7)25
22
Q2 - 10:52MILBoykins Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)25
22
Q2 - 10:58MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)25
22
Q2 - 11:02MIAHeat Rebound25
22
Q2 - 11:14MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot25
22
Q2 - 11:17MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
22
Q2 - 11:20MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot25
22
Q2 - 11:38MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)25
22
Q2 - 11:44MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
22
Q2 - 11:45MILMISS Patterson Layup22
22
Q2 - 12:0022
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
22
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)22
22
Q1 - 0:26.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
22
Q1 - 0:26.0MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning22
21
Q1 - 0:26.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
21
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.T4)22
20
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMourning Dunk (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)22
20
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
20
Q1 - 0:40.0MILMISS Boykins 3' Hook Shot20
20
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAPatterson STEAL (2 STL)20
20
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
20
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
20
Q1 - 1:08MILBell 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)20
20
Q1 - 1:22MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
18
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 220
18
Q1 - 1:23MILSUB: Gadzuric FOR Bogut20
18
Q1 - 1:23MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
18
Q1 - 1:23MIASUB: Jones FOR Payton19
18
Q1 - 1:23MILBogut P.FOUL (P2.PN)19
18
Q1 - 1:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
18
Q1 - 1:40MILMISS Patterson Reverse Layup19
18
Q1 - 1:57MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
18
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot19
18
Q1 - 2:16MILSUB: Bell FOR Williams19
18
Q1 - 2:16MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem19
18
Q1 - 2:16MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
18
Q1 - 2:27MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
18
Q1 - 2:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
16
Q1 - 2:34MIAMISS Mourning Layup19
16
Q1 - 2:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
16
Q1 - 2:43MILMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
16
Q1 - 2:49MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
16
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Mourning Layup19
16
Q1 - 3:09MIAHeat Rebound19
16
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical19
16
Q1 - 3:09MILWilliams T.FOUL (P2.PN)19
16
Q1 - 3:09MILWilliams Foul Turnover (P4.T5)19
16
Q1 - 3:09MILWilliams OFF.Foul (P2)19
16
Q1 - 3:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
16
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Wade Alley Oop Layup19
16
Q1 - 3:33MILWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)19
16
Q1 - 3:50MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
13
Q1 - 3:50MILSUB: Boykins FOR Bell18
13
Q1 - 3:50MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
13
Q1 - 3:50MIASUB: Posey FOR Kapono17
13
Q1 - 3:50MILVillanueva S.FOUL (P1.PN)17
13
Q1 - 4:08MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)17
13
Q1 - 4:30MIAWade Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)17
10
Q1 - 4:43MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
10
Q1 - 4:43MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
9
Q1 - 4:43MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
8
Q1 - 4:43MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
8
Q1 - 4:45MILMISS Villanueva 6' Jump Shot15
8
Q1 - 5:00MIAWade Dunk (7 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)15
8
Q1 - 5:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
8
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot13
8
Q1 - 5:16MIAHeat Rebound13
8
Q1 - 5:17MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
8
Q1 - 5:36MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Skinner13
8
Q1 - 5:36MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
8
Q1 - 5:41MIAKapono 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)13
8
Q1 - 5:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
8
Q1 - 5:49MILMISS Patterson Reverse Layup11
8
Q1 - 5:51MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
8
Q1 - 5:54MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
8
Q1 - 6:08MIAPayton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
8
Q1 - 6:22MILWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T4)9
8
Q1 - 6:22MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)9
8
Q1 - 6:47MIAKapono 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)9
8
Q1 - 7:07MILPatterson Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
8
Q1 - 7:09MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
6
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot7
6
Q1 - 7:24MILWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)7
6
Q1 - 7:28MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
6
Q1 - 7:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
6
Q1 - 7:29MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot7
6
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Mourning Layup7
6
Q1 - 7:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
6
Q1 - 7:41MILMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
6
Q1 - 7:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)7
6
Q1 - 7:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 7:48MILSkinner S.FOUL (P1.T3)5
6
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
6
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 25
6
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
6
Q1 - 7:49MILPatterson S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
6
Q1 - 8:09MILBogut Layup (2 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 8:17MIAPatterson STEAL (1 STL)4
4
Q1 - 8:22MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
4
Q1 - 8:31MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 8:43MILBogut P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 8:47MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 8:50MILMISS Patterson Layup4
4
Q1 - 8:58MIAPayton Violation:Kicked Ball4
4
Q1 - 9:07MILBUCKS Rebound4
4
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:17MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 9:19MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:24MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:41MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 9:51MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
2
Q1 - 9:51MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P1)4
2
Q1 - 10:04MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
2
Q1 - 10:04MILPatterson Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:07MILMISS Skinner Layup4
0
Q1 - 10:16MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal4
0
Q1 - 10:16MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P2.T2)4
0
Q1 - 10:29MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 10:29MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P1)4
0
Q1 - 10:43MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 10:51MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 11:04MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
0
Q1 - 11:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:25MILMISS Patterson 5' Hook Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:40MIAO'Neal 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. O'Neal: Tip to Wade0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.23 61.6%
MIL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
25
40
63%
MIL
20
37
54%
Midrange
MIA
11
26
42%
MIL
14
28
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
MIL
4
6.0
20
20%
30%
Free Throws
MIA
18
25
72%
MIL
18
25
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3276%16.0 / 21
J. Kapono2878%14.0 / 18
S. O'Neal2071%10.0 / 14
A. Mourning950%4.5 / 9
A. Walker956%4.5 / 8
U. Haslem739%3.5 / 9
G. Payton450%2.0 / 4
J. Posey375%1.5 / 2
C. Quinn350%1.5 / 3
E. Jones250%1.0 / 2
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 1
D. Wright0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams3858%19.0 / 33
C. Villanueva1667%8.0 / 12
R. Patterson1134%5.5 / 16
C. Bell1056%5.0 / 9
E. Boykins1050%5.0 / 10
B. Skinner583%2.5 / 3
A. Bogut440%2.0 / 5
D. Gadzuric250%1.0 / 2
L. Greer250%1.0 / 2
E. Ilyasova0-0.0 / 1
D. Noel0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+16
-18
94
MIL
80
+17
-18
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.23 61.6%
MIL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
107.1
MIA 121.9 +21.9
MIL 100.0
Pace
90.1
92.3
MIA 89.6
MIL 105.5 +15.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.1
MIA 16.1
MIL 13.7 −2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.4%
MIA 59.6% +12.5%
MIL 47.1%
TO %
15.3%
15.7%
MIA 17.5%
MIL 15.8% −1.7%
ORB %
24.9%
27.8%
MIA 35.0% +2.4%
MIL 32.6%
FTrt
32.1
28.6
MIA 30.1 +0.7
MIL 29.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
56.7%
MIA 68.9% +24.2%
MIL 44.7%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
MIA 10.4% +2.2%
MIL 8.2%
BLK %
8.8%
4.4%
MIA 4.6% +0.1%
MIL 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
52.9%
MIA 61.6% +11.1%
MIL 50.5%
Rim FG%
61.8%
58.1%
MIA 62.5% +8.4%
MIL 54.1%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.0%
MIA 42.3%
MIL 50.0% +7.7%
3P %
34.3%
35.6%
MIA 52.9% +32.9%
MIL 20.0%
FT %
69.0%
73.3%
MIA 72.0%
MIL 72.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
41.1%
MIA 48.2% +4.7%
MIL 43.5%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
37.0%
MIA 31.3% −1.6%
MIL 32.9%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.9%
MIA 20.5%
MIL 23.5% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9698
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points11798
Rebounds4340
Assists3117
Steals108
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)26 (1)
Field Goals45-8338-85
At-the-Rim FG25-4020-37
Midrange FG11-2614-28
2-Point FG36-6634-65
3-Point FG9-174-20
Free Throws18-2518-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

10 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
42.1
32
76%
8
11
4
1
2
1
3
5
10-13
77%
11-16
69%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
40.2
28
78%
3
1
1
0
4
4
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
45%
6-7
86%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
30.7
7
39%
11
0
0
0
3
3
5
6
1-1
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35
20.4
20
71%
4
3
0
0
4
3
2
2
4-7
57%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
17.9
4
50%
1
6
2
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
29.4
3
75%
2
3
2
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
21.3
9
50%
5
1
0
2
1
3
2
3
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
18.1
9
56%
6
4
1
0
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
9.1
3
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35
6.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Earl Barron
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Jason Williams
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
62%
43
31
10
3
18
0
14
29
18-25
72%
36-66
55%
9-17
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.