FinalWin Prob.pScore
1060%99
117
2740%96
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
121.99689.6
MIL logo MIL
100.098105.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL117
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Quinn 28' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)117
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILMISS Ilyasova 12' Jump Shot117
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILNoel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)117
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot117
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MILGreer 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)117
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T20)117
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)117
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21MILMISS Bogut Layup117
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31MIAJones Layup (2 PTS)117
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52MIAHeat Rebound115
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54MILMISS Noel 18' Jump Shot115
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)115
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Doleac 5' Jump Shot115
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)115
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)115
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)115
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Hook Shot115
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)115
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot115
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)115
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)113
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38MIABogut BLOCK (2 BLK)113
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 3:54MILBoykins Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T17)113
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 4:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)113
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2112
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 4:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)112
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot112
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 4:10MIAHeat Rebound112
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 4:10MIABogut BLOCK (1 BLK)112
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 4:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)112
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot112
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 4:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)112
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 4:32MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot112
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 4:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)112
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 4:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)109
99.6%
96
0.4%
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Haslem Layup109
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 4:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)109
99.6%
96
0.4%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Wade Layup109
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 5:09MILPatterson 4' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)109
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 5:10MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)109
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 5:12MILMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 5:14MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)109
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 5:16MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot109
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 5:35MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (32 PTS)109
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 5:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)107
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 5:49MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 5:58MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)107
98.9%
94
1.1%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2107
99.0%
94
1.0%
Q4 - 6:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)107
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 6:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)106
98.5%
94
1.5%
Q4 - 6:11MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
98.3%
94
1.7%
Q4 - 6:19MILBUCKS Rebound106
97.9%
94
2.1%
Q4 - 6:19MILMISS Boykins 3PT Jump Shot106
98.3%
94
1.7%
Q4 - 6:32MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T18)106
97.9%
94
2.1%
Q4 - 6:50MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (38 PTS)106
98.5%
94
1.5%
Q4 - 7:07MIAKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)106
98.8%
91
1.2%
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (29 PTS)103
98.0%
91
2.0%
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (28 PTS)102
97.9%
91
2.1%
Q4 - 7:21MILPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)101
96.5%
91
3.5%
Q4 - 7:36MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)101
95.4%
91
4.6%
Q4 - 7:39MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P9.T15)99
94.2%
91
5.8%
Q4 - 7:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
92.3%
91
7.7%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 199
92.5%
91
7.5%
Q4 - 8:09MILVillanueva Dunk (16 PTS) (Patterson 4 AST)97
88.8%
91
11.2%
Q4 - 8:23MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)97
91.1%
89
8.9%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot97
91.7%
89
8.3%
Q4 - 8:40MILVillanueva Layup (14 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)97
93.0%
89
7.0%
Q4 - 8:56MIAKapono Layup (25 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)97
94.5%
87
5.5%
Q4 - 9:05MIAHeat Rebound95
92.2%
87
7.8%
Q4 - 9:05MILMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot95
91.7%
87
8.3%
Q4 - 9:21MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)95
90.3%
87
9.7%
Q4 - 9:36MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (35 PTS)92
85.3%
87
14.7%
Q4 - 9:41MIAWilliams STEAL (3 STL)92
87.9%
85
12.1%
Q4 - 10:00MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
90.4%
85
9.6%
Q4 - 10:00MILVillanueva Dunk (12 PTS)92
90.4%
85
9.6%
Q4 - 10:01MILMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
92.5%
83
7.5%
Q4 - 10:21MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)92
91.2%
83
8.8%
Q4 - 10:28MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
89.4%
83
10.6%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Quinn 13' Jump Shot90
87.7%
83
12.3%
Q4 - 10:44MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)90
89.5%
83
10.5%
Q4 - 10:47MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)90
92.9%
80
7.1%
Q4 - 10:57MILPatterson Foul Turnover (P1.T14)90
94.4%
80
5.6%
Q4 - 11:00MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
93.0%
80
7.0%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot90
92.5%
80
7.5%
Q4 - 11:23MILVillanueva Dunk (10 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)90
93.6%
80
6.4%
Q4 - 11:29MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)90
94.7%
78
5.3%
Q4 - 11:31MILMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
95.5%
78
4.5%
Q4 - 11:51MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T15)90
94.8%
78
5.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA90
95.8%
78
4.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILWilliams 10' Jump Shot (30 PTS)90
95.2%
78
4.8%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)90
96.1%
76
3.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0MILWilliams Layup (28 PTS)90
96.8%
76
3.2%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMourning Layup (9 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)90
96.9%
74
3.1%
Q3 - 1:15MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
96.3%
74
3.7%
Q3 - 1:17MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot88
96.1%
74
3.9%
Q3 - 1:32MIAKapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)88
95.6%
74
4.4%
Q3 - 1:49MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)85
93.7%
74
6.3%
Q3 - 1:49MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)85
93.8%
73
6.2%
Q3 - 1:53MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
94.7%
72
5.3%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot85
95.0%
72
5.0%
Q3 - 2:14MILBoykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)85
95.0%
72
5.0%
Q3 - 2:27MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)85
96.5%
69
3.5%
Q3 - 2:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
95.0%
69
5.0%
Q3 - 2:35MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
94.7%
69
5.3%
Q3 - 2:56MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)82
94.0%
69
6.0%
Q3 - 3:02MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P8.T13)79
91.1%
69
8.9%
Q3 - 3:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)79
89.4%
69
10.6%
Q3 - 3:33MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
85.7%
69
14.3%
Q3 - 3:33MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
86.1%
68
13.9%
Q3 - 3:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
87.6%
67
12.4%
Q3 - 3:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
87.3%
67
12.7%
Q3 - 3:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
85.7%
67
14.3%
Q3 - 3:58MILMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot74
84.9%
67
15.1%
Q3 - 4:20MIAWade Dunk (20 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)74
82.5%
67
17.5%
Q3 - 4:24MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T12)72
80.3%
67
19.7%
Q3 - 4:33MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)72
77.0%
67
23.0%
Q3 - 4:50MILPatterson 2' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS)70
74.2%
67
25.8%
Q3 - 5:06MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)70
76.7%
65
23.3%
Q3 - 5:22MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
73.8%
65
26.2%
Q3 - 5:22MILWilliams Tip Shot (24 PTS)68
73.8%
65
26.2%
Q3 - 5:23MILMISS Williams Layup68
78.8%
63
21.2%
Q3 - 5:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)68
76.7%
63
23.3%
Q3 - 5:45MILWilliams Foul Turnover (P6.T11)65
70.5%
63
29.5%
Q3 - 5:56MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
66.5%
63
33.5%
Q3 - 5:57MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 265
67.1%
63
32.9%
Q3 - 5:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
68.6%
63
31.4%
Q3 - 6:21MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS)64
66.7%
63
33.3%
Q3 - 6:36MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)64
69.9%
61
30.1%
Q3 - 6:48MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
66.7%
61
33.3%
Q3 - 6:49MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 262
66.2%
61
33.8%
Q3 - 6:49MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 262
64.3%
61
35.7%
Q3 - 6:51MIAPatterson STEAL (3 STL)62
62.8%
61
37.2%
Q3 - 7:13MILSkinner 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS)62
66.3%
61
33.7%
Q3 - 7:36MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)62
69.2%
59
30.8%
Q3 - 7:48MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
66.4%
59
33.6%
Q3 - 7:50MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot60
65.1%
59
34.9%
Q3 - 7:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
62.3%
59
37.7%
Q3 - 8:01MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
63.9%
59
36.1%
Q3 - 8:10MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)60
66.6%
59
33.4%
Q3 - 8:19MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
62.6%
59
37.4%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot60
63.8%
59
36.2%
Q3 - 8:37MILBogut Layup (4 PTS) (Patterson 3 AST)60
66.5%
59
33.5%
Q3 - 8:58MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)60
69.3%
57
30.7%
Q3 - 9:12MILBell Foul Turnover (P1.T9)58
66.3%
57
33.7%
Q3 - 9:20MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)58
62.9%
57
37.1%
Q3 - 9:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
55.9%
57
44.1%
Q3 - 9:31MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
54.8%
57
45.2%
Q3 - 9:41MIASkinner STEAL (1 STL)55
52.1%
57
47.9%
Q3 - 9:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
55.9%
57
44.1%
Q3 - 10:01MILMISS Patterson 3' Hook Shot55
55.5%
57
44.5%
Q3 - 10:25MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)55
52.7%
57
47.3%
Q3 - 10:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
49.6%
57
50.4%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Kapono 15' Jump Shot53
46.8%
57
53.2%
Q3 - 10:52MILBell 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)53
49.5%
57
50.5%
Q3 - 10:58MIAWade Layup (15 PTS)53
52.7%
55
47.3%
Q3 - 11:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
50.4%
55
49.6%
Q3 - 11:09MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot51
49.3%
55
50.7%
Q3 - 11:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
46.8%
55
53.2%
Q3 - 11:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
45.2%
55
54.8%
Q3 - 11:35MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)49
43.5%
55
56.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL49
46.7%
53
53.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound49
46.7%
53
53.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot49
49.2%
53
50.8%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAWalker Slam Dunk (9 PTS)49
48.1%
53
51.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
43.8%
53
56.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 247
43.5%
53
56.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 247
41.7%
53
58.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILBoykins Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)47
41.5%
53
58.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILBoykins Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)47
44.8%
52
55.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAPayton Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)47
48.1%
51
51.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0MILBell Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)45
43.8%
51
56.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)45
51.4%
48
48.6%
Q2 - 1:21MILWilliams 11' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)45
53.8%
48
46.2%
Q2 - 1:33MILMISS Boykins Free Throw Technical45
58.4%
46
41.6%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)45
58.4%
46
41.6%
Q2 - 1:46MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)45
60.1%
46
39.9%
Q2 - 1:59MIAWade Layup (13 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)45
58.4%
46
41.6%
Q2 - 2:08MILBoykins Foul Turnover (P2.T7)43
54.7%
46
45.3%
Q2 - 2:12MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
51.8%
46
48.2%
Q2 - 2:14MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot43
53.8%
46
46.2%
Q2 - 2:32MIAWalker Layup (7 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)43
51.8%
46
48.2%
Q2 - 2:44MILSkinner Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)41
48.4%
46
51.6%
Q2 - 2:44MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
55.0%
43
45.0%
Q2 - 2:45MILMISS Bogut Layup41
56.9%
43
43.1%
Q2 - 3:05MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T9)41
55.2%
43
44.8%
Q2 - 3:09MIAHeat Rebound41
58.5%
43
41.5%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot41
56.2%
43
43.8%
Q2 - 3:21MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
58.5%
43
41.5%
Q2 - 3:21MILBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)41
58.7%
42
41.3%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMourning Layup (7 PTS)41
61.0%
41
39.0%
Q2 - 3:49MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
58.4%
41
41.6%
Q2 - 3:51MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot39
56.2%
41
43.8%
Q2 - 4:08MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)39
58.6%
41
41.4%
Q2 - 4:16MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
61.4%
39
38.6%
Q2 - 4:19MIASkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)39
62.3%
39
37.7%
Q2 - 4:33MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)39
64.1%
39
35.9%
Q2 - 4:33MILMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 239
64.5%
38
35.5%
Q2 - 4:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
64.1%
38
35.9%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
64.9%
38
35.1%
Q2 - 4:57MILWilliams 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)39
66.7%
38
33.3%
Q2 - 5:01MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
69.2%
36
30.8%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
70.0%
36
30.0%
Q2 - 5:23MILBoykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)39
71.7%
36
28.3%
Q2 - 5:40MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)39
75.9%
33
24.1%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
71.7%
33
28.3%
Q2 - 6:00MILMISS Boykins 3PT Jump Shot36
71.0%
33
29.0%
Q2 - 6:17MIAWalker 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
69.1%
33
30.9%
Q2 - 6:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
67.2%
33
32.8%
Q2 - 6:24MILMISS Williams Layup34
66.3%
33
33.7%
Q2 - 6:48MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)34
64.2%
33
35.8%
Q2 - 7:03MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)32
62.2%
33
37.8%
Q2 - 7:09MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot32
65.3%
31
34.7%
Q2 - 7:29MILGadzuric Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)32
67.0%
31
33.0%
Q2 - 7:38MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
69.1%
29
30.9%
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
69.9%
29
30.1%
Q2 - 8:00MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
71.5%
29
28.5%
Q2 - 8:00MILVillanueva Dunk (6 PTS)32
71.5%
29
28.5%
Q2 - 8:03MILMISS Williams Layup32
74.7%
27
25.3%
Q2 - 8:08MIABoykins STEAL (1 STL)32
73.1%
27
26.9%
Q2 - 8:28MILPatterson Dunk (7 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)32
75.3%
27
24.7%
Q2 - 8:34MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)32
77.0%
25
23.0%
Q2 - 9:01MILWilliams Layup (9 PTS)29
73.1%
25
26.9%
Q2 - 9:08MIAWade Dunk (11 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)29
74.9%
23
25.1%
Q2 - 9:11MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
73.2%
23
26.8%
Q2 - 9:13MILMISS Patterson Layup27
72.5%
23
27.5%
Q2 - 9:16MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)27
70.9%
23
29.1%
Q2 - 9:17MILMISS Patterson Layup27
72.5%
23
27.5%
Q2 - 9:19MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)27
70.9%
23
29.1%
Q2 - 9:21MILMISS Gadzuric 5' Jump Shot27
72.5%
23
27.5%
Q2 - 9:27MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
70.9%
23
29.1%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
71.6%
23
28.4%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
73.2%
23
26.8%
Q2 - 9:53MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 227
72.9%
23
27.1%
Q2 - 9:53MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
71.8%
23
28.2%
Q2 - 10:01MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)27
72.6%
22
27.4%
Q2 - 10:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
70.8%
22
29.2%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Wade 4' Hook Shot25
69.2%
22
30.8%
Q2 - 10:15MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
70.9%
22
29.1%
Q2 - 10:18MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
70.1%
22
29.9%
Q2 - 10:35MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T7)25
68.5%
22
31.5%
Q2 - 10:52MILBoykins Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)25
70.9%
22
29.1%
Q2 - 10:58MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)25
68.5%
22
31.5%
Q2 - 11:02MIAHeat Rebound25
70.6%
22
29.4%
Q2 - 11:14MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot25
70.0%
22
30.0%
Q2 - 11:17MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
68.6%
22
31.4%
Q2 - 11:20MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot25
70.0%
22
30.0%
Q2 - 11:38MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)25
68.5%
22
31.5%
Q2 - 11:44MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
64.2%
22
35.8%
Q2 - 11:45MILMISS Patterson Layup22
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
61.9%
22
38.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)22
62.1%
22
37.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
63.8%
22
36.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
64.3%
21
35.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMourning Dunk (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)22
66.5%
20
33.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
63.8%
20
36.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0MILMISS Boykins 3' Hook Shot20
63.3%
20
36.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAPatterson STEAL (2 STL)20
62.1%
20
37.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
63.8%
20
36.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
62.6%
20
37.4%
Q1 - 1:08MILBell 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)20
63.9%
20
36.1%
Q1 - 1:22MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
66.5%
18
33.5%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 220
66.7%
18
33.3%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
67.9%
18
32.1%
Q1 - 1:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
66.0%
18
34.0%
Q1 - 1:40MILMISS Patterson Reverse Layup19
65.5%
18
34.5%
Q1 - 1:57MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
64.4%
18
35.6%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot19
64.9%
18
35.1%
Q1 - 2:27MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
66.4%
18
33.6%
Q1 - 2:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
68.6%
16
31.4%
Q1 - 2:34MIAMISS Mourning Layup19
69.2%
16
30.8%
Q1 - 2:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
70.5%
16
29.5%
Q1 - 2:43MILMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
69.9%
16
30.1%
Q1 - 2:49MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
68.6%
16
31.4%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Mourning Layup19
69.2%
16
30.8%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical19
70.4%
16
29.6%
Q1 - 3:09MILWilliams Foul Turnover (P4.T5)19
70.4%
16
29.6%
Q1 - 3:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
68.2%
16
31.8%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Wade Alley Oop Layup19
68.9%
16
31.1%
Q1 - 3:33MILWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)19
70.4%
16
29.6%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
73.8%
13
26.2%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
73.3%
13
26.7%
Q1 - 4:08MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)17
72.3%
13
27.7%
Q1 - 4:30MIAWade Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)17
75.4%
10
24.6%
Q1 - 4:43MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
74.0%
10
26.0%
Q1 - 4:43MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
74.4%
9
25.6%
Q1 - 4:43MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
75.4%
8
24.6%
Q1 - 4:45MILMISS Villanueva 6' Jump Shot15
76.7%
8
23.3%
Q1 - 5:00MIAWade Dunk (7 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)15
75.3%
8
24.7%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
73.6%
8
26.4%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot13
72.3%
8
27.7%
Q1 - 5:16MIAHeat Rebound13
73.6%
8
26.4%
Q1 - 5:17MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
73.1%
8
26.9%
Q1 - 5:41MIAKapono 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)13
71.8%
8
28.2%
Q1 - 5:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
70.3%
8
29.7%
Q1 - 5:49MILMISS Patterson Reverse Layup11
69.7%
8
30.3%
Q1 - 5:51MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
68.3%
8
31.7%
Q1 - 5:54MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
69.7%
8
30.3%
Q1 - 6:08MIAPayton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
68.1%
8
31.9%
Q1 - 6:22MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)9
66.4%
8
33.6%
Q1 - 6:47MIAKapono 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)9
64.5%
8
35.5%
Q1 - 7:07MILPatterson Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
63.0%
8
37.0%
Q1 - 7:09MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
64.5%
6
35.5%
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot7
65.1%
6
34.9%
Q1 - 7:24MILWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)7
66.4%
6
33.6%
Q1 - 7:28MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
64.5%
6
35.5%
Q1 - 7:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
66.4%
6
33.6%
Q1 - 7:29MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot7
65.1%
6
34.9%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Mourning Layup7
65.1%
6
34.9%
Q1 - 7:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
66.4%
6
33.6%
Q1 - 7:41MILMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
65.8%
6
34.2%
Q1 - 7:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)7
64.5%
6
35.5%
Q1 - 7:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)6
64.2%
6
35.8%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
62.9%
6
37.1%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 25
61.2%
6
38.8%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
62.4%
6
37.6%
Q1 - 8:09MILBogut Layup (2 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)4
61.7%
6
38.3%
Q1 - 8:17MIAPatterson STEAL (1 STL)4
63.3%
4
36.7%
Q1 - 8:22MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
65.2%
4
34.8%
Q1 - 8:31MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
63.2%
4
36.8%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot4
63.8%
4
36.2%
Q1 - 8:47MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
65.2%
4
34.8%
Q1 - 8:50MILMISS Patterson Layup4
64.6%
4
35.4%
Q1 - 9:07MILBUCKS Rebound4
62.9%
4
37.1%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot4
63.6%
4
36.4%
Q1 - 9:17MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
65.2%
4
34.8%
Q1 - 9:19MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot4
64.5%
4
35.5%
Q1 - 9:24MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot4
63.6%
4
36.4%
Q1 - 9:41MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
65.2%
4
34.8%
Q1 - 9:51MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
66.5%
2
33.5%
Q1 - 10:04MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
68.3%
2
31.7%
Q1 - 10:04MILPatterson Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
68.3%
2
31.7%
Q1 - 10:07MILMISS Skinner Layup4
71.0%
0
29.0%
Q1 - 10:29MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
69.7%
0
30.3%
Q1 - 10:43MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
71.5%
0
28.5%
Q1 - 11:04MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
69.8%
0
30.2%
Q1 - 11:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
68.1%
0
31.9%
Q1 - 11:25MILMISS Patterson 5' Hook Shot2
67.7%
0
32.3%
Q1 - 11:40MIAO'Neal 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
66.6%
0
33.4%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. O'Neal: Tip to Wade0
64.9%
0
35.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.23 61.6%
MIL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
25
40
63%
MIL
20
37
54%
Midrange
MIA
11
26
42%
MIL
14
28
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
MIL
4
6.0
20
20%
30%
Free Throws
MIA
18
25
72%
MIL
18
25
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3276%16.0 / 21
J. Kapono2878%14.0 / 18
S. O'Neal2071%10.0 / 14
A. Mourning950%4.5 / 9
A. Walker956%4.5 / 8
U. Haslem739%3.5 / 9
G. Payton450%2.0 / 4
J. Posey375%1.5 / 2
C. Quinn350%1.5 / 3
E. Jones250%1.0 / 2
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 1
D. Wright0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams3858%19.0 / 33
C. Villanueva1667%8.0 / 12
R. Patterson1134%5.5 / 16
C. Bell1056%5.0 / 9
E. Boykins1050%5.0 / 10
B. Skinner583%2.5 / 3
A. Bogut440%2.0 / 5
D. Gadzuric250%1.0 / 2
L. Greer250%1.0 / 2
E. Ilyasova0-0.0 / 1
D. Noel0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+16
-18
94
MIL
80
+17
-18
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.23 61.6%
MIL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
107.1
MIA 121.9 +21.9
MIL 100.0
Pace
90.1
92.3
MIA 89.6
MIL 105.5 +15.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.1
MIA 16.1
MIL 13.7 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.4%
MIA 59.6% +12.5%
MIL 47.1%
TO %
15.3%
15.7%
MIA 17.5%
MIL 15.8% +1.7%
ORB %
24.9%
27.8%
MIA 35.0% +2.4%
MIL 32.6%
FTrt
32.1
28.6
MIA 30.1 +0.7
MIL 29.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
56.7%
MIA 68.9% +24.2%
MIL 44.7%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
MIA 10.4% +2.2%
MIL 8.2%
BLK %
8.8%
4.4%
MIA 4.6% +0.1%
MIL 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
52.9%
MIA 61.6% +11.1%
MIL 50.5%
Rim FG%
61.8%
58.1%
MIA 62.5% +8.4%
MIL 54.1%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.0%
MIA 42.3%
MIL 50.0% +7.7%
3P %
34.3%
35.6%
MIA 52.9% +32.9%
MIL 20.0%
FT %
69.0%
73.3%
MIA 72.0%
MIL 72.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
41.1%
MIA 48.2% +4.7%
MIL 43.5%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
37.0%
MIA 31.3% +1.6%
MIL 32.9%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.9%
MIA 20.5%
MIL 23.5% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9698
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points11798
Rebounds4340
Assists3117
Steals108
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)26 (1)
Field Goals45-8338-85
At-the-Rim FG25-4020-37
Midrange FG11-2614-28
2-Point FG36-6634-65
3-Point FG9-174-20
Free Throws18-2518-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
42.1
32
76%
8
11
4
1
2
1
3
5
10-13
77%
11-16
69%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
40.2
28
78%
3
1
1
0
4
4
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
45%
6-7
86%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
30.7
7
39%
11
0
0
0
3
3
5
6
1-1
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 35
20.4
20
71%
4
3
0
0
4
3
2
2
4-7
57%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
17.9
4
50%
1
6
2
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
29.4
3
75%
2
3
2
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
21.3
9
50%
5
1
0
2
1
3
2
3
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
18.1
9
56%
6
4
1
0
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
9.1
3
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35
6.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
62%
43
31
10
3
18
0
14
29
18-25
72%
36-66
55%
9-17
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.