FinalWin Prob.pScore
2218%82
87
482%94
74
ORTG#PossPace
NOK
102.48579.2
HOU logo HOU
86.08692.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOKHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0NOK87
100%
74
0%
Q4 - 0:23.0HOUPadgett Dunk (2 PTS)87
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0NOKPadgett STEAL (1 STL)87
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0HOUHead Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Lucas III 3 AST)87
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0NOKArmstrong Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08HOUSpanoulis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08HOUSpanoulis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)87
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15NOKBrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)87
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36HOUMISS Head 21' Jump Shot84
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44NOKChandler Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)84
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48HOUNovak 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Head 3 AST)82
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 2:07HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 282
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)82
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13HOUMISS Padgett Layup81
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 2:27NOKMISS Chandler 6' Jump Shot81
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 2:50HOUHead 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lucas III 2 AST)81
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03NOKBrown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)81
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 3:29HOUMISS Wells Driving Layup78
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 3:49NOKBrown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (West 2 AST)78
99.1%
62
0.9%
Q4 - 4:14HOUWells Layup (13 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)75
98.3%
62
1.7%
Q4 - 4:28NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
98.8%
60
1.2%
Q4 - 4:28NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
98.7%
60
1.3%
Q4 - 4:30HOUPadgett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)73
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q4 - 4:44NOKBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)73
97.6%
60
2.4%
Q4 - 4:54NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
98.4%
60
1.6%
Q4 - 4:54HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 173
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q4 - 5:04HOUROCKETS Rebound73
97.6%
58
2.4%
Q4 - 5:05NOKMISS Brown 22' Fadeaway Jumper73
97.8%
58
2.2%
Q4 - 5:27NOKHornets Rebound73
98.3%
58
1.7%
Q4 - 5:28NOKMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot73
97.9%
58
2.1%
Q4 - 5:49NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
98.4%
58
1.6%
Q4 - 5:52HOUMISS Lucas III 6' Jump Shot73
98.2%
58
1.8%
Q4 - 6:08NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)73
96.0%
58
4.0%
Q4 - 6:35HOUWells Dunk (9 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)73
97.2%
58
2.8%
Q4 - 7:01NOKPargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brown 5 AST)73
96.5%
56
3.5%
Q4 - 7:21HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
94.4%
56
5.6%
Q4 - 7:39HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
95.6%
54
4.4%
Q4 - 7:41NOKMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot70
96.0%
54
4.0%
Q4 - 8:05HOULucas III 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Head 2 AST)70
95.2%
54
4.8%
Q4 - 8:21HOULucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
97.1%
51
2.9%
Q4 - 8:23NOKMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot70
97.3%
51
2.7%
Q4 - 8:35NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
97.8%
51
2.2%
Q4 - 8:37NOKMISS West Layup70
97.3%
51
2.7%
Q4 - 8:51NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
97.8%
51
2.2%
Q4 - 8:52HOUMISS Lucas III 9' Jump Shot70
97.6%
51
2.4%
Q4 - 9:08NOKPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)70
96.0%
51
4.0%
Q4 - 9:14NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
93.8%
51
6.2%
Q4 - 9:17HOUMISS Wells 18' Jump Bank Shot67
93.4%
51
6.6%
Q4 - 9:32NOKBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
92.3%
51
7.7%
Q4 - 9:32NOKBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
91.9%
51
8.1%
Q4 - 9:42NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
90.5%
51
9.5%
Q4 - 9:44HOUMISS Wells 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
89.8%
51
10.2%
Q4 - 9:50HOUWells REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
88.1%
51
11.9%
Q4 - 9:51NOKMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot65
88.9%
51
11.1%
Q4 - 10:13NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
88.6%
51
11.4%
Q4 - 10:13HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 165
88.2%
51
11.8%
Q4 - 10:29NOKJohnson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)65
90.6%
49
9.4%
Q4 - 10:46HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)63
88.7%
49
11.3%
Q4 - 10:47NOKMcGrady STEAL (3 STL)63
86.0%
49
14.0%
Q4 - 11:07NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
87.1%
49
12.9%
Q4 - 11:08HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot63
86.3%
49
13.7%
Q4 - 11:22NOKBrown Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)63
84.4%
49
15.6%
Q4 - 11:38NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
87.2%
49
12.8%
Q4 - 11:40NOKMISS Pargo 24' Jump Shot63
85.3%
49
14.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOK63
87.2%
49
12.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMcGrady 30' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)63
87.2%
49
12.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0NOKJackson Driving Layup (12 PTS)63
89.2%
46
10.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0HOUWells Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)61
87.2%
46
12.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
91.2%
43
8.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0NOKMISS Chandler 6' Jump Shot61
91.7%
43
8.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0HOUNovak Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)61
92.7%
43
7.3%
Q3 - 1:07HOUNovak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
89.2%
43
10.8%
Q3 - 1:07NOKMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 261
89.4%
43
10.6%
Q3 - 1:07NOKChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
90.3%
43
9.7%
Q3 - 1:29NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
89.3%
43
10.7%
Q3 - 1:31HOUMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot60
88.7%
43
11.3%
Q3 - 1:51NOKPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
87.3%
43
12.7%
Q3 - 1:51NOKPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
87.0%
43
13.0%
Q3 - 1:51HOUHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)58
85.0%
43
15.0%
Q3 - 2:14NOKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
79.4%
43
20.6%
Q3 - 2:14NOKChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
78.3%
43
21.7%
Q3 - 2:14NOKHornets Rebound56
76.5%
43
23.5%
Q3 - 2:15NOKMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot56
73.9%
43
26.1%
Q3 - 2:28HOUWells 1' Layup (2 PTS)56
76.6%
43
23.4%
Q3 - 2:30HOUWells REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
79.5%
41
20.5%
Q3 - 2:31HOUMISS Wells 14' Jump Shot56
81.7%
41
18.3%
Q3 - 2:49NOKPaul Layup (9 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)56
79.6%
41
20.4%
Q3 - 2:53HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)54
76.7%
41
23.3%
Q3 - 3:11NOKChandler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)54
71.0%
41
29.0%
Q3 - 3:31NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
67.4%
41
32.6%
Q3 - 3:32NOKMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
64.5%
41
35.5%
Q3 - 3:46NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
67.5%
41
32.5%
Q3 - 3:48HOUMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
66.2%
41
33.8%
Q3 - 4:00HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
63.2%
41
36.8%
Q3 - 4:01NOKMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
61.6%
41
38.4%
Q3 - 4:44HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)52
65.1%
41
34.9%
Q3 - 4:52HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
60.5%
41
39.5%
Q3 - 4:54NOKMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
62.0%
41
38.0%
Q3 - 4:59NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
65.2%
41
34.8%
Q3 - 5:02HOUMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot52
61.6%
41
38.4%
Q3 - 5:16HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
58.7%
41
41.3%
Q3 - 5:18NOKMISS Paul 12' Jump Shot52
60.0%
41
40.0%
Q3 - 5:42HOUHoward 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
63.0%
41
37.0%
Q3 - 6:02NOKWest 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)52
63.9%
39
36.1%
Q3 - 6:22NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)50
60.6%
39
39.4%
Q3 - 6:24HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot50
59.3%
39
40.7%
Q3 - 6:57NOKBrown 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)50
56.6%
39
43.4%
Q3 - 7:03NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)48
51.2%
39
48.8%
Q3 - 7:04HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot48
49.8%
39
50.2%
Q3 - 7:11HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
46.8%
39
53.2%
Q3 - 7:13NOKMISS Paul 6' Jump Shot48
48.1%
39
51.9%
Q3 - 7:30HOUHayes Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)48
51.3%
39
48.7%
Q3 - 7:43NOKButler 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)48
54.6%
37
45.4%
Q3 - 7:52NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
47.4%
37
52.6%
Q3 - 7:53HOUMISS Lucas III 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
46.1%
37
53.9%
Q3 - 8:04NOKBrown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)45
41.9%
37
58.1%
Q3 - 8:24HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T6)42
35.3%
37
64.7%
Q3 - 8:36NOKPaul Layup (7 PTS)42
31.5%
37
68.5%
Q3 - 8:54HOUHoward Layup (4 PTS)40
28.8%
37
71.2%
Q3 - 9:09HOUROCKETS Rebound40
30.2%
35
69.8%
Q3 - 9:10NOKMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
31.2%
35
68.8%
Q3 - 9:27HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)40
33.6%
35
66.4%
Q3 - 9:27HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 240
34.3%
34
65.7%
Q3 - 9:37HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q3 - 9:38NOKMISS West 20' Jump Shot40
34.5%
34
65.5%
Q3 - 9:58NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
37.0%
34
63.0%
Q3 - 10:00HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot40
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q3 - 10:22NOKPaul 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)40
31.9%
34
68.1%
Q3 - 10:41HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)37
26.4%
34
73.6%
Q3 - 10:59NOKWest 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)37
29.0%
32
71.0%
Q3 - 11:06NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
25.3%
32
74.7%
Q3 - 11:07HOUMISS Mutombo Layup35
24.5%
32
75.5%
Q3 - 11:08HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
22.7%
32
77.3%
Q3 - 11:10HOUMISS Mutombo Layup35
24.5%
32
75.5%
Q3 - 11:25NOKButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
22.7%
32
77.3%
Q3 - 11:25NOKButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q3 - 11:44HOULucas III 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)33
20.5%
32
79.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOK33
22.7%
30
77.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKHornets Rebound33
25.4%
30
74.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKMISS Brown 59' 3PT Jump Shot33
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUHead Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)33
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUHead Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)33
25.0%
29
75.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 333
25.7%
28
74.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0NOKMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)33
27.8%
28
72.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
29.7%
28
70.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUMISS Head 22' Jump Shot33
29.1%
28
70.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
27.8%
28
72.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0NOKMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
28.4%
28
71.6%
Q2 - 1:18HOUHead 5' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
29.0%
28
71.0%
Q2 - 1:32HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 1:34NOKMISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q2 - 1:47NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q2 - 1:47NOKMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 233
33.4%
26
66.6%
Q2 - 1:47NOKMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 233
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q2 - 1:47NOKHornets Rebound33
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q2 - 1:47NOKMISS Paul Reverse Layup33
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q2 - 1:51NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q2 - 1:53HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot33
34.2%
26
65.8%
Q2 - 2:09NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)33
31.7%
26
68.3%
Q2 - 2:15NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
26.4%
26
73.6%
Q2 - 2:17HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
25.7%
26
74.3%
Q2 - 2:23HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
24.3%
26
75.7%
Q2 - 2:25NOKMISS Brown 21' Jump Shot30
24.9%
26
75.1%
Q2 - 2:49HOUMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Head 1 AST)30
26.4%
26
73.6%
Q2 - 3:00NOKBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T9)30
29.2%
24
70.8%
Q2 - 3:18NOKHornets Rebound30
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q2 - 3:19HOUMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot30
29.6%
24
70.4%
Q2 - 3:38HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q2 - 3:39NOKMISS Paul 7' Jump Shot30
28.6%
24
71.4%
Q2 - 3:48NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)30
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q2 - 3:49NOKMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
28.6%
24
71.4%
Q2 - 4:19NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)30
29.1%
24
70.9%
Q2 - 4:21HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
28.4%
24
71.6%
Q2 - 4:26HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q2 - 4:27HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
28.4%
24
71.6%
Q2 - 4:39HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
26.9%
24
73.1%
Q2 - 4:41NOKMISS West 8' Hook Shot30
27.6%
24
72.4%
Q2 - 4:55NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
29.2%
24
70.8%
Q2 - 4:56HOUMISS Wells 17' Jump Shot30
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q2 - 5:21NOKChandler Layup (4 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)30
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q2 - 5:40HOUHead Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)28
24.2%
24
75.8%
Q2 - 6:03NOKWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
21.5%
24
78.5%
Q2 - 6:03NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
21.2%
24
78.8%
Q2 - 6:25HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)26
20.1%
24
79.9%
Q2 - 6:34HOUROCKETS Rebound26
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q2 - 6:35HOUMISS Head Driving Layup26
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q2 - 6:56NOKArmstrong 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)26
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q2 - 7:05NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q2 - 7:06HOUMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot24
19.1%
22
80.9%
Q2 - 7:24NOKPargo 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)24
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q2 - 7:45HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)22
16.6%
22
83.4%
Q2 - 7:53HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
19.6%
19
80.4%
Q2 - 7:55NOKMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot22
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q2 - 8:14NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q2 - 8:15HOUMISS Lucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q2 - 8:32HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q2 - 8:35NOKHayes BLOCK (1 BLK)22
19.9%
19
80.1%
Q2 - 8:46NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q2 - 8:47HOUMISS McGrady Layup22
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q2 - 8:48HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q2 - 8:50HOUMISS McGrady Driving Layup22
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q2 - 9:08NOKJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q2 - 9:31NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q2 - 9:33HOUMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q2 - 9:52HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q2 - 9:53NOKMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot19
15.2%
19
84.8%
Q2 - 10:08HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
16.3%
19
83.7%
Q2 - 10:08HOUHayes Tip Shot (2 PTS)19
16.3%
19
83.7%
Q2 - 10:10HOUMISS Wells Layup19
18.7%
17
81.3%
Q2 - 10:12HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q2 - 10:13HOUMISS Hayes Reverse Layup19
18.7%
17
81.3%
Q2 - 10:21NOKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q2 - 10:21NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
17.2%
17
82.8%
Q2 - 10:28HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
16.3%
17
83.7%
Q2 - 10:38HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
14.8%
17
85.2%
Q2 - 10:40NOKMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
15.3%
17
84.7%
Q2 - 10:51NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
16.3%
17
83.7%
Q2 - 10:53HOUMISS Wells Layup17
15.8%
17
84.2%
Q2 - 11:12HOUROCKETS Rebound17
14.5%
17
85.5%
Q2 - 11:14NOKMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot17
14.9%
17
85.1%
Q2 - 11:15NOKHornets Rebound17
15.8%
17
84.2%
Q2 - 11:16NOKWells BLOCK (1 BLK)17
14.9%
17
85.1%
Q2 - 11:33HOULucas III 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)17
15.8%
17
84.2%
Q2 - 11:43HOUJump Ball Wells vs. Johnson: Tip to McGrady17
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU17
17.2%
15
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound17
17.2%
15
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lucas III 45' 3PT Jump Shot17
18.2%
15
81.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0NOKPargo 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)17
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)15
15.5%
15
84.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0HOUMISS Wells 19' Jump Shot15
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0NOKPaul Foul Turnover (P2.T8)15
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 1:08HOUHead Layup (5 PTS)15
15.5%
15
84.5%
Q1 - 1:13HOUJump Ball Howard vs. Johnson: Tip to Head15
17.1%
13
82.9%
Q1 - 1:18NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)15
18.1%
13
81.9%
Q1 - 1:19NOKMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot15
17.4%
13
82.6%
Q1 - 1:26NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
18.1%
13
81.9%
Q1 - 1:27HOUMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 1:33HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
17.1%
13
82.9%
Q1 - 1:34HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 1:39HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
17.1%
13
82.9%
Q1 - 1:40HOUMISS Wells 17' Turnaround Jump Shot15
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 2:03NOKButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)15
16.9%
13
83.1%
Q1 - 2:26HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
14.3%
13
85.7%
Q1 - 2:32NOKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
13.3%
13
86.7%
Q1 - 2:32NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
13.1%
13
86.9%
Q1 - 2:49NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)10
12.2%
13
87.8%
Q1 - 2:51HOUMISS Hayes Reverse Layup10
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 3:01HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.1%
13
88.9%
Q1 - 3:03NOKMISS Chandler 3' Layup10
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 3:13HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)10
12.2%
13
87.8%
Q1 - 3:30NOKJohnson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)10
14.1%
10
85.9%
Q1 - 3:40HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
13.2%
10
86.8%
Q1 - 3:53HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 3:54NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
13.2%
10
86.8%
Q1 - 3:54NOKMISS Chandler Tip Shot8
12.4%
10
87.6%
Q1 - 3:56NOKMISS Paul Layup8
12.4%
10
87.6%
Q1 - 4:07HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
12.9%
10
87.1%
Q1 - 4:07HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 28
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 4:09NOKAlston STEAL (1 STL)8
12.7%
9
87.3%
Q1 - 4:36HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
14.0%
9
86.0%
Q1 - 4:36HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
14.2%
8
85.8%
Q1 - 4:41NOKBattier STEAL (1 STL)8
14.9%
7
85.1%
Q1 - 4:50NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.3%
7
83.7%
Q1 - 4:52HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot8
15.8%
7
84.2%
Q1 - 5:12NOKMason Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)8
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 5:34NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
13.6%
7
86.4%
Q1 - 5:35NOKMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot6
12.8%
7
87.2%
Q1 - 5:56NOKHornets Rebound6
13.6%
7
86.4%
Q1 - 5:58HOUMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot6
13.3%
7
86.7%
Q1 - 6:07NOKChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)6
12.5%
7
87.5%
Q1 - 6:30HOUBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)6
13.4%
7
86.6%
Q1 - 6:42HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15.4%
4
84.6%
Q1 - 6:44NOKMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot6
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 7:00NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 7:01HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot6
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 7:14NOKPaul Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)6
14.9%
4
85.1%
Q1 - 7:23NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 7:27NOKMutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)6
15.3%
4
84.7%
Q1 - 7:33NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
16.1%
4
83.9%
Q1 - 7:35HOUMISS Alston Layup6
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 7:40HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15.0%
4
85.0%
Q1 - 7:42NOKMISS Paul 21' Jump Shot6
15.3%
4
84.7%
Q1 - 7:56HOUBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
16.1%
4
83.9%
Q1 - 8:14NOKMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)6
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 8:36HOUBattier Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)6
15.8%
4
84.2%
Q1 - 8:41HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 8:43NOKMISS Mason 10' Jump Shot6
17.1%
2
82.9%
Q1 - 8:52NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 8:55HOUMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot6
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 9:09HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 9:10NOKMISS West 17' Jump Shot6
16.9%
2
83.1%
Q1 - 9:21NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 9:22HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 9:42NOKChandler 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)6
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 9:50NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 9:52HOUMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot4
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 10:07NOKPaul 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 10:16NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 10:18HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 10:30NOKBrown 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)2
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 10:48NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 10:49HOUMISS McGrady 3PT Jump Shot0
11.7%
2
88.3%
Q1 - 11:00NOKChandler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 11:10HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 11:23HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 11:24NOKMISS West 15' Jump Shot0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:35NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:36NOKMISS West 13' Jump Shot0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Mutombo vs. Chandler: Tip to Paul0
13.5%
0
86.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
1.00 50.0%
HOU
0.88 44.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
9
17
53%
HOU
14
27
52%
Midrange
NOK
10
35
29%
HOU
8
27
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
HOU
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
NOK
19
23
83%
HOU
9
14
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Brown1860%9.0 / 15
C. Paul1243%6.0 / 14
B. Jackson1246%6.0 / 13
J. Pargo1275%6.0 / 8
T. Chandler1146%5.5 / 12
R. Butler867%4.0 / 6
D. West633%3.0 / 9
L. Johnson4100%2.0 / 2
D. Mason250%1.0 / 2
H. Armstrong250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady1850%9.0 / 18
L. Head1450%7.0 / 14
B. Wells1343%6.5 / 15
J. Lucas III744%3.5 / 8
J. Howard633%3.0 / 9
S. Battier536%2.5 / 7
C. Hayes450%2.0 / 4
S. Novak3150%1.5 / 1
S. Padgett250%1.0 / 2
V. Spanoulis2100%1.0 / 1
D. Mutombo0-0.0 / 2
R. Alston0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK
70
+15
-15
85
HOU
74
+10
-12
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
1.00 50.0%
HOU
0.88 44.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.6
105.6
NOK 102.4
HOU 86.0 +16.3
Pace
90.4
91.1
NOK 79.2
HOU 92.8 +13.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.8
NOK 18.2
HOU 15.5 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
49.9%
NOK 47.2% +5.5%
HOU 41.7%
TO %
14.9%
14.8%
NOK 16.3%
HOU 12.5% +3.8%
ORB %
29.2%
25.7%
NOK 26.3% +9.3%
HOU 17.0%
FTrt
29.1
29.2
NOK 31.9 +14.0
HOU 17.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.7%
58.6%
NOK 75.9% +20.7%
HOU 55.2%
STL %
7.0%
7.8%
NOK 8.2% +0.1%
HOU 8.1%
BLK %
6.9%
6.5%
NOK 3.7%
HOU 5.8% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.7%
52.3%
NOK 50.0% +6.0%
HOU 44.0%
Rim FG%
56.2%
56.2%
NOK 52.9% +1.0%
HOU 51.9%
Mid FG%
38.2%
41.0%
NOK 28.6%
HOU 29.6% +1.0%
3P %
36.2%
37.2%
NOK 50.0% +20.8%
HOU 29.2%
FT %
74.0%
75.3%
NOK 82.6% +18.3%
HOU 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
30.3%
NOK 23.6%
HOU 34.6% +11.0%
Mid Att. %
44.0%
40.7%
NOK 48.6%
HOU 34.6% +14.0%
3P Att. %
18.8%
29.0%
NOK 27.8%
HOU 30.8% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOKHOU
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points8774
Rebounds4936
Assists2216
Steals77
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)28 (3)
Field Goals29-7229-78
At-the-Rim FG9-1714-27
Midrange FG10-358-27
2-Point FG19-5222-54
3-Point FG10-207-24
Free Throws19-239-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'1" 240 · 24
36.9
11
46%
12
0
0
1
3
2
3
9
3-6
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 28
34.0
18
60%
7
5
1
0
3
3
2
5
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
4-8
50%
G · 6'0" 175 · 22
32.1
12
43%
4
9
4
0
2
4
0
4
3-4
75%
3-10
30%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
31.0
6
33%
5
2
0
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 222 · 29
7.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 28
28.1
8
67%
4
0
0
0
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 185 · 34
24.6
12
46%
5
6
0
0
2
1
1
4
5-5
100%
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
17.3
12
75%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
2-2
100%
F · 6'8" 205 · 27
17.0
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22
11.1
2
50%
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 32
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
#11 · F · 6'8" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'8" 250 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#16 · F · 6'10" 229 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
50%
49
22
7
2
15
0
10
39
19-23
83%
19-52
37%
10-20
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.