FinalWin Prob.pScore
2627%91
93
673%99
113
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
106.98794.8
MIA logo MIA
125.69083.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0CHAMISS McInnis Layup93
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)93
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0CHABrezec Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McInnis 7 AST)93
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24CHAMISS Morrison 20' Jump Shot91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59CHABobcats Rebound88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01CHAMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11CHAMISS Carroll 14' Jump Shot88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25CHAMorrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45CHAMISS Herrmann 21' Jump Shot88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24CHAMISS Felton Free Throw 2 of 288
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24CHAFelton Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51CHAMISS Morrison 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (27 PTS)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15CHAMISS Wallace Layup87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:36MIAHEAT Rebound87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:36MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 287
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 4:36MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)87
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 4:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)87
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 4:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 287
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 287
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 4:58MIAHEAT Rebound87
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 5:00CHAMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot87
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 5:13MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 5:13MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 5:15MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 5:17CHAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)87
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 5:29MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)87
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 5:49CHAFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)87
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 6:08MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 284
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 6:23CHAMcInnis 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 6:35MIAQuinn 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)82
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 6:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 6:58CHAMISS Voskuhl Free Throw 2 of 282
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 6:58CHAVoskuhl Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)82
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWalker Driving Layup (5 PTS)81
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 7:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 7:41CHAOkafor Layup (19 PTS)81
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q4 - 7:53CHAHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 7:55MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot79
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 7:59MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot79
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 8:21MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 8:23CHAMISS Morrison 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 8:34CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)79
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 9:02CHAMorrison Layup (9 PTS) (McInnis 5 AST)79
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 9:07MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)77
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 9:41CHAMcInnis 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMourning Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)75
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 9:56CHAQuinn STEAL (2 STL)75
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 9:58MIAQuinn Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)75
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 9:59CHAQuinn STEAL (1 STL)75
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 10:24MIAWade Driving Dunk (25 PTS)75
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 10:47CHAHerrmann 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)75
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 11:08CHAMorrison Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)73
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 11:08MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)72
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 11:08MIAHEAT Rebound72
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Wade 40' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 11:36CHAMorrison 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McInnis 4 AST)72
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 11:41CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Wade Layup70
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound70
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 32' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0CHABobcats Rebound70
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0CHAMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot70
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0CHAMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot70
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q3 - 1:08MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 1:10CHAMISS Okafor 4' Jump Shot70
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 1:12CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q3 - 1:15CHAMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMourning 7' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)70
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q3 - 1:59CHAOkafor Dunk (17 PTS) (Felton 7 AST)70
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q3 - 2:05MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)68
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 2:29CHAOkafor 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)68
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 2:52CHABobcats Rebound66
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q3 - 2:54CHAMISS McInnis 17' Jump Shot66
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 2:58CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot66
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 3:20CHACarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 3:20CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 3:41MIAWade Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)64
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 3:48CHAWade STEAL (3 STL)64
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 3:56MIAQuinn 9' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)64
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 4:15CHAFelton Driving Layup (16 PTS)64
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)62
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 4:47CHAWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)62
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)59
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 5:36CHAWallace 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)59
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 5:58MIAHaslem 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q3 - 6:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 6:22CHAMISS Felton 20' Jump Shot56
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 6:43MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)56
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 6:51MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 6:53CHAMISS Brezec Layup56
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 7:05CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 256
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 256
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 7:24CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 7:24CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 255
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 7:24MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)55
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 7:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 7:26CHAMISS Brezec Tip Shot55
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 7:35CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)55
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 7:38CHAMISS Wallace Reverse Layup55
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 7:49CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)55
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 155
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 7:56MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 7:58CHAMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot55
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 8:07MIAWade Driving Layup (19 PTS)55
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 8:21CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 255
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q3 - 8:21CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)55
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 8:45MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)54
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 9:00CHAMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 9:12MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)54
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 9:35CHAMISS Felton 19' Jump Shot54
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 9:39CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Haslem Layup54
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 9:55CHAMISS Voskuhl 18' Jump Shot54
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 10:01MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)54
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 10:20CHACarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)54
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 10:20CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 10:26CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 10:46CHAFelton Driving Layup (14 PTS)52
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 10:52CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)50
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot50
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 11:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
2.7%
67
97.3%
Q3 - 11:11CHAMISS Carroll 18' Jump Shot50
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 11:21CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 150
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 11:43CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)50
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound47
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 29' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHAKapono STEAL (3 STL)47
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#6)47
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHAFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)47
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)47
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0CHACarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)47
3.5%
63
96.5%
Q2 - 1:06MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (15 PTS)44
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q2 - 1:18CHAFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
3.3%
61
96.7%
Q2 - 1:18CHAFelton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
3.2%
61
96.8%
Q2 - 1:27MIAKapono 15' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)42
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q2 - 1:33CHAKapono STEAL (2 STL)42
3.3%
59
96.7%
Q2 - 1:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)42
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 242
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 2:07CHAFelton Driving Layup (10 PTS)42
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 2:21MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)40
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q2 - 2:40CHAFelton Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)40
3.8%
56
96.2%
Q2 - 2:43CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)37
3.0%
56
97.0%
Q2 - 2:46CHAMISS Carroll 23' Jump Shot37
2.8%
56
97.2%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)37
3.3%
56
96.7%
Q2 - 3:25CHAOkafor Dunk (13 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)37
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 3:29MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)35
3.7%
53
96.3%
Q2 - 3:33CHAWade STEAL (2 STL)35
3.2%
53
96.8%
Q2 - 3:48MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)35
3.7%
53
96.3%
Q2 - 4:05CHAOkafor 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)35
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 4:19CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)33
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 233
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q2 - 4:22MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
3.9%
50
96.1%
Q2 - 4:35MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 4:36CHAMISS Brezec Layup33
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 4:37CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 4:38CHAMISS Felton Layup33
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 4:45CHAHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 4:53MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 4:56CHAMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)33
4.9%
49
95.1%
Q2 - 5:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
5.4%
47
94.6%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Posey Layup33
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 5:42CHAOkafor 9' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS)33
5.4%
47
94.6%
Q2 - 5:52CHABobcats Rebound31
4.9%
47
95.1%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
4.7%
47
95.3%
Q2 - 6:09CHAJones STEAL (1 STL)31
4.5%
47
95.5%
Q2 - 6:28MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)31
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 6:51CHACarroll 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)31
5.6%
45
94.4%
Q2 - 6:58CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 7:00CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 229
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 7:00CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 7:02CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)28
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 7:03CHAMISS Herrmann 19' Jump Shot28
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 7:05CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS Quinn Layup28
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 7:13CHAPosey STEAL (1 STL)28
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 7:30MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)28
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical28
5.4%
43
94.6%
Q2 - 7:53CHAFelton 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)28
5.4%
43
94.6%
Q2 - 8:09MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 8:26CHAHerrmann 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McInnis 3 AST)26
4.5%
43
95.5%
Q2 - 8:46MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)24
4.1%
43
95.9%
Q2 - 9:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
4.7%
41
95.3%
Q2 - 9:04CHAMISS Brezec 17' Jump Shot24
4.8%
41
95.2%
Q2 - 9:20MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)24
5.2%
41
94.8%
Q2 - 9:43CHAWallace Dunk (8 PTS) (McInnis 2 AST)24
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 9:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)22
5.2%
39
94.8%
Q2 - 10:07MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q2 - 10:09CHAMISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot22
6.6%
36
93.4%
Q2 - 10:20CHACarroll Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)22
7.1%
36
92.9%
Q2 - 10:35MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS)21
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q2 - 10:48MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
7.0%
34
93.0%
Q2 - 10:50CHAMISS Okafor 8' Jump Hook Shot21
7.2%
34
92.8%
Q2 - 11:04MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)21
7.7%
34
92.3%
Q2 - 11:08MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
8.4%
32
91.6%
Q2 - 11:10CHAMISS Wallace Layup21
8.7%
32
91.3%
Q2 - 11:16CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)21
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup21
9.0%
32
91.0%
Q2 - 11:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
8.4%
32
91.6%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot21
9.0%
32
91.0%
Q2 - 11:44CHAWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)21
8.4%
32
91.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA21
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound21
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS McInnis 48' 3PT Jump Shot21
8.7%
32
91.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)21
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)21
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q1 - 0:15.0CHAMorrison 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)21
10.3%
30
89.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)19
9.2%
30
90.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
8.6%
30
91.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 119
9.2%
30
90.8%
Q1 - 1:09CHAMorrison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)19
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q1 - 1:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)19
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q1 - 1:40CHAOkafor 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)19
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q1 - 1:52CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
9.3%
28
90.7%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
9.1%
28
90.9%
Q1 - 2:12CHAMcInnis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Morrison 1 AST)17
8.7%
28
91.3%
Q1 - 2:48MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)15
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q1 - 2:58CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)15
9.5%
25
90.5%
Q1 - 3:06CHAFelton Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)15
10.5%
25
89.5%
Q1 - 3:18MIAHaslem 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q1 - 3:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
10.4%
23
89.6%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Mourning 10' Jump Shot14
11.1%
23
88.9%
Q1 - 3:39MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
10.4%
23
89.6%
Q1 - 3:42CHAMISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
10.7%
23
89.3%
Q1 - 3:47CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)14
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q1 - 3:50CHAMISS McInnis 19' Jump Shot14
10.7%
23
89.3%
Q1 - 4:00CHAMorrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q1 - 4:02MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot14
11.1%
23
88.9%
Q1 - 4:10MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.4%
23
89.6%
Q1 - 4:14CHAMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot14
10.7%
23
89.3%
Q1 - 4:28CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q1 - 4:29MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 114
11.3%
23
88.7%
Q1 - 4:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
12.1%
21
87.9%
Q1 - 4:49CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 114
12.3%
21
87.7%
Q1 - 5:07MIAWade Layup (6 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)12
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q1 - 5:27CHAWallace Layup (6 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)12
12.2%
19
87.8%
Q1 - 5:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
11.5%
19
88.5%
Q1 - 5:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
11.6%
18
88.4%
Q1 - 5:46CHAMISS Morrison 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 5:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
13.3%
17
86.7%
Q1 - 6:13CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Wade Dunk10
13.1%
17
86.9%
Q1 - 6:26MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.4%
17
87.6%
Q1 - 6:29CHAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)10
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 6:40MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)10
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 7:05MIAHEAT Rebound10
15.3%
14
84.7%
Q1 - 7:05CHAMISS Morrison Free Throw 1 of 110
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 7:06CHAMorrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 7:08CHAWade BLOCK (2 BLK)8
13.8%
14
86.2%
Q1 - 7:13CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 7:15CHAMISS Voskuhl 18' Jump Shot8
13.8%
14
86.2%
Q1 - 7:30MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)8
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 7:35CHAKapono STEAL (1 STL)8
15.3%
12
84.7%
Q1 - 7:40MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
16.5%
12
83.5%
Q1 - 7:46CHAO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)8
15.3%
12
84.7%
Q1 - 7:55CHABobcats Rebound8
16.5%
12
83.5%
Q1 - 7:57CHAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)8
15.7%
12
84.3%
Q1 - 7:58CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.5%
12
83.5%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot8
16.0%
12
84.0%
Q1 - 8:22CHACarroll Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
15.2%
12
84.8%
Q1 - 8:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 8:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
16.5%
11
83.5%
Q1 - 8:37CHAHaslem STEAL (1 STL)8
17.3%
10
82.7%
Q1 - 8:54MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 9:20CHAWallace Driving Dunk (4 PTS)8
19.3%
8
80.7%
Q1 - 9:36MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)6
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 9:53CHAWallace 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
19.3%
6
80.7%
Q1 - 10:13MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 10:29CHAFelton Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
19.3%
4
80.7%
Q1 - 10:49MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
18.3%
4
81.7%
Q1 - 11:10CHAOkafor Dunk (2 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)2
19.4%
2
80.6%
Q1 - 11:21CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 11:24CHAMISS Carroll 15' Jump Shot0
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:43MIAKapono 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Okafor: Tip to Quinn0
19.4%
0
80.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
17
28
61%
MIA
18
24
75%
Midrange
CHA
15
34
44%
MIA
19
29
66%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
CHA
17
24
71%
MIA
18
33
55%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Felton2067%10.0 / 15
E. Okafor1968%9.5 / 14
G. Wallace1959%9.5 / 16
M. Carroll1350%6.5 / 13
A. Morrison950%4.5 / 9
J. McInnis643%3.0 / 7
W. Herrmann440%2.0 / 5
P. Brezec220%1.0 / 5
J. Voskuhl117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2768%13.5 / 20
S. O'Neal2265%11.0 / 17
C. Quinn1464%7.0 / 11
J. Kapono1372%6.5 / 9
U. Haslem1275%6.0 / 8
A. Mourning1071%5.0 / 7
A. Walker563%2.5 / 4
E. Jones5125%2.5 / 2
J. Posey338%1.5 / 4
M. Doleac250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
71
+15
-16
86
MIA
78
+13
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.06 52.8%
MIA
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.1
104.2
CHA 106.9
MIA 125.6 +18.7
Pace
91.7
90.1
CHA 94.8 +11.6
MIA 83.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
CHA 15.2 +2.1
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.0%
50.6%
CHA 48.1%
MIA 66.9% +18.8%
TO %
15.4%
15.3%
CHA 15.2%
MIA 14.1% +1.1%
ORB %
26.4%
24.9%
CHA 26.2%
MIA 30.0% +3.8%
FTrt
32.2
32.1
CHA 30.4
MIA 46.5 +16.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
57.6%
CHA 58.3%
MIA 59.1% +0.8%
STL %
8.3%
7.6%
CHA 10.3%
MIA 13.3% +3.0%
BLK %
7.1%
8.8%
CHA 3.8%
MIA 6.5% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
52.4%
CHA 52.8%
MIA 63.5% +10.7%
Rim FG%
55.6%
61.8%
CHA 60.7%
MIA 75.0% +14.3%
Mid FG%
39.3%
40.5%
CHA 44.1%
MIA 65.5% +21.4%
3P %
35.7%
34.3%
CHA 23.5%
MIA 38.9% +15.4%
FT %
73.4%
69.0%
CHA 70.8% +16.3%
MIA 54.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
34.9%
CHA 35.4% +1.6%
MIA 33.8%
Mid Att. %
44.0%
40.7%
CHA 43.0%
MIA 40.8% +2.2%
3P Att. %
19.3%
24.5%
CHA 21.5%
MIA 25.4% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions8790
Possession Minutes22.025.9
Points93113
Rebounds3240
Assists2126
Steals912
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (2)31 (2)
Field Goals36-7944-71
At-the-Rim FG17-2818-24
Midrange FG15-3419-29
2-Point FG32-6237-53
3-Point FG4-177-18
Free Throws17-2418-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
38.4
19
68%
11
0
2
1
1
3
5
6
1-3
33%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 25
37.2
19
59%
2
4
3
1
3
5
0
2
3-5
60%
5-10
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 205 · 23
36.0
20
67%
4
7
1
0
6
3
1
3
5-6
83%
6-10
60%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 212 · 26
32.4
13
50%
2
2
0
0
2
2
0
2
6-6
100%
2-6
33%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 255 · 29
16.3
1
17%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 32
23.1
6
43%
1
7
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 205 · 23
20.3
9
50%
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
19.6
2
20%
4
0
1
0
0
3
4
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
16.6
4
40%
2
0
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 195 · 33
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29
C · 7'0" 240 · 22
#42 · C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 5'10" 166 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
53%
32
21
9
2
16
0
11
21
17-24
71%
32-62
52%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.