FinalWin Prob.pScore
263%92
104
1837%87
106
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
118.28892.0
ORL logo ORL
121.88783.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL104
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASHoward STEAL (4 STL)104
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (30 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)104
3.5%
106
96.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLNelson 13' Jump Shot (31 PTS)104
55.7%
104
44.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)104
82.4%
102
17.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 2103
79.5%
102
20.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
84.3%
102
15.7%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 2103
68.8%
102
31.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 2103
76.8%
102
23.2%
Q4 - 0:46.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)103
80.6%
102
19.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASHoward STEAL (3 STL)103
93.0%
99
7.0%
Q4 - 1:12ORLArroyo 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)103
95.1%
99
4.9%
Q4 - 1:23ORLMAGIC Rebound103
96.6%
97
3.4%
Q4 - 1:23SASMISS Finley 8' Jump Shot103
97.2%
97
2.8%
Q4 - 1:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)103
97.6%
97
2.4%
Q4 - 1:42ORLMISS Nelson Layup103
97.1%
97
2.9%
Q4 - 1:56SASGinobili Layup (7 PTS)103
95.7%
97
4.3%
Q4 - 2:22ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Arroyo 7 AST)101
93.8%
97
6.2%
Q4 - 2:44SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)101
95.1%
95
4.9%
Q4 - 3:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
92.0%
95
8.0%
Q4 - 3:03ORLMISS Outlaw Layup99
90.7%
95
9.3%
Q4 - 3:25SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (24 PTS)99
86.8%
95
13.2%
Q4 - 3:44ORLOutlaw Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)97
80.1%
95
19.9%
Q4 - 4:04SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T11)97
85.3%
93
14.7%
Q4 - 4:16ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)97
89.7%
93
10.3%
Q4 - 4:35SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)97
85.4%
93
14.6%
Q4 - 4:53ORLNelson Layup (27 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)94
73.7%
93
26.3%
Q4 - 4:56ORLMAGIC Rebound94
80.0%
91
20.0%
Q4 - 4:58ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup94
84.2%
91
15.8%
Q4 - 5:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)94
78.7%
91
21.3%
Q4 - 5:05SASMISS Parker 17' Running Jump Shot94
80.5%
91
19.5%
Q4 - 5:13SASSpurs Rebound94
84.0%
91
16.0%
Q4 - 5:13SASHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)94
80.5%
91
19.5%
Q4 - 5:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)94
84.1%
91
15.9%
Q4 - 5:23ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
82.6%
91
17.4%
Q4 - 5:39SASFinley 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)94
78.9%
91
21.1%
Q4 - 5:53ORLArroyo Driving Layup (10 PTS)92
73.0%
91
27.0%
Q4 - 6:05ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)92
77.7%
89
22.3%
Q4 - 6:07ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot92
81.6%
89
18.4%
Q4 - 6:31SASParker Driving Layup (16 PTS)92
77.8%
89
22.2%
Q4 - 6:45ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)90
72.9%
89
27.1%
Q4 - 6:58ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)90
65.6%
89
34.4%
Q4 - 6:59SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 290
66.6%
89
33.4%
Q4 - 6:59SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)90
70.3%
89
29.7%
Q4 - 7:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)89
67.1%
89
32.9%
Q4 - 7:16SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
62.1%
89
37.9%
Q4 - 7:41ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (28 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)89
67.0%
89
33.0%
Q4 - 7:59SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
72.1%
87
27.9%
Q4 - 7:59SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 288
70.9%
87
29.1%
Q4 - 8:04SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
71.7%
87
28.3%
Q4 - 8:07ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot88
70.1%
87
29.9%
Q4 - 8:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
66.2%
87
33.8%
Q4 - 8:11ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot88
70.1%
87
29.9%
Q4 - 8:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
66.2%
87
33.8%
Q4 - 8:28SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot88
68.0%
87
32.0%
Q4 - 8:43SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
71.9%
87
28.1%
Q4 - 8:45SASMISS Parker Layup88
68.0%
87
32.0%
Q4 - 8:49ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)88
71.9%
87
28.1%
Q4 - 9:02ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
66.5%
87
33.5%
Q4 - 9:04SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot88
68.2%
87
31.8%
Q4 - 9:19ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)88
71.9%
87
28.1%
Q4 - 9:31SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)88
76.3%
85
23.7%
Q4 - 9:31SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)87
75.6%
85
24.4%
Q4 - 9:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
71.8%
85
28.2%
Q4 - 9:45ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot86
70.3%
85
29.7%
Q4 - 10:08SASParker 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)86
66.1%
85
33.9%
Q4 - 10:30ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (25 PTS)84
61.3%
85
38.7%
Q4 - 10:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
66.2%
83
33.8%
Q4 - 10:38SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
67.8%
83
32.2%
Q4 - 10:58ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)84
71.5%
83
28.5%
Q4 - 11:18SASVaughn 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)84
78.5%
80
21.5%
Q4 - 11:27ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)82
74.8%
80
25.2%
Q4 - 11:42SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)82
70.3%
80
29.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS80
65.9%
80
34.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)80
66.2%
80
33.8%
Q3 - 0:16.0ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)80
74.7%
77
25.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot80
77.3%
77
22.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
74.7%
77
25.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
77.3%
77
22.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
74.7%
77
25.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Nelson 11' Running Jump Shot80
77.3%
77
22.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
74.7%
77
25.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot80
75.8%
77
24.2%
Q3 - 1:13ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)80
78.1%
77
21.9%
Q3 - 1:29SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)80
81.2%
75
18.8%
Q3 - 1:51ORLNelson 23' Jump Shot (15 PTS)77
74.6%
75
25.4%
Q3 - 2:02SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)77
77.2%
73
22.8%
Q3 - 2:02SASSpurs Rebound77
80.6%
73
19.4%
Q3 - 2:02SASMilicic BLOCK (3 BLK)77
78.3%
73
21.7%
Q3 - 2:30ORLNelson 10' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)77
80.6%
73
19.4%
Q3 - 2:47SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)77
83.2%
71
16.8%
Q3 - 3:05ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
77.3%
71
22.7%
Q3 - 3:05ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
77.9%
70
22.1%
Q3 - 3:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
80.1%
69
19.9%
Q3 - 3:13SASMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot74
81.0%
69
19.0%
Q3 - 3:29ORLArroyo 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
83.0%
69
17.0%
Q3 - 3:48SASVaughn Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)74
85.2%
67
14.8%
Q3 - 3:57ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)74
87.5%
67
12.5%
Q3 - 4:01ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
84.6%
67
15.4%
Q3 - 4:03SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot74
85.4%
67
14.6%
Q3 - 4:22ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)74
87.1%
67
12.9%
Q3 - 4:22ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
87.7%
66
12.3%
Q3 - 4:22ORLMAGIC Rebound74
88.6%
65
11.4%
Q3 - 4:23SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot74
89.2%
65
10.8%
Q3 - 4:40ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)74
90.5%
65
9.5%
Q3 - 4:40ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)74
91.0%
64
9.0%
Q3 - 4:52SASDuncan Layup (21 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)74
91.7%
63
8.3%
Q3 - 5:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)72
89.9%
63
10.1%
Q3 - 5:06ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
89.5%
63
10.5%
Q3 - 5:24SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)72
88.2%
63
11.8%
Q3 - 5:40ORLHoward Layup (20 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)69
84.5%
63
15.5%
Q3 - 5:47ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
86.4%
61
13.6%
Q3 - 5:49SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot69
87.0%
61
13.0%
Q3 - 6:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)69
87.8%
61
12.2%
Q3 - 6:04ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Turnaround Jump Shot69
87.3%
61
12.7%
Q3 - 6:18ORLMAGIC Rebound69
85.9%
61
14.1%
Q3 - 6:19ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup69
87.3%
61
12.7%
Q3 - 6:29ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
85.9%
61
14.1%
Q3 - 6:31SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot69
86.5%
61
13.5%
Q3 - 6:54ORLMilicic Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)69
87.9%
61
12.1%
Q3 - 7:16SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)69
88.7%
59
11.3%
Q3 - 7:43ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)67
87.3%
59
12.7%
Q3 - 8:02SASElson Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)67
90.0%
56
10.0%
Q3 - 8:11SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
88.7%
56
11.3%
Q3 - 8:13ORLMISS Turkoglu 23' Jump Shot65
88.2%
56
11.8%
Q3 - 8:25SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)65
86.9%
56
13.1%
Q3 - 8:25SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 264
86.6%
56
13.4%
Q3 - 8:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)64
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 8:28SASMISS Barry 17' Jump Shot64
85.7%
56
14.3%
Q3 - 8:42ORLNelson Driving Layup (9 PTS)64
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 8:48ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
88.5%
54
11.5%
Q3 - 8:50SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Bank Shot64
89.0%
54
11.0%
Q3 - 9:11ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
89.7%
54
10.3%
Q3 - 9:11ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
90.2%
53
9.8%
Q3 - 9:34SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS)64
91.0%
52
9.0%
Q3 - 9:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)62
89.7%
52
10.3%
Q3 - 9:48ORLMISS Milicic 6' Hook Shot62
89.3%
52
10.7%
Q3 - 10:06SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)62
88.0%
52
12.0%
Q3 - 10:32ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (18 PTS)62
89.6%
52
10.4%
Q3 - 10:44SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)62
90.7%
50
9.3%
Q3 - 10:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
88.1%
50
11.9%
Q3 - 10:59SASTurkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK)59
86.9%
50
13.1%
Q3 - 11:23ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)59
88.0%
50
12.0%
Q3 - 11:30ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
89.3%
48
10.7%
Q3 - 11:33SASMISS Duncan 11' Hook Shot59
89.7%
48
10.3%
Q3 - 11:44SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
90.6%
48
9.4%
Q3 - 11:47ORLMISS Bogans 21' Jump Shot59
90.2%
48
9.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL59
89.3%
48
10.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound59
89.3%
48
10.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
90.2%
48
9.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
89.0%
48
11.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
88.6%
48
11.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)57
87.2%
48
12.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASMilicic BLOCK (2 BLK)57
86.5%
48
13.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)57
87.3%
48
12.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASDuncan Driving Layup (13 PTS)57
86.2%
48
13.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)55
84.1%
48
15.9%
Q2 - 1:16SASDuncan Dunk (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)55
87.4%
45
12.6%
Q2 - 1:22SASSpurs Rebound53
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q2 - 1:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q2 - 1:23SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot53
84.6%
45
15.4%
Q2 - 1:25SASMISS Ginobili Layup53
84.6%
45
15.4%
Q2 - 1:40ORLRedick 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)53
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q2 - 2:00SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)53
87.5%
43
12.5%
Q2 - 2:16ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
85.1%
43
14.9%
Q2 - 2:16ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 251
85.6%
42
14.4%
Q2 - 2:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
85.3%
42
14.7%
Q2 - 2:31SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot51
85.7%
42
14.3%
Q2 - 2:46ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
86.6%
42
13.4%
Q2 - 2:46ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 251
87.1%
41
12.9%
Q2 - 2:46ORLMAGIC Rebound51
86.8%
41
13.2%
Q2 - 2:47ORLMISS Nelson 10' Running Jump Shot51
87.7%
41
12.3%
Q2 - 2:59SASGinobili Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)51
86.8%
41
13.2%
Q2 - 3:20ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)49
84.8%
41
15.2%
Q2 - 3:23SASArroyo STEAL (1 STL)49
87.5%
38
12.5%
Q2 - 3:41ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS)49
88.9%
38
11.1%
Q2 - 3:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
89.9%
36
10.1%
Q2 - 3:56SASDuncan Tip Shot (7 PTS)49
89.9%
36
10.1%
Q2 - 3:56SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 247
87.7%
36
12.3%
Q2 - 3:56SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
88.5%
36
11.5%
Q2 - 4:08ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
87.2%
36
12.8%
Q2 - 4:16SASHoward STEAL (2 STL)46
89.6%
33
10.4%
Q2 - 4:29ORLArroyo 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
90.6%
33
9.4%
Q2 - 4:41SASParker Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)46
91.6%
31
8.4%
Q2 - 4:55ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
90.6%
31
9.4%
Q2 - 4:55ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
90.8%
30
9.2%
Q2 - 4:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
91.6%
29
8.4%
Q2 - 5:00SASMISS Parker 15' Running Jump Shot44
91.8%
29
8.2%
Q2 - 5:19ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Milicic 2 AST)44
92.3%
29
7.7%
Q2 - 5:44SASBarry 9' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
93.7%
26
6.3%
Q2 - 5:51SASSpurs Rebound42
93.0%
26
7.0%
Q2 - 5:52SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot42
92.5%
26
7.5%
Q2 - 6:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
92.8%
26
7.2%
Q2 - 6:07SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
92.2%
26
7.8%
Q2 - 6:15SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
92.8%
26
7.2%
Q2 - 6:18ORLMISS Milicic Layup42
92.5%
26
7.5%
Q2 - 6:34ORLMAGIC Rebound42
91.9%
26
8.1%
Q2 - 6:34ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot42
92.5%
26
7.5%
Q2 - 6:57SASFinley 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)42
91.9%
26
8.1%
Q2 - 7:04ORLMilicic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)40
90.6%
26
9.4%
Q2 - 7:18SASParker 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
89.7%
26
10.3%
Q2 - 7:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
88.7%
26
11.3%
Q2 - 7:35ORLMISS Diener 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
88.4%
26
11.6%
Q2 - 7:41ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
87.5%
26
12.5%
Q2 - 7:43SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
87.9%
26
12.1%
Q2 - 8:03SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
88.4%
26
11.6%
Q2 - 8:05ORLMISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot38
88.1%
26
11.9%
Q2 - 8:18SASParker Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
87.2%
26
12.8%
Q2 - 8:41ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
86.2%
26
13.8%
Q2 - 8:41ORLOutlaw Tip Shot (2 PTS)36
86.2%
26
13.8%
Q2 - 8:42ORLMISS Arroyo Reverse Layup36
88.1%
24
11.9%
Q2 - 9:05SASFinley Foul Turnover (P1.T5)36
86.9%
24
13.1%
Q2 - 9:17ORLArroyo 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
88.1%
24
11.9%
Q2 - 9:31ORLMAGIC Rebound36
89.0%
22
11.0%
Q2 - 9:32SASMISS Horry 18' Jump Shot36
89.4%
22
10.6%
Q2 - 9:57ORLArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
90.1%
22
9.9%
Q2 - 10:25SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)36
90.6%
20
9.4%
Q2 - 10:39SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
88.9%
20
11.1%
Q2 - 10:41ORLMISS Diener 22' Jump Shot33
88.5%
20
11.5%
Q2 - 10:55SASVaughn Layup (2 PTS)33
87.7%
20
12.3%
Q2 - 11:02SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
86.4%
20
13.6%
Q2 - 11:04ORLMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot31
86.0%
20
14.0%
Q2 - 11:26SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)31
85.2%
20
14.8%
Q2 - 11:39SASFinley Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)28
82.6%
20
17.4%
Q2 - 11:39SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
81.2%
20
18.8%
Q2 - 11:41ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
80.7%
20
19.3%
Q2 - 11:43ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
79.6%
20
20.4%
Q2 - 11:45ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot27
80.7%
20
19.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS27
79.6%
20
20.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound27
81.2%
20
18.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Horry 9' Running Jump Shot27
80.1%
20
19.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
80.6%
20
19.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
79.5%
20
20.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
79.9%
20
20.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLOutlaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)27
80.7%
20
19.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASVaughn Foul Turnover (P1.T4)27
79.5%
20
20.5%
Q1 - 1:06ORLRedick 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)27
80.7%
20
19.3%
Q1 - 1:11SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)27
82.4%
18
17.6%
Q1 - 1:26ORLHoward 9' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)27
83.4%
18
16.6%
Q1 - 1:51SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
85.0%
16
15.0%
Q1 - 1:51SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
84.6%
16
15.4%
Q1 - 2:08ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)25
83.6%
16
16.4%
Q1 - 2:23SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)25
84.9%
14
15.1%
Q1 - 2:23SASOberto Layup (4 PTS)25
84.9%
14
15.1%
Q1 - 2:26SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot23
82.8%
14
17.2%
Q1 - 2:42SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
83.6%
14
16.4%
Q1 - 2:44ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot23
83.2%
14
16.8%
Q1 - 2:50ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
82.4%
14
17.6%
Q1 - 2:53SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot23
82.8%
14
17.2%
Q1 - 2:55SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
83.6%
14
16.4%
Q1 - 2:58SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)23
82.8%
14
17.2%
Q1 - 3:08SASBarry Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)23
83.3%
14
16.7%
Q1 - 3:23ORLTurkoglu Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)22
82.0%
14
18.0%
Q1 - 3:41ORLMAGIC Rebound22
83.2%
12
16.8%
Q1 - 3:43SASMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)22
83.6%
12
16.4%
Q1 - 4:04ORLNelson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
84.5%
12
15.5%
Q1 - 4:10SASMilicic STEAL (1 STL)22
85.3%
10
14.7%
Q1 - 4:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
86.6%
10
13.4%
Q1 - 4:29ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot22
86.2%
10
13.8%
Q1 - 4:46SASOberto 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)22
85.3%
10
14.7%
Q1 - 4:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
84.4%
10
15.6%
Q1 - 4:59ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot20
84.0%
10
16.0%
Q1 - 5:12SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)20
82.6%
10
17.4%
Q1 - 5:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
83.9%
10
16.1%
Q1 - 5:23ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup20
83.6%
10
16.4%
Q1 - 5:33SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
82.7%
10
17.3%
Q1 - 5:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)19
82.3%
10
17.7%
Q1 - 5:41SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
81.6%
10
18.4%
Q1 - 5:42SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 218
80.3%
10
19.7%
Q1 - 5:42SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
81.0%
10
19.0%
Q1 - 5:56ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)17
80.3%
10
19.7%
Q1 - 6:11ORLMAGIC Rebound17
81.0%
8
19.0%
Q1 - 6:13SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot17
81.4%
8
18.6%
Q1 - 6:30SASSpurs Rebound17
82.2%
8
17.8%
Q1 - 6:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 217
82.1%
8
17.9%
Q1 - 6:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 217
81.4%
8
18.6%
Q1 - 6:41SASBowen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)17
81.0%
8
19.0%
Q1 - 7:01ORLHoward Dunk (6 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)15
79.4%
8
20.6%
Q1 - 7:20SASBowen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)15
80.5%
6
19.5%
Q1 - 7:26ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
79.4%
6
20.6%
Q1 - 7:43SASBarry Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)13
78.0%
6
22.0%
Q1 - 7:47ORLBogans Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
76.8%
6
23.2%
Q1 - 8:12SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
75.7%
6
24.3%
Q1 - 8:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
74.4%
6
25.6%
Q1 - 8:26ORLMISS Milicic 7' Hook Shot9
73.9%
6
26.1%
Q1 - 8:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
72.7%
6
27.3%
Q1 - 8:40SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot9
73.3%
6
26.7%
Q1 - 9:04ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)9
74.4%
6
25.6%
Q1 - 9:10ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
75.4%
4
24.6%
Q1 - 9:13SASMISS Barry 11' Jump Shot9
76.0%
4
24.0%
Q1 - 9:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 9:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot9
76.7%
4
23.3%
Q1 - 9:41SASBarry Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)9
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 9:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
74.4%
4
25.6%
Q1 - 9:46ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
73.9%
4
26.1%
Q1 - 9:59SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)7
72.6%
4
27.4%
Q1 - 10:15ORLTurkoglu 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 10:41SASBarry Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
71.0%
2
29.0%
Q1 - 10:44ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
69.7%
2
30.3%
Q1 - 10:58SASParker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)2
67.9%
2
32.1%
Q1 - 11:13ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
66.4%
2
33.6%
Q1 - 11:13ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
66.9%
1
33.1%
Q1 - 11:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
68.1%
0
31.9%
Q1 - 11:39SASMISS Elson 8' Hook Shot0
68.6%
0
31.4%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Duncan: Tip to Elson0
69.6%
0
30.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.3%
ORL
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
22
73%
ORL
15
22
68%
Midrange
SAS
16
39
41%
ORL
21
41
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
ORL
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
SAS
16
24
67%
ORL
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2450%12.0 / 24
B. Barry2188%10.5 / 12
M. Finley1890%9.0 / 10
T. Parker1747%8.5 / 18
M. Ginobili739%3.5 / 9
B. Bowen450%2.0 / 4
F. Oberto450%2.0 / 4
J. Vaughn467%2.0 / 3
R. Horry338%1.5 / 4
F. Elson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson3170%15.5 / 22
D. Howard3075%15.0 / 20
J. Redick1673%8.0 / 11
C. Arroyo1267%6.0 / 9
H. Turkoglu633%3.0 / 9
D. Milicic433%2.0 / 6
B. Outlaw467%2.0 / 3
K. Bogans338%1.5 / 4
T. Diener0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
77
+17
-11
94
ORL
75
+12
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.3%
ORL
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
105.1
SAS 118.2
ORL 121.8 +3.7
Pace
89.8
89.8
SAS 92.0 +8.7
ORL 83.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.2
SAS 15.6 +1.6
ORL 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
50.0%
SAS 55.7%
ORL 58.4% +2.7%
TO %
14.7%
18.0%
SAS 12.7%
ORL 12.3% +0.4%
ORB %
24.5%
29.3%
SAS 36.4% +13.1%
ORL 23.3%
FTrt
31.3
39.3
SAS 30.4 +4.4
ORL 26.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
53.0%
SAS 65.0% +12.6%
ORL 52.4%
STL %
8.0%
7.6%
SAS 11.4% +4.5%
ORL 6.9%
BLK %
7.8%
8.5%
SAS 4.8%
ORL 11.5% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
53.0%
SAS 55.3%
ORL 60.2% +4.9%
Rim FG%
62.1%
61.6%
SAS 72.7% +4.5%
ORL 68.2%
Mid FG%
40.4%
38.3%
SAS 41.0%
ORL 51.2% +10.2%
3P %
38.1%
35.6%
SAS 44.4% +1.5%
ORL 42.9%
FT %
75.1%
70.2%
SAS 66.7%
ORL 80.0% +13.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
40.1%
SAS 27.8%
ORL 28.6% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
44.1%
SAS 49.4% +3.9%
ORL 53.2%
3P Att. %
24.7%
15.8%
SAS 22.8% +4.6%
ORL 18.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASORL
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points104106
Rebounds3528
Assists2622
Steals106
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)21 (5)
Field Goals40-7942-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2215-22
Midrange FG16-3921-41
2-Point FG32-6136-63
3-Point FG8-186-14
Free Throws16-2416-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 31
39.7
24
50%
16
6
1
0
4
3
6
10
8-10
80%
8-19
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
37.3
17
47%
3
7
1
0
1
2
1
2
3-6
50%
7-14
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
33.7
21
88%
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
4-6
67%
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
17.3
4
50%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 240 · 31
16.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
30.6
7
39%
3
6
0
0
3
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
22.8
18
90%
2
0
2
2
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 245 · 32
18.4
4
50%
5
2
2
1
0
4
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
14.8
4
67%
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36
9.1
3
38%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35
#15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'10" 260 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
55%
35
26
10
3
11
0
12
23
16-24
67%
32-61
52%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.