Final Win Prob. pScore
263%92
104
1837%87
106
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
118.28892.0
ORL logo Magic
121.88783.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL104
106
Q4 - 0:00.0SASHoward STEAL (4 STL)104
106
Q4 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)104
106
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (30 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)104
106
Q4 - 0:00.0SASSUB: Elson FOR Finley104
104
Q4 - 0:00.0SASSUB: Bowen FOR Barry104
104
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)104
104
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)104
104
Q4 - 0:01.0SASHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)104
104
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen104
104
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)104
104
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLNelson 13' Jump Shot (31 PTS)104
104
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Milicic104
102
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)104
102
Q4 - 0:24.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)104
102
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Arroyo103
102
Q4 - 0:24.0SASSpurs Rebound103
102
Q4 - 0:24.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 2103
102
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P4.PN)103
102
Q4 - 0:27.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
102
Q4 - 0:27.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 2103
102
Q4 - 0:27.0SASSpurs Rebound103
102
Q4 - 0:27.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 2103
102
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P3.PN)103
102
Q4 - 0:46.0SASSUB: Bowen FOR Barry103
102
Q4 - 0:46.0SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)103
102
Q4 - 0:46.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)103
102
Q4 - 0:46.0SASGinobili S.FOUL (P2.PN)103
101
Q4 - 0:46.0ORLRedick Layup (15 PTS)103
101
Q4 - 0:51.0SASHoward STEAL (3 STL)103
99
Q4 - 1:12ORLArroyo 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)103
99
Q4 - 1:23ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Outlaw103
97
Q4 - 1:23SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)103
97
Q4 - 1:23ORLMAGIC Rebound103
97
Q4 - 1:23SASMISS Finley 8' Jump Shot103
97
Q4 - 1:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)103
97
Q4 - 1:42ORLMISS Nelson Layup103
97
Q4 - 1:56SASGinobili Layup (7 PTS)103
97
Q4 - 2:22ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Arroyo 7 AST)101
97
Q4 - 2:44SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)101
95
Q4 - 2:51ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)99
95
Q4 - 2:51ORLHoward P.FOUL (P3.T4)99
95
Q4 - 3:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
95
Q4 - 3:03ORLMISS Outlaw Layup99
95
Q4 - 3:25SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (24 PTS)99
95
Q4 - 3:44ORLOutlaw Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)97
95
Q4 - 4:04ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Milicic97
93
Q4 - 4:04SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T11)97
93
Q4 - 4:04SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P2)97
93
Q4 - 4:16ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)97
93
Q4 - 4:35SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)97
93
Q4 - 4:53ORLNelson Layup (27 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)94
93
Q4 - 4:56SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen94
91
Q4 - 4:56ORLMAGIC Rebound94
91
Q4 - 4:58ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup94
91
Q4 - 5:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)94
91
Q4 - 5:05SASMISS Parker 17' Running Jump Shot94
91
Q4 - 5:13SASSpurs Rebound94
91
Q4 - 5:13SASHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)94
91
Q4 - 5:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)94
91
Q4 - 5:23ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
91
Q4 - 5:39SASFinley 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)94
91
Q4 - 5:51ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Outlaw92
91
Q4 - 5:51SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)92
91
Q4 - 5:53ORLArroyo Driving Layup (10 PTS)92
91
Q4 - 6:05ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)92
89
Q4 - 6:07ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot92
89
Q4 - 6:31SASParker Driving Layup (16 PTS)92
89
Q4 - 6:45SASSUB: Barry FOR Ginobili90
89
Q4 - 6:45ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)90
89
Q4 - 6:58ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)90
89
Q4 - 6:59SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 290
89
Q4 - 6:59SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)90
89
Q4 - 6:59ORLOutlaw S.FOUL (P1.T3)89
89
Q4 - 7:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)89
89
Q4 - 7:16SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
89
Q4 - 7:41ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (28 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)89
89
Q4 - 7:59SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
87
Q4 - 7:59SASSpurs Rebound88
87
Q4 - 7:59SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 288
87
Q4 - 7:59SASSUB: Bowen FOR Vaughn88
87
Q4 - 7:59SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto88
87
Q4 - 7:5988
87
Q4 - 7:59ORLArroyo S.FOUL (P2.T2)88
87
Q4 - 8:04SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
87
Q4 - 8:07ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot88
87
Q4 - 8:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
87
Q4 - 8:11ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot88
87
Q4 - 8:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
87
Q4 - 8:28SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot88
87
Q4 - 8:43SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
87
Q4 - 8:45SASMISS Parker Layup88
87
Q4 - 8:49ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)88
87
Q4 - 9:02ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
87
Q4 - 9:04SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot88
87
Q4 - 9:18ORLMAGIC Violation: Delay of game Violation88
87
Q4 - 9:19ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)88
87
Q4 - 9:31SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)88
85
Q4 - 9:31SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)87
85
Q4 - 9:31ORLHoward S.FOUL (P2.T1)86
85
Q4 - 9:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
85
Q4 - 9:45ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot86
85
Q4 - 9:56SASVaughn P.FOUL (P2.T1)86
85
Q4 - 10:08SASParker 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)86
85
Q4 - 10:30ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (25 PTS)84
85
Q4 - 10:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
83
Q4 - 10:38SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
83
Q4 - 10:58ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)84
83
Q4 - 11:18SASVaughn 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)84
80
Q4 - 11:27ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)82
80
Q4 - 11:42SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)82
80
Q4 - 12:0080
80
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS80
80
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)80
80
Q3 - 0:16.0ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)80
77
Q3 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot80
77
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
77
Q3 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
77
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
77
Q3 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Nelson 11' Running Jump Shot80
77
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
77
Q3 - 0:50.0SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot80
77
Q3 - 1:13ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)80
77
Q3 - 1:29SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)80
75
Q3 - 1:51ORLNelson 23' Jump Shot (15 PTS)77
75
Q3 - 2:02ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Howard77
73
Q3 - 2:02SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili77
73
Q3 - 2:02ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)77
73
Q3 - 2:02SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)77
73
Q3 - 2:02SASSpurs Rebound77
73
Q3 - 2:02SASMilicic BLOCK (3 BLK)77
73
Q3 - 2:30ORLNelson 10' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)77
73
Q3 - 2:47SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)77
71
Q3 - 3:05ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
71
Q3 - 3:05SASSUB: Horry FOR Elson74
70
Q3 - 3:05ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
70
Q3 - 3:05SASElson S.FOUL (P4.PN)74
69
Q3 - 3:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
69
Q3 - 3:13SASMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot74
69
Q3 - 3:29ORLArroyo 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
69
Q3 - 3:48SASVaughn Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)74
67
Q3 - 3:57ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)74
67
Q3 - 4:01ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
67
Q3 - 4:03SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot74
67
Q3 - 4:09SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker74
67
Q3 - 4:09ORLSUB: Redick FOR Bogans74
67
Q3 - 4:09ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Turkoglu74
67
Q3 - 4:22ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)74
67
Q3 - 4:22SASSUB: Elson FOR Oberto74
66
Q3 - 4:22ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
66
Q3 - 4:22SASOberto L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)74
65
Q3 - 4:22ORLMAGIC Rebound74
65
Q3 - 4:23SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot74
65
Q3 - 4:40ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)74
65
Q3 - 4:40ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)74
64
Q3 - 4:40SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.PN)74
63
Q3 - 4:52SASDuncan Layup (21 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)74
63
Q3 - 5:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)72
63
Q3 - 5:06ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
63
Q3 - 5:24SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)72
63
Q3 - 5:39SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)69
63
Q3 - 5:40ORLHoward Layup (20 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)69
63
Q3 - 5:47ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
61
Q3 - 5:49SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot69
61
Q3 - 6:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)69
61
Q3 - 6:04ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Turnaround Jump Shot69
61
Q3 - 6:14SASOberto P.FOUL (P3.T4)69
61
Q3 - 6:18SASSUB: Oberto FOR Elson69
61
Q3 - 6:18ORLMAGIC Rebound69
61
Q3 - 6:19ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup69
61
Q3 - 6:29ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
61
Q3 - 6:31SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot69
61
Q3 - 6:54ORLMilicic Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)69
61
Q3 - 7:16SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)69
59
Q3 - 7:43ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)67
59
Q3 - 8:02SASElson Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)67
56
Q3 - 8:11SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
56
Q3 - 8:13ORLMISS Turkoglu 23' Jump Shot65
56
Q3 - 8:25SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)65
56
Q3 - 8:25SASSpurs Rebound64
56
Q3 - 8:25SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 264
56
Q3 - 8:25ORLMilicic S.FOUL (P2.T1)64
56
Q3 - 8:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)64
56
Q3 - 8:28SASMISS Barry 17' Jump Shot64
56
Q3 - 8:42ORLNelson Driving Layup (9 PTS)64
56
Q3 - 8:48ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
54
Q3 - 8:50SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Bank Shot64
54
Q3 - 9:11ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
54
Q3 - 9:11SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen64
53
Q3 - 9:11ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
53
Q3 - 9:11SASBowen S.FOUL (P2.T3)64
52
Q3 - 9:34SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS)64
52
Q3 - 9:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)62
52
Q3 - 9:48ORLMISS Milicic 6' Hook Shot62
52
Q3 - 9:56SASParker P.FOUL (P2.T2)62
52
Q3 - 10:06SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)62
52
Q3 - 10:32ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (18 PTS)62
52
Q3 - 10:44SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)62
50
Q3 - 10:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
50
Q3 - 10:59SASTurkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK)59
50
Q3 - 11:23ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)59
50
Q3 - 11:28SASDuncan P.FOUL (P1.T1)59
48
Q3 - 11:30ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
48
Q3 - 11:33SASMISS Duncan 11' Hook Shot59
48
Q3 - 11:44SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
48
Q3 - 11:47ORLMISS Bogans 21' Jump Shot59
48
Q3 - 12:0059
48
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL59
48
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound59
48
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
48
Q2 - 0:05.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
48
Q2 - 0:05.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
48
Q2 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Bowen FOR Barry57
48
Q2 - 0:05.0ORLArroyo S.FOUL (P1.T3)57
48
Q2 - 0:05.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)57
48
Q2 - 0:05.0SASMilicic BLOCK (2 BLK)57
48
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Howard57
48
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLSUB: Diener FOR Nelson57
48
Q2 - 0:25.0SASSUB: Finley FOR Oberto57
48
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)57
48
Q2 - 0:37.0SASDuncan Driving Layup (13 PTS)57
48
Q2 - 0:56.0ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)55
48
Q2 - 1:16SASDuncan Dunk (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)55
45
Q2 - 1:22SASSpurs Rebound53
45
Q2 - 1:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
45
Q2 - 1:23SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot53
45
Q2 - 1:25SASMISS Ginobili Layup53
45
Q2 - 1:40ORLRedick 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)53
45
Q2 - 2:00SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)53
43
Q2 - 2:16ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
43
Q2 - 2:16ORLMAGIC Rebound51
42
Q2 - 2:16ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 251
42
Q2 - 2:16SASOberto P.FOUL (P2.PN)51
42
Q2 - 2:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
42
Q2 - 2:31SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot51
42
Q2 - 2:46ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
42
Q2 - 2:46ORLMAGIC Rebound51
41
Q2 - 2:46ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 251
41
Q2 - 2:46SASSUB: Oberto FOR Elson51
41
Q2 - 2:4651
41
Q2 - 2:46SASElson L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)51
41
Q2 - 2:46ORLMAGIC Rebound51
41
Q2 - 2:47ORLMISS Nelson 10' Running Jump Shot51
41
Q2 - 2:59SASGinobili Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)51
41
Q2 - 3:20ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)49
41
Q2 - 3:20SASBarry S.FOUL (P1.T4)49
40
Q2 - 3:20ORLNelson Layup (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)49
40
Q2 - 3:23SASArroyo STEAL (1 STL)49
38
Q2 - 3:41ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS)49
38
Q2 - 3:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
36
Q2 - 3:56SASDuncan Tip Shot (7 PTS)49
36
Q2 - 3:56SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 247
36
Q2 - 3:56SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
36
Q2 - 3:56ORLNelson S.FOUL (P2.T2)46
36
Q2 - 4:08ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
36
Q2 - 4:16SASHoward STEAL (2 STL)46
33
Q2 - 4:29ORLArroyo 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
33
Q2 - 4:41SASParker Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)46
31
Q2 - 4:55ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
31
Q2 - 4:55ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
30
Q2 - 4:55SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen44
29
Q2 - 4:55SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T3)44
29
Q2 - 4:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
29
Q2 - 5:00SASMISS Parker 15' Running Jump Shot44
29
Q2 - 5:19ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Milicic 2 AST)44
29
Q2 - 5:44SASBarry 9' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
26
Q2 - 5:51ORLRedick L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)42
26
Q2 - 5:51SASSpurs Rebound42
26
Q2 - 5:52SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot42
26
Q2 - 6:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
26
Q2 - 6:07SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
26
Q2 - 6:15SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
26
Q2 - 6:18ORLMISS Milicic Layup42
26
Q2 - 6:34SASBowen L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)42
26
Q2 - 6:34ORLMAGIC Rebound42
26
Q2 - 6:34ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot42
26
Q2 - 6:50ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Diener42
26
Q2 - 6:50ORLSUB: Howard FOR Outlaw42
26
Q2 - 6:50SASSUB: Elson FOR Horry42
26
Q2 - 6:50SASSUB: Barry FOR Finley42
26
Q2 - 6:50ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)42
26
Q2 - 6:57SASFinley 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)42
26
Q2 - 7:04ORLMilicic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)40
26
Q2 - 7:18SASParker 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
26
Q2 - 7:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
26
Q2 - 7:35ORLMISS Diener 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
26
Q2 - 7:41ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
26
Q2 - 7:43SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
26
Q2 - 8:03SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
26
Q2 - 8:05ORLMISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot38
26
Q2 - 8:18SASParker Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
26
Q2 - 8:37SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto36
26
Q2 - 8:37SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)36
26
Q2 - 8:41ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
26
Q2 - 8:41ORLOutlaw Tip Shot (2 PTS)36
26
Q2 - 8:42ORLMISS Arroyo Reverse Layup36
24
Q2 - 9:05ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Howard36
24
Q2 - 9:05SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn36
24
Q2 - 9:05SASFinley Foul Turnover (P1.T5)36
24
Q2 - 9:05SASFinley OFF.Foul (P1)36
24
Q2 - 9:17ORLArroyo 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
24
Q2 - 9:31ORLMAGIC Rebound36
22
Q2 - 9:32SASMISS Horry 18' Jump Shot36
22
Q2 - 9:57ORLArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
22
Q2 - 10:06SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili36
20
Q2 - 10:06SASOberto P.FOUL (P1.T1)36
20
Q2 - 10:25SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)36
20
Q2 - 10:39SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
20
Q2 - 10:41ORLMISS Diener 22' Jump Shot33
20
Q2 - 10:55SASVaughn Layup (2 PTS)33
20
Q2 - 11:02SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
20
Q2 - 11:04ORLMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot31
20
Q2 - 11:26SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)31
20
Q2 - 11:39ORLSUB: Diener FOR Turkoglu28
20
Q2 - 11:39SASFinley Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)28
20
Q2 - 11:39ORLHoward T.FOUL (P1.T0)27
20
Q2 - 11:39SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20
Q2 - 11:41ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
20
Q2 - 11:43ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
20
Q2 - 11:45ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot27
20
Q2 - 12:0027
20
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS27
20
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound27
20
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Horry 9' Running Jump Shot27
20
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
20
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20
Q1 - 0:30.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
20
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLOutlaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)27
20
Q1 - 0:52.0SASSUB: Horry FOR Duncan27
20
Q1 - 0:52.0SASVaughn Foul Turnover (P1.T4)27
20
Q1 - 0:52.0SASVaughn OFF.Foul (P1)27
20
Q1 - 1:06ORLRedick 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)27
20
Q1 - 1:11SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)27
18
Q1 - 1:26ORLHoward 9' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)27
18
Q1 - 1:51SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
16
Q1 - 1:51SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
16
Q1 - 1:51ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Milicic25
16
Q1 - 1:51ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson25
16
Q1 - 1:51ORLNelson S.FOUL (P1.PN)25
16
Q1 - 2:08ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)25
16
Q1 - 2:23SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)25
14
Q1 - 2:23SASOberto Layup (4 PTS)25
14
Q1 - 2:26SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot23
14
Q1 - 2:42SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
14
Q1 - 2:44ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot23
14
Q1 - 2:50ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
14
Q1 - 2:53SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot23
14
Q1 - 2:55SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
14
Q1 - 2:58SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)23
14
Q1 - 3:08SASSUB: Finley FOR Barry23
14
Q1 - 3:08ORLSUB: Redick FOR Bogans23
14
Q1 - 3:08SASBarry Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)23
14
Q1 - 3:08ORLBogans T.FOUL (P2.T4)22
14
Q1 - 3:08ORLBogans P.FOUL (P2.T4)22
14
Q1 - 3:23ORLTurkoglu Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)22
14
Q1 - 3:41SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker22
12
Q1 - 3:41ORLMAGIC Rebound22
12
Q1 - 3:43SASMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)22
12
Q1 - 4:04ORLNelson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
12
Q1 - 4:10SASMilicic STEAL (1 STL)22
10
Q1 - 4:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
10
Q1 - 4:29ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot22
10
Q1 - 4:46SASOberto 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)22
10
Q1 - 4:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
10
Q1 - 4:59ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot20
10
Q1 - 5:12SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)20
10
Q1 - 5:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
10
Q1 - 5:23ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup20
10
Q1 - 5:33SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
10
Q1 - 5:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)19
10
Q1 - 5:33ORLMilicic S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
10
Q1 - 5:41SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
10
Q1 - 5:42SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 218
10
Q1 - 5:42SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
10
Q1 - 5:42ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T2)17
10
Q1 - 5:50SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
10
Q1 - 5:56ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)17
10
Q1 - 6:11ORLMAGIC Rebound17
8
Q1 - 6:13SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot17
8
Q1 - 6:30SASSpurs Rebound17
8
Q1 - 6:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 217
8
Q1 - 6:31ORLMAGIC Rebound17
8
Q1 - 6:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 217
8
Q1 - 6:31SASSUB: Oberto FOR Elson17
8
Q1 - 6:31SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen17
8
Q1 - 6:31SASElson S.FOUL (P2.T2)17
8
Q1 - 6:41SASBowen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)17
8
Q1 - 7:01ORLHoward Dunk (6 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)15
8
Q1 - 7:20SASBowen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)15
6
Q1 - 7:26ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
6
Q1 - 7:36ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)13
6
Q1 - 7:43SASBarry Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)13
6
Q1 - 7:47ORLBogans Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
6
Q1 - 8:12SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
6
Q1 - 8:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
6
Q1 - 8:26ORLMISS Milicic 7' Hook Shot9
6
Q1 - 8:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
6
Q1 - 8:40SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot9
6
Q1 - 8:49ORLBogans P.FOUL (P1.T1)9
6
Q1 - 9:04ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)9
6
Q1 - 9:10ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
4
Q1 - 9:13SASMISS Barry 11' Jump Shot9
4
Q1 - 9:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
4
Q1 - 9:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot9
4
Q1 - 9:41SASBarry Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)9
4
Q1 - 9:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 9:46ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
4
Q1 - 9:59SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)7
4
Q1 - 10:15ORLTurkoglu 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 10:30ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)4
2
Q1 - 10:41SASBarry Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 10:44ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:58SASParker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:13ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:13ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
1
Q1 - 11:13SASElson S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:39SASMISS Elson 8' Hook Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Duncan: Tip to Elson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.3%
ORL
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
22
73%
ORL
15
22
68%
Midrange
SAS
16
39
41%
ORL
21
41
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
ORL
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
SAS
16
24
67%
ORL
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2450%12.0 / 24
B. Barry2188%10.5 / 12
M. Finley1890%9.0 / 10
T. Parker1747%8.5 / 18
M. Ginobili739%3.5 / 9
B. Bowen450%2.0 / 4
F. Oberto450%2.0 / 4
J. Vaughn467%2.0 / 3
R. Horry338%1.5 / 4
F. Elson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson3170%15.5 / 22
D. Howard3075%15.0 / 20
J. Redick1673%8.0 / 11
C. Arroyo1267%6.0 / 9
H. Turkoglu633%3.0 / 9
D. Milicic433%2.0 / 6
B. Outlaw467%2.0 / 3
K. Bogans338%1.5 / 4
T. Diener0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
77
+17
-11
94
ORL
75
+12
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.3%
ORL
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
105.1
SAS 118.2
ORL 121.8 +3.7
Pace
89.8
89.8
SAS 92.0 +8.7
ORL 83.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.2
SAS 15.6 −1.6
ORL 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
50.0%
SAS 55.7%
ORL 58.4% +2.7%
TO %
14.7%
18.0%
SAS 12.7%
ORL 12.3% −0.4%
ORB %
24.5%
29.3%
SAS 36.4% +13.1%
ORL 23.3%
FTrt
31.3
39.3
SAS 30.4 +4.4
ORL 26.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
53.0%
SAS 65.0% +12.6%
ORL 52.4%
STL %
8.0%
7.6%
SAS 11.4% +4.5%
ORL 6.9%
BLK %
7.8%
8.5%
SAS 4.8%
ORL 11.5% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
53.0%
SAS 55.3%
ORL 60.2% +4.9%
Rim FG%
62.1%
61.6%
SAS 72.7% +4.5%
ORL 68.2%
Mid FG%
40.4%
38.3%
SAS 41.0%
ORL 51.2% +10.2%
3P %
38.1%
35.6%
SAS 44.4% +1.5%
ORL 42.9%
FT %
75.1%
70.2%
SAS 66.7%
ORL 80.0% +13.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
40.1%
SAS 27.8%
ORL 28.6% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
44.1%
SAS 49.4% −3.9%
ORL 53.2%
3P Att. %
24.7%
15.8%
SAS 22.8% +4.6%
ORL 18.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASORL
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points104106
Rebounds3528
Assists2622
Steals106
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)21 (5)
Field Goals40-7942-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2215-22
Midrange FG16-3921-41
2-Point FG32-6136-63
3-Point FG8-186-14
Free Throws16-2416-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 31
39.7
24
50%
16
6
1
0
4
3
6
10
8-10
80%
8-19
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
37.3
17
47%
3
7
1
0
1
2
1
2
3-6
50%
7-14
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
33.7
21
88%
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
4-6
67%
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
17.3
4
50%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 240 · 31
16.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
30.6
7
39%
3
6
0
0
3
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
22.8
18
90%
2
0
2
2
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 245 · 32
18.4
4
50%
5
2
2
1
0
4
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
14.8
4
67%
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36
9.1
3
38%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35
#15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'10" 260 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
55%
35
26
10
3
11
0
12
23
16-24
67%
32-61
52%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.