FinalWin Prob.pScore
646%93
79
1254%94
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.98584.0
CLE logo CLE
122.68485.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE79
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMarshall STEAL (3 STL)79
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0CLEWesley 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)79
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0CLEMISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)79
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0CLEMISS Marshall 1' Tip Shot79
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0CLEMISS Gooden 11' Hook Shot79
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMarshall STEAL (2 STL)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13CLEMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35CLEGibson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06CLEGibson Layup (9 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 276
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22CLEHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22CLEHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22CLECAVALIERS Rebound75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40CLEGooden 10' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Pavlovic 6 AST)75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAWright 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Quinn 13' Jump Bank Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26CLEMISS Pavlovic Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26CLEPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Posey 1' Tip Shot72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17CLEHughes 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pavlovic 5 AST)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)72
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45CLEPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45CLEPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Jones 1' Layup69
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)69
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 5:04CLEMISS Hughes 3' Running Layup69
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 5:24CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot69
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 5:38CLEHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)69
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 5:50CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot69
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 6:15CLEHughes 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 6:22CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 6:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 6:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot69
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 6:48CLEVarejao 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (James 6 AST)69
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 6:53CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)69
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 6:54CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 169
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 7:18MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)69
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 7:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 7:31CLEMISS Pavlovic 1' Layup66
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 7:51MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)66
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 8:17CLEJames 1' Slam Dunk (29 PTS) (Pavlovic 4 AST)64
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 8:23MIAPavlovic STEAL (2 STL)64
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 8:39CLEVarejao 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Pavlovic 3 AST)64
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 8:53MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS)64
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 9:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 9:11CLEMISS James 15' Jump Shot62
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q4 - 9:24CLEPavlovic Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)62
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 9:38MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 9:38MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 261
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q4 - 9:41CLESnow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)61
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 9:47MIAIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)61
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 9:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 10:01CLEMISS Snow 11' Jump Shot61
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 10:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)61
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 10:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)60
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 10:31CLEJames 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Snow 7 AST)59
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 10:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)59
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q4 - 10:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)58
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q4 - 10:59CLEVarejao Layup (2 PTS) (Snow 6 AST)57
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q4 - 11:09CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q4 - 11:28CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)57
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q4 - 11:33CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q4 - 11:35CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q4 - 11:47CLEMISS Pavlovic Free Throw Technical57
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA57
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
7.5%
69
92.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0CLEMISS Marshall 1' Layup57
7.1%
69
92.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
6.5%
69
93.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0CLEJames Driving Dunk (22 PTS)57
7.4%
69
92.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot57
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0CLEGooden 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST)57
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 1:03CLESnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
14.0%
65
86.0%
Q3 - 1:05CLEMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
15.7%
65
84.3%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMourning Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)57
13.9%
65
86.1%
Q3 - 1:39CLEMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Snow 5 AST)55
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q3 - 1:42CLECAVALIERS Rebound55
16.4%
62
83.6%
Q3 - 1:42CLEMISS Pavlovic 4' Jump Shot55
18.4%
62
81.6%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMarshall STEAL (1 STL)55
17.1%
62
82.9%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
20.1%
62
79.9%
Q3 - 2:18CLEMISS Snow 14' Jump Shot55
19.1%
62
80.9%
Q3 - 2:21CLECAVALIERS Rebound55
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q3 - 2:21CLEMISS James 11' Turnaround Jump Shot55
19.1%
62
80.9%
Q3 - 2:35CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)55
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q3 - 2:37CLEMISS James 19' Jump Shot55
19.1%
62
80.9%
Q3 - 2:48CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q3 - 2:49CLEMISS Marshall 17' Jump Shot55
19.1%
62
80.9%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMourning 1' Dunk (2 PTS)55
17.9%
62
82.1%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
15.6%
62
84.4%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot53
13.9%
62
86.1%
Q3 - 3:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
15.6%
62
84.4%
Q3 - 3:15MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
13.9%
62
86.1%
Q3 - 3:31CLEGooden 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)53
15.5%
62
84.5%
Q3 - 3:55MIAWade Dunk (18 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)53
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q3 - 3:59CLEPavlovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)51
15.5%
60
84.5%
Q3 - 4:22MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)51
13.7%
60
86.3%
Q3 - 4:44MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
12.1%
60
87.9%
Q3 - 4:47CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q3 - 4:55CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 4:58CLEMISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 149
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 5:06CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
14.6%
58
85.4%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot49
15.3%
58
84.7%
Q3 - 5:28CLEJames 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)49
16.9%
58
83.1%
Q3 - 5:32CLEMISS Gooden 4' Layup49
24.1%
55
75.9%
Q3 - 5:32CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
21.9%
55
78.1%
Q3 - 5:53MIAWade 2' Running Layup (16 PTS)49
21.9%
55
78.1%
Q3 - 6:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 6:13CLEMISS Ilgauskas 6' Jump Hook Shot47
19.2%
55
80.8%
Q3 - 6:30MIAHaslem 1' Layup (9 PTS)47
17.4%
55
82.6%
Q3 - 6:52CLEHughes 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
15.4%
55
84.6%
Q3 - 6:57MIAHughes STEAL (1 STL)45
17.4%
53
82.6%
Q3 - 7:08CLEHughes 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)45
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q3 - 7:25MIAHaslem 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)45
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q3 - 7:51CLEJames Alley Oop Layup (17 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)43
20.5%
51
79.5%
Q3 - 8:06CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)43
23.3%
49
76.7%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot43
24.3%
49
75.7%
Q3 - 8:25CLEGooden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)43
26.5%
49
73.5%
Q3 - 8:27CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)43
23.3%
49
76.7%
Q3 - 8:29CLEMISS Hughes 22' Jump Shot43
25.5%
49
74.5%
Q3 - 8:40MIAWade 7' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)43
23.3%
49
76.7%
Q3 - 9:00CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)41
21.0%
49
79.0%
Q3 - 9:14MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)41
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q3 - 9:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
29.6%
46
70.4%
Q3 - 9:25CLEMISS Ilgauskas 14' Jump Shot41
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q3 - 9:32CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot41
27.5%
46
72.5%
Q3 - 9:48CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)41
29.6%
46
70.4%
Q3 - 9:55CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
26.5%
46
73.5%
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Kapono 4' Jump Shot41
27.5%
46
72.5%
Q3 - 10:06MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)41
30.2%
46
69.8%
Q3 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
27.3%
46
72.7%
Q3 - 10:09CLEMISS James 8' Jump Shot40
26.3%
46
73.7%
Q3 - 10:29MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)40
24.2%
46
75.8%
Q3 - 10:43MIAHeat Rebound38
21.9%
46
78.1%
Q3 - 10:45CLEMISS Ilgauskas 5' Jump Shot38
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWade Driving Layup (12 PTS)38
19.3%
46
80.7%
Q3 - 10:59CLEHughes Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)36
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q3 - 11:15MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)36
16.0%
46
84.0%
Q3 - 11:36CLEJames 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)34
14.2%
46
85.8%
Q3 - 11:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q3 - 11:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 233
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA33
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound33
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 49' 3PT Jump Shot33
14.7%
44
85.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0CLEHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)33
16.6%
44
83.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0CLEMISS James Free Throw Technical33
15.4%
44
84.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T8)33
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0CLEMISS Varejao Tip Shot33
16.1%
44
83.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0CLEMISS James 1' Layup33
16.1%
44
83.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 233
15.4%
44
84.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 233
16.4%
44
83.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0CLEHughes 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)33
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q2 - 1:06MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T7)33
19.8%
42
80.2%
Q2 - 1:15CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)33
20.9%
42
79.1%
Q2 - 1:15CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)33
21.5%
41
78.5%
Q2 - 1:28CLECAVALIERS Rebound33
24.2%
40
75.8%
Q2 - 1:30CLEMISS Gooden 17' Jump Shot33
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 1:47MIAO'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (11 PTS)33
24.2%
40
75.8%
Q2 - 1:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
20.9%
40
79.1%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup31
20.1%
40
79.9%
Q2 - 2:13CLEIlgauskas 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)31
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 2:24CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
24.3%
38
75.7%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot31
24.9%
38
75.1%
Q2 - 2:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
26.4%
38
73.6%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot31
24.9%
38
75.1%
Q2 - 2:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
26.4%
38
73.6%
Q2 - 2:49CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 231
26.1%
38
73.9%
Q2 - 2:49CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)31
24.6%
38
75.4%
Q2 - 3:03MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T6)31
27.1%
37
72.9%
Q2 - 3:20CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
29.7%
37
70.3%
Q2 - 3:20CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
30.2%
36
69.8%
Q2 - 3:36MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)31
32.0%
35
68.0%
Q2 - 3:58CLEJames 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)28
27.3%
35
72.7%
Q2 - 4:32CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
30.0%
33
70.0%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot28
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 4:56CLEHughes 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
32.5%
33
67.5%
Q2 - 5:10CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
35.1%
31
64.9%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot28
36.0%
31
64.0%
Q2 - 5:33MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
37.9%
31
62.1%
Q2 - 5:35CLEMISS Hughes 16' Jump Shot28
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q2 - 5:57CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
35.1%
31
64.9%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot28
36.0%
31
64.0%
Q2 - 6:07CLEVarejao Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q2 - 6:24MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)28
35.2%
31
64.8%
Q2 - 6:45CLEPavlovic Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Snow 4 AST)26
33.2%
31
66.8%
Q2 - 6:49CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
35.2%
29
64.8%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
36.2%
29
63.8%
Q2 - 6:58MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
38.3%
29
61.7%
Q2 - 7:01CLEMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 7:16CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
35.9%
29
64.1%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
36.6%
29
63.4%
Q2 - 7:39MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 7:41CLEMISS Pavlovic 9' Jump Shot26
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 7:55MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)26
35.8%
29
64.2%
Q2 - 8:13MIAHeat Rebound23
31.4%
29
68.6%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot23
29.7%
29
70.3%
Q2 - 8:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
31.4%
29
68.6%
Q2 - 8:23CLEMISS Pollard 1' Layup23
30.7%
29
69.3%
Q2 - 8:43CLEPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
29.0%
29
71.0%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 223
29.3%
29
70.7%
Q2 - 8:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
30.2%
29
69.8%
Q2 - 8:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
29.2%
29
70.8%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Layup22
27.6%
29
72.4%
Q2 - 9:08CLEJames 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Snow 3 AST)22
29.5%
29
70.5%
Q2 - 9:14MIAVarejao STEAL (1 STL)22
31.4%
27
68.6%
Q2 - 9:34CLESnow 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pollard 1 AST)22
33.9%
27
66.1%
Q2 - 9:48MIAJones 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)22
35.9%
25
64.1%
Q2 - 10:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
34.0%
25
66.0%
Q2 - 10:07CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 220
33.6%
25
66.4%
Q2 - 10:07CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 220
32.3%
25
67.7%
Q2 - 10:22MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)20
31.5%
25
68.5%
Q2 - 10:35CLEJames Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)18
29.6%
25
70.4%
Q2 - 10:39CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
27.4%
25
72.6%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q2 - 10:55CLEPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)18
29.6%
25
70.4%
Q2 - 10:55CLEPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)18
30.0%
24
70.0%
Q2 - 11:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
31.7%
23
68.3%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 217
31.4%
23
68.6%
Q2 - 11:13MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
31.7%
23
68.3%
Q2 - 11:16CLEMISS James 10' Running Jump Shot17
31.1%
23
68.9%
Q2 - 11:40MIAPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T4)17
29.6%
23
70.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE17
31.7%
23
68.3%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)17
30.0%
23
70.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0CLEMarshall 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)15
27.6%
23
72.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
30.0%
21
70.0%
Q1 - 1:19CLEPavlovic Layup (7 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)12
25.9%
21
74.1%
Q1 - 1:24MIAPavlovic STEAL (1 STL)12
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 1:46CLEPavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Snow 2 AST)12
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q1 - 1:51CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Mourning 10' Jump Hook Shot12
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 2:25CLEPavlovic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)12
36.3%
16
63.7%
Q1 - 2:42CLEJump Ball Varejao vs. Haslem: Tip to Marshall12
38.6%
14
61.4%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup12
39.3%
14
60.7%
Q1 - 3:10MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
40.9%
14
59.1%
Q1 - 3:12CLEMISS Gooden 16' Jump Shot12
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 3:22CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 3:23CLEMISS Varejao 1' Layup12
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 3:31CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 3:34MIAMISS Kapono 8' Running Jump Shot12
39.2%
14
60.8%
Q1 - 3:52CLEJames 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
40.9%
14
59.1%
Q1 - 4:08MIAWade 3' Running Layup (6 PTS)12
42.7%
12
57.3%
Q1 - 4:25CLEGooden 9' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)10
41.0%
12
59.0%
Q1 - 4:32CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 4:34CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
44.5%
10
55.5%
Q1 - 4:53CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot10
43.5%
10
56.5%
Q1 - 4:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
45.3%
10
54.7%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot10
43.4%
10
56.6%
Q1 - 5:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
45.0%
10
55.0%
Q1 - 5:12CLEMISS Gooden 9' Jump Shot10
44.3%
10
55.7%
Q1 - 5:25CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
43.4%
10
56.6%
Q1 - 5:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
45.0%
10
55.0%
Q1 - 5:35CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 5:35CLEMISS Gooden 1' Tip Shot10
44.3%
10
55.7%
Q1 - 5:37CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 5:37CLEMISS Gooden Tip Shot10
44.3%
10
55.7%
Q1 - 5:39CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 5:39CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot10
44.3%
10
55.7%
Q1 - 5:42CLEMISS James 16' Jump Shot10
44.3%
10
55.7%
Q1 - 6:03MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)10
42.6%
10
57.4%
Q1 - 6:09CLEHughes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
40.7%
10
59.3%
Q1 - 6:15MIAGibson STEAL (1 STL)8
38.7%
10
61.3%
Q1 - 6:26MIAHeat Rebound8
40.7%
10
59.3%
Q1 - 6:28CLEMISS Ilgauskas 15' Turnaround Jump Shot8
40.1%
10
59.9%
Q1 - 6:42MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
38.7%
10
61.3%
Q1 - 7:08CLEGibson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
37.3%
10
62.7%
Q1 - 7:22CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
38.9%
8
61.1%
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot6
39.5%
8
60.5%
Q1 - 7:40CLEJames Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)6
40.9%
8
59.1%
Q1 - 7:48MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
42.5%
6
57.5%
Q1 - 8:08CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 8:08CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
41.5%
5
58.5%
Q1 - 8:17CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot4
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 8:34MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
44.8%
4
55.2%
Q1 - 8:36CLEMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot4
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 8:53MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 9:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.8%
4
55.2%
Q1 - 9:11CLEMISS James 3PT Jump Shot4
44.0%
4
56.0%
Q1 - 9:36MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)4
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 9:50CLEHughes 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)2
41.1%
4
58.9%
Q1 - 10:09CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Hook Shot2
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 10:30CLEJames 2' Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)2
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 10:43MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)2
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 11:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:02CLEMISS Gooden 13' Jump Shot0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 11:07CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
42.6%
0
57.4%
Q1 - 11:09CLEMISS Hughes 3PT Jump Shot0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 11:16CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.6%
0
57.4%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot0
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 11:36MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:39CLEMISS Ilgauskas 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. O'Neal: Tip to Gooden0
42.6%
0
57.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.0%
CLE
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
27
67%
CLE
18
32
56%
Midrange
MIA
9
27
33%
CLE
18
40
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
CLE
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
13
21
62%
CLE
16
24
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2764%13.5 / 21
S. O'Neal1447%7.0 / 15
J. Kapono1045%5.0 / 11
U. Haslem964%4.5 / 7
J. Posey650%3.0 / 6
E. Jones550%2.5 / 5
A. Mourning450%2.0 / 4
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
C. Quinn113%0.5 / 4
M. Doleac1-0.0 / 0
G. Payton0-0.0 / 3
A. Walker0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2958%14.5 / 25
L. Hughes1662%8.0 / 13
S. Pavlovic1568%7.5 / 11
D. Gooden1038%5.0 / 13
D. Gibson990%4.5 / 5
A. Varejao867%4.0 / 6
D. Marshall857%4.0 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas422%2.0 / 9
E. Snow233%1.0 / 3
D. Wesley2100%1.0 / 1
S. Pollard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+13
-15
83
CLE
73
+21
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.0%
CLE
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
105.9
MIA 92.9 +29.7
CLE 122.6
Pace
90.1
90.5
MIA 84.0
CLE 85.1 +1.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.3
MIA 17.2
CLE 16.9 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
48.4%
MIA 45.2%
CLE 51.2% +6.0%
TO %
15.3%
15.0%
MIA 15.4%
CLE 10.3% +5.1%
ORB %
24.9%
29.7%
MIA 26.2%
CLE 40.9% +14.7%
FTrt
32.1
32.0
MIA 28.8 +0.6
CLE 28.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
57.4%
MIA 64.5%
CLE 73.2% +8.7%
STL %
7.6%
8.3%
MIA 8.2%
CLE 10.7% +2.5%
BLK %
8.8%
6.9%
MIA 4.2% +4.2%
CLE 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
50.9%
MIA 47.0%
CLE 53.6% +6.6%
Rim FG%
61.8%
59.1%
MIA 66.7% +10.4%
CLE 56.3%
Mid FG%
40.5%
37.1%
MIA 33.3%
CLE 45.0% +11.7%
3P %
34.3%
35.2%
MIA 21.1%
CLE 38.5% +17.4%
FT %
69.0%
69.6%
MIA 61.9%
CLE 66.7% +4.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
36.4%
MIA 37.0%
CLE 37.6% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
42.5%
MIA 37.0% +10.1%
CLE 47.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.1%
MIA 26.0% +10.7%
CLE 15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions8584
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points79103
Rebounds3749
Assists2030
Steals79
Blocks30
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)31 (2)
Field Goals31-7341-85
At-the-Rim FG18-2718-32
Midrange FG9-2718-40
2-Point FG27-5436-72
3-Point FG4-195-13
Free Throws13-2116-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
38.6
27
64%
1
7
2
2
7
2
1
0
7-9
78%
10-17
59%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
31.9
9
64%
9
0
0
0
2
1
3
6
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 35
27.7
14
47%
7
1
0
1
1
5
2
5
2-4
50%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
27.6
10
45%
3
1
0
0
1
5
0
3
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
27.2
0
0%
0
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
21.2
6
50%
4
2
2
0
1
5
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35
18.0
5
50%
5
1
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
13.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
13.2
1
13%
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
12.5
4
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
4.1
1
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
4.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
47%
37
20
7
3
15
0
11
26
13-21
62%
27-54
50%
4-19
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.