Final Win Prob. pScore
256%93
85
744%91
100
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
98.88686.4
MIA logo Heat
113.68887.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA85
100
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
100
Q4 - 0:10.0SASMISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
100
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)85
100
Q4 - 0:41.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)85
97
Q4 - 0:42.0SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)85
97
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
97
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)85
96
Q4 - 0:42.0SASGinobili P.FOUL (P5.PN)85
95
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
95
Q4 - 0:42.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 285
95
Q4 - 0:42.0MIASUB: Kapono FOR Walker85
95
Q4 - 0:42.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
95
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)84
95
Q4 - 0:44.0SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)84
95
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAPosey Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)84
95
Q4 - 1:00SASGinobili Driving Layup (26 PTS)84
95
Q4 - 1:06SASSpurs Rebound82
95
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
95
Q4 - 1:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
95
Q4 - 1:21SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
95
Q4 - 1:25MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)82
95
Q4 - 1:39SASWalker STEAL (2 STL)82
95
Q4 - 1:47MIAHaslem Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T14)82
95
Q4 - 2:07SASGinobili Driving Layup (24 PTS)82
95
Q4 - 2:17MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)80
95
Q4 - 2:36MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)80
93
Q4 - 2:36SASGinobili L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)80
93
Q4 - 2:36MIAHEAT Rebound80
93
Q4 - 2:37SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
93
Q4 - 2:47MIAJones Driving Layup (12 PTS)80
93
Q4 - 3:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
91
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot80
91
Q4 - 3:11SASParker P.FOUL (P2.T3)80
91
Q4 - 3:26SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
91
Q4 - 3:26SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
91
Q4 - 3:26MIAWalker S.FOUL (P5.PN)78
91
Q4 - 3:37MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)78
91
Q4 - 3:57SASGinobili P.FOUL (P3.T2)78
88
Q4 - 3:59MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
88
Q4 - 4:00SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot78
88
Q4 - 4:19MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)78
88
Q4 - 4:32SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)78
86
Q4 - 4:32SASSpurs Rebound77
86
Q4 - 4:32SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 277
86
Q4 - 4:32MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)77
86
Q4 - 4:47MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
86
Q4 - 4:58SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)77
84
Q4 - 4:58SASSpurs Rebound76
84
Q4 - 4:58SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 276
84
Q4 - 4:58SASSUB: Finley FOR Elson76
84
Q4 - 4:58SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry76
84
Q4 - 4:5876
84
Q4 - 4:58MIAWalker S.FOUL (P4.PN)76
84
Q4 - 5:21MIAWalker 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)76
84
Q4 - 5:39MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
82
Q4 - 5:41SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
82
Q4 - 5:56SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
82
Q4 - 5:58SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
82
Q4 - 6:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)76
82
Q4 - 6:14MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
82
Q4 - 6:16SASWade BLOCK (3 BLK)76
82
Q4 - 6:20MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)76
82
Q4 - 6:23MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
82
Q4 - 6:25SASWade BLOCK (2 BLK)76
82
Q4 - 6:47MIAWalker 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)76
82
Q4 - 7:01SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
80
Q4 - 7:01SASSUB: Elson FOR Oberto75
80
Q4 - 7:01SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
80
Q4 - 7:01MIAPosey S.FOUL (P2.PN)74
80
Q4 - 7:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
80
Q4 - 7:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
79
Q4 - 7:17SASOberto S.FOUL (P4.T1)74
78
Q4 - 7:29SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
78
Q4 - 7:29SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan73
78
Q4 - 7:29SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)73
78
Q4 - 7:29MIAPosey P.FOUL (P1.PN)72
78
Q4 - 7:37MIAWade Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)72
78
Q4 - 7:37SASHorry T.FOUL (P0.T0)72
77
Q4 - 7:46MIASUB: Haslem FOR Mourning72
77
Q4 - 7:46SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry72
77
Q4 - 7:46MIAWalker P.FOUL (P3.T4)72
77
Q4 - 7:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)72
77
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Wade Layup72
77
Q4 - 7:58MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
77
Q4 - 8:00MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Hook Shot72
77
Q4 - 8:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
77
Q4 - 8:13SASMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)72
77
Q4 - 8:25MIAMourning P.FOUL (P3.T3)72
77
Q4 - 8:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)72
77
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot72
77
Q4 - 8:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
77
Q4 - 8:47SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
77
Q4 - 9:01MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)72
77
Q4 - 9:15SASDuncan Tip Shot (10 PTS)72
75
Q4 - 9:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
75
Q4 - 9:20SASMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)70
75
Q4 - 9:38SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)70
75
Q4 - 9:41MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
75
Q4 - 9:52SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)70
73
Q4 - 10:07MIAMourning P.FOUL (P2.T2)70
73
Q4 - 10:20MIAWade 13' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)70
73
Q4 - 10:35SASDuncan 17' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)70
71
Q4 - 10:54MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
71
Q4 - 11:03SASWade STEAL (1 STL)68
69
Q4 - 11:14SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley68
69
Q4 - 11:14MIAMourning L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)68
69
Q4 - 11:15SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
69
Q4 - 11:16SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
69
Q4 - 11:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
69
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
69
Q4 - 11:47SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)68
69
Q4 - 12:0065
69
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
69
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
69
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 12' Fadeaway Jumper65
69
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
69
Q3 - 0:11.0MIASUB: Walker FOR Mourning65
68
Q3 - 0:11.0MIASUB: Payton FOR Wade65
68
Q3 - 0:11.0SASSUB: Parker FOR Oberto65
68
Q3 - 0:11.0SASSUB: Horry FOR Vaughn65
68
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
68
Q3 - 0:11.0SASOberto L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)65
67
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
67
Q3 - 0:12.0SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot65
67
Q3 - 0:33.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
67
Q3 - 0:34.0SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot65
67
Q3 - 0:45.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
67
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot65
67
Q3 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
67
Q3 - 1:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 265
67
Q3 - 1:01SASSpurs Rebound65
67
Q3 - 1:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 265
67
Q3 - 1:01MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T4)65
67
Q3 - 1:17MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)65
67
Q3 - 1:34SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T9)65
65
Q3 - 1:34SASGinobili OFF.Foul (P2)65
65
Q3 - 1:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
65
Q3 - 1:36SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
65
Q3 - 2:01MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)65
65
Q3 - 2:01SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen65
64
Q3 - 2:01MIASUB: Posey FOR Kapono65
64
Q3 - 2:01MIAHEAT Rebound65
64
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 265
64
Q3 - 2:01SASOberto S.FOUL (P2.T4)65
64
Q3 - 2:23SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)65
64
Q3 - 2:25SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
64
Q3 - 2:27SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 2:41SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
64
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 2:51SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T3)62
64
Q3 - 2:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
64
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 3:10SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
64
Q3 - 3:12SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 3:20SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker62
64
Q3 - 3:20MIASUB: Jones FOR Payton62
64
Q3 - 3:20SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)62
64
Q3 - 3:20SASSpurs Rebound62
64
Q3 - 3:21SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 3:44SASSUB: Duncan FOR Elson62
64
Q3 - 3:44MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal62
64
Q3 - 3:44MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T11)62
64
Q3 - 3:44MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P2)62
64
Q3 - 3:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
64
Q3 - 3:56SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 3:58SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
64
Q3 - 4:00SASMISS Parker Layup62
64
Q3 - 4:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
64
Q3 - 4:04SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 4:26MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)62
64
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
64
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 15' Running Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 4:41MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
64
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Kapono 12' Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 5:08SASParker 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
64
Q3 - 5:14SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
64
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot60
64
Q3 - 5:28SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan60
64
Q3 - 5:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
64
Q3 - 5:29SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot60
64
Q3 - 5:53MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
64
Q3 - 5:53MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
63
Q3 - 5:53MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)60
62
Q3 - 5:53SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T2)60
62
Q3 - 6:08SASElson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)60
62
Q3 - 6:32MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
62
Q3 - 6:47SASParker Reverse Layup (14 PTS)58
60
Q3 - 6:54MIAPayton P.FOUL (P2.T3)56
60
Q3 - 6:58SASSpurs Rebound56
60
Q3 - 6:59SASO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)56
60
Q3 - 7:04MIAPayton P.FOUL (P1.T2)56
60
Q3 - 7:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
60
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Wade Layup56
60
Q3 - 7:20MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
60
Q3 - 7:22SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 256
60
Q3 - 7:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)56
60
Q3 - 7:22MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T1)55
60
Q3 - 7:41MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
60
Q3 - 7:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
58
Q3 - 7:50SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot55
58
Q3 - 7:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
58
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot55
58
Q3 - 8:10SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry55
58
Q3 - 8:10SASParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)55
58
Q3 - 8:25MIAPayton 7' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)55
58
Q3 - 8:39SASParker Driving Layup (12 PTS)55
56
Q3 - 8:53MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
56
Q3 - 9:07SASBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)53
54
Q3 - 9:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)50
54
Q3 - 9:22SASDuncan S.FOUL (P3.T1)50
53
Q3 - 9:22MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)50
53
Q3 - 9:38SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)50
51
Q3 - 10:01MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
51
Q3 - 10:08MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
49
Q3 - 10:10SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot50
49
Q3 - 10:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)50
49
Q3 - 10:34SASParker 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
49
Q3 - 10:54MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)48
49
Q3 - 11:17SASParker 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)48
47
Q3 - 11:35MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS)46
47
Q3 - 11:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
45
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot46
45
Q3 - 12:0046
45
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
45
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound46
45
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 46' 3PT Jump Shot46
45
Q2 - 0:02.0SASParker Driving Layup (6 PTS)46
45
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
45
Q2 - 0:31.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)44
43
Q2 - 0:51.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
43
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 241
43
Q2 - 0:52.0MIASUB: Kapono FOR Payton41
43
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)41
43
Q2 - 0:52.0SASFinley S.FOUL (P1.PN)41
42
Q2 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
42
Q2 - 1:01SASMISS Duncan Layup41
42
Q2 - 1:07MIASUB: Posey FOR O'Neal41
42
Q2 - 1:07MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T2)41
42
Q2 - 1:11MIAJump Ball Jones vs. Duncan: Tip to Finley41
42
Q2 - 1:11SASSUB: Finley FOR Oberto41
42
Q2 - 1:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
42
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot41
42
Q2 - 1:38SASParker 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)41
42
Q2 - 1:50MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker39
42
Q2 - 1:50MIAWalker Illegal Screen Turnover (P3.T8)39
42
Q2 - 2:02SASGinobili Finger Roll (14 PTS)39
42
Q2 - 2:14MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T7)37
42
Q2 - 2:14MIAWalker OFF.Foul (P2)37
42
Q2 - 2:26SASOberto Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)37
42
Q2 - 2:32MIAPayton Violation:Kicked Ball37
42
Q2 - 2:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
42
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
42
Q2 - 2:56MIASUB: Wade FOR Posey37
42
Q2 - 2:56MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)37
42
Q2 - 3:05SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
42
Q2 - 3:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
42
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
42
Q2 - 3:38SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)34
42
Q2 - 3:51SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley32
42
Q2 - 3:51SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)32
42
Q2 - 3:52MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)32
42
Q2 - 4:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
39
Q2 - 4:02SASMISS Oberto 15' Jump Shot32
39
Q2 - 4:16MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)32
39
Q2 - 4:27SASOberto P.FOUL (P1.T4)32
36
Q2 - 4:33MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
36
Q2 - 4:35SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot32
36
Q2 - 4:56MIAPayton Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
36
Q2 - 5:07SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
34
Q2 - 5:07SASSpurs Rebound31
34
Q2 - 5:07SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 231
34
Q2 - 5:07SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry31
34
Q2 - 5:07MIAWalker S.FOUL (P1.T1)31
34
Q2 - 5:23MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)31
34
Q2 - 5:29SASWalker STEAL (1 STL)31
31
Q2 - 5:45MIAO'Neal Layup (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)31
31
Q2 - 6:03MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
29
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Walker Layup31
29
Q2 - 6:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
29
Q2 - 6:17SASMISS Oberto 16' Jump Shot31
29
Q2 - 6:29SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)31
29
Q2 - 6:35MIAPosey Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)31
29
Q2 - 6:39SASJones STEAL (1 STL)31
27
Q2 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
27
Q2 - 6:54SASSUB: Oberto FOR Elson31
26
Q2 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
26
Q2 - 6:54SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T3)31
25
Q2 - 7:13SASBarry 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)31
25
Q2 - 7:29SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry29
25
Q2 - 7:29MIAWalker Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T6)29
25
Q2 - 7:49SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)29
25
Q2 - 8:14MIAO'Neal Layup (7 PTS)27
25
Q2 - 8:35MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning27
23
Q2 - 8:3527
23
Q2 - 8:35SASBarry Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T3)27
23
Q2 - 8:37SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
23
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Mourning 7' Jump Hook Shot27
23
Q2 - 9:04SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)27
23
Q2 - 9:21SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen24
23
Q2 - 9:21SASSpurs Rebound24
23
Q2 - 9:22SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot24
23
Q2 - 9:39SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili24
23
Q2 - 9:39MIASUB: Payton FOR Wade24
23
Q2 - 9:39SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn24
23
Q2 - 9:39MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T5)24
23
Q2 - 9:39MIAWade OFF.Foul (P2)24
23
Q2 - 9:53SASGinobili Driving Layup (7 PTS)24
23
Q2 - 10:02SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
23
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot22
23
Q2 - 10:10MIASUB: Jones FOR Kapono22
23
Q2 - 10:10SASElson L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)22
23
Q2 - 10:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
23
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Mourning 9' Jump Shot22
23
Q2 - 10:14MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)22
23
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot22
23
Q2 - 10:35MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
23
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
23
Q2 - 10:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
23
Q2 - 10:51SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot22
23
Q2 - 11:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
23
Q2 - 11:06MIAHEAT Rebound22
22
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 222
22
Q2 - 11:06SASVaughn S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
22
Q2 - 11:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)22
22
Q2 - 11:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22
Q2 - 11:27SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
22
Q2 - 11:38SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
22
Q2 - 12:0022
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
22
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22
Q1 - 0:03.0SASMISS Vaughn Free Throw 1 of 122
22
Q1 - 0:03.0SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili22
22
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAKapono S.FOUL (P1.T3)22
22
Q1 - 0:03.0SASVaughn Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
22
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAKapono 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)20
22
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMourning Violation:Defensive Goaltending20
20
Q1 - 0:32.0SASGinobili 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
20
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)18
20
Q1 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
18
Q1 - 1:01SASMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot18
18
Q1 - 1:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
18
Q1 - 1:22SASSUB: Finley FOR Duncan18
18
Q1 - 1:22SASSUB: Horry FOR Bowen18
18
Q1 - 1:22SASOberto Violation:Kicked Ball18
18
Q1 - 1:49SASOberto 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
18
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
18
Q1 - 2:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
18
Q1 - 2:10SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
18
Q1 - 2:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
18
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Haslem Layup16
18
Q1 - 2:43SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker16
18
Q1 - 2:43MIASUB: Posey FOR Payton16
18
Q1 - 2:43MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal16
18
Q1 - 2:43MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
18
Q1 - 2:51SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)16
18
Q1 - 3:10MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)13
18
Q1 - 3:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
16
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot13
16
Q1 - 3:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
16
Q1 - 3:34SASMISS Ginobili 6' Jump Shot13
16
Q1 - 3:40SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Hook Shot13
16
Q1 - 4:03SASOberto 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)13
16
Q1 - 4:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
16
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot11
16
Q1 - 4:29MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
16
Q1 - 4:31SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot11
16
Q1 - 4:56MIAKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
16
Q1 - 5:15MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
13
Q1 - 5:17SASWade BLOCK (1 BLK)11
13
Q1 - 5:36MIAKapono Free Throw 3 of 3 (2 PTS)11
13
Q1 - 5:36MIAHEAT Rebound11
12
Q1 - 5:36MIAMISS Kapono Free Throw 2 of 311
12
Q1 - 5:36MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)11
12
Q1 - 5:36SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.T3)11
11
Q1 - 6:01SASDuncan Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)11
11
Q1 - 6:08SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry9
11
Q1 - 6:08SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)9
11
Q1 - 6:14MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
11
Q1 - 6:34MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
9
Q1 - 6:36SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
9
Q1 - 6:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
9
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Kapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot9
9
Q1 - 7:05SASO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)9
9
Q1 - 7:14SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
9
Q1 - 7:15MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 29
9
Q1 - 7:15SASSUB: Oberto FOR Elson9
9
Q1 - 7:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
9
Q1 - 7:15SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
8
Q1 - 7:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
8
Q1 - 7:17MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot9
8
Q1 - 7:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
8
Q1 - 7:27SASMISS Parker Layup9
8
Q1 - 7:34MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T2)9
8
Q1 - 7:54MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
8
Q1 - 8:07SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)9
8
Q1 - 8:25MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)6
8
Q1 - 8:42SASParker 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 8:49MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 9:05MIAHEAT Rebound4
4
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Payton 5' Running Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:15MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
4
Q1 - 9:16SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:27SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:44SASBarry Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 9:54MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 10:12SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
4
Q1 - 10:12SASElson Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:13SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:31MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:46SASBarry P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:00MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 12
2
Q1 - 11:01MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:01SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:17MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:38SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Duncan: Tip to Elson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.98 48.9%
MIA
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
19
63%
MIA
11
19
58%
Midrange
SAS
13
33
39%
MIA
21
39
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
MIA
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
SAS
11
20
55%
MIA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2681%13.0 / 16
T. Parker2045%10.0 / 22
T. Duncan1343%6.5 / 15
B. Barry1179%5.5 / 7
M. Finley528%2.5 / 9
F. Elson4100%2.0 / 2
F. Oberto450%2.0 / 4
J. Vaughn250%1.0 / 2
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 5
R. Horry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2659%13.0 / 22
S. O'Neal1667%8.0 / 12
J. Kapono1365%6.5 / 10
E. Jones12120%6.0 / 5
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
A. Walker1063%5.0 / 8
G. Payton650%3.0 / 6
J. Posey660%3.0 / 5
A. Mourning113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+13
-12
87
MIA
72
+14
-16
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.98 48.9%
MIA
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
104.2
SAS 98.8
MIA 113.6 +14.8
Pace
89.8
90.1
SAS 86.4
MIA 87.6 +1.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.5
SAS 16.7
MIA 16.4 −0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
50.6%
SAS 48.1%
MIA 56.9% +8.8%
TO %
14.7%
15.3%
SAS 13.2% −3.1%
MIA 16.3%
ORB %
24.5%
24.9%
SAS 22.7%
MIA 36.4% +13.7%
FTrt
31.3
32.1
SAS 26.0
MIA 31.9 +5.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
57.6%
SAS 45.5% +11.3%
MIA 34.2%
STL %
8.0%
7.6%
SAS 7.0% +1.3%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
7.8%
8.8%
SAS 3.4%
MIA 11.5% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
52.4%
SAS 48.9%
MIA 58.1% +9.2%
Rim FG%
62.1%
61.8%
SAS 63.2% +5.3%
MIA 57.9%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.5%
SAS 39.4%
MIA 53.8% +14.4%
3P %
38.1%
34.3%
SAS 32.0%
MIA 42.9% +10.9%
FT %
75.1%
69.0%
SAS 55.0%
MIA 78.3% +23.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
34.9%
SAS 24.7%
MIA 26.4% +1.7%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
40.7%
SAS 42.9% −11.3%
MIA 54.2%
3P Att. %
24.7%
24.5%
SAS 32.5% +13.0%
MIA 19.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points85100
Rebounds3146
Assists1513
Steals65
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals33-7738-72
At-the-Rim FG12-1911-19
Midrange FG13-3321-39
2-Point FG25-5232-58
3-Point FG8-256-14
Free Throws11-2018-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
39.8
20
45%
2
5
1
0
2
2
1
1
4-6
67%
8-19
42%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 31
37.9
13
43%
11
2
0
1
0
3
2
9
5-11
45%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
36.0
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 240 · 31
20.2
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
18.2
11
79%
0
0
2
0
4
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
29.5
26
81%
3
1
1
1
3
5
1
2
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
4-8
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 32
18.7
4
50%
6
2
1
0
3
4
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
18.4
5
28%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36
13.1
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
8.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
C · 6'10" 260 · 22
#15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
49%
31
15
6
2
12
0
10
21
11-20
55%
25-52
48%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.