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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 11, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs56%9385
7Heat44%91100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
39.8
33.4
20
46%
2
5
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-6
67%
8-19
7-14
42%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.8
37.9
34.9
13
44%
11
2
0
1
1
0
2
9
5-11
45%
4-10
8-16
40%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.7
36.0
21.5
0
0%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.0
20.2
18.1
4
100%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.1
18.2
28.8
11
79%
0
0
2
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
55%
3-6
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.5
29.5
27.5
26
77%
3
1
1
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
51%
4-8
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.9
18.7
18.7
4
50%
6
2
1
0
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.9
18.4
20.8
5
28%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-7
14%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.5
13.1
13.0
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.0
8.2
14.1
2
41%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
4.2
0
0-1
46%
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.9
1.9
0
0-1
53%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.9
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.1
41.1
37.3
26
59%
4
7
1
2
3
6
1
3
5-7
71%
9-17
8-16
53%
50%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
33.6
29.0
10
50%
8
0
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
5-10
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.6
26.9
23.9
6
50%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
25.4
31.0
13
64%
11
0
0
1
0
1
3
8
4-5
80%
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.9
25.0
24.0
16
65%
7
0
1
0
1
1
3
4
2-3
67%
7-11
5-10
64%
56%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.1
26.9
23.5
6
63%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.3
25.5
13.6
12
123%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
2-2
100%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
21.6
19.3
10
63%
4
1
2
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.0
13.9
15.3
1
13%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.4
12.3
0
1-2
40%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.7
5.7
0
1-1
45%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.2
5.1
0
1-1
48%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.2
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.