FinalWin Prob.pScore
256%93
85
744%91
100
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
98.88686.4
MIA logo MIA
113.68887.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA85
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASMISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)85
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 285
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAPosey Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00SASGinobili Driving Layup (26 PTS)84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06SASSpurs Rebound82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)82
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 1:39SASWalker STEAL (2 STL)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAHaslem Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T14)82
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:07SASGinobili Driving Layup (24 PTS)82
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:17MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)80
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:36MIAHEAT Rebound80
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 2:37SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 2:47MIAJones Driving Layup (12 PTS)80
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 3:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot80
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 3:26SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 3:26SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 3:37MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)78
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 4:00SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot78
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 4:19MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)78
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q4 - 4:32SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)78
4.7%
86
95.3%
Q4 - 4:32SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 277
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 4:47MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
4.7%
86
95.3%
Q4 - 4:58SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)77
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q4 - 4:58SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 276
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q4 - 5:21MIAWalker 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)76
9.3%
84
90.7%
Q4 - 5:39MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
12.2%
82
87.8%
Q4 - 5:41SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q4 - 5:56SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
16.4%
82
83.6%
Q4 - 5:58SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q4 - 6:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)76
19.6%
82
80.4%
Q4 - 6:14MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
14.7%
82
85.3%
Q4 - 6:16SASWade BLOCK (3 BLK)76
16.0%
82
84.0%
Q4 - 6:20MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)76
19.5%
82
80.5%
Q4 - 6:23MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
14.6%
82
85.4%
Q4 - 6:25SASWade BLOCK (2 BLK)76
16.0%
82
84.0%
Q4 - 6:47MIAWalker 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)76
19.4%
82
80.6%
Q4 - 7:01SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
27.0%
80
73.0%
Q4 - 7:01SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
26.1%
80
73.9%
Q4 - 7:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
22.3%
80
77.7%
Q4 - 7:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
23.2%
79
76.8%
Q4 - 7:29SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
26.7%
78
73.3%
Q4 - 7:29SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)73
25.5%
78
74.5%
Q4 - 7:37MIAWade Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)72
22.2%
78
77.8%
Q4 - 7:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)72
27.4%
77
72.6%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Wade Layup72
25.5%
77
74.5%
Q4 - 7:58MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
21.5%
77
78.5%
Q4 - 8:00MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Hook Shot72
25.5%
77
74.5%
Q4 - 8:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
23.9%
77
76.1%
Q4 - 8:13SASMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)72
25.4%
77
74.6%
Q4 - 8:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)72
28.9%
77
71.1%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot72
27.3%
77
72.7%
Q4 - 8:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
23.8%
77
76.2%
Q4 - 8:47SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
25.3%
77
74.7%
Q4 - 9:01MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)72
30.8%
77
69.2%
Q4 - 9:15SASDuncan Tip Shot (10 PTS)72
35.8%
75
64.2%
Q4 - 9:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
30.7%
75
69.3%
Q4 - 9:20SASMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)70
27.1%
75
72.9%
Q4 - 9:41MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
30.6%
75
69.4%
Q4 - 9:52SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)70
35.7%
73
64.3%
Q4 - 10:20MIAWade 13' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)70
42.4%
73
57.6%
Q4 - 10:35SASDuncan 17' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)70
47.6%
71
52.4%
Q4 - 10:54MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
42.4%
71
57.6%
Q4 - 11:03SASWade STEAL (1 STL)68
47.7%
69
52.3%
Q4 - 11:15SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
53.4%
69
46.6%
Q4 - 11:16SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
49.4%
69
50.6%
Q4 - 11:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
53.4%
69
46.6%
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
51.6%
69
48.4%
Q4 - 11:47SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)68
47.7%
69
52.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
37.4%
69
62.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
32.2%
69
67.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 12' Fadeaway Jumper65
35.3%
69
64.7%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
38.6%
69
61.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
39.4%
68
60.6%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
43.6%
67
56.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot65
45.1%
67
54.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
48.6%
67
51.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot65
45.0%
67
55.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
48.6%
67
51.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot65
47.0%
67
53.0%
Q3 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
43.4%
67
56.6%
Q3 - 1:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 265
45.0%
67
55.0%
Q3 - 1:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 265
47.8%
67
52.2%
Q3 - 1:17MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)65
49.4%
67
50.6%
Q3 - 1:34SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T9)65
54.1%
65
45.9%
Q3 - 1:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
59.0%
65
41.0%
Q3 - 1:36SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
55.6%
65
44.4%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)65
58.7%
65
41.3%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 265
60.1%
64
39.9%
Q3 - 2:23SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)65
58.3%
64
41.7%
Q3 - 2:25SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
49.5%
64
50.5%
Q3 - 2:27SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot62
46.0%
64
54.0%
Q3 - 2:41SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
49.5%
64
50.5%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot62
47.9%
64
52.1%
Q3 - 2:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
44.4%
64
55.6%
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot62
46.6%
64
53.4%
Q3 - 3:10SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
49.9%
64
50.1%
Q3 - 3:12SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot62
46.6%
64
53.4%
Q3 - 3:20SASSpurs Rebound62
49.9%
64
50.1%
Q3 - 3:21SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
46.6%
64
53.4%
Q3 - 3:44MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T11)62
49.9%
64
50.1%
Q3 - 3:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
45.1%
64
54.9%
Q3 - 3:56SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
46.5%
64
53.5%
Q3 - 3:58SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
49.8%
64
50.2%
Q3 - 4:00SASMISS Parker Layup62
46.5%
64
53.5%
Q3 - 4:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
50.4%
64
49.6%
Q3 - 4:04SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot62
46.9%
64
53.1%
Q3 - 4:26MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)62
50.3%
64
49.7%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
45.4%
64
54.6%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 15' Running Jump Shot62
48.8%
64
51.2%
Q3 - 4:41MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
45.4%
64
54.6%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Kapono 12' Jump Shot62
48.8%
64
51.2%
Q3 - 5:08SASParker 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
46.1%
64
53.9%
Q3 - 5:14SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
42.2%
64
57.8%
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot60
40.9%
64
59.1%
Q3 - 5:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
37.9%
64
62.1%
Q3 - 5:29SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot60
39.2%
64
60.8%
Q3 - 5:53MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
42.2%
64
57.8%
Q3 - 5:53MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
42.7%
63
57.3%
Q3 - 6:08SASElson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)60
46.5%
62
53.5%
Q3 - 6:32MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
42.8%
62
57.2%
Q3 - 6:47SASParker Reverse Layup (14 PTS)58
46.5%
60
53.5%
Q3 - 6:58SASSpurs Rebound56
42.8%
60
57.2%
Q3 - 6:59SASO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)56
39.9%
60
60.1%
Q3 - 7:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
43.0%
60
57.0%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Wade Layup56
41.7%
60
58.3%
Q3 - 7:20MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
38.7%
60
61.3%
Q3 - 7:22SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 256
39.3%
60
60.7%
Q3 - 7:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)56
41.4%
60
58.6%
Q3 - 7:41MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
39.3%
60
60.7%
Q3 - 7:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
42.5%
58
57.5%
Q3 - 7:50SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot55
43.8%
58
56.2%
Q3 - 7:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
46.8%
58
53.2%
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot55
45.5%
58
54.5%
Q3 - 8:10SASParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)55
43.1%
58
56.9%
Q3 - 8:25MIAPayton 7' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)55
47.4%
58
52.6%
Q3 - 8:39SASParker Driving Layup (12 PTS)55
50.6%
56
49.4%
Q3 - 8:53MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
47.3%
56
52.7%
Q3 - 9:07SASBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)53
51.0%
54
49.0%
Q3 - 9:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)50
43.8%
54
56.2%
Q3 - 9:38SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)50
51.0%
51
49.0%
Q3 - 10:01MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
55.4%
51
44.6%
Q3 - 10:08MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
58.4%
49
41.6%
Q3 - 10:10SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot50
59.6%
49
40.4%
Q3 - 10:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)50
62.2%
49
37.8%
Q3 - 10:34SASParker 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
58.4%
49
41.6%
Q3 - 10:54MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)48
55.3%
49
44.7%
Q3 - 11:17SASParker 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)48
58.9%
47
41.1%
Q3 - 11:35MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS)46
55.6%
47
44.4%
Q3 - 11:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
58.8%
45
41.2%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot46
61.3%
45
38.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
58.8%
45
41.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound46
58.8%
45
41.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 46' 3PT Jump Shot46
61.3%
45
38.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASParker Driving Layup (6 PTS)46
59.5%
45
40.5%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
55.3%
45
44.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)44
59.5%
43
40.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
52.0%
43
48.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 241
51.7%
43
48.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)41
49.3%
43
50.7%
Q2 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
52.9%
42
47.1%
Q2 - 1:01SASMISS Duncan Layup41
53.9%
42
46.1%
Q2 - 1:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
55.1%
42
44.9%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot41
54.6%
42
45.4%
Q2 - 1:38SASParker 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)41
53.4%
42
46.6%
Q2 - 1:50MIAWalker Illegal Screen Turnover (P3.T8)39
48.6%
42
51.4%
Q2 - 2:02SASGinobili Finger Roll (14 PTS)39
46.6%
42
53.4%
Q2 - 2:14MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T7)37
43.4%
42
56.6%
Q2 - 2:26SASOberto Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)37
40.5%
42
59.5%
Q2 - 2:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
43.3%
42
56.7%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
42.4%
42
57.6%
Q2 - 3:05SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
41.2%
42
58.8%
Q2 - 3:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
35.8%
42
64.2%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
34.9%
42
65.1%
Q2 - 3:38SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)34
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q2 - 3:52MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)32
30.4%
42
69.6%
Q2 - 4:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
35.4%
39
64.6%
Q2 - 4:02SASMISS Oberto 15' Jump Shot32
37.3%
39
62.7%
Q2 - 4:16MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)32
39.2%
39
60.8%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
44.8%
36
55.2%
Q2 - 4:35SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot32
45.6%
36
54.4%
Q2 - 4:56MIAPayton Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
47.6%
36
52.4%
Q2 - 5:07SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
50.7%
34
49.3%
Q2 - 5:07SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 231
49.9%
34
50.1%
Q2 - 5:23MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)31
50.9%
34
49.1%
Q2 - 5:29SASWalker STEAL (1 STL)31
56.3%
31
43.7%
Q2 - 5:45MIAO'Neal Layup (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)31
59.3%
31
40.7%
Q2 - 6:03MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
61.7%
29
38.3%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Walker Layup31
63.8%
29
36.2%
Q2 - 6:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
61.7%
29
38.3%
Q2 - 6:17SASMISS Oberto 16' Jump Shot31
62.6%
29
37.4%
Q2 - 6:35MIAPosey Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)31
64.8%
29
35.2%
Q2 - 6:39SASJones STEAL (1 STL)31
66.7%
27
33.3%
Q2 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
69.6%
27
30.4%
Q2 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
70.0%
26
30.0%
Q2 - 7:13SASBarry 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)31
71.2%
25
28.8%
Q2 - 7:29MIAWalker Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T6)29
69.2%
25
30.8%
Q2 - 7:49SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)29
66.7%
25
33.3%
Q2 - 8:14MIAO'Neal Layup (7 PTS)27
64.3%
25
35.7%
Q2 - 8:35SASBarry Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T3)27
66.3%
23
33.7%
Q2 - 8:37SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
68.9%
23
31.1%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Mourning 7' Jump Hook Shot27
68.1%
23
31.9%
Q2 - 9:04SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)27
66.1%
23
33.9%
Q2 - 9:21SASSpurs Rebound24
61.8%
23
38.2%
Q2 - 9:22SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot24
59.9%
23
40.1%
Q2 - 9:39MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T5)24
61.8%
23
38.2%
Q2 - 9:53SASGinobili Driving Layup (7 PTS)24
59.0%
23
41.0%
Q2 - 10:02SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
56.7%
23
43.3%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot22
55.9%
23
44.1%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
54.0%
23
46.0%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Mourning 9' Jump Shot22
55.9%
23
44.1%
Q2 - 10:14MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)22
54.0%
23
46.0%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot22
55.9%
23
44.1%
Q2 - 10:35MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
54.0%
23
46.0%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
55.9%
23
44.1%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
54.0%
23
46.0%
Q2 - 10:51SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot22
54.8%
23
45.2%
Q2 - 11:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
56.6%
23
43.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 222
57.0%
22
43.0%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
56.6%
22
43.4%
Q2 - 11:27SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
57.3%
22
42.7%
Q2 - 11:38SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
59.0%
22
41.0%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
58.2%
22
41.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
56.6%
22
43.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
56.7%
22
43.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASMISS Vaughn Free Throw 1 of 122
57.0%
22
43.0%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAKapono 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)20
53.8%
22
46.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASGinobili 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
56.7%
20
43.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)18
53.9%
20
46.1%
Q1 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 1:01SASMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot18
57.4%
18
42.6%
Q1 - 1:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
58.6%
18
41.4%
Q1 - 1:49SASOberto 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
56.8%
18
43.2%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
54.5%
18
45.5%
Q1 - 2:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
52.2%
18
47.8%
Q1 - 2:10SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
52.9%
18
47.1%
Q1 - 2:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
54.4%
18
45.6%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Haslem Layup16
53.8%
18
46.2%
Q1 - 2:51SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)16
52.2%
18
47.8%
Q1 - 3:10MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)13
48.0%
18
52.0%
Q1 - 3:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
50.0%
16
50.0%
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot13
51.7%
16
48.3%
Q1 - 3:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
50.0%
16
50.0%
Q1 - 3:34SASMISS Ginobili 6' Jump Shot13
50.7%
16
49.3%
Q1 - 3:40SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
52.5%
16
47.5%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Hook Shot13
51.7%
16
48.3%
Q1 - 4:03SASOberto 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)13
50.1%
16
49.9%
Q1 - 4:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
48.4%
16
51.6%
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot11
47.6%
16
52.4%
Q1 - 4:29MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
45.7%
16
54.3%
Q1 - 4:31SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot11
46.5%
16
53.5%
Q1 - 4:56MIAKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
48.4%
16
51.6%
Q1 - 5:15MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
52.8%
13
47.2%
Q1 - 5:17SASWade BLOCK (1 BLK)11
53.5%
13
46.5%
Q1 - 5:36MIAKapono Free Throw 3 of 3 (2 PTS)11
55.1%
13
44.9%
Q1 - 5:36MIAMISS Kapono Free Throw 2 of 311
55.3%
12
44.7%
Q1 - 5:36MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)11
53.5%
12
46.5%
Q1 - 6:01SASDuncan Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)11
56.9%
11
43.1%
Q1 - 6:14MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
55.0%
11
45.0%
Q1 - 6:34MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
56.9%
9
43.1%
Q1 - 6:36SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
57.6%
9
42.4%
Q1 - 6:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
59.0%
9
41.0%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Kapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot9
58.4%
9
41.6%
Q1 - 7:05SASO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)9
57.1%
9
42.9%
Q1 - 7:14SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
59.1%
9
40.9%
Q1 - 7:15MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 29
58.8%
9
41.2%
Q1 - 7:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
58.1%
9
41.9%
Q1 - 7:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
58.9%
8
41.1%
Q1 - 7:17MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot9
60.3%
8
39.7%
Q1 - 7:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
58.9%
8
41.1%
Q1 - 7:27SASMISS Parker Layup9
59.5%
8
40.5%
Q1 - 7:54MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
60.9%
8
39.1%
Q1 - 8:07SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)9
59.3%
8
40.7%
Q1 - 8:25MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)6
55.8%
8
44.2%
Q1 - 8:42SASParker 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
57.5%
6
42.5%
Q1 - 8:49MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
55.8%
6
44.2%
Q1 - 9:05MIAHEAT Rebound4
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Payton 5' Running Jump Shot4
58.8%
4
41.2%
Q1 - 9:15MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 9:16SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot4
57.9%
4
42.1%
Q1 - 9:27SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
59.5%
4
40.5%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot4
58.8%
4
41.2%
Q1 - 9:44SASBarry Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
57.2%
4
42.8%
Q1 - 9:54MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
59.5%
4
40.5%
Q1 - 10:12SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
57.3%
4
42.7%
Q1 - 10:12SASElson Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
57.3%
4
42.7%
Q1 - 10:13SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 10:31MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
55.7%
4
44.3%
Q1 - 10:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
57.2%
2
42.8%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot2
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 11:00MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.2%
2
42.8%
Q1 - 11:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 12
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 11:17MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
55.6%
2
44.4%
Q1 - 11:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.5%
0
42.5%
Q1 - 11:38SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot0
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Duncan: Tip to Elson0
59.1%
0
40.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.98 48.9%
MIA
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
19
63%
MIA
11
19
58%
Midrange
SAS
13
33
39%
MIA
21
39
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
MIA
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
SAS
11
20
55%
MIA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2681%13.0 / 16
T. Parker2045%10.0 / 22
T. Duncan1343%6.5 / 15
B. Barry1179%5.5 / 7
M. Finley528%2.5 / 9
F. Elson4100%2.0 / 2
F. Oberto450%2.0 / 4
J. Vaughn250%1.0 / 2
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 5
R. Horry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2659%13.0 / 22
S. O'Neal1667%8.0 / 12
J. Kapono1365%6.5 / 10
E. Jones12120%6.0 / 5
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
A. Walker1063%5.0 / 8
G. Payton650%3.0 / 6
J. Posey660%3.0 / 5
A. Mourning113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+13
-12
87
MIA
72
+14
-16
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.98 48.9%
MIA
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
104.2
SAS 98.8 +14.8
MIA 113.6
Pace
89.8
90.1
SAS 86.4
MIA 87.6 +1.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.5
SAS 16.7
MIA 16.4 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
50.6%
SAS 48.1%
MIA 56.9% +8.8%
TO %
14.7%
15.3%
SAS 13.2% +3.1%
MIA 16.3%
ORB %
24.5%
24.9%
SAS 22.7%
MIA 36.4% +13.7%
FTrt
31.3
32.1
SAS 26.0
MIA 31.9 +5.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
57.6%
SAS 45.5% +11.3%
MIA 34.2%
STL %
8.0%
7.6%
SAS 7.0% +1.3%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
7.8%
8.8%
SAS 3.4%
MIA 11.5% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
52.4%
SAS 48.9%
MIA 58.1% +9.2%
Rim FG%
62.1%
61.8%
SAS 63.2% +5.3%
MIA 57.9%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.5%
SAS 39.4%
MIA 53.8% +14.4%
3P %
38.1%
34.3%
SAS 32.0%
MIA 42.9% +10.9%
FT %
75.1%
69.0%
SAS 55.0%
MIA 78.3% +23.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
34.9%
SAS 24.7%
MIA 26.4% +1.7%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
40.7%
SAS 42.9% +11.3%
MIA 54.2%
3P Att. %
24.7%
24.5%
SAS 32.5% +13.0%
MIA 19.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points85100
Rebounds3146
Assists1513
Steals65
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals33-7738-72
At-the-Rim FG12-1911-19
Midrange FG13-3321-39
2-Point FG25-5232-58
3-Point FG8-256-14
Free Throws11-2018-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
39.8
20
45%
2
5
1
0
2
2
1
1
4-6
67%
8-19
42%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 31
37.9
13
43%
11
2
0
1
0
3
2
9
5-11
45%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
36.0
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 240 · 31
20.2
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
18.2
11
79%
0
0
2
0
4
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
29.5
26
81%
3
1
1
1
3
5
1
2
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
4-8
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 32
18.7
4
50%
6
2
1
0
3
4
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
18.4
5
28%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36
13.1
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
8.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
C · 6'10" 260 · 22
#15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
49%
31
15
6
2
12
0
10
21
11-20
55%
25-52
48%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.