Final Win Prob. pScore
2637%98
97
2463%103
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
109.08984.1
BOS logo Celtics
130.09095.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL97
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILReiner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)97
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0MILPowe BLOCK (1 BLK)97
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0BOSMISS Powe 17' Jump Shot97
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)97
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0BOSGomes S.FOUL (P4.PN)96
117
Q4 - 0:31.0MILIlyasova 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Greer 1 AST)96
117
Q4 - 0:34.0MILReiner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILMISS Ilyasova 10' Jump Shot94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0MILReiner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILMISS Greer 18' Jump Shot94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0BOSGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:08MILGreer 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Reiner 1 AST)94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23BOSSUB: Green FOR Szczerbiak92
114
Q4 - 1:23BOSSUB: Telfair FOR West92
114
Q4 - 1:23BOSSUB: Powe FOR Jefferson92
114
Q4 - 1:23MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Williams92
114
Q4 - 1:23MILSUB: Reiner FOR Bogut92
114
Q4 - 1:23MILSUB: Noel FOR Skinner92
114
Q4 - 1:23MILBucks Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)92
114
Q4 - 1:23MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25BOSMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40BOSWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43MILJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53BOSSzczerbiak 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MILBell 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26BOSJefferson 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44MILMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52BOSJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52BOSSUB: Gomes FOR Pierce90
108
Q4 - 2:52BOSJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MILBogut P.FOUL (P3.PN)90
107
Q4 - 2:58MILSkinner Foul Turnover (P4.T21)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MILSkinner OFF.Foul (P4)90
107
Q4 - 3:11BOSPierce 1' Layup (32 PTS) (West 6 AST)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16MILWest STEAL (3 STL)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)90
105
Q4 - 3:24BOSWest P.FOUL (P1.T4)90
105
Q4 - 3:27BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44MILBogut 3' Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)90
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 3:54MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 3:56MILMISS Greer 1' Layup88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)88
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 4:13MILBell P.FOUL (P2.PN)88
103
Q4 - 4:15BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:16MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:36BOSWest 1' Layup (6 PTS)88
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 4:37BOSWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 4:39BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot88
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 5:03MILSkinner Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)88
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 5:03MILBucks Rebound87
101
Q4 - 5:03MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 287
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 5:03MILSUB: Greer FOR Ilyasova87
101
Q4 - 5:03BOSSzczerbiak S.FOUL (P1.T3)87
101
Q4 - 5:11MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 5:13BOSMISS Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot87
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 5:24MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)87
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 5:24MILBucks Rebound87
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 5:25MILMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot87
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 5:48MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)87
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 5:50BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 287
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 5:50BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)87
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 5:50BOSSUB: West FOR Green87
100
Q4 - 5:50BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)87
100
Q4 - 5:50MILBogut S.FOUL (P2.PN)87
100
Q4 - 6:03MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)87
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 6:20BOSRondo 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)87
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 6:31MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)87
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 6:31BOSSUB: Jefferson FOR Perkins86
98
Q4 - 6:31BOSPerkins S.FOUL (P3.T2)86
98
Q4 - 6:31MILIlyasova 1' Layup (2 PTS)86
98
Q4 - 6:32MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)84
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 6:33MILMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot84
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 6:45BOSGreen 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)84
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 6:56MILBell 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bogut 7 AST)84
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 6:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 7:01MILMISS Ilyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 7:19BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P1.T8)82
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 7:19BOSPerkins OFF.Foul (P2)82
96
Q4 - 7:31MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (31 PTS)82
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 7:37MILSUB: Bogut FOR Patterson80
96
Q4 - 7:41MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 7:43BOSMISS Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot80
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 7:53BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 7:54MILMISS Patterson 2' Layup80
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 7:55MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 7:56MILMISS Patterson 1' Layup80
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 8:11BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)80
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 8:11BOSCELTICS Rebound80
95
Q4 - 8:11BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 280
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 8:11MILBell S.FOUL (P1.PN)80
95
Q4 - 8:12BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 8:13BOSMISS Perkins 2' Layup80
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 8:21MILSkinner P.FOUL (P3.T4)80
95
Q4 - 8:21BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 8:22BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot80
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 8:28MILPatterson P.FOUL (P4.T3)80
95
Q4 - 8:35MILWilliams P.FOUL (P4.T2)80
95
Q4 - 8:39MILSzczerbiak STEAL (1 STL)80
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 8:5880
95
Q4 - 8:58BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)80
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 9:03BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 9:06MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot80
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 9:23BOSSzczerbiak 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)80
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 9:29MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (29 PTS)80
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 9:55BOSSzczerbiak 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)78
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 10:08MILPatterson P.FOUL (P3.T1)78
91
Q4 - 10:21MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)78
3.4%
91
96.6%
Q4 - 10:21BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Gomes77
91
Q4 - 10:21MILSUB: Skinner FOR Bogut77
91
Q4 - 10:21MILSUB: Patterson FOR Boykins77
91
Q4 - 10:21MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)77
3.3%
91
96.7%
Q4 - 10:21BOSGreen S.FOUL (P1.T1)76
91
Q4 - 10:37BOSRondo 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Perkins 3 AST)76
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 11:07MILBell 1' Driving Finger Roll (20 PTS)76
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 11:11MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
3.2%
89
96.8%
Q4 - 11:13BOSMISS Gomes 17' Jump Shot74
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q4 - 11:26MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)74
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 11:43MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
3.1%
89
96.9%
Q4 - 11:45BOSMISS Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot74
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 12:0074
89
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL74
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSGomes 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)74
3.1%
89
96.9%
Q3 - 0:11.0BOSWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0MILWest BLOCK (2 BLK)74
5.7%
86
94.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)74
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILSUB: Noel FOR Bell74
86
Q3 - 0:27.0BOSSUB: Perkins FOR Jefferson74
86
Q3 - 0:27.0BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)74
86
Q3 - 0:33.0MILBell 1' Reverse Layup (18 PTS)74
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0MILMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot72
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILMISS Williams 2' Driving Dunk72
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0BOSJefferson 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS)72
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q3 - 1:17MILBell 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)72
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q3 - 1:36BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q3 - 1:36MILSUB: Williams FOR Skinner70
83
Q3 - 1:36BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Scalabrine70
83
Q3 - 1:36BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q3 - 1:36MILIlyasova S.FOUL (P1.T3)70
82
Q3 - 1:48MILSkinner Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q3 - 1:48MILBucks Rebound69
82
Q3 - 1:48MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 269
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q3 - 1:48BOSSUB: Szczerbiak FOR Pierce69
82
Q3 - 1:48BOSScalabrine S.FOUL (P1.T4)69
82
Q3 - 2:10BOSGomes 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)69
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q3 - 2:27MILSkinner 8' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)69
7.4%
80
92.6%
Q3 - 2:49BOSJefferson 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (West 5 AST)67
6.2%
80
93.8%
Q3 - 3:01BOSCELTICS Rebound67
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q3 - 3:02MILMISS Bell 2' Reverse Layup67
8.3%
78
91.7%
Q3 - 3:09BOSJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)67
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q3 - 3:32MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Patterson67
78
Q3 - 3:32MILSUB: Boykins FOR Williams67
78
Q3 - 3:32MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)67
7.8%
78
92.2%
Q3 - 3:56MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
9.3%
78
90.7%
Q3 - 3:57BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q3 - 4:08MILGomes STEAL (1 STL)67
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q3 - 4:28BOSJefferson 2' Layup (9 PTS)67
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q3 - 4:54MILWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)67
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q3 - 5:11BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (29 PTS)64
8.8%
76
91.2%
Q3 - 5:26MILPatterson 1' Layup (10 PTS)64
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q3 - 5:47BOSWest Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)62
8.8%
74
91.2%
Q3 - 5:49MILWest STEAL (2 STL)62
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 6:06MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)62
74
Q3 - 6:07BOSScalabrine 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)62
9.3%
74
90.7%
Q3 - 6:13BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
12.2%
71
87.8%
Q3 - 6:15MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot62
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q3 - 6:33BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (West 4 AST)62
14.2%
71
85.8%
Q3 - 6:40MILWilliams P.FOUL (P3.T2)62
68
Q3 - 6:58MILPatterson 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)62
18.4%
68
81.6%
Q3 - 7:03BOSScalabrine Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)60
16.6%
68
83.4%
Q3 - 7:08BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q3 - 7:10MILMISS Skinner 8' Hook Shot60
15.1%
68
84.9%
Q3 - 7:24BOSJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
16.6%
68
83.4%
Q3 - 7:24BOSCELTICS Rebound60
67
Q3 - 7:24BOSMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 260
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q3 - 7:24MILSkinner S.FOUL (P2.T1)60
67
Q3 - 7:34BOSWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
16.5%
67
83.5%
Q3 - 7:36MILMISS Bogut 17' Jump Shot60
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q3 - 8:00MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)60
67
Q3 - 8:01BOSWest 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)60
19.1%
67
80.9%
Q3 - 8:08BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
21.3%
65
78.7%
Q3 - 8:10MILMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot60
22.2%
65
77.8%
Q3 - 8:27BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (West 3 AST)60
24.2%
65
75.8%
Q3 - 8:34BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q3 - 8:36MILMISS Williams 3' Layup60
30.9%
62
69.1%
Q3 - 8:50BOSScalabrine Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)60
33.4%
62
66.6%
Q3 - 8:55BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q3 - 8:57MILMISS Bell 14' Running Jump Shot60
30.9%
62
69.1%
Q3 - 9:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
33.3%
62
66.7%
Q3 - 9:17BOSMISS Gomes 16' Jump Shot60
32.2%
62
67.8%
Q3 - 9:29BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
30.0%
62
70.0%
Q3 - 9:30MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 2 of 260
30.4%
62
69.6%
Q3 - 9:30MILSkinner Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
31.9%
62
68.1%
Q3 - 9:30BOSPierce S.FOUL (P3.T3)59
62
Q3 - 9:55BOSJefferson 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
30.1%
62
69.9%
Q3 - 10:15BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
33.1%
60
66.9%
Q3 - 10:16MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 259
33.5%
60
66.5%
Q3 - 10:16MILBucks Rebound59
60
Q3 - 10:16MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 259
35.2%
60
64.8%
Q3 - 10:16BOSGomes S.FOUL (P3.T2)59
60
Q3 - 10:35BOSPierce 2' Driving Finger Roll (21 PTS) (West 2 AST)59
36.4%
60
63.6%
Q3 - 10:47BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
39.7%
58
60.3%
Q3 - 10:48MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 259
40.2%
58
59.8%
Q3 - 10:48MILBucks Rebound59
58
Q3 - 10:48MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 259
42.0%
58
58.0%
Q3 - 10:48BOSJefferson S.FOUL (P3.T1)59
58
Q3 - 10:56MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
43.2%
58
56.8%
Q3 - 10:58BOSMISS Scalabrine 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
42.1%
58
57.9%
Q3 - 11:16MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Patterson 3 AST)59
39.3%
58
60.7%
Q3 - 11:21MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
33.2%
58
66.8%
Q3 - 11:24BOSMISS Gomes 15' Jump Shot56
32.2%
58
67.8%
Q3 - 11:41MILWilliams 2' Finger Roll (22 PTS) (Bogut 6 AST)56
30.0%
58
70.0%
Q3 - 12:0054
58
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS54
27.3%
58
72.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound54
24.5%
58
75.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Rondo 55' 3PT Jump Shot54
26.4%
58
73.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0BOSCELTICS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)54
58
Q2 - 0:02.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)54
25.2%
58
74.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)54
27.2%
58
72.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)54
33.5%
55
66.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)53
33.1%
55
66.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0BOSPerkins S.FOUL (P1.T4)52
55
Q2 - 0:56.0BOSPierce 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)52
29.9%
55
70.1%
Q2 - 1:08MILPatterson P.FOUL (P2.T4)52
53
Q2 - 1:09MILRondo STEAL (2 STL)52
33.5%
53
66.5%
Q2 - 1:20MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q2 - 1:21BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
35.0%
53
65.0%
Q2 - 1:28BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
33.5%
53
66.5%
Q2 - 1:30MILMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot52
34.2%
53
65.8%
Q2 - 1:56BOSSzczerbiak 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Perkins 2 AST)52
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q2 - 2:00BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
39.7%
51
60.3%
Q2 - 2:02BOSMISS Rondo 9' Jump Shot52
40.9%
51
59.1%
Q2 - 2:16MILSkinner Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T10)52
38.7%
51
61.3%
Q2 - 2:2652
51
Q2 - 2:26BOSPierce P.FOUL (P2.T3)52
51
Q2 - 2:41BOSSzczerbiak 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)52
41.9%
51
58.1%
Q2 - 2:55MILPatterson 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)52
45.0%
49
55.0%
Q2 - 3:10BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)50
41.8%
49
58.2%
Q2 - 3:10MILWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T3)50
48
Q2 - 3:10BOSRondo 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)50
48
Q2 - 3:23MILPatterson 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)50
47.5%
46
52.5%
Q2 - 3:31MILBucks Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)48
46
Q2 - 3:33BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)48
44.9%
46
55.1%
Q2 - 3:42MILWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T2)48
43
Q2 - 3:43BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
50.6%
43
49.4%
Q2 - 3:44MILMISS Bell 2' Reverse Layup48
51.7%
43
48.3%
Q2 - 3:57BOSGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)48
54.3%
43
45.7%
Q2 - 4:03MILPierce STEAL (2 STL)48
59.1%
40
40.9%
Q2 - 4:19MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
62.3%
40
37.7%
Q2 - 4:21BOSMISS Rondo 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
61.3%
40
38.7%
Q2 - 4:38MILRondo STEAL (1 STL)48
59.2%
40
40.8%
Q2 - 4:55BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)48
62.3%
40
37.7%
Q2 - 5:08MILWilliams 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS)48
67.0%
37
33.0%
Q2 - 5:18MILBucks Rebound46
64.2%
37
35.8%
Q2 - 5:19BOSMISS Szczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
63.4%
37
36.6%
Q2 - 5:24BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
61.6%
37
38.4%
Q2 - 5:26BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot46
63.4%
37
36.6%
Q2 - 5:39MILSkinner Foul Turnover (P1.T7)46
61.6%
37
38.4%
Q2 - 5:39MILSkinner OFF.Foul (P1)46
37
Q2 - 5:56BOSGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)46
64.3%
37
35.7%
Q2 - 6:15MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)46
68.4%
34
31.6%
Q2 - 6:35MILBucks Rebound43
63.7%
34
36.3%
Q2 - 6:37BOSMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot43
62.7%
34
37.3%
Q2 - 6:57MILWilliams 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bogut 5 AST)43
60.5%
34
39.5%
Q2 - 7:10MILSUB: Skinner FOR Noel41
34
Q2 - 7:10MILSUB: Williams FOR Boykins41
34
Q2 - 7:10MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)41
34
Q2 - 7:10BOSRondo P.FOUL (P1.T2)41
34
Q2 - 7:11BOSGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)41
57.3%
34
42.7%
Q2 - 7:23MILPatterson P.FOUL (P1.T1)41
31
Q2 - 7:24MILPierce STEAL (1 STL)41
62.7%
31
37.3%
Q2 - 7:40BOSPierce 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)41
65.4%
31
34.6%
Q2 - 7:53MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)41
67.8%
29
32.2%
Q2 - 7:53MILNoel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
70.4%
29
29.6%
Q2 - 7:53MILPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)41
68.6%
29
31.4%
Q2 - 8:19BOSGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)41
69.1%
29
30.9%
Q2 - 8:29MILSUB: Noel FOR Ilyasova41
26
Q2 - 8:29MILSUB: Bell FOR Reiner41
26
Q2 - 8:29MILSUB: Bogut FOR Williams41
26
Q2 - 8:29MILSUB: Patterson FOR Skinner41
26
Q2 - 8:29BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Gomes41
26
Q2 - 8:29BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)41
26
Q2 - 8:34MILReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
73.7%
26
26.3%
Q2 - 8:34MILReiner 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)41
73.7%
26
26.3%
Q2 - 8:35MILMISS Skinner 2' Layup39
69.9%
26
30.1%
Q2 - 8:57MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
71.5%
26
28.5%
Q2 - 8:59BOSMISS Green 19' Jump Shot39
70.8%
26
29.2%
Q2 - 9:12MILWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Skinner 2 AST)39
68.2%
26
31.8%
Q2 - 9:19MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)36
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q2 - 9:21MILMISS Reiner 18' Jump Shot36
61.7%
26
38.3%
Q2 - 9:33MILReiner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q2 - 9:35BOSMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot36
62.7%
26
37.3%
Q2 - 9:49MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)36
60.9%
26
39.1%
Q2 - 10:12BOSGreen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)34
57.8%
26
42.2%
Q2 - 10:28MILSkinner 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)34
60.2%
24
39.8%
Q2 - 10:51BOSGomes P.FOUL (P2.T1)32
24
Q2 - 11:01BOSSzczerbiak 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)32
57.1%
24
42.9%
Q2 - 11:09BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
62.0%
21
38.0%
Q2 - 11:10MILMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot32
62.8%
21
37.2%
Q2 - 11:36BOSGreen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)32
64.5%
21
35.5%
Q2 - 11:45MILIlyasova Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)32
66.7%
19
33.3%
Q2 - 12:0032
19
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS32
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound32
66.8%
19
33.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Rondo 51' 3PT Jump Shot32
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILSkinner 3' Dunk (6 PTS)32
65.5%
19
34.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)30
62.7%
19
37.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0MILWest BLOCK (1 BLK)30
61.5%
19
38.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0MILReiner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
62.8%
19
37.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0BOSMISS West 20' Jump Shot30
62.3%
19
37.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
61.1%
19
38.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 2 of 230
61.3%
19
38.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Patterson30
19
Q1 - 0:36.0MILSkinner Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
62.4%
19
37.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILSUB: Reiner FOR Bogut29
19
Q1 - 0:36.0MILSUB: Boykins FOR Bell29
19
Q1 - 0:36.0BOSGomes S.FOUL (P1.PN)29
19
Q1 - 0:47.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)29
60.6%
19
39.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0BOSMISS Gomes 12' Jump Shot29
60.0%
19
40.0%
Q1 - 1:16MILWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)29
57.9%
19
42.1%
Q1 - 1:44BOSGomes 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
52.5%
19
47.5%
Q1 - 1:55MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
55.6%
17
44.4%
Q1 - 1:55BOSSUB: Szczerbiak FOR Jefferson25
17
Q1 - 1:55BOSSUB: Perkins FOR Scalabrine25
17
Q1 - 1:55BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Pierce25
17
Q1 - 1:55MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)25
17
Q1 - 1:55BOSJefferson S.FOUL (P2.T3)25
17
Q1 - 1:55MILBogut 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)25
17
Q1 - 2:13BOSPierce 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 1 AST)23
49.8%
17
50.2%
Q1 - 2:29MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)23
52.6%
15
47.4%
Q1 - 2:45MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
47.5%
15
52.5%
Q1 - 2:47BOSMISS Jefferson 3' Tip Shot20
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 2:48BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
45.7%
15
54.3%
Q1 - 2:50BOSMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot20
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 3:08MILSkinner 4' Hook Shot (3 PTS)20
45.2%
15
54.8%
Q1 - 3:08MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)18
43.0%
15
57.0%
Q1 - 3:10MILMISS Skinner 1' Layup18
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 3:11MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
43.0%
15
57.0%
Q1 - 3:13MILMISS Patterson 18' Jump Shot18
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 3:38BOSPierce 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
43.0%
15
57.0%
Q1 - 3:49MILScalabrine STEAL (2 STL)18
45.3%
13
54.7%
Q1 - 3:54MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
47.5%
13
52.5%
Q1 - 3:56BOSMISS West 20' Jump Shot18
46.8%
13
53.2%
Q1 - 4:12MILBogut 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
43.9%
13
56.1%
Q1 - 4:32BOSGomes 1' Layup (2 PTS)16
42.0%
13
58.0%
Q1 - 4:33BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
43.9%
11
56.1%
Q1 - 4:34BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
45.4%
11
54.6%
Q1 - 4:54MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)16
43.8%
11
56.2%
Q1 - 5:11MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
41.7%
11
58.3%
Q1 - 5:13BOSMISS Gomes 18' Jump Shot14
41.1%
11
58.9%
Q1 - 5:27BOSCELTICS Rebound14
39.6%
11
60.4%
Q1 - 5:28MILMISS Skinner 1' Layup14
40.2%
11
59.8%
Q1 - 5:35MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.6%
11
58.4%
Q1 - 5:36BOSMISS Pierce 3' Layup14
41.0%
11
59.0%
Q1 - 5:54BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
11
Q1 - 5:54BOSCELTICS Rebound14
39.5%
11
60.5%
Q1 - 5:56BOSMISS Jefferson 12' Jump Shot14
40.9%
11
59.1%
Q1 - 6:22MILPatterson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)14
39.2%
11
60.8%
Q1 - 6:37MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
37.6%
11
62.4%
Q1 - 6:39BOSMISS West 19' Jump Shot12
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 6:55MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 7:11BOSWest 1' Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)9
32.8%
11
67.2%
Q1 - 7:21BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
34.2%
9
65.8%
Q1 - 7:23MILMISS Williams 9' Running Jump Shot9
34.7%
9
65.3%
Q1 - 7:36BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
35.9%
9
64.1%
Q1 - 7:36BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 7:36MILBogut S.FOUL (P1.T1)9
7
Q1 - 7:55MILWilliams 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)9
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 7:58MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
35.9%
7
64.1%
Q1 - 8:00MILMISS Bogut 5' Jump Shot7
34.8%
7
65.2%
Q1 - 8:13BOSJefferson P.FOUL (P1.T2)7
7
Q1 - 8:26BOSJefferson 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
35.7%
7
64.3%
Q1 - 8:49MILBell 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)7
37.1%
5
62.9%
Q1 - 9:01BOSScalabrine Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
35.8%
5
64.2%
Q1 - 9:16MILBogut 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)5
34.9%
5
65.1%
Q1 - 9:20MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
33.8%
5
66.2%
Q1 - 9:23BOSMISS West 3' Layup3
33.5%
5
66.5%
Q1 - 9:27MILWest STEAL (1 STL)3
33.0%
5
67.0%
Q1 - 9:35MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
33.9%
5
66.1%
Q1 - 9:37BOSMISS Scalabrine 19' Jump Shot3
33.7%
5
66.3%
Q1 - 9:41MILScalabrine STEAL (1 STL)3
33.2%
5
66.8%
Q1 - 9:59MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
34.2%
5
65.8%
Q1 - 10:01BOSMISS West 21' Jump Shot3
34.1%
5
65.9%
Q1 - 10:16BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
33.9%
5
66.1%
Q1 - 10:17MILMISS Skinner Free Throw 2 of 23
34.0%
5
66.0%
Q1 - 10:17MILSkinner Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
34.3%
5
65.7%
Q1 - 10:17BOSPierce S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
5
Q1 - 10:38BOSScalabrine 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)2
34.4%
5
65.6%
Q1 - 10:56MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)2
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 11:15BOSJefferson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 11:30BOSWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 11:32MILMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 11:45MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 11:46BOSMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot0
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Jefferson vs. Bogut: Tip to West0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMILBOS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.3%
BOS
1.29 64.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
16
32
50%
BOS
13
17
76%
Midrange
MIL
16
33
48%
BOS
17
42
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
7
10.5
11
64%
95%
BOS
15
22.5
23
65%
98%
Free Throws
MIL
12
21
57%
BOS
12
15
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams3157%15.5 / 27
C. Bell2467%12.0 / 18
B. Skinner1350%6.5 / 13
R. Patterson1056%5.0 / 9
A. Bogut956%4.5 / 8
E. Ilyasova660%3.0 / 5
J. Reiner250%1.0 / 2
L. Greer233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce3276%16.0 / 21
G. Green21117%10.5 / 9
A. Jefferson1761%8.5 / 14
W. Szczerbiak1458%7.0 / 12
R. Gomes1155%5.5 / 10
R. Rondo956%4.5 / 8
D. West638%3.0 / 8
B. Scalabrine675%3.0 / 4
K. Perkins125%0.5 / 2
L. Powe0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
72
+18
-17
90
BOS
81
+10
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.3%
BOS
1.29 64.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.1
102.9
MIL 109.0
BOS 130.0 +21.0
Pace
92.3
92.3
MIL 84.1
BOS 95.6 +11.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.4
MIL 17.1
BOS 15.1 −2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
47.9%
MIL 55.9%
BOS 64.0% +8.1%
TO %
15.7%
16.8%
MIL 19.8%
BOS 9.2% −10.6%
ORB %
27.8%
27.2%
MIL 43.6% +22.4%
BOS 21.2%
FTrt
28.6
33.7
MIL 27.6 +9.3
BOS 18.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
57.0%
MIL 59.0% +1.2%
BOS 57.8%
STL %
7.7%
7.7%
MIL 4.5%
BOS 12.2% +7.7%
BLK %
4.4%
7.5%
MIL 5.1%
BOS 7.7% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
51.7%
MIL 53.3%
BOS 64.3% +11.0%
Rim FG%
58.1%
54.8%
MIL 50.0%
BOS 76.5% +26.5%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.6%
MIL 48.5% +8.0%
BOS 40.5%
3P %
35.6%
36.7%
MIL 63.6%
BOS 65.2% +1.6%
FT %
73.3%
76.7%
MIL 57.1%
BOS 80.0% +22.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.1%
37.4%
MIL 42.1% +21.4%
BOS 20.7%
Mid Att. %
37.0%
42.7%
MIL 43.4% −7.8%
BOS 51.2%
3P Att. %
21.9%
19.9%
MIL 14.5%
BOS 28.0% +13.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILBOS
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points97117
Rebounds4329
Assists2326
Steals411
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)17 (4)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (1)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)22 (2)
Field Goals39-7645-82
At-the-Rim FG16-3213-17
Midrange FG16-3317-42
2-Point FG32-6530-59
3-Point FG7-1115-23
Free Throws12-2112-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
43.4
24
67%
7
4
1
0
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
6-13
46%
4-5
80%
G · 6'1" 198 · 24
43.4
31
57%
5
4
1
1
2
4
1
4
4-4
100%
9-20
45%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 255 · 31
42.0
13
50%
11
2
0
2
4
4
5
6
5-10
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 22
39.8
9
56%
8
7
1
0
3
3
2
6
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 223 · 32
31.1
10
56%
1
3
0
0
5
4
1
0
0-2
0%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
16.0
6
60%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 5'5" 133 · 31
10.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 25
5.5
2
50%
6
1
0
0
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
5.0
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23
3.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 22
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
#21 · F · 6'6" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#52 · F · 6'10" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 6'11" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
53%
43
23
4
3
17
0
17
26
12-21
57%
32-65
49%
7-11
64%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.