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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs43%8990
4Pistons57%9281
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
37.9
32.5
16
57%
2
8
2
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
8-14
7-13
57%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.8
37.8
32.9
23
55%
8
1
0
1
2
1
0
8
5-7
71%
9-18
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.0
30.0
21.5
12
71%
18
0
1
1
0
1
3
15
0-1
0%
6-7
2-4
86%
51%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.7
28.3
25.8
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.1
18.8
25.3
2
35%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.5
31.5
25.6
20
68%
5
3
0
1
0
6
2
3
5-6
83%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
3-5
60%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.9
19.3
21.9
4
33%
2
3
2
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-4
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.5
19.0
14.5
3
50%
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
1-3
33%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.0
10.1
14.1
5
56%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.9
7.4
12.8
3
104%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
6.2
0
1-1
45%
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.9
5.7
0
1-2
50%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.8
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.4
41.5
31.9
19
48%
7
6
1
1
0
4
0
7
5-6
83%
7-12
3-6
58%
45%
0-5
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.4
40.4
32.3
13
41%
7
3
1
1
1
2
0
7
2-2
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.0
40.1
35.4
20
59%
5
4
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
48%
2-3
67%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
33.9
29.2
14
71%
5
3
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-9
4-10
67%
44%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.0
31.6
33.3
2
13%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
0-2
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
17.1
19.1
11
110%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
3-3
100%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.4
15.9
16.7
0
0%
1
0
2
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.5
15.5
19.2
2
20%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.0
4.0
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
5.2
0
1-1
43%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.4
4.7
0
1-1
51%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.9
2.6
0
0-0
46%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.1
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.8
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.