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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Kings43%9393
17Hornets57%95110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.3
29.9
38.3
18
45%
5
1
2
2
0
1
2
3
8-11
73%
2-9
5-11
22%
46%
2-6
33%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
29.5
25.0
6
38%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.0
25.6
34.9
15
64%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
2-6
5-10
33%
52%
2-3
67%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.8
21.2
31.4
8
45%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
17.6
28.6
2
33%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.2
31.7
23.9
16
55%
2
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
4-6
67%
6-12
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
31.2
17.9
12
73%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
5-5
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
1-4
25%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.2
21.7
27.7
4
45%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.8
13.1
4.2
4
41%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-2
0%
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
9.7
2.9
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
8.9
1.9
5
51%
3
1
2
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
0-0
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.8
1.8
0
0-0
43%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.8
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.3
32.6
31.9
18
65%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
8-12
6-13
67%
46%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.4
31.6
35.6
10
79%
15
0
0
1
1
2
5
10
2-3
67%
4-5
5-8
80%
56%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.8
29.0
33.4
9
56%
4
6
0
2
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
5-11
43%
47%
1-1
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
26.8
32.5
16
68%
9
3
1
1
1
0
1
8
4-4
100%
6-10
7-13
60%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
18.9
25.5
15
102%
1
3
1
1
2
3
0
1
2-3
67%
2-2
2-5
100%
44%
3-4
75%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.9
23.4
20.5
14
50%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
44%
1-5
20%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.7
19.4
13.5
12
87%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
5-6
1-3
83%
47%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.3
19.0
14.6
8
63%
1
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-3
33%
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.7
15.4
16.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.2
12.4
10.3
8
67%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
5.8
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 32.1
5.8
2.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.8
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.