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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
February 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Cavaliers42%9498
10Jazz58%9699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.1
42.6
37.7
23
40%
10
4
1
1
3
0
3
7
5-9
56%
9-22
7-14
41%
51%
0-3
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.1
38.5
31.0
33
71%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
10-10
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
43%
3-6
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
37.5
22.9
9
41%
17
1
2
1
2
1
9
8
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.4
36.5
27.1
15
59%
10
3
1
1
0
3
3
7
3-4
75%
6-10
5-10
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.0
11.3
19.4
3
150%
0
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-1
100%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.8
28.2
18.8
0
0%
6
2
0
1
0
2
4
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.2
17.2
25.7
4
52%
0
0
1
1
0
5
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
14.8
14.0
9
57%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.0
7.1
3.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.3
6.2
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.5
7.5
0
0-1
43%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.2
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.7
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.7
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
43.3
33.3
33
62%
6
12
2
1
0
2
0
6
4-8
50%
13-19
5-10
68%
49%
1-4
25%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
36.5
32.3
22
77%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
50%
3-4
75%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
26.6
28.6
10
83%
2
2
1
1
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
51%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.5
24.9
31.8
3
19%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
43%
0-2
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.2
17.4
21.1
5
43%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
3-4
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.0
29.6
22.2
7
40%
6
1
2
1
1
3
3
3
1-4
25%
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.7
27.8
17.6
8
45%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.7
24.2
24.7
9
45%
6
1
0
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-9
4-7
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.5
9.8
7.8
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.9
8.4
0
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.9
3.9
0
0-1
46%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.5
3.4
0
0-1
42%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.2
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.