Final Win Prob. pScore
635%88
102
565%93
112
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
105.29799.3
HOU logo Rockets
115.59794.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA102
112
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound102
112
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
112
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)102
112
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
112
Q4 - 0:35.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)102
112
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
112
Q4 - 0:49.0HOUBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)102
112
Q4 - 0:49.0HOUBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)102
111
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAPosey P.FOUL (P4.PN)102
110
Q4 - 0:49.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)102
110
Q4 - 0:50.0HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
110
Q4 - 1:06HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)102
110
Q4 - 1:10HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
110
Q4 - 1:12MIABattier BLOCK (1 BLK)102
110
Q4 - 1:22HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)102
110
Q4 - 1:22HOUROCKETS Rebound102
109
Q4 - 1:22HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2102
109
Q4 - 1:22MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.PN)102
109
Q4 - 1:29MIAWalker Dunk (9 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)102
109
Q4 - 1:31MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
109
Q4 - 1:33HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
109
Q4 - 1:52MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)100
109
Q4 - 1:55MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)98
109
Q4 - 2:00HOUMcGrady 23' Jump Shot (32 PTS)98
109
Q4 - 2:11HOUSUB: Alston FOR Wells98
107
Q4 - 2:27MIAWilliams Layup (7 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)98
107
Q4 - 2:32HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)96
107
Q4 - 2:48MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)96
107
Q4 - 2:59HOUHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)94
107
Q4 - 2:59HOUSUB: Howard FOR Mutombo94
106
Q4 - 2:59MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal94
106
Q4 - 2:59HOUROCKETS Rebound94
106
Q4 - 2:59HOUMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 294
106
Q4 - 2:59MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P4.T4)94
106
Q4 - 3:13HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
106
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Running Hook Shot94
106
Q4 - 3:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)94
106
Q4 - 3:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 294
106
Q4 - 3:25MIAHeat Rebound94
106
Q4 - 3:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 294
106
Q4 - 3:25HOUHead S.FOUL (P2.PN)94
106
Q4 - 3:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)94
106
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot94
106
Q4 - 3:33MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
106
Q4 - 3:35HOUMISS Mutombo Reverse Layup94
106
Q4 - 3:48MIAPosey P.FOUL (P3.T3)94
106
Q4 - 3:49HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
106
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
106
Q4 - 3:59HOUMutombo P.FOUL (P5.T4)94
106
Q4 - 4:12HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)94
106
Q4 - 4:31HOUHead Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)94
106
Q4 - 4:31MIAO'Neal Taunting (P3.T2)94
105
Q4 - 4:31MIAO'Neal Dunk (20 PTS)94
105
Q4 - 4:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)92
105
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk92
105
Q4 - 4:54HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (30 PTS)92
105
Q4 - 4:59MIAMcGrady STEAL (3 STL)92
103
Q4 - 5:06MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
103
Q4 - 5:08HOUMISS Battier 12' Jump Shot92
103
Q4 - 5:17MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)92
103
Q4 - 5:17HOUWells Violation:Lane91
103
Q4 - 5:17HOUMutombo S.FOUL (P4.T3)91
103
Q4 - 5:17MIAO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)91
103
Q4 - 5:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)89
103
Q4 - 5:29HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot89
103
Q4 - 5:39MIAKapono P.FOUL (P2.T2)89
103
Q4 - 5:56MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
103
Q4 - 5:56MIAHeat Rebound88
103
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 288
103
Q4 - 5:56MIASUB: Kapono FOR Payton88
103
Q4 - 5:56HOUMutombo S.FOUL (P3.T2)88
103
Q4 - 6:07MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)88
103
Q4 - 6:11HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)88
103
Q4 - 6:16MIAMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)88
100
Q4 - 6:40HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Head 4 AST)88
100
Q4 - 7:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)88
97
Q4 - 7:01MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)88
97
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Walker Layup86
97
Q4 - 7:10MIASUB: Williams FOR Jones86
97
Q4 - 7:27HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)86
97
Q4 - 7:42HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)86
94
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
94
Q4 - 7:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
94
Q4 - 7:52HOUMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
94
Q4 - 8:15MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)86
94
Q4 - 8:25HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T16)83
94
Q4 - 8:39HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)83
94
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot83
94
Q4 - 8:55HOUWells Foul Turnover (P2.T15)83
94
Q4 - 8:55HOUWells OFF.Foul (P2)83
94
Q4 - 8:59MIABattier STEAL (2 STL)83
94
Q4 - 9:04HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Hayes83
94
Q4 - 9:04MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning83
94
Q4 - 9:04MIASUB: Walker FOR Kapono83
94
Q4 - 9:04MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)83
94
Q4 - 9:16HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Head 3 AST)83
94
Q4 - 9:33HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
91
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot83
91
Q4 - 9:51HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)83
91
Q4 - 10:09MIAMourning Layup (8 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)83
91
Q4 - 10:27MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
91
Q4 - 10:27HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 181
91
Q4 - 10:27MIASUB: Payton FOR Wade81
91
Q4 - 10:27MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T1)81
91
Q4 - 10:27HOUWells Layup (11 PTS)81
91
Q4 - 10:28HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
89
Q4 - 10:29HOUMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
89
Q4 - 10:45MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
89
Q4 - 10:45HOUSUB: McGrady FOR Alston80
89
Q4 - 10:45MIAHeat Rebound80
89
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 280
89
Q4 - 10:45HOUHayes S.FOUL (P4.T1)80
89
Q4 - 10:54HOUHead Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)80
89
Q4 - 11:15HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)80
89
Q4 - 11:19MIAWade Driving Layup (27 PTS)80
89
Q4 - 11:27HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)78
89
Q4 - 11:44MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)78
89
Q4 - 12:0075
89
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
89
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU75
89
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUWells 70' 3PT Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)75
89
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
86
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot75
86
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
86
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUSUB: Battier FOR McGrady75
85
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUROCKETS Rebound75
85
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 275
85
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.PN)75
85
Q3 - 0:35.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
85
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
85
Q3 - 0:50.0HOUAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)75
85
Q3 - 1:05MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
82
Q3 - 1:05MIAHeat Rebound74
82
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 274
82
Q3 - 1:05HOUHayes S.FOUL (P3.PN)74
82
Q3 - 1:22MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
82
Q3 - 1:22HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 274
82
Q3 - 1:22HOUROCKETS Rebound74
82
Q3 - 1:22HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 274
82
Q3 - 1:22MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T4)74
82
Q3 - 1:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)74
82
Q3 - 1:36HOUMcGrady S.FOUL (P3.T4)73
82
Q3 - 1:36MIAWade Reverse Layup (24 PTS)73
82
Q3 - 1:39HOUSUB: Wells FOR Howard71
82
Q3 - 1:39HOUSUB: Head FOR Battier71
82
Q3 - 1:39MIASUB: Posey FOR Haslem71
82
Q3 - 1:39MIAHeat Rebound71
82
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Haslem Layup71
82
Q3 - 1:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
82
Q3 - 1:41MIAMISS Wade Layup71
82
Q3 - 1:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
82
Q3 - 1:46HOUMISS Alston Layup71
82
Q3 - 2:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)71
82
Q3 - 2:03HOUBattier S.FOUL (P2.T3)70
82
Q3 - 2:03MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)70
82
Q3 - 2:17HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)68
82
Q3 - 2:32MIASUB: Jones FOR Payton68
79
Q3 - 2:32MIAPayton P.FOUL (P2.T3)68
79
Q3 - 2:42MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P3.T10)68
79
Q3 - 2:42MIAKapono OFF.Foul (P1)68
79
Q3 - 2:45MIAHeat Rebound68
79
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
79
Q3 - 2:50MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
79
Q3 - 2:52HOUMISS Alston 8' Running Jump Shot68
79
Q3 - 3:04HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Mutombo68
79
Q3 - 3:04MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal68
79
Q3 - 3:04MIAPayton P.FOUL (P1.T2)68
79
Q3 - 3:16MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS)68
79
Q3 - 3:35HOUHoward 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)66
79
Q3 - 3:48HOUROCKETS Rebound66
77
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Payton 11' Jump Shot66
77
Q3 - 3:52MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)66
77
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Payton Layup66
77
Q3 - 4:01HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)66
77
Q3 - 4:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)66
77
Q3 - 4:14HOUMcGrady S.FOUL (P2.T2)65
77
Q3 - 4:14MIAWade Layup (16 PTS)65
77
Q3 - 4:21MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)63
77
Q3 - 4:34HOUHoward Layup (12 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)63
77
Q3 - 4:39MIABattier STEAL (1 STL)63
75
Q3 - 4:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)63
75
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS O'Neal Layup63
75
Q3 - 5:12HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)63
75
Q3 - 5:23HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
72
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
72
Q3 - 5:32HOUBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)63
72
Q3 - 5:41MIAMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)63
72
Q3 - 5:49HOUAlston Violation:Kicked Ball63
72
Q3 - 6:00HOUBattier Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)63
72
Q3 - 6:15HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)63
72
Q3 - 6:17MIAWade Layup (14 PTS)63
72
Q3 - 6:22HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)61
72
Q3 - 6:40MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)61
72
Q3 - 6:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
72
Q3 - 6:59HOUMISS Mutombo 12' Jump Shot59
72
Q3 - 7:15HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)59
72
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot59
72
Q3 - 7:33HOUAlston 6' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)59
72
Q3 - 7:51MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
70
Q3 - 7:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
70
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
70
Q3 - 8:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
70
Q3 - 8:06HOUMISS Battier 17' Jump Shot57
70
Q3 - 8:14HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
70
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot57
70
Q3 - 8:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
70
Q3 - 8:28HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
70
Q3 - 8:39MIAKapono Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)57
70
Q3 - 8:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
70
Q3 - 8:46HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
70
Q3 - 9:04MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)57
70
Q3 - 9:13HOUMutombo P.FOUL (P2.T1)55
70
Q3 - 9:25HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)55
70
Q3 - 9:25HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)55
69
Q3 - 9:25MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)55
68
Q3 - 9:36MIAKapono Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)55
68
Q3 - 9:51HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)55
68
Q3 - 10:09MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)55
66
Q3 - 10:19MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
66
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
66
Q3 - 10:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
66
Q3 - 10:26HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
66
Q3 - 10:26HOUMISS Howard Tip Shot53
66
Q3 - 10:27HOUMISS McGrady Reverse Layup53
66
Q3 - 10:42MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)53
66
Q3 - 10:50MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
66
Q3 - 10:52HOUMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot50
66
Q3 - 11:16MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
66
Q3 - 11:23MIAHeat Rebound48
66
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
66
Q3 - 11:41HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)48
66
Q3 - 12:0048
63
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
63
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUHoward 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)48
63
Q2 - 0:02.0MIASUB: Posey FOR Mourning48
61
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUSUB: Head FOR Mutombo48
61
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)48
61
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUROCKETS Rebound48
61
Q2 - 0:04.0HOUMISS McGrady 23' Jump Shot48
61
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAKapono 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)48
61
Q2 - 0:38.0HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Battier 5 AST)46
61
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS)46
58
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
58
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot44
58
Q2 - 1:08HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)44
58
Q2 - 1:19HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)44
56
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 244
56
Q2 - 1:19HOUSUB: McGrady FOR Wells44
56
Q2 - 1:19MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)44
56
Q2 - 1:19HOUWells S.FOUL (P1.PN)43
56
Q2 - 1:24HOUAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)43
56
Q2 - 1:38MIAKapono 21' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)43
56
Q2 - 1:54HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)41
56
Q2 - 2:15MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
53
Q2 - 2:15MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
53
Q2 - 2:15HOUAlston P.FOUL (P1.PN)39
53
Q2 - 2:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
53
Q2 - 2:23HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot39
53
Q2 - 2:36MIAWells STEAL (2 STL)39
53
Q2 - 2:46HOUSUB: Alston FOR Head39
53
Q2 - 2:46HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)39
53
Q2 - 2:46HOUMutombo 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)39
53
Q2 - 3:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)39
53
Q2 - 3:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
53
Q2 - 3:05HOUBattier S.FOUL (P1.T4)37
53
Q2 - 3:08HOUWells Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)37
53
Q2 - 3:22MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)37
53
Q2 - 3:22MIAHeat Rebound36
53
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 236
53
Q2 - 3:22HOUMutombo S.FOUL (P1.T3)36
53
Q2 - 3:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
53
Q2 - 3:36HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 136
53
Q2 - 3:36HOUSUB: Battier FOR McGrady36
53
Q2 - 3:36MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker36
53
Q2 - 3:36MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.PN)36
53
Q2 - 3:36HOUWells Layup (6 PTS)36
53
Q2 - 3:41MIAWells STEAL (1 STL)36
51
Q2 - 3:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
51
Q2 - 3:50HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
51
Q2 - 3:53HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)36
51
Q2 - 3:55HOUMISS Mutombo Tip Shot36
51
Q2 - 3:56HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)36
51
Q2 - 3:58HOUMISS Head 8' Jump Shot36
51
Q2 - 4:19MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
51
Q2 - 4:29HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
51
Q2 - 4:29HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
50
Q2 - 4:29MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T4)34
49
Q2 - 4:45MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS)34
49
Q2 - 5:01HOUWells 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)32
49
Q2 - 5:07HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
47
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
47
Q2 - 5:22HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
47
Q2 - 5:22MIASUB: Kapono FOR Posey32
46
Q2 - 5:22MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal32
46
Q2 - 5:22HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
46
Q2 - 5:22MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.T3)32
45
Q2 - 5:36MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS)32
45
Q2 - 5:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
45
Q2 - 5:38MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot30
45
Q2 - 5:48MIASUB: Wade FOR Williams30
45
Q2 - 5:48MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)30
45
Q2 - 5:58HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Head 2 AST)30
45
Q2 - 6:10HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
43
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
43
Q2 - 6:28HOUHead 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
43
Q2 - 6:39HOUROCKETS Rebound30
40
Q2 - 6:39MIAMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)30
40
Q2 - 6:44MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
40
Q2 - 6:46HOUMISS Wells 19' Jump Shot30
40
Q2 - 6:59MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
40
Q2 - 6:59HOUSUB: Howard FOR Hayes29
40
Q2 - 6:59MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
40
Q2 - 6:59HOUHead S.FOUL (P1.T2)28
40
Q2 - 7:02HOUMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T4)28
40
Q2 - 7:16MIAWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
40
Q2 - 7:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
40
Q2 - 7:24HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
40
Q2 - 7:30HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
40
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot26
40
Q2 - 7:49HOUMcGrady L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)26
40
Q2 - 7:49MIAHeat Rebound26
40
Q2 - 7:49MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot26
40
Q2 - 7:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
40
Q2 - 7:57HOUMISS Wells Layup26
40
Q2 - 8:11HOUROCKETS Rebound26
40
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS O'Neal Layup26
40
Q2 - 8:19HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)26
40
Q2 - 8:34MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)26
40
Q2 - 8:49HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
40
Q2 - 8:4924
39
Q2 - 8:49MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T2)24
39
Q2 - 8:49HOUMutombo Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)24
39
Q2 - 8:57HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
37
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
37
Q2 - 9:04MIASUB: Jones FOR Mourning24
37
Q2 - 9:04MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Wade24
37
Q2 - 9:04MIAHeat Rebound24
37
Q2 - 9:05MIAWells BLOCK (1 BLK)24
37
Q2 - 9:14MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
37
Q2 - 9:15MIAMISS Walker Layup24
37
Q2 - 9:20MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
37
Q2 - 9:22HOUMISS McGrady 16' Fadeaway Jumper24
37
Q2 - 9:33HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
37
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
37
Q2 - 9:49HOUWells 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
37
Q2 - 10:11MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)24
35
Q2 - 10:34HOUHayes Dunk (6 PTS) (Head 1 AST)21
35
Q2 - 10:39MIAHead STEAL (2 STL)21
33
Q2 - 10:51HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)21
33
Q2 - 10:51HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)21
32
Q2 - 10:51MIAPosey S.FOUL (P2.T1)21
31
Q2 - 11:01HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
31
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Bank Shot21
31
Q2 - 11:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
31
Q2 - 11:10HOUMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot21
31
Q2 - 11:28MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)21
31
Q2 - 11:43HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)19
31
Q2 - 12:0019
31
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU19
31
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound19
31
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS McGrady 51' 3PT Running Jump Shot19
31
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
31
Q1 - 0:06.0HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Hayes16
31
Q1 - 0:06.0HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
31
Q1 - 0:11.0HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Mutombo16
31
Q1 - 0:11.0MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem16
31
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAPosey P.FOUL (P1.T3)16
31
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)16
31
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 216
31
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUSUB: Head FOR Hayes16
31
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAHeat Rebound16
31
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 216
31
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUHayes S.FOUL (P2.T4)16
31
Q1 - 0:46.0HOUHayes Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)16
31
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAHayes STEAL (1 STL)16
29
Q1 - 1:12HOUBattier Layup (4 PTS)16
29
Q1 - 1:13HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
27
Q1 - 1:14HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot16
27
Q1 - 1:28MIAWade Layup (8 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)16
27
Q1 - 1:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
27
Q1 - 1:42HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
27
Q1 - 1:54HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)14
27
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot14
27
Q1 - 2:11HOUHayes Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)14
27
Q1 - 2:22HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
25
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot14
25
Q1 - 2:29HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Howard14
25
Q1 - 2:29HOUHoward P.FOUL (P2.T3)14
25
Q1 - 2:39HOUHayes L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)14
25
Q1 - 2:39MIAHeat Rebound14
25
Q1 - 2:40HOUMISS McGrady 22' Fadeaway Jumper14
25
Q1 - 2:49HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Mutombo14
25
Q1 - 2:49MIASUB: Posey FOR Kapono14
25
Q1 - 2:49HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
25
Q1 - 3:01HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
25
Q1 - 3:02MIAMISS Wade Layup14
25
Q1 - 3:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
25
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS Wade Layup14
25
Q1 - 3:22HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)14
25
Q1 - 3:27HOUSUB: McGrady FOR Head14
23
Q1 - 3:27MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal14
23
Q1 - 3:27MIAWilliams L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)14
23
Q1 - 3:27HOUROCKETS Rebound14
23
Q1 - 3:28HOUMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
23
Q1 - 3:35HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
23
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot14
23
Q1 - 3:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
23
Q1 - 3:45HOUMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot14
23
Q1 - 3:55HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
23
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Kapono 13' Jump Bank Shot14
23
Q1 - 4:06MIAHeat Rebound14
23
Q1 - 4:07HOUMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot14
23
Q1 - 4:26MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS)14
23
Q1 - 4:46HOUHead Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)12
23
Q1 - 5:03MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
21
Q1 - 5:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
21
Q1 - 5:18HOUMISS Battier 9' Turnaround Jump Shot10
21
Q1 - 5:29HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
21
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 210
21
Q1 - 5:29MIASUB: Williams FOR Payton10
21
Q1 - 5:29MIAHeat Rebound10
21
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 210
21
Q1 - 5:29HOUHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
21
Q1 - 5:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
21
Q1 - 5:40HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
21
Q1 - 5:49MIAHead STEAL (1 STL)10
21
Q1 - 6:08HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
21
Q1 - 6:19MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)10
18
Q1 - 6:39HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
18
Q1 - 6:39HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
17
Q1 - 6:39HOUSUB: Head FOR McGrady8
16
Q1 - 6:39MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
16
Q1 - 6:39HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
16
Q1 - 6:41HOUMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot8
16
Q1 - 6:54HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
16
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS O'Neal Alley Oop Dunk8
16
Q1 - 7:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16
Q1 - 7:10HOUMISS McGrady 21' Turnaround Jump Shot8
16
Q1 - 7:22HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
16
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot8
16
Q1 - 7:47HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)8
16
Q1 - 8:03MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
14
Q1 - 8:13MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)6
14
Q1 - 8:20HOUMcGrady 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)6
14
Q1 - 8:31HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
11
Q1 - 8:33MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot6
11
Q1 - 8:53HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
11
Q1 - 9:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
9
Q1 - 9:06MIAWade Tip Shot (4 PTS)6
9
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Wade Layup4
9
Q1 - 9:31HOUMcGrady 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)4
9
Q1 - 9:43HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Payton 8' Jump Shot4
7
Q1 - 10:05HOUHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)4
7
Q1 - 10:19HOUROCKETS Rebound4
5
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot4
5
Q1 - 10:37HOUBattier 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)4
5
Q1 - 10:51MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
3
Q1 - 10:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
3
Q1 - 10:59HOUMISS Alston 16' Jump Shot2
3
Q1 - 11:04HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
3
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS O'Neal Layup2
3
Q1 - 11:24HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)2
3
Q1 - 11:41MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Mutombo vs. O'Neal: Tip to Haslem0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.1%
HOU
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
39
56%
HOU
11
17
65%
Midrange
MIA
14
31
45%
HOU
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
HOU
15
22.5
30
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
15
26
58%
HOU
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2750%13.5 / 27
S. O'Neal2059%10.0 / 17
J. Kapono1350%6.5 / 13
A. Walker938%4.5 / 12
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
A. Mourning850%4.0 / 8
J. Williams758%3.5 / 6
J. Posey650%3.0 / 6
G. Payton220%1.0 / 5
E. Jones250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3259%16.0 / 27
R. Alston2067%10.0 / 15
J. Howard1563%7.5 / 12
S. Battier1260%6.0 / 10
B. Wells1179%5.5 / 7
L. Head1056%5.0 / 9
C. Hayes788%3.5 / 4
D. Mutombo550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+20
-13
104
HOU
79
+10
-18
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.1%
HOU
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
105.6
MIA 105.2
HOU 115.5 +10.3
Pace
90.1
91.1
MIA 99.3 +4.6
HOU 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.8
MIA 14.5 −0.7
HOU 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
49.9%
MIA 47.3%
HOU 60.1% +12.8%
TO %
15.3%
14.8%
MIA 11.2% −5.5%
HOU 16.7%
ORB %
24.9%
25.7%
MIA 31.1% +12.2%
HOU 18.9%
FTrt
32.1
29.2
MIA 28.3
HOU 30.4 +2.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
58.6%
MIA 46.3%
HOU 65.0% +18.7%
STL %
7.6%
7.8%
MIA 13.4% +3.1%
HOU 10.3%
BLK %
8.8%
6.5%
MIA 6.1% +1.8%
HOU 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
52.3%
MIA 48.1%
HOU 62.2% +14.1%
Rim FG%
61.8%
56.2%
MIA 56.4%
HOU 64.7% +8.3%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.0%
MIA 45.2% +1.4%
HOU 43.8%
3P %
34.3%
37.2%
MIA 22.7%
HOU 50.0% +27.3%
FT %
69.0%
75.3%
MIA 57.7%
HOU 70.8% +13.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
30.3%
MIA 42.4% +20.9%
HOU 21.5%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
40.7%
MIA 33.7% −6.8%
HOU 40.5%
3P Att. %
24.5%
29.0%
MIA 23.9%
HOU 38.0% +14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points102112
Rebounds4438
Assists1926
Steals1310
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (6)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)31 (4)
Field Goals41-9240-79
At-the-Rim FG22-3911-17
Midrange FG14-3114-32
2-Point FG36-7025-49
3-Point FG5-2215-30
Free Throws15-2617-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
35.3
13
50%
2
2
5
0
3
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
34.3
27
50%
3
9
2
0
4
1
2
1
5-7
71%
11-24
46%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 325 · 35
27.3
20
59%
16
0
0
1
0
4
6
10
2-5
40%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
25.8
8
57%
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
20.6
2
20%
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
23.1
6
50%
3
1
3
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-6
33%
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
18.9
7
58%
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
17.7
8
50%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
4-8
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
17.7
9
38%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-5
20%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35
16.4
2
50%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
48%
44
19
13
3
13
0
14
30
15-26
58%
36-70
51%
5-22
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.