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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 21, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat35%88102
5Rockets65%93112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.1
35.3
27.2
13
50%
2
2
5
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-6
57%
44%
1-5
20%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.1
34.3
36.3
27
48%
3
9
2
2
0
4
2
1
5-7
71%
11-24
8-16
46%
49%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.0
27.3
23.6
20
58%
16
0
0
0
1
0
6
10
2-5
40%
9-15
5-9
60%
54%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
25.8
30.0
8
58%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-2
0%
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.6
20.6
24.2
2
20%
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.1
23.1
27.8
6
50%
3
1
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-6
33%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.3
18.9
13.2
7
58%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.0
17.7
17.7
8
53%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
4-8
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
17.7
19.8
9
38%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
46%
1-5
20%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.3
16.4
19.7
2
53%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.7
3.0
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.4
6.2
0
0-1
38%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.2
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.7
40.9
35.4
32
60%
3
8
3
1
1
7
0
3
4-6
67%
8-15
8-16
53%
49%
4-9
44%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.7
38.5
25.8
5
47%
13
0
0
0
0
1
3
10
3-3
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.5
38.3
34.9
12
61%
4
5
2
1
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
2-4
50%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.6
30.2
35.5
20
67%
2
6
0
2
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-8
20%
43%
6-10
60%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.0
29.8
28.5
15
64%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
5-6
83%
5-9
5-9
56%
48%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.2
26.6
23.5
10
54%
2
4
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.4
22.1
20.1
11
70%
5
0
2
1
1
2
1
4
0-2
0%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.7
13.4
20.8
7
90%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.7
6.1
0
1-1
49%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.3
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.6
2.2
0
0-0
49%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.7
2.0
0
0-0
51%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.7
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.9
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.