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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 21, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Grizzlies34%102115
22Warriors66%107118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.0
49.1
36.0
45
76%
5
6
1
1
0
6
0
5
4-6
67%
7-10
4-8
70%
51%
9-17
53%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
46.6
32.3
17
43%
10
4
1
1
0
6
5
5
4-4
100%
2-11
5-10
18%
46%
3-7
43%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
45.1
38.5
22
50%
14
5
0
1
1
6
3
11
4-7
57%
9-19
8-16
47%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.5
41.7
19.4
14
49%
5
11
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-3
67%
3-6
1-3
50%
42%
2-7
29%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.3
4.6
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.6
34.5
18.1
13
67%
9
1
1
0
0
3
1
8
5-6
83%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
15.3
18.7
0
0%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.4
12.0
8.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
37%
0-2
0%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.9
9.7
14.8
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
6.4
9.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.5
22.9
1
2-5
46%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.2
10.7
0
1-3
47%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.8
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.9
47.2
35.9
26
58%
3
12
4
1
1
2
1
2
6-8
75%
7-11
5-11
64%
48%
2-8
25%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.0
47.2
35.1
22
62%
5
1
2
1
1
3
0
5
2-4
50%
7-11
6-11
64%
49%
2-5
40%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.3
45.0
33.8
22
58%
7
6
2
1
0
3
0
7
6-7
86%
8-16
6-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.9
44.0
26.1
21
66%
14
0
3
1
2
3
3
11
1-2
50%
10-15
4-7
67%
62%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.0
25.6
11.7
5
36%
4
0
2
0
1
3
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
37.3
7.8
19
42%
10
5
2
0
1
1
6
4
2-2
100%
7-17
1-2
41%
50%
1-5
20%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
5.9
10.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
5.3
31.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
49%
0-2
0%
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 31.0
5.2
12.9
3
35%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.0
2.4
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.0
25.4
1
3-5
51%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
6.8
0
1-2
52%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.8
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.