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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 22, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Kings47%101106
20Wizards53%102109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.3
43.3
32.4
32
69%
6
3
1
2
2
4
3
3
9-14
64%
10-14
5-10
71%
47%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.8
37.0
30.0
30
70%
3
3
3
1
0
3
1
2
0-1
0%
6-9
3-7
67%
47%
6-12
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.1
35.8
31.1
14
65%
5
6
3
1
2
3
0
5
3-4
75%
4-6
5-9
67%
53%
1-3
33%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.9
31.7
27.7
8
42%
13
4
0
1
2
2
4
9
0-1
0%
4-9
4-7
44%
50%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
18.4
23.0
3
52%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
25.6
19.5
5
42%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
16.2
22.1
6
41%
3
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
2-3
67%
2-6
3-7
33%
51%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.2
14.3
26.7
5
63%
1
1
0
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.2
13.6
18.9
3
26%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
4.1
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.8
3.9
0
0-1
51%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.9
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
44.7
40.9
43
73%
7
7
3
2
0
9
2
5
16-17
94%
9-14
7-14
64%
48%
3-8
38%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.9
39.5
33.5
21
67%
6
2
4
1
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
6-12
4-8
50%
49%
2-2
100%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.9
38.9
33.5
25
55%
4
5
5
2
0
3
0
4
5-6
83%
10-19
6-13
53%
48%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.2
23.0
22.3
5
39%
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
1-1
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.5
16.2
24.2
0
0%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.5
22.3
15.6
5
56%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.0
17.1
15.8
6
43%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.1
13.4
9.1
1
28%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-4
25%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
7.7
20.6
3
61%
4
1
0
0
0
2
3
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.9
6.8
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.8
5.4
5.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.5
5.1
4.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.4
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.