Final Win Prob. pScore
1912%88
100
188%103
112
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
108.79294.7
DAL logo Mavericks
120.49390.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL100
112
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)100
112
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)99
112
Q4 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.T3)98
112
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
112
Q4 - 0:13.0DALMISS Harris 22' Jump Shot98
112
Q4 - 0:32.0DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
112
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
112
Q4 - 0:41.0DALHarris 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)98
112
Q4 - 1:00DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
110
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
110
Q4 - 1:10MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 3)98
110
Q4 - 1:10DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)98
110
Q4 - 1:10DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)98
109
Q4 - 1:10MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P2.PN)98
108
Q4 - 1:27MIAQuinn 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)98
108
Q4 - 1:42DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)96
108
Q4 - 1:42DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)96
107
Q4 - 1:42MIADoleac S.FOUL (P2.PN)96
106
Q4 - 1:47MIAQuinn 5' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)96
106
Q4 - 1:58DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)94
106
Q4 - 1:58MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)94
105
Q4 - 1:58DALSUB: Buckner FOR Croshere94
105
Q4 - 1:58DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)94
105
Q4 - 1:58MIAWright P.FOUL (P2.PN)94
104
Q4 - 2:02MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)94
104
Q4 - 2:08DALCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)91
104
Q4 - 2:21MIADoleac Layup (4 PTS)91
104
Q4 - 2:22MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
104
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Wright 5' Running Jump Shot89
104
Q4 - 2:38DALSUB: Croshere FOR Dampier89
104
Q4 - 2:38MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)89
104
Q4 - 2:38DALMAVERICKS Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#14)89
104
Q4 - 2:50MIAPosey Running Layup (14 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)89
104
Q4 - 2:53DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)87
104
Q4 - 3:12DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
104
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot87
104
Q4 - 3:22MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
104
Q4 - 3:24DALMISS Dampier Layup87
104
Q4 - 3:37MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
104
Q4 - 3:37MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
104
Q4 - 3:37DALStackhouse S.FOUL (P1.T2)85
104
Q4 - 3:39MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
104
Q4 - 3:40DALMISS Stackhouse 20' Jump Shot85
104
Q4 - 3:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
104
Q4 - 3:59DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
104
Q4 - 4:17DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
104
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot85
104
Q4 - 4:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)85
104
Q4 - 4:32MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T4)85
103
Q4 - 4:32DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)85
103
Q4 - 4:54MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)85
101
Q4 - 5:12DALHarris 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)82
101
Q4 - 5:35MIAPosey Foul Turnover (P2.T12)82
99
Q4 - 5:35MIAPosey OFF.Foul (P4)82
99
Q4 - 5:45DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
99
Q4 - 5:45DALMAVERICKS Rebound82
98
Q4 - 5:45DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 282
98
Q4 - 5:45MIAWright S.FOUL (P1.T3)82
98
Q4 - 5:58DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Buckner82
98
Q4 - 5:58MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)82
98
Q4 - 6:01MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
98
Q4 - 6:02DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot82
98
Q4 - 6:17MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)82
98
Q4 - 6:35DALTerry Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T12)80
98
Q4 - 6:35DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
98
Q4 - 6:35DALMISS Terry 10' Jump Shot80
98
Q4 - 6:57DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Barea80
98
Q4 - 6:57DALSUB: Dampier FOR Ager80
98
Q4 - 6:57DALSUB: Harris FOR Croshere80
98
Q4 - 6:57DALSUB: Terry FOR Diop80
98
Q4 - 6:57DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)80
98
Q4 - 6:58MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)80
98
Q4 - 7:01MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
98
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot77
98
Q4 - 7:10MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
98
Q4 - 7:10DALMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot77
98
Q4 - 7:17DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
98
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot77
98
Q4 - 7:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
98
Q4 - 7:41DALMISS Croshere 13' Jump Shot77
98
Q4 - 7:59MIAWright Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)77
98
Q4 - 8:04DALBuckner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)75
98
Q4 - 8:22MIAWright Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)75
98
Q4 - 8:28DALAger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)73
98
Q4 - 8:44MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)73
98
Q4 - 8:56MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
98
Q4 - 8:57DALMISS Croshere Free Throw 2 of 271
98
Q4 - 8:57DALCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
98
Q4 - 8:57DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier71
97
Q4 - 8:5771
97
Q4 - 8:57MIAPosey S.FOUL (P3.T2)71
97
Q4 - 9:18DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
97
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 271
97
Q4 - 9:19DALSUB: Barea FOR Harris71
97
Q4 - 9:19MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
97
Q4 - 9:19DALHarris S.FOUL (P2.T1)70
97
Q4 - 9:21DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)70
97
Q4 - 9:44MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)70
97
Q4 - 9:56DALBuckner 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)67
97
Q4 - 10:15MIAQuinn 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)67
95
Q4 - 10:26MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
95
Q4 - 10:27DALMISS Buckner 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
95
Q4 - 10:51MIAWright 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
95
Q4 - 11:00MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
95
Q4 - 11:03DALMISS Ager 16' Jump Shot63
95
Q4 - 11:17MIADoleac P.FOUL (P1.T1)63
95
Q4 - 11:22DALSUB: Ager FOR Stackhouse63
95
Q4 - 11:28DALCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
95
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot63
95
Q4 - 11:41DALHarris 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)63
95
Q4 - 12:0063
93
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL63
93
Q3 - 0:00.0DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
93
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot63
93
Q3 - 0:17.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
93
Q3 - 0:17.0DALSUB: Buckner FOR Diop63
92
Q3 - 0:17.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
92
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P1.PN)63
91
Q3 - 0:24.0DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
91
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
91
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Posey Layup63
91
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Quinn 7' Jump Shot63
91
Q3 - 0:38.0DALCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
91
Q3 - 0:38.0MIASUB: Wright FOR Haslem63
90
Q3 - 0:38.0DALSUB: Diop FOR Nowitzki63
90
Q3 - 0:38.0DALCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
90
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P5.PN)63
89
Q3 - 0:57.0DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (28 PTS)63
89
Q3 - 0:57.0DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (27 PTS)63
88
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAWalker Ejection:First Flagrant Type 263
87
Q3 - 0:57.0MIASUB: Doleac FOR Walker63
87
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAWalker FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE2 (P1.PN)63
87
Q3 - 1:10MIAHaslem 8' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)63
87
Q3 - 1:20MIAHeat Rebound61
87
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical61
87
Q3 - 1:20DALMAVERICKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Nowitzki )61
87
Q3 - 1:31DALStackhouse Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)61
87
Q3 - 1:46MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams61
87
Q3 - 1:46DALSUB: Howard FOR Terry61
87
Q3 - 1:46DALSUB: Croshere FOR Diop61
87
Q3 - 1:46MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)61
87
Q3 - 2:04DALStackhouse 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)61
87
Q3 - 2:25MIAHaslem 3' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)61
85
Q3 - 2:40DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)59
85
Q3 - 2:40MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P4.T4)59
84
Q3 - 2:40DALNowitzki 7' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)59
84
Q3 - 2:40MIASUB: Walker FOR Mourning59
82
Q3 - 2:40DALMAVERICKS Rebound59
82
Q3 - 2:42DALMISS Harris Driving Layup59
82
Q3 - 2:57MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
82
Q3 - 3:11DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)56
82
Q3 - 3:12DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
82
Q3 - 3:14MIANowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)56
82
Q3 - 3:18MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
82
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot56
82
Q3 - 3:45DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS)56
82
Q3 - 4:07MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T9)56
80
Q3 - 4:07MIAJones OFF.Foul (P1)56
80
Q3 - 4:11MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)56
80
Q3 - 4:16DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)56
80
Q3 - 4:16MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T3)56
79
Q3 - 4:16DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)56
79
Q3 - 4:36MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal56
77
Q3 - 4:36DALMAVERICKS Rebound56
77
Q3 - 4:36DALMISS Harris Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 256
77
Q3 - 4:36DALHarris Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
77
Q3 - 4:36MIASUB: Posey FOR Kapono56
76
Q3 - 4:36MIAO'Neal FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P3.T2)56
76
Q3 - 4:53MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
76
Q3 - 4:53MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
76
Q3 - 4:53DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Howard54
76
Q3 - 4:53MIASUB: Jones FOR Payton54
76
Q3 - 4:53DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)54
76
Q3 - 4:53DALHarris P.FOUL (P1.PN)54
76
Q3 - 4:58DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)54
76
Q3 - 5:15DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
73
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot54
73
Q3 - 5:36DALHoward 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)54
73
Q3 - 5:49MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
71
Q3 - 5:49MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
71
Q3 - 5:49DALDiop S.FOUL (P3.T4)52
71
Q3 - 5:49MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
71
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Kapono 6' Jump Shot52
71
Q3 - 6:12DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)52
71
Q3 - 6:29MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)52
69
Q3 - 6:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
69
Q3 - 6:32MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
69
Q3 - 6:44MIAHeat Rebound52
69
Q3 - 6:45MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot52
69
Q3 - 6:55DALTerry P.FOUL (P3.T3)52
69
Q3 - 7:00MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)52
69
Q3 - 7:00DALMAVERICKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Nowitzki )51
69
Q3 - 7:13DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)51
69
Q3 - 7:33MIAO'Neal 3' Hook Shot (17 PTS)51
67
Q3 - 7:48MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
67
Q3 - 7:49DALMISS Diop Free Throw 2 of 249
67
Q3 - 7:49DALMAVERICKS Rebound49
67
Q3 - 7:49DALMISS Diop Free Throw 1 of 249
67
Q3 - 7:49MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T1)49
67
Q3 - 8:06DALSUB: Harris FOR Buckner49
67
Q3 - 8:06DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)49
67
Q3 - 8:06MIAHaslem 12' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)49
67
Q3 - 8:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
67
Q3 - 8:27DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot47
67
Q3 - 8:47MIAWilliams 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)47
67
Q3 - 8:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
67
Q3 - 8:59DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot45
67
Q3 - 9:12MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)45
67
Q3 - 9:12MIAHeat Rebound44
67
Q3 - 9:12MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 244
67
Q3 - 9:12DALBuckner S.FOUL (P2.T2)44
67
Q3 - 9:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
67
Q3 - 9:31DALMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot44
67
Q3 - 9:54MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)44
67
Q3 - 10:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
67
Q3 - 10:09DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
67
Q3 - 10:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)42
67
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS O'Neal Layup42
67
Q3 - 10:34DALTerry Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)42
67
Q3 - 10:42DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
67
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
67
Q3 - 11:00DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier42
67
Q3 - 11:00DALDampier P.FOUL (P4.T1)42
67
Q3 - 11:13DALDampier Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)42
67
Q3 - 11:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)42
65
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
65
Q3 - 12:0042
65
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL42
65
Q2 - 0:01.0DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)42
65
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)42
65
Q2 - 0:25.0DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)42
65
Q2 - 0:42.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
62
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 242
62
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
62
Q2 - 0:42.0DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.PN)41
62
Q2 - 0:56.0DALStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)41
62
Q2 - 1:15MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)41
59
Q2 - 1:33DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)39
59
Q2 - 1:44MIASUB: Haslem FOR O'Neal39
56
Q2 - 1:44DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Buckner39
56
Q2 - 1:44DALSUB: Harris FOR Howard39
56
Q2 - 1:59MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)39
56
Q2 - 2:17DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)37
56
Q2 - 2:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
54
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot37
54
Q2 - 2:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
54
Q2 - 2:40DALMISS Nowitzki Layup37
54
Q2 - 2:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)37
54
Q2 - 2:57MIAHeat Rebound36
54
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 236
54
Q2 - 2:57DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
54
Q2 - 2:57DALCroshere P.FOUL (P2.PN)36
54
Q2 - 3:19DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)36
54
Q2 - 3:38MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)36
52
Q2 - 3:51DALTerry Running Dunk (15 PTS)33
52
Q2 - 3:56MIACroshere STEAL (1 STL)33
50
Q2 - 4:13MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
50
Q2 - 4:13DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
50
Q2 - 4:23DALSUB: Croshere FOR Diop33
50
Q2 - 4:23MIAPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T5)33
50
Q2 - 4:23MIAPosey OFF.Foul (P2)33
50
Q2 - 4:35MIAO'Neal Violation:Defensive Goaltending33
50
Q2 - 4:35DALBuckner 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)33
50
Q2 - 4:35DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
48
Q2 - 4:37DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
48
Q2 - 4:46MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)33
48
Q2 - 4:55MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
48
Q2 - 4:57DALMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot30
48
Q2 - 5:13MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
48
Q2 - 5:13MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
48
Q2 - 5:13MIASUB: Jones FOR Haslem28
48
Q2 - 5:13DALBuckner S.FOUL (P1.T4)28
48
Q2 - 5:28DALTerry 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)28
48
Q2 - 5:34DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
46
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot28
46
Q2 - 5:4928
46
Q2 - 5:49DALHoward P.FOUL (P2.T3)28
46
Q2 - 6:04DALHoward 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
46
Q2 - 6:28DALMAVERICKS Rebound28
44
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 128
44
Q2 - 6:28DALTerry S.FOUL (P2.T2)28
44
Q2 - 6:28MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS)28
44
Q2 - 6:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)26
44
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Williams Layup26
44
Q2 - 6:35DALSUB: Buckner FOR Harris26
44
Q2 - 6:35MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)26
44
Q2 - 6:43DALTerry 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)26
44
Q2 - 6:47DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
42
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS Posey 22' Jump Shot26
42
Q2 - 7:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
42
Q2 - 7:16DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 126
42
Q2 - 7:16DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Croshere26
42
Q2 - 7:16DALSUB: Howard FOR Stackhouse26
42
Q2 - 7:16MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T4)26
42
Q2 - 7:16DALHarris Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)26
42
Q2 - 7:19MIAStackhouse STEAL (2 STL)26
40
Q2 - 7:34DALTerry Layup (9 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)26
40
Q2 - 7:37DALCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
38
Q2 - 7:40MIACroshere BLOCK (1 BLK)26
38
Q2 - 7:58DALHarris 12' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
38
Q2 - 8:14DALCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
36
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 226
36
Q2 - 8:14DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier26
36
Q2 - 8:14MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker26
36
Q2 - 8:14MIASUB: Kapono FOR Jones26
36
Q2 - 8:14MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)26
36
Q2 - 8:14DALDampier S.FOUL (P3.T1)25
36
Q2 - 8:25MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)25
36
Q2 - 8:33DALTerry 6' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
36
Q2 - 8:40DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
34
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
34
Q2 - 9:08DALDampier Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)25
34
Q2 - 9:25MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (11 PTS)25
32
Q2 - 9:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
32
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot23
32
Q2 - 9:49DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
32
Q2 - 9:49MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning23
31
Q2 - 9:49MIASUB: Williams FOR Payton23
31
Q2 - 9:49DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
31
Q2 - 9:49MIAPayton S.FOUL (P3.T3)23
30
Q2 - 9:57DALCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
30
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup23
30
Q2 - 10:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
30
Q2 - 10:06DALMISS Terry 7' Running Jump Shot23
30
Q2 - 10:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
30
Q2 - 10:35MIAMourning Tip Shot (3 PTS)23
30
Q2 - 10:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
30
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot21
30
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Walker Layup21
30
Q2 - 10:40MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
30
Q2 - 10:42MIAMISS Payton 19' Jump Shot21
30
Q2 - 10:56MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
30
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot21
30
Q2 - 11:21DALCroshere 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)21
30
Q2 - 11:27DALCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
28
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Walker Layup21
28
Q2 - 11:41DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
28
Q2 - 11:41DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
27
Q2 - 11:41MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
26
Q2 - 11:52MIAPayton P.FOUL (P2.T1)21
26
Q2 - 11:52MIAStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)21
26
Q2 - 12:0021
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
26
Q1 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
26
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Stackhouse 16' Jump Shot21
26
Q1 - 0:10.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound21
26
Q1 - 0:10.0DALMISS Stackhouse Layup21
26
Q1 - 0:15.0DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
26
Q1 - 0:15.0DALJump Ball Harris vs. Payton: Tip to Stackhouse21
26
Q1 - 0:16.0MIANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)21
26
Q1 - 0:21.0DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)21
26
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
26
Q1 - 0:35.0DALSUB: Buckner FOR Howard20
26
Q1 - 0:35.0MIASUB: Payton FOR Williams20
26
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAHeat Rebound20
26
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 220
26
Q1 - 0:35.0DALCroshere P.FOUL (P1.PN)20
26
Q1 - 0:40.0DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
26
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)20
26
Q1 - 1:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
26
Q1 - 1:03DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot17
26
Q1 - 1:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
26
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
26
Q1 - 1:41DALHarris 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)17
26
Q1 - 1:54MIAWalker 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)17
24
Q1 - 2:09DALCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
24
Q1 - 2:13MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
24
Q1 - 2:25DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)13
24
Q1 - 2:25MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal13
23
Q1 - 2:25DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)13
23
Q1 - 2:25MIAPosey S.FOUL (P1.PN)13
22
Q1 - 2:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
22
Q1 - 2:31MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot13
22
Q1 - 2:38DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
22
Q1 - 2:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)13
22
Q1 - 2:55MIAHeat Rebound12
22
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 212
22
Q1 - 2:55DALSUB: Croshere FOR Diop12
22
Q1 - 2:55DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
22
Q1 - 2:55DALDiop S.FOUL (P2.PN)12
22
Q1 - 3:09DALStackhouse 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)12
22
Q1 - 3:17DALMAVERICKS Rebound12
20
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 212
20
Q1 - 3:17MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem12
20
Q1 - 3:17MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)12
20
Q1 - 3:17DALDiop S.FOUL (P1.T4)11
20
Q1 - 3:29MIASUB: Posey FOR Kapono11
20
Q1 - 3:29MIASUB: Jones FOR Payton11
20
Q1 - 3:29DALHoward P.FOUL (P1.T3)11
20
Q1 - 3:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
20
Q1 - 3:30DALMISS Howard Layup11
20
Q1 - 3:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
20
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot11
20
Q1 - 3:54DALStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)11
20
Q1 - 4:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
17
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS O'Neal Reverse Layup11
17
Q1 - 4:30DALDiop Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)11
17
Q1 - 4:44MIAPayton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
15
Q1 - 5:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)9
15
Q1 - 5:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)9
14
Q1 - 5:06MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T4)9
13
Q1 - 5:18DALSUB: Harris FOR Terry9
13
Q1 - 5:18MIAPayton P.FOUL (P1.T3)9
13
Q1 - 5:18DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
13
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS Payton Reverse Layup9
13
Q1 - 5:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
13
Q1 - 5:34DALMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot9
13
Q1 - 5:49MIAO'Neal 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)9
13
Q1 - 5:54MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)7
13
Q1 - 6:01DALHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)7
13
Q1 - 6:06DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
11
Q1 - 6:08MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)7
11
Q1 - 6:27MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
11
Q1 - 6:28DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot7
11
Q1 - 6:36DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Buckner7
11
Q1 - 6:36DALMAVERICKS Rebound7
11
Q1 - 6:36DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
11
Q1 - 6:55MIAKapono 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
11
Q1 - 7:08MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11
Q1 - 7:09DALMISS Buckner 13' Jump Shot5
11
Q1 - 7:19DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
11
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Payton Reverse Layup5
11
Q1 - 7:40DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)5
11
Q1 - 7:48DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot5
8
Q1 - 7:55MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8
Q1 - 7:56DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot5
8
Q1 - 8:04MIADiop STEAL (1 STL)5
8
Q1 - 8:19DALTerry Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
8
Q1 - 8:19DALTerry OFF.Foul (P1)5
8
Q1 - 8:23MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T2)5
8
Q1 - 8:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)5
8
Q1 - 8:31DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier4
8
Q1 - 8:31DALDampier S.FOUL (P2.T2)4
8
Q1 - 8:31MIAO'Neal 3' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
8
Q1 - 8:45DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
8
Q1 - 8:45DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
7
Q1 - 8:45MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
6
Q1 - 9:02MIANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)2
6
Q1 - 9:18DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 9:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
4
Q1 - 9:22DALMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:29DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:45DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:55DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:56MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:10DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:29MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:43DALDampier P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:02DALNowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:14DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:34DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:40DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:41DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAO'Neal Violation:Jump Ball0
0
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. O'Neal: Tip to0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.5%
DAL
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
28
54%
DAL
9
14
64%
Midrange
MIA
13
35
37%
DAL
24
43
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
DAL
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
20
30
67%
DAL
28
34
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal1761%8.5 / 14
J. Posey1771%8.5 / 12
J. Williams1354%6.5 / 12
D. Wright1372%6.5 / 9
U. Haslem950%4.5 / 9
C. Quinn975%4.5 / 6
J. Kapono630%3.0 / 10
E. Jones550%2.5 / 5
M. Doleac440%2.0 / 5
A. Mourning350%1.5 / 3
G. Payton217%1.0 / 6
A. Walker225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3182%15.5 / 19
J. Terry2166%10.5 / 16
J. Stackhouse1882%9.0 / 11
D. Harris1785%8.5 / 10
J. Howard935%4.5 / 13
E. Dampier563%2.5 / 4
A. Croshere550%2.5 / 5
G. Buckner450%2.0 / 4
D. Diop250%1.0 / 2
M. Ager0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+14
-11
95
DAL
79
+9
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.5%
DAL
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
110.8
MIA 108.7
DAL 120.4 +11.7
Pace
90.1
90.0
MIA 94.7 +4.3
DAL 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.8
MIA 15.2 −0.7
DAL 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.9%
MIA 48.8%
DAL 58.3% +9.5%
TO %
15.3%
14.5%
MIA 11.2% −3.5%
DAL 14.7%
ORB %
24.9%
28.8%
MIA 27.1% +8.9%
DAL 18.2%
FTrt
32.1
31.7
MIA 36.6
DAL 47.2 +10.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
54.2%
MIA 38.9%
DAL 56.4% +17.5%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
MIA 12.0% +6.6%
DAL 5.4%
BLK %
8.8%
7.9%
MIA 7.0% +0.7%
DAL 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
54.1%
MIA 51.5%
DAL 62.9% +11.4%
Rim FG%
61.8%
58.4%
MIA 53.6%
DAL 64.3% +10.7%
Mid FG%
40.5%
43.3%
MIA 37.1%
DAL 55.8% +18.7%
3P %
34.3%
38.1%
MIA 42.1% +2.1%
DAL 40.0%
FT %
69.0%
80.5%
MIA 66.7%
DAL 82.4% +15.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
30.1%
MIA 34.1% +14.7%
DAL 19.4%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
48.1%
MIA 42.7% −17.0%
DAL 59.7%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.8%
MIA 23.2% +2.3%
DAL 20.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points100112
Rebounds4041
Assists1422
Steals115
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)35 (2)
Field Goals36-8239-72
At-the-Rim FG15-289-14
Midrange FG13-3524-43
2-Point FG28-6333-57
3-Point FG8-196-15
Free Throws20-3028-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
31.5
13
54%
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
6-7
86%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 325 · 35
25.1
17
61%
8
1
0
1
1
3
3
5
5-10
50%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
24.8
9
50%
6
0
0
0
3
5
1
5
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
24.1
6
30%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
18.4
2
17%
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
32.1
17
71%
4
0
1
1
2
4
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
5-8
63%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35
29.4
5
50%
2
2
4
0
1
2
0
2
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
13.8
9
75%
4
3
1
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
12.9
4
40%
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
12.7
13
72%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
8.8
2
25%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
6.5
3
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
52%
40
14
11
4
11
0
13
27
20-30
67%
28-63
44%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.