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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 23, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pistons55%9194
18Magic45%8989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.0
43.0
36.5
22
56%
6
4
2
1
0
0
0
6
7-8
88%
6-15
6-12
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.4
37.9
33.6
28
71%
3
4
3
1
0
4
0
3
12-13
92%
5-9
3-7
56%
45%
2-5
40%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.4
36.6
29.8
14
60%
10
2
1
1
3
2
3
7
6-6
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
47%
2-6
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.0
33.3
32.1
9
46%
2
0
1
1
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
48%
1-1
100%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
31.9
25.0
8
34%
5
2
0
1
1
3
2
3
4-6
67%
2-9
4-8
22%
45%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.5
15.2
18.8
3
31%
7
1
3
1
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
14.6
15.7
2
25%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-3
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.5
14.4
20.3
6
60%
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.9
13.1
6.7
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.0
8.0
0
1-2
48%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
6.6
0
1-2
51%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
6.1
0
1-2
43%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.1
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.8
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.2
44.3
36.5
20
63%
13
3
0
1
1
4
3
10
6-9
67%
7-12
7-12
58%
57%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.9
35.2
32.3
20
69%
5
3
3
1
0
0
0
5
5-8
63%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
3-4
75%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.7
34.6
30.5
8
57%
6
0
0
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.0
34.3
28.3
10
45%
2
6
2
1
0
5
1
1
6-7
86%
2-6
4-9
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.4
28.1
24.1
15
55%
5
1
2
1
0
5
0
5
7-8
88%
4-10
4-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.8
23.4
20.1
4
33%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.9
16.9
15.6
4
100%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.6
14.5
17.6
8
59%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.8
8.7
10.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.7
19.9
1
3-5
49%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.7
11.2
0
1-2
45%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.5
7.9
0
0-1
44%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.0
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.