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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 23, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Wizards28%9390
6Bulls72%101105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
44.1
41.9
36
69%
7
3
0
2
0
4
0
7
12-14
86%
9-15
6-14
60%
46%
2-5
40%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.9
41.7
35.8
14
42%
7
4
0
2
1
2
2
5
4-6
67%
5-14
7-14
36%
46%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.9
32.5
35.7
13
45%
4
3
0
1
0
4
0
4
5-8
63%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
0-2
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.5
23.5
19.9
5
32%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.2
23.1
22.9
5
46%
6
1
0
0
3
0
1
5
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
53%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.5
21.9
19.3
9
64%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
14.5
14.7
2
50%
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.0
12.7
16.3
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.9
9.5
11.6
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.1
8.9
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.6
6.6
3.5
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.5
0.9
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.8
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.4
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.5
42.4
36.8
8
40%
12
1
1
2
5
2
6
6
0-2
0%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.1
41.1
29.2
20
57%
8
12
3
1
0
0
0
8
8-8
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
38.7
37.5
32
65%
11
1
0
1
1
0
2
9
6-6
100%
13-22
8-15
59%
53%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.9
30.8
30.7
18
57%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-9
6-12
44%
48%
2-5
40%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.4
18.6
16.2
7
35%
4
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-9
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.8
24.1
11.1
8
45%
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-7
1-3
29%
51%
1-1
100%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.5
12.0
6.4
2
19%
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
2-3
67%
0-4
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.6
11.5
11.8
2
50%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.5
10.6
32.5
6
100%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
2-3
67%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.7
10.2
12.8
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.6
9.3
0
1-2
48%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.3
3.0
0
1-1
50%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 21.0
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 25.0
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.