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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 26, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Hawks10%8687
2Mavericks90%102110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
42.5
41.7
29
70%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
4-6
67%
11-16
7-15
69%
47%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.2
35.9
33.1
4
17%
5
5
1
1
1
5
1
4
0-1
0%
2-11
5-12
18%
45%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.7
33.5
33.7
11
56%
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
4-8
5-10
50%
44%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.8
16.1
20.1
0
0%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
41%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
7.0
13.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.0
33.5
18.8
24
69%
9
1
0
1
0
1
5
4
10-12
83%
7-12
3-6
58%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.7
32.0
34.7
13
82%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
6-7
4-7
86%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
24.5
27.6
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
6.2
5.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
41%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
3.7
6.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
2.9
7.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
2.3
6.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.5
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.8
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.7
37.4
35.0
27
69%
8
0
1
1
3
1
2
6
6-6
100%
9-16
8-15
56%
53%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.4
34.4
28.7
21
88%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
9-9
4-7
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
34.3
34.1
20
60%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
6-12
6-12
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.6
31.9
26.2
9
59%
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
3
3-6
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
59%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
23.6
27.7
1
10%
2
5
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-4
4-7
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.3
26.9
24.2
19
73%
2
9
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
3-4
75%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.8
21.3
14.0
7
34%
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
45%
0-3
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.1
14.9
17.3
2
100%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
9.8
2.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.0
2.8
2.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
2.8
1.8
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
54%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.4
21.5
1
2-3
54%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.2
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.