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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 27, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Hornets39%9089
10Cavaliers61%9397
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
38.0
35.3
25
53%
10
6
2
1
1
2
3
7
5-6
83%
10-21
7-14
48%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.8
32.4
33.9
7
51%
5
5
2
2
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
3-6
5-11
50%
46%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.4
31.9
31.0
16
50%
5
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-2
0%
8-15
5-11
53%
44%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.4
30.0
36.8
14
70%
10
0
0
1
3
2
3
7
0-0
-
7-10
5-8
70%
56%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
19.0
26.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.0
28.6
21.3
9
38%
5
4
1
1
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.4
22.6
10.4
7
42%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.7
19.0
13.1
9
64%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
11.7
5.0
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.8
6.7
17.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 32.1
2.2
0
0-1
44%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
2.1
0
0-1
44%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.8
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.7
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.1
43.0
37.1
11
33%
8
5
2
2
2
4
0
8
0-1
0%
4-13
5-12
31%
44%
1-3
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.2
42.8
39.2
35
70%
5
8
2
2
1
4
1
4
4-7
57%
11-18
9-17
61%
52%
3-4
75%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.7
30.5
28.0
11
53%
9
1
0
1
1
0
2
7
1-1
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.0
26.0
28.3
12
71%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
3-4
75%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.4
24.2
25.6
8
44%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
50%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
28.5
27.4
9
61%
2
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.3
18.6
24.0
6
50%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.8
13.6
20.3
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
12.8
17.1
5
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.5
8.7
0
0-1
44%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.3
5.0
0
0-1
42%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.0
3.5
0
0-1
46%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.2
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.1
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.