Final Win Prob. pScore
1539%90
89
1061%93
97
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
97.89199.0
CLE logo Cavaliers
104.39386.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOKCLE
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE89
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0NOKPargo P.FOUL (P2.T2)89
97
Q4 - 0:12.0NOKVarejao STEAL (2 STL)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0CLEJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0NOKPaul 9' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)89
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 0:49.0NOKSUB: Brown FOR Mason87
94
Q4 - 0:49.0NOKHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)87
94
Q4 - 0:49.0CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)87
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 1:11NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)87
6.0%
91
94.0%
Q4 - 1:11NOKChandler 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)87
6.0%
91
94.0%
Q4 - 1:11NOKMISS Mason 1' Layup85
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q4 - 1:12NOKMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)85
3.6%
91
96.4%
Q4 - 1:14NOKMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 1:28CLEGibson P.FOUL (P4.T4)85
91
Q4 - 1:42CLEGibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 8 AST)85
5.5%
91
94.5%
Q4 - 2:03CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)85
13.3%
88
86.7%
Q4 - 2:05NOKMISS West 16' Jump Shot85
15.7%
88
84.3%
Q4 - 2:23NOKSUB: Mason FOR Jackson85
88
Q4 - 2:23CLEVarejao L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)85
88
Q4 - 2:23NOKHornets Rebound85
23.4%
88
76.6%
Q4 - 2:23CLEMISS James 15' Turnaround Jump Shot85
19.7%
88
80.3%
Q4 - 2:44CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
12.9%
88
87.1%
Q4 - 2:46NOKMISS Pargo 21' Jump Shot85
15.6%
88
84.4%
Q4 - 2:50NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
23.6%
88
76.4%
Q4 - 2:54CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot85
21.0%
88
79.0%
Q4 - 3:20NOKChandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (West 6 AST)85
14.7%
88
85.3%
Q4 - 3:31NOKHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)83
88
Q4 - 3:34CLEJames Finger Roll (29 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)83
14.3%
88
85.7%
Q4 - 3:40NOKJames STEAL (2 STL)83
18.8%
86
81.2%
Q4 - 3:53CLEHughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)83
25.7%
86
74.3%
Q4 - 4:13NOKWest 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)83
42.0%
83
58.0%
Q4 - 4:30NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
33.5%
83
66.5%
Q4 - 4:33CLEMISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot81
30.6%
83
69.4%
Q4 - 4:52NOKPargo 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)81
24.7%
83
75.3%
Q4 - 5:00NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
18.5%
83
81.5%
Q4 - 5:03CLEMISS Gibson 16' Jump Shot79
19.5%
83
80.5%
Q4 - 5:16CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)79
15.8%
83
84.2%
Q4 - 5:19NOKMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot79
17.3%
83
82.7%
Q4 - 5:37CLEJames 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)79
21.0%
83
79.0%
Q4 - 5:59NOKWest 1' Dunk (23 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)79
26.9%
81
73.1%
Q4 - 6:03CLEJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)77
22.9%
81
77.1%
Q4 - 6:17NOKWest 6' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
17.7%
81
82.3%
Q4 - 6:27NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
13.9%
81
86.1%
Q4 - 6:31CLEMISS James 1' Alley Oop Layup75
12.7%
81
87.3%
Q4 - 6:40CLESUB: Gibson FOR Pavlovic75
81
Q4 - 6:40CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)75
81
Q4 - 6:48NOKJackson 1' Layup (9 PTS) (West 5 AST)75
10.4%
81
89.6%
Q4 - 6:52NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
8.0%
81
92.0%
Q4 - 6:54CLEMISS Pavlovic 3PT Jump Shot73
7.3%
81
92.7%
Q4 - 7:02CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q4 - 7:04NOKMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot73
7.7%
81
92.3%
Q4 - 7:23CLEPavlovic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T15)73
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q4 - 7:45CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 7:47NOKMISS West 3' Jump Shot73
7.7%
81
92.3%
Q4 - 7:54NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q4 - 7:56CLEMISS Hughes 1' Layup73
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q4 - 8:14CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q4 - 8:15NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 273
8.6%
81
91.4%
Q4 - 8:15NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
10.1%
81
89.9%
Q4 - 8:15CLESUB: James FOR Snow72
81
Q4 - 8:15NOKSUB: Paul FOR Armstrong72
81
Q4 - 8:15NOKSUB: Chandler FOR Johnson72
81
Q4 - 8:1572
81
Q4 - 8:15CLEPavlovic S.FOUL (P1.T2)72
81
Q4 - 8:18CLEHughes Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)72
8.3%
81
91.7%
Q4 - 8:29NOKJackson 1' Layup (6 PTS)72
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q4 - 8:31NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q4 - 8:35NOKMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot70
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q4 - 8:40CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q4 - 8:40CLEVarejao 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)70
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q4 - 8:44CLEMISS Pavlovic 15' Jump Shot70
7.7%
79
92.3%
Q4 - 9:08CLESUB: Ilgauskas FOR Marshall70
79
Q4 - 9:18NOKJohnson 2' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)70
7.7%
79
92.3%
Q4 - 9:24CLEPavlovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)68
6.1%
79
93.9%
Q4 - 9:32CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q4 - 9:34NOKMISS West 19' Jump Shot68
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q4 - 9:48CLEPavlovic 2' Layup (6 PTS)68
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q4 - 10:06CLESUB: Hughes FOR James68
77
Q4 - 10:06NOKWest Foul Turnover (P2.T14)68
8.5%
77
91.5%
Q4 - 10:06NOKWest OFF.Foul (P2)68
77
Q4 - 10:15NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q4 - 10:17CLEMISS Marshall 12' Jump Shot68
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q4 - 10:34NOKJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)68
8.5%
77
91.5%
Q4 - 10:38NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q4 - 10:40CLEMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q4 - 11:00NOKSUB: West FOR Mason68
77
Q4 - 11:01CLECAVALIERS Rebound68
9.5%
77
90.5%
Q4 - 11:03NOKMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot68
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q4 - 11:20NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q4 - 11:22CLEMISS James 16' Jump Shot68
10.7%
77
89.3%
Q4 - 11:33NOKPargo P.FOUL (P1.T1)68
77
Q4 - 11:39NOKPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)68
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q4 - 11:39NOKPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)67
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q4 - 11:39CLESnow S.FOUL (P1.T1)66
77
Q4 - 11:39NOKPargo Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)66
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q4 - 11:39CLESnow T.FOUL (P1.T1)65
77
Q4 - 12:0065
77
Q3 - 0:00.0NOK65
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE65
77
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEVarejao 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Snow 2 AST)65
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0NOKChandler Tip Shot (10 PTS)65
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0NOKMISS Pargo 5' Running Jump Shot63
6.2%
75
93.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)63
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q3 - 0:15.0NOKChandler S.FOUL (P4.T3)63
74
Q3 - 0:15.0CLEJames 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS)63
74
Q3 - 0:32.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound63
10.2%
72
89.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0NOKMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot63
10.7%
72
89.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0CLESUB: Snow FOR Hughes63
72
Q3 - 0:50.0CLEJames Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)63
12.0%
72
88.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0NOKMason 1' Layup (16 PTS)63
10.2%
72
89.8%
Q3 - 1:09NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 1:11CLEMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot61
8.4%
72
91.6%
Q3 - 1:32CLESUB: Marshall FOR Gibson61
72
Q3 - 1:32CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Gooden61
72
Q3 - 1:34NOKSUB: Pargo FOR Paul61
72
Q3 - 1:34NOKSUB: Johnson FOR West61
72
Q3 - 1:34CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)61
72
Q3 - 1:34NOKMason 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)61
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 1:34NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 1:38CLEMISS Gibson 1' Layup59
5.8%
72
94.2%
Q3 - 1:40CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q3 - 1:59NOKHughes BLOCK (2 BLK)59
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 2:04NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q3 - 2:06CLEMISS Gooden 15' Jump Shot59
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q3 - 2:27NOKChandler 1' Dunk (8 PTS)59
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 2:43CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Varejao 3 AST)57
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 2:53NOKMason 12' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (West 4 AST)57
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q3 - 3:11CLEGooden 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hughes 5 AST)55
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 3:29NOKWest 10' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)55
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 3:53CLEJames 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Varejao 2 AST)53
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 3:57CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 3:59NOKMISS Paul 1' Layup53
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 4:04CLESUB: Varejao FOR Ilgauskas53
65
Q3 - 4:04CLEGooden P.FOUL (P2.T2)53
65
Q3 - 4:11CLEJames 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)53
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 4:30NOKChandler 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)53
10.4%
63
89.6%
Q3 - 4:47NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
9.1%
63
90.9%
Q3 - 4:49CLEMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q3 - 4:57CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
7.5%
63
92.5%
Q3 - 4:59NOKMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q3 - 5:20CLEHughes 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 5:37NOKMason 1' Layup (10 PTS) (West 3 AST)51
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q3 - 6:01NOKSUB: Jackson FOR Brown49
61
Q3 - 6:01NOKHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)49
61
Q3 - 6:04CLEJames 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Hughes 4 AST)49
10.1%
61
89.9%
Q3 - 6:12CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
11.5%
59
88.5%
Q3 - 6:14NOKMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q3 - 6:30NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
13.4%
59
86.6%
Q3 - 6:31CLEMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 149
13.1%
59
86.9%
Q3 - 6:31NOKMason S.FOUL (P1.T2)49
59
Q3 - 6:31CLEHughes 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)49
59
Q3 - 6:34CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
15.2%
57
84.8%
Q3 - 6:37NOKMISS Chandler 7' Jump Shot49
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 6:50NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
17.6%
57
82.4%
Q3 - 6:52CLEMISS Hughes 19' Jump Shot49
16.8%
57
83.2%
Q3 - 7:09NOKPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)49
15.8%
57
84.2%
Q3 - 7:10NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
18.0%
57
82.0%
Q3 - 7:13CLEMISS James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot49
17.3%
57
82.7%
Q3 - 7:26NOKMason 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (West 2 AST)49
15.7%
57
84.3%
Q3 - 7:38CLEGibson Palming Turnover (P2.T11)47
13.9%
57
86.1%
Q3 - 7:47CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
12.0%
57
88.0%
Q3 - 7:49CLEMISS Gibson 15' Jump Shot47
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q3 - 8:00CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
12.0%
57
88.0%
Q3 - 8:02NOKMISS West 20' Jump Shot47
12.9%
57
87.1%
Q3 - 8:23CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)47
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q3 - 8:23NOKBrown S.FOUL (P3.T1)47
56
Q3 - 8:23CLEGibson 1' Layup (8 PTS)47
56
Q3 - 8:23NOKGibson STEAL (1 STL)47
18.1%
54
81.9%
Q3 - 8:24CLEHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)47
20.6%
54
79.4%
Q3 - 8:41CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)47
54
Q3 - 8:44NOKPaul 1' Layup (5 PTS)47
18.1%
54
81.9%
Q3 - 8:52NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
16.1%
54
83.9%
Q3 - 8:54CLEMISS Ilgauskas 5' Hook Shot45
15.5%
54
84.5%
Q3 - 9:12NOKWest 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)45
14.4%
54
85.6%
Q3 - 9:26NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
12.7%
54
87.3%
Q3 - 9:28NOKPaul Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T10)43
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q3 - 9:28CLEMISS James 16' Jump Shot43
12.2%
54
87.8%
Q3 - 9:41NOKPaul OFF.Foul (P4)43
54
Q3 - 9:59CLEIlgauskas P.FOUL (P3.T1)43
54
Q3 - 10:05NOKHornets Rebound43
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q3 - 10:05CLEMISS Gooden 17' Jump Shot43
12.7%
54
87.3%
Q3 - 10:30NOKChandler Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T9)43
11.6%
54
88.4%
Q3 - 10:43NOKHornets Rebound43
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q3 - 10:45NOKMISS Brown 13' Jump Shot43
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q3 - 10:53NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q3 - 10:55CLEMISS Hughes 16' Jump Shot43
12.6%
54
87.4%
Q3 - 11:01CLECAVALIERS Rebound43
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q3 - 11:01CLEMISS Ilgauskas 4' Finger Roll43
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q3 - 11:13CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q3 - 11:16NOKMISS Mason 9' Jump Bank Shot43
12.5%
54
87.5%
Q3 - 11:32CLEGooden 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)43
13.7%
54
86.3%
Q3 - 11:33CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
15.3%
52
84.7%
Q3 - 11:37CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot43
16.6%
52
83.4%
Q3 - 12:0043
52
Q2 - 0:00.0NOK43
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Varejao 2' Layup43
16.6%
52
83.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0NOKMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot43
16.5%
52
83.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0CLEPavlovic Layup (4 PTS) (Hughes 3 AST)43
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0NOKVarejao STEAL (1 STL)43
20.0%
50
80.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0CLEJames Dunk (13 PTS)43
21.7%
50
78.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
24.6%
48
75.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 243
26.3%
48
73.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound43
48
Q2 - 0:50.0CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 243
24.7%
48
75.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0NOKBrown P.FOUL (P2.PN)43
48
Q2 - 0:57.0NOKWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)43
24.6%
48
75.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)42
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0CLEVarejao S.FOUL (P2.PN)41
48
Q2 - 1:02NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
22.0%
48
78.0%
Q2 - 1:04NOKMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot41
20.8%
48
79.2%
Q2 - 1:17CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)41
22.0%
48
78.0%
Q2 - 1:17NOKWest S.FOUL (P1.PN)41
47
Q2 - 1:17CLEVarejao 1' Layup (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)41
47
Q2 - 1:33CLECAVALIERS Rebound41
27.5%
45
72.5%
Q2 - 1:33CLEMISS Hughes Layup41
28.8%
45
71.2%
Q2 - 1:37NOKHughes STEAL (2 STL)41
27.5%
45
72.5%
Q2 - 1:50CLEHughes Palming Turnover (P2.T9)41
29.4%
45
70.6%
Q2 - 1:57NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)41
27.5%
45
72.5%
Q2 - 1:57NOKWest 1' Tip Shot (13 PTS)41
27.5%
45
72.5%
Q2 - 2:00NOKMISS Mason 1' Layup39
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 2:16NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
24.8%
45
75.2%
Q2 - 2:19CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 239
24.4%
45
75.6%
Q2 - 2:19NOKSUB: Jackson FOR Paul39
45
Q2 - 2:19CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
23.0%
45
77.0%
Q2 - 2:19NOKPaul S.FOUL (P3.PN)39
44
Q2 - 2:42NOKHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)39
44
Q2 - 2:42NOKWest Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)39
24.7%
44
75.3%
Q2 - 2:52CLEHughes 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)39
27.2%
44
72.8%
Q2 - 3:06NOKWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
29.6%
42
70.4%
Q2 - 3:06CLESUB: Marshall FOR Ilgauskas38
42
Q2 - 3:06NOKHornets Rebound38
42
Q2 - 3:06NOKMISS West Free Throw 1 of 238
29.2%
42
70.8%
Q2 - 3:06CLESUB: Varejao FOR Gooden38
42
Q2 - 3:06CLEIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.T4)38
42
Q2 - 3:18NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
30.1%
42
69.9%
Q2 - 3:19NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 238
27.5%
42
72.5%
Q2 - 3:19CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Gibson38
42
Q2 - 3:19NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
29.3%
42
70.7%
Q2 - 3:19CLEGibson S.FOUL (P3.T3)37
42
Q2 - 3:27CLEGibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)37
27.5%
42
72.5%
Q2 - 3:34CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
32.3%
39
67.7%
Q2 - 3:36NOKMISS West 17' Jump Shot37
33.3%
39
66.7%
Q2 - 3:45CLEIlgauskas P.FOUL (P1.T2)37
39
Q2 - 3:49NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
35.6%
39
64.4%
Q2 - 3:51CLEMISS Hughes 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
34.6%
39
65.4%
Q2 - 4:15NOKWest 9' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)37
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 4:36CLEIlgauskas 8' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)35
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 4:59NOKBrown Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)35
32.4%
37
67.6%
Q2 - 5:17CLESUB: Gibson FOR Snow35
37
Q2 - 5:17NOKSUB: Mason FOR Butler35
37
Q2 - 5:17NOKSUB: Brown FOR Pargo35
37
Q2 - 5:17CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)35
37
Q2 - 5:17CLEJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)35
35.3%
37
64.7%
Q2 - 5:25CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
32.7%
37
67.3%
Q2 - 5:27NOKMISS West 17' Jump Shot35
33.5%
37
66.5%
Q2 - 5:38CLEIlgauskas Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)35
35.3%
37
64.7%
Q2 - 5:57NOKWest 2' Layup (8 PTS)35
38.1%
35
61.9%
Q2 - 6:17CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)33
35.5%
35
64.5%
Q2 - 6:17NOKSUB: Johnson FOR Chandler33
34
Q2 - 6:17CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
36.2%
34
63.8%
Q2 - 6:17NOKChandler S.FOUL (P3.T4)33
33
Q2 - 6:22NOKSUB: Paul FOR Jackson33
33
Q2 - 6:22NOKSUB: Chandler FOR Armstrong33
33
Q2 - 6:22CLECAVALIERS Rebound33
37.8%
33
62.2%
Q2 - 6:22CLEMISS Gooden 1' Layup33
40.0%
33
60.0%
Q2 - 6:34NOKWest 4' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)33
37.8%
33
62.2%
Q2 - 6:55CLEJames Driving Dunk (8 PTS)31
35.5%
33
64.5%
Q2 - 7:11NOKWest 3' Layup (4 PTS)31
37.8%
31
62.2%
Q2 - 7:14NOKWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
35.2%
31
64.8%
Q2 - 7:16NOKMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot29
33.4%
31
66.6%
Q2 - 7:31NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
35.3%
31
64.7%
Q2 - 7:33CLEMISS Hughes 1' Driving Layup29
34.4%
31
65.6%
Q2 - 7:46CLESUB: Ilgauskas FOR Varejao29
31
Q2 - 7:46NOKSUB: West FOR Johnson29
31
Q2 - 7:46NOKJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T3)29
31
Q2 - 7:46NOKHughes STEAL (1 STL)29
32.6%
31
67.4%
Q2 - 8:08CLEGooden 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)29
35.2%
31
64.8%
Q2 - 8:23CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 8:25NOKMISS Pargo 16' Jump Shot29
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 8:41CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
40.3%
29
59.7%
Q2 - 8:41CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
41.2%
28
58.8%
Q2 - 8:41CLESUB: James FOR Pavlovic29
27
Q2 - 8:4129
27
Q2 - 8:41NOKButler S.FOUL (P1.T2)29
27
Q2 - 8:54NOKJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)29
43.1%
27
56.9%
Q2 - 9:13CLEVarejao 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)26
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q2 - 9:21NOKArmstrong P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
27
Q2 - 9:40NOKJackson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)26
35.0%
27
65.0%
Q2 - 9:42NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
32.6%
27
67.4%
Q2 - 9:45NOKMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot24
31.0%
27
69.0%
Q2 - 9:54CLESUB: Gooden FOR Marshall24
27
Q2 - 9:54CLEMarshall L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)24
27
Q2 - 9:54NOKHornets Rebound24
32.6%
27
67.4%
Q2 - 9:55CLEMISS Hughes 22' Jump Shot24
31.9%
27
68.1%
Q2 - 10:09NOKArmstrong 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)24
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q2 - 10:18CLEMarshall 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST)22
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q2 - 10:44NOKJohnson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)22
30.4%
25
69.6%
Q2 - 11:01CLEHughes Violation:Kicked Ball20
25
Q2 - 11:03NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
28.5%
25
71.5%
Q2 - 11:05CLEMISS Varejao 1' Layup20
27.9%
25
72.1%
Q2 - 11:22NOKPargo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
26.4%
25
73.6%
Q2 - 11:39CLEMarshall Foul Turnover (P1.T6)18
24.5%
25
75.5%
Q2 - 11:39CLEMarshall OFF.Foul (P1)18
25
Q2 - 12:0018
25
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE18
22.7%
25
77.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound18
22.7%
25
77.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Pavlovic 3PT Jump Shot18
24.0%
25
76.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
23.2%
25
76.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0NOKJames BLOCK (1 BLK)18
23.6%
25
76.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
24.5%
25
75.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
23.1%
25
76.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0NOKMason 1' Layup (6 PTS)18
23.1%
25
76.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0NOKMISS Jackson 23' Jump Shot16
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q1 - 1:08CLEMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)16
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q1 - 1:22NOKJames STEAL (1 STL)16
25.4%
22
74.6%
Q1 - 1:41CLEJames 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)16
26.6%
22
73.4%
Q1 - 1:51CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
29.1%
20
70.9%
Q1 - 1:54NOKMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot16
29.5%
20
70.5%
Q1 - 2:07CLEVarejao Foul Turnover (P1.T5)16
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q1 - 2:07CLEVarejao OFF.Foul (P1)16
20
Q1 - 2:19CLESUB: Snow FOR Hughes16
20
Q1 - 2:19NOKSUB: Armstrong FOR Chandler16
20
Q1 - 2:19NOKSUB: Pargo FOR Paul16
20
Q1 - 2:19NOKHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
20
Q1 - 2:19NOKChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
29.3%
20
70.7%
Q1 - 2:19NOKChandler OFF.Foul (P2)16
20
Q1 - 2:34CLEPavlovic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)16
30.8%
20
69.2%
Q1 - 2:49NOKJohnson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)16
33.2%
18
66.8%
Q1 - 2:58NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
30.8%
18
69.2%
Q1 - 2:59CLEMISS Varejao 1' Layup14
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 3:12NOKSUB: Johnson FOR West14
18
Q1 - 3:12CLESUB: Marshall FOR Ilgauskas14
18
Q1 - 3:12NOKPaul P.FOUL (P2.T3)14
18
Q1 - 3:18CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)14
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 3:21NOKIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)14
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 3:38CLEPavlovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 4:02NOKJackson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)14
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 4:08NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 4:11CLEMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot12
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 4:24CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
26.6%
18
73.4%
Q1 - 4:26NOKMISS West 19' Jump Shot12
27.1%
18
72.9%
Q1 - 4:46CLEJames 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
28.4%
18
71.6%
Q1 - 4:52CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
30.0%
16
70.0%
Q1 - 4:52NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 212
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 4:52NOKHornets Rebound12
16
Q1 - 4:52NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 212
31.2%
16
68.8%
Q1 - 4:52CLEJames S.FOUL (P1.T4)12
16
Q1 - 5:04CLESUB: Varejao FOR Gooden12
16
Q1 - 5:04CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Gibson12
16
Q1 - 5:04NOKSUB: Jackson FOR Brown12
16
Q1 - 5:04CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
16
Q1 - 5:04CLEGibson P.FOUL (P2.T3)12
16
Q1 - 5:09CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
32.0%
16
68.0%
Q1 - 5:09CLEIlgauskas Layup (7 PTS)12
32.0%
16
68.0%
Q1 - 5:14CLEMISS Hughes 7' Running Jump Shot12
34.8%
14
65.2%
Q1 - 5:21CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
33.5%
14
66.5%
Q1 - 5:23NOKHughes BLOCK (1 BLK)12
34.1%
14
65.9%
Q1 - 5:47CLEIlgauskas 5' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)12
35.5%
14
64.5%
Q1 - 5:52CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
37.0%
12
63.0%
Q1 - 5:55CLEMISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
38.4%
12
61.6%
Q1 - 6:02NOKPaul 1' Layup (2 PTS)12
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 6:13CLEHughes 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)10
35.4%
12
64.6%
Q1 - 6:16CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
37.0%
10
63.0%
Q1 - 6:19NOKMISS West 18' Jump Shot10
37.5%
10
62.5%
Q1 - 6:38CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)10
38.8%
10
61.2%
Q1 - 6:57CLECAVALIERS Rebound10
42.0%
7
58.0%
Q1 - 7:01NOKMISS West 17' Jump Shot10
42.4%
7
57.6%
Q1 - 7:07CLEJames Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)10
43.6%
7
56.4%
Q1 - 7:07CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
41.8%
7
58.2%
Q1 - 7:10NOKMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot10
42.3%
7
57.7%
Q1 - 7:18NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
43.6%
7
56.4%
Q1 - 7:20CLEMISS Hughes 18' Jump Shot10
43.0%
7
57.0%
Q1 - 7:34NOKWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
41.7%
7
58.3%
Q1 - 7:34NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
41.4%
7
58.6%
Q1 - 7:34CLEGooden S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
7
Q1 - 7:41CLEGibson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
40.2%
7
59.8%
Q1 - 7:53CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
38.5%
7
61.5%
Q1 - 7:56NOKMISS West 15' Jump Bank Shot8
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 8:06NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
40.0%
7
60.0%
Q1 - 8:07CLEMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot8
39.5%
7
60.5%
Q1 - 8:28NOKChandler 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)8
38.6%
7
61.4%
Q1 - 8:38NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 8:42CLEMISS Gooden 6' Jump Hook Shot6
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 9:02CLECAVALIERS Rebound6
36.4%
7
63.6%
Q1 - 9:03NOKMISS Mason 8' Jump Shot6
36.7%
7
63.3%
Q1 - 9:12CLEGibson P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
7
Q1 - 9:15NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.5%
7
62.5%
Q1 - 9:19CLEMISS Ilgauskas 11' Hook Shot6
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 9:30NOKBrown P.FOUL (P1.T2)6
7
Q1 - 9:50NOKMason 3' Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)6
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 9:59NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
36.0%
7
64.0%
Q1 - 10:00CLEMISS Gooden 14' Jump Shot4
35.8%
7
64.2%
Q1 - 10:07CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.6%
7
64.4%
Q1 - 10:10NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
36.4%
7
63.6%
Q1 - 10:10NOKMISS West 1' Tip Shot4
35.9%
7
64.1%
Q1 - 10:12NOKMISS Chandler 15' Jump Shot4
35.9%
7
64.1%
Q1 - 10:23CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
36.6%
7
63.4%
Q1 - 10:23NOKChandler S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 10:23CLEIlgauskas Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 10:37NOKPaul Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 10:37NOKPaul OFF.Foul (P1)4
4
Q1 - 10:42CLEJames 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 10:44CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 10:48NOKMISS Mason 13' Turnaround Jump Shot4
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 11:06CLEGooden 2' Layup (2 PTS)4
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 11:21NOKMason 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)4
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 11:26CLEHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
39.4%
0
60.6%
Q1 - 11:40NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 11:40NOKChandler Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 11:43NOKMISS Mason 4' Jump Hook Shot0
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Chandler: Tip to West0
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOKCLE
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.98 48.9%
CLE
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
25
35
71%
CLE
22
33
67%
Midrange
NOK
13
38
34%
CLE
10
33
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
1
1.5
9
11%
17%
CLE
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
Free Throws
NOK
10
15
67%
CLE
9
13
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West2552%12.5 / 24
D. Mason1650%8.0 / 16
T. Chandler1470%7.0 / 10
B. Jackson938%4.5 / 12
L. Johnson964%4.5 / 7
C. Paul750%3.5 / 7
J. Pargo744%3.5 / 8
H. Armstrong2100%1.0 / 1
D. Brown0-0.0 / 2
R. Butler0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3570%17.5 / 25
D. Gibson1275%6.0 / 8
L. Hughes1134%5.5 / 16
Z. Ilgauskas1155%5.5 / 10
A. Varejao964%4.5 / 7
D. Gooden844%4.0 / 9
S. Pavlovic650%3.0 / 6
D. Marshall550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK
75
+13
-16
88
CLE
77
+10
-16
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.98 48.9%
CLE
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.6
105.9
NOK 97.8
CLE 104.3 +6.5
Pace
90.4
90.5
NOK 99.0 +12.9
CLE 86.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.3
NOK 14.5 −2.2
CLE 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
48.4%
NOK 48.2%
CLE 53.7% +5.5%
TO %
14.9%
15.0%
NOK 15.3% −0.1%
CLE 15.4%
ORB %
29.2%
29.7%
NOK 29.3% +13.5%
CLE 15.8%
FTrt
29.1
32.0
NOK 18.3 +2.4
CLE 15.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.7%
57.4%
NOK 51.3%
CLE 57.5% +6.2%
STL %
7.0%
8.3%
NOK 6.6%
CLE 7.5% +0.9%
BLK %
6.9%
6.9%
NOK 9.1% +3.6%
CLE 5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.7%
50.9%
NOK 48.9%
CLE 55.1% +6.2%
Rim FG%
56.2%
59.1%
NOK 71.4% +4.7%
CLE 66.7%
Mid FG%
38.2%
37.1%
NOK 34.2% +3.9%
CLE 30.3%
3P %
36.2%
35.2%
NOK 11.1%
CLE 50.0% +38.9%
FT %
74.0%
69.6%
NOK 66.7%
CLE 69.2% +2.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
36.4%
NOK 42.7% +2.4%
CLE 40.2%
Mid Att. %
44.0%
42.5%
NOK 46.3%
CLE 40.2% −6.1%
3P Att. %
18.8%
21.1%
NOK 11.0%
CLE 19.5% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOKCLE
Possessions9193
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points8997
Rebounds4435
Assists2023
Steals67
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)29 (4)
Field Goals39-8240-82
At-the-Rim FG25-3522-33
Midrange FG13-3810-33
2-Point FG38-7332-66
3-Point FG1-98-16
Free Throws10-159-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
38.0
25
52%
10
6
2
1
2
2
3
7
5-6
83%
10-21
48%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 22
32.4
7
50%
5
5
2
0
3
4
1
4
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 222 · 29
31.9
16
50%
5
1
0
0
2
1
3
2
0-2
0%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 240 · 24
30.0
14
70%
10
0
0
3
2
4
3
7
0-0
-
7-10
70%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 28
19.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 185 · 34
28.6
9
38%
5
4
1
1
3
0
1
4
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
22.6
7
44%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 205 · 27
19.0
9
64%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22
11.7
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 28
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 253 · 32
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
#33 · F · 6'8" 250 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#16 · F · 6'10" 229 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F · 6'8" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
49%
44
20
6
6
16
0
12
32
10-15
67%
38-73
52%
1-9
11%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.