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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 27, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors42%104101
21Bucks58%107122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
32.7
29.6
12
47%
8
7
4
1
2
5
4
4
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.3
30.5
35.1
17
60%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
5-11
6-12
45%
52%
1-1
100%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.0
28.2
32.4
15
42%
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-4
0%
6-11
5-10
55%
48%
1-5
20%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.9
27.9
30.1
4
25%
3
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
5-8
25%
61%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.1
26.7
23.8
11
58%
6
1
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-1
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
1-3
33%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
27.7
14.8
14
47%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
5-9
1-3
56%
47%
0-4
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
21.4
9.3
12
87%
8
5
0
0
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
5-6
1-2
83%
47%
0-0
-
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 31.0
17.5
7.3
3
38%
0
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.0
14.9
11.5
7
70%
6
2
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.0
9.7
5.9
4
67%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
53%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
2.7
4.5
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.9
34.3
1
4-10
47%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.8
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.2
38.7
37.4
16
50%
5
13
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
8-15
6-13
53%
49%
0-1
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
35.4
30.6
31
76%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
50%
6-11
55%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
31.3
33.9
13
57%
14
2
0
1
2
2
2
12
1-3
33%
6-10
6-11
60%
55%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.0
27.1
37.5
20
63%
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
5-9
5-9
56%
50%
3-6
50%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.8
13.0
26.4
2
50%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
28.6
3.6
5
63%
4
6
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.6
27.2
26.9
19
74%
8
2
2
1
0
4
4
4
1-2
50%
9-12
5-9
75%
55%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.5
24.0
19.1
6
30%
8
1
1
1
2
4
2
6
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
1-5
20%
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
9.5
4.4
8
103%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
2-3
67%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
2.7
7.6
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 24.9
2.7
6.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.7
10.7
0
1-3
44%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.7
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.