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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Magic39%96101
11Nuggets61%99111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.2
33.0
38.0
23
67%
12
3
2
1
1
4
4
8
5-7
71%
9-13
7-13
69%
56%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.1
31.4
32.7
16
54%
2
6
0
1
0
7
0
2
2-2
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
48%
2-2
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.7
24.9
32.4
10
53%
8
0
2
1
2
2
2
6
0-1
0%
5-9
5-10
56%
46%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.9
18.0
32.6
12
95%
2
5
0
1
0
5
0
2
2-3
67%
2-2
3-8
100%
45%
2-3
67%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.4
13.5
29.8
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
5-10
0%
50%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.8
23.5
19.6
14
84%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.8
21.8
8.6
6
43%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
2-5
40%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.9
20.3
9.8
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.7
20.1
17.8
4
37%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-1
0%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.6
19.6
14.1
8
45%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
45%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.5
13.9
3.6
6
60%
4
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
43%
2-3
67%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.7
5.2
0
0-1
45%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.0
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 31.7
46.5
38.5
34
59%
4
7
5
2
0
5
0
4
7-9
78%
12-21
6-14
57%
46%
1-4
25%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
37.0
38.4
23
51%
6
2
2
1
0
3
2
4
7-8
88%
8-17
10-20
47%
50%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.5
36.4
31.1
12
56%
8
4
1
1
2
2
2
6
2-4
50%
5-9
5-10
56%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
30.8
32.3
10
43%
7
6
5
1
3
1
2
5
4-6
67%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.5
15.1
19.1
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.2
28.9
17.8
15
84%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
3-6
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
24.6
19.2
17
86%
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
8-9
2-4
89%
52%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.0
20.9
27.7
0
0%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.8
8.0
0
1-2
51%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.5
6.0
0
1-1
48%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.8
2.6
0
0-0
56%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.8
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.