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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 1, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Cavaliers22%8892
2Mavericks78%9895
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.2
40.0
40.0
39
64%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-8
50%
16-23
8-17
70%
49%
1-4
25%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.3
33.7
21.5
11
46%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.0
30.5
26.8
7
70%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
1-3
33%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.4
28.9
24.8
4
33%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.7
18.8
28.8
0
0%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
0-3
5-10
0%
47%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
28.1
27.6
8
67%
12
0
2
1
1
1
4
8
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.9
21.2
17.3
0
0%
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
19.6
15.0
14
54%
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
7-10
1-2
70%
48%
0-3
0%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.3
12.0
3.4
4
41%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
38%
1-2
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.3
7.3
3.1
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
41%
1-1
100%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.1
38.8
2
5-12
42%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.7
3.5
0
0-0
45%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.5
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.1
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
39.8
32.9
20
63%
5
5
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
50%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.7
39.1
36.1
24
55%
11
7
0
1
0
2
2
9
6-6
100%
9-18
8-15
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
38.8
34.0
17
54%
10
3
1
1
1
3
2
8
1-2
50%
5-12
6-12
42%
49%
2-3
67%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.6
25.2
25.1
10
75%
9
0
0
0
1
2
4
5
4-6
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
56%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
13.9
10.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.3
31.6
24.0
10
45%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
44%
0-2
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.1
22.7
19.6
8
82%
4
2
0
1
4
0
3
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
20.5
24.6
4
31%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.8
8.4
18.4
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
4.8
0
0-1
43%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.1
4.7
0
1-1
46%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
3.0
0
0-1
49%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.2
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.