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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 2, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Hawks37%9892
21Wizards63%10393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.2
43.8
36.5
24
64%
14
2
2
1
7
4
3
11
6-6
100%
6-14
6-13
43%
48%
2-2
100%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
42.5
41.3
20
50%
4
6
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
6-12
8-15
50%
50%
2-7
29%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.7
38.3
30.2
21
63%
6
1
1
1
0
2
3
3
6-6
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
47%
1-1
100%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.8
19.1
19.7
2
20%
0
5
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
8.8
12.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.7
30.6
30.3
16
59%
8
2
0
1
1
0
4
4
6-6
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
54%
0-2
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.8
22.8
18.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.1
22.2
25.6
9
52%
7
2
1
1
0
4
2
5
5-6
83%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
6.9
25.8
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
46%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
5.0
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
4.2
0
0-1
49%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
4.1
0
1-1
44%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.9
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
39.0
25.0
22
55%
6
3
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
8-16
3-6
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
38.3
40.9
19
57%
5
3
2
2
0
5
1
4
3-4
75%
5-9
6-12
56%
49%
2-6
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.0
32.0
24.9
4
18%
8
5
3
1
0
4
4
4
2-2
100%
1-10
5-9
10%
49%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.9
30.7
29.9
9
46%
3
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-4
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.3
23.7
28.5
14
62%
9
0
1
1
1
1
3
6
2-3
67%
6-10
3-6
60%
56%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.0
21.1
7.9
6
43%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
1-1
43%
49%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.6
17.3
34.1
6
55%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-1
0%
3-4
3-8
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.5
10.1
23.1
7
70%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
8.9
12.7
4
69%
4
2
0
0
2
3
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.8
7.0
6.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.0
6.0
18.7
2
25%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.5
5.8
15.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.6
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.1
Mike Hall
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.