Final Win Prob. pScore
2022%85
74
378%95
98
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
85.18787.4
SAS logo Spurs
115.38584.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS74
98
Q4 - 0:17.0SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
98
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLMISS Garrity 11' Jump Shot74
98
Q4 - 0:31.0SASBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)74
98
Q4 - 0:48.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
95
Q4 - 0:49.0SASMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot74
95
Q4 - 1:05ORLArroyo 2' Layup (9 PTS)74
95
Q4 - 1:11ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
95
Q4 - 1:13SASMISS Udrih 14' Jump Shot72
95
Q4 - 1:23SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
95
Q4 - 1:25ORLMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot72
95
Q4 - 1:36SASBonner Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)72
95
Q4 - 1:36SASBonner Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
94
Q4 - 1:36ORLOutlaw S.FOUL (P1.PN)72
93
Q4 - 1:36SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
93
Q4 - 1:36SASMISS Udrih 5' Jump Shot72
93
Q4 - 1:58ORLOutlaw 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)72
93
Q4 - 2:12ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
93
Q4 - 2:14SASMISS Oberto 13' Turnaround Jump Shot70
93
Q4 - 2:31SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
93
Q4 - 2:35ORLBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)70
93
Q4 - 2:52SASVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
93
Q4 - 2:52SASVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
92
Q4 - 2:52ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Turkoglu70
91
Q4 - 2:52ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P3.PN)70
91
Q4 - 2:55ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)70
91
Q4 - 2:55ORLMagic Rebound69
91
Q4 - 2:55ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 269
91
Q4 - 2:55ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson69
91
Q4 - 2:55ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Howard69
91
Q4 - 2:55SASSUB: Udrih FOR Bowen69
91
Q4 - 2:55SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker69
91
Q4 - 2:55SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)69
91
Q4 - 2:55SASOberto S.FOUL (P5.T4)69
91
Q4 - 3:04ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
91
Q4 - 3:06SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
91
Q4 - 3:26SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
91
Q4 - 3:28ORLMISS Redick 17' Jump Shot69
91
Q4 - 3:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)69
91
Q4 - 3:37SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot69
91
Q4 - 4:01ORLNelson 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
91
Q4 - 4:17SASBowen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)67
91
Q4 - 4:33ORLNelson 2' Layup (16 PTS)67
89
Q4 - 4:43SASBarry 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)65
89
Q4 - 5:03ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)65
87
Q4 - 5:03ORLMagic Rebound64
87
Q4 - 5:03ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 264
87
Q4 - 5:03SASBarry S.FOUL (P2.T3)64
87
Q4 - 5:14ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Milicic64
87
Q4 - 5:14ORLSUB: Redick FOR Dooling64
87
Q4 - 5:14SASSUB: Bonner FOR Duncan64
87
Q4 - 5:1464
87
Q4 - 5:14SASBowen Violation:Kicked Ball64
87
Q4 - 5:17ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
87
Q4 - 5:18SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot64
87
Q4 - 5:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
87
Q4 - 5:31ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot64
87
Q4 - 5:55SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)64
87
Q4 - 6:03ORLMilicic P.FOUL (P4.T4)64
85
Q4 - 6:16ORLTurkoglu 5' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)64
85
Q4 - 6:38SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)62
85
Q4 - 6:50SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
82
Q4 - 6:52ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot62
82
Q4 - 7:03SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn62
82
Q4 - 7:03ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Arroyo62
82
Q4 - 7:03ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Redick62
82
Q4 - 7:03SASOberto P.FOUL (P4.T2)62
82
Q4 - 7:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
82
Q4 - 7:06ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
82
Q4 - 7:30SASVaughn 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)62
82
Q4 - 7:46ORLArroyo 6' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)62
80
Q4 - 7:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
80
Q4 - 7:58SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot60
80
Q4 - 8:18ORLMagic Turnover: Backcourt (T#18)60
80
Q4 - 8:40SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Vaughn 4 AST)60
80
Q4 - 8:55SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
78
Q4 - 8:57ORLMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot60
78
Q4 - 9:02SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili60
78
Q4 - 9:02ORLArroyo Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)60
78
Q4 - 9:02SASSPURS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Barry )59
78
Q4 - 9:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
78
Q4 - 9:02ORLMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot59
78
Q4 - 9:20SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)59
78
Q4 - 9:20SASSUB: Barry FOR Finley59
77
Q4 - 9:20ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)59
77
Q4 - 9:20ORLArroyo S.FOUL (P2.T3)59
77
Q4 - 9:20SASGinobili Layup (30 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)59
77
Q4 - 9:23ORLDuncan STEAL (3 STL)59
75
Q4 - 9:44SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)59
75
Q4 - 9:56SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
72
Q4 - 10:00ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot59
72
Q4 - 10:15SASVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
72
Q4 - 10:15SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry59
71
Q4 - 10:15ORLSUB: Howard FOR Ariza59
71
Q4 - 10:15SASVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
71
Q4 - 10:15ORLArroyo S.FOUL (P1.T2)59
70
Q4 - 10:17ORLFinley STEAL (1 STL)59
70
Q4 - 10:40SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)59
70
Q4 - 10:40ORLMilicic S.FOUL (P3.T1)59
69
Q4 - 10:40SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)59
69
Q4 - 10:50ORLAriza Foul Turnover (P1.T15)59
67
Q4 - 10:50ORLAriza OFF.Foul (P3)59
67
Q4 - 11:02SASOberto P.FOUL (P3.T1)59
67
Q4 - 11:22SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
67
Q4 - 11:45ORLArroyo 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
65
Q4 - 12:0057
65
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL57
65
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS57
65
Q3 - 0:00.0SASGinobili 28' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)57
65
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Outlaw57
62
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLDooling P.FOUL (P1.T3)57
62
Q3 - 0:08.0ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
62
Q3 - 0:08.0ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)56
62
Q3 - 0:08.0SASGinobili S.FOUL (P2.PN)55
62
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
62
Q3 - 0:29.0SASMISS Ginobili 15' Fadeaway Jumper55
62
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)55
62
Q3 - 0:49.0SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan54
62
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)54
62
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Bogans53
62
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson53
62
Q3 - 0:49.0SASHorry P.FOUL (P1.PN)53
62
Q3 - 1:06SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)53
62
Q3 - 1:29ORLTurkoglu 10' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)53
59
Q3 - 1:34ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
59
Q3 - 1:36SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot51
59
Q3 - 1:56ORLVaughn STEAL (1 STL)51
59
Q3 - 1:56SASJump Ball Vaughn vs. Turkoglu: Tip to51
59
Q3 - 2:11SASSUB: Horry FOR Elson51
59
Q3 - 2:11ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)51
59
Q3 - 2:11SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)51
59
Q3 - 2:35ORLDuncan STEAL (2 STL)51
59
Q3 - 2:58SASElson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)51
59
Q3 - 3:09ORLNelson 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
57
Q3 - 3:32SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)49
57
Q3 - 3:45ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Howard49
55
Q3 - 3:45ORLHoward L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)49
55
Q3 - 3:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)49
55
Q3 - 3:45ORLMISS Milicic 2' Layup49
55
Q3 - 3:59ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
55
Q3 - 4:01ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
55
Q3 - 4:13ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
55
Q3 - 4:19SASMISS Elson 3' Dunk49
55
Q3 - 4:35ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
55
Q3 - 4:35ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
55
Q3 - 4:35SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker47
55
Q3 - 4:35SASParker S.FOUL (P4.T4)47
55
Q3 - 4:39ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
55
Q3 - 4:41SASMISS Elson 20' Jump Shot47
55
Q3 - 4:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
55
Q3 - 4:51SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
55
Q3 - 5:11ORLBogans 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)47
55
Q3 - 5:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
55
Q3 - 5:19SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot45
55
Q3 - 5:34ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
55
Q3 - 5:50SASParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T11)43
55
Q3 - 5:56SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
55
Q3 - 5:58ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot43
55
Q3 - 6:22SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)43
55
Q3 - 6:27SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
52
Q3 - 6:29ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot43
52
Q3 - 6:53SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)43
52
Q3 - 7:13ORLTurkoglu 13' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)43
49
Q3 - 7:27SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
49
Q3 - 7:27SASSPURS Rebound41
48
Q3 - 7:27SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 241
48
Q3 - 7:27ORLHoward S.FOUL (P3.T1)41
48
Q3 - 7:42ORLNelson 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)41
48
Q3 - 8:05SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)39
48
Q3 - 8:19SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)39
45
Q3 - 8:19ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
45
Q3 - 8:30SASParker P.FOUL (P3.T3)37
45
Q3 - 8:42ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
45
Q3 - 8:44SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot37
45
Q3 - 9:10ORLTurkoglu 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
45
Q3 - 9:19SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry35
45
Q3 - 9:19SASDuncan P.FOUL (P3.T2)35
45
Q3 - 9:29SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen35
45
Q3 - 9:29SASBowen Foul Turnover (P2.T10)35
45
Q3 - 9:29SASBowen OFF.Foul (P3)35
45
Q3 - 9:38ORLParker STEAL (1 STL)35
45
Q3 - 9:43ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
45
Q3 - 9:45SASMISS Elson 2' Layup35
45
Q3 - 10:07ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)35
45
Q3 - 10:07ORLNelson OFF.Foul (P1)35
45
Q3 - 10:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
45
Q3 - 10:15SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup35
45
Q3 - 10:31ORLHoward 2' Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)35
45
Q3 - 10:40SASParker P.FOUL (P2.T1)33
45
Q3 - 10:58SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)33
45
Q3 - 11:19ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)33
43
Q3 - 11:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
43
Q3 - 11:26ORLMISS Milicic 1' Dunk33
43
Q3 - 11:43ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
43
Q3 - 11:45SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
43
Q3 - 12:0033
43
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL33
43
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound33
43
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
43
Q2 - 0:09.0SASSUB: Duncan FOR Bowen33
43
Q2 - 0:09.0ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Redick33
43
Q2 - 0:09.0SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)33
43
Q2 - 0:10.0ORLElson STEAL (1 STL)33
43
Q2 - 0:10.0SASJump Ball Elson vs. Nelson: Tip to Finley33
43
Q2 - 0:10.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
43
Q2 - 0:10.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
43
Q2 - 0:10.0SASMISS Elson 1' Tip Shot33
43
Q2 - 0:12.0SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot33
43
Q2 - 0:33.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
43
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot33
43
Q2 - 0:45.0SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan33
43
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Howard33
43
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLSUB: Redick FOR Turkoglu33
43
Q2 - 0:45.0SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T9)33
43
Q2 - 0:45.0SASParker OFF.Foul (P1)33
43
Q2 - 1:00ORLNelson Layup (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)33
43
Q2 - 1:19SASDuncan 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)31
43
Q2 - 1:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)31
41
Q2 - 1:38ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 231
41
Q2 - 1:38ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
41
Q2 - 1:38ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Redick30
41
Q2 - 1:3830
41
Q2 - 1:38SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)30
41
Q2 - 1:38ORLMagic Rebound30
41
Q2 - 1:38SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
41
Q2 - 1:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
41
Q2 - 1:55ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
41
Q2 - 2:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
41
Q2 - 2:24SASDuncan 1' Layup (11 PTS)30
41
Q2 - 2:26SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot30
39
Q2 - 2:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
39
Q2 - 2:46SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot30
39
Q2 - 2:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
39
Q2 - 2:55ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup30
39
Q2 - 3:18SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
39
Q2 - 3:18SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
38
Q2 - 3:18ORLRedick P.FOUL (P1.PN)30
37
Q2 - 3:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
37
Q2 - 3:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
37
Q2 - 3:29SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.PN)28
37
Q2 - 3:46SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T8)28
37
Q2 - 3:46SASBowen OFF.Foul (P1)28
37
Q2 - 3:56ORLHoward P.FOUL (P2.T4)28
37
Q2 - 4:12SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
37
Q2 - 4:13ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 228
37
Q2 - 4:13ORLMagic Rebound28
37
Q2 - 4:13ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 228
37
Q2 - 4:13ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Arroyo28
37
Q2 - 4:13ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Outlaw28
37
Q2 - 4:13SASSUB: Finley FOR Barry28
37
Q2 - 4:13SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.T4)28
37
Q2 - 4:22ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
37
Q2 - 4:24SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
37
Q2 - 4:43ORLHoward 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)28
37
Q2 - 4:53SASGinobili Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)26
37
Q2 - 5:11ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
35
Q2 - 5:11ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
35
Q2 - 5:11SASBarry S.FOUL (P1.T3)24
35
Q2 - 5:28SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)24
35
Q2 - 5:28ORLMagic Rebound24
35
Q2 - 5:28SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot24
35
Q2 - 5:44ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Dooling24
35
Q2 - 5:44ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Ariza24
35
Q2 - 5:44SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bonner24
35
Q2 - 5:44SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)24
35
Q2 - 5:44ORLHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)24
35
Q2 - 5:49ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
35
Q2 - 5:51SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
35
Q2 - 6:11ORLArroyo 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
35
Q2 - 6:13ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
35
Q2 - 6:14ORLMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot20
35
Q2 - 6:39SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)20
35
Q2 - 6:39ORLAriza S.FOUL (P2.T3)20
34
Q2 - 6:39SASDuncan 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)20
34
Q2 - 6:55SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
32
Q2 - 6:57ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
32
Q2 - 7:10SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)20
32
Q2 - 7:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
32
Q2 - 7:14ORLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)20
32
Q2 - 7:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)20
32
Q2 - 7:33SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley20
31
Q2 - 7:33ORLSUB: Howard FOR Milicic20
31
Q2 - 7:33SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn20
31
Q2 - 7:33ORLMilicic S.FOUL (P2.T2)20
31
Q2 - 7:33SASDuncan 1' Layup (5 PTS)20
31
Q2 - 7:52SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
29
Q2 - 7:54ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
29
Q2 - 8:00ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
29
Q2 - 8:01SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot20
29
Q2 - 8:17ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
29
Q2 - 8:17ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
29
Q2 - 8:17SASVaughn S.FOUL (P1.T1)18
29
Q2 - 8:20SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)18
29
Q2 - 8:35ORLRedick 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
29
Q2 - 8:40ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
29
Q2 - 8:42SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup16
29
Q2 - 8:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
29
Q2 - 8:44SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
29
Q2 - 8:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
29
Q2 - 9:01ORLMISS Ariza 1' Layup16
29
Q2 - 9:16SASSUB: Barry FOR Ginobili16
29
Q2 - 9:16SASSUB: Bonner FOR Oberto16
29
Q2 - 9:16ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)16
29
Q2 - 9:23SASFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)16
29
Q2 - 9:40SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry16
26
Q2 - 9:40ORLDooling Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)16
26
Q2 - 9:57ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
26
Q2 - 9:59SASMISS Horry 12' Turnaround Jump Shot16
26
Q2 - 10:09SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
26
Q2 - 10:11ORLMISS Milicic 9' Jump Hook Shot16
26
Q2 - 10:27SASOberto 8' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)16
26
Q2 - 10:41SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
24
Q2 - 10:43ORLMISS Milicic 3' Layup16
24
Q2 - 11:01ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
24
Q2 - 11:02SASMISS Vaughn 17' Jump Shot16
24
Q2 - 11:18ORLAriza P.FOUL (P1.T1)16
24
Q2 - 11:22SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
24
Q2 - 11:25ORLMISS Ariza 1' Layup16
24
Q2 - 11:42SASGinobili 4' Finger Roll (4 PTS)16
24
Q2 - 12:0016
22
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL16
22
Q1 - 0:03.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)16
22
Q1 - 0:15.0ORLNelson 3' Layup (2 PTS)16
22
Q1 - 0:29.0ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)14
22
Q1 - 0:33.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
22
Q1 - 0:33.0SASOberto 2' Layup (2 PTS)14
22
Q1 - 0:35.0SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot14
20
Q1 - 0:41.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
20
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Dooling 12' Jump Shot14
20
Q1 - 1:01SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)14
20
Q1 - 1:14ORLSUB: Redick FOR Turkoglu14
17
Q1 - 1:14ORLDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)14
17
Q1 - 1:33SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
17
Q1 - 1:33SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker14
16
Q1 - 1:33SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
16
Q1 - 1:33ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P2.PN)14
15
Q1 - 1:33SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
15
Q1 - 1:35SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
15
Q1 - 1:35SASMISS Oberto 1' Layup14
15
Q1 - 1:37SASMISS Ginobili 12' Jump Shot14
15
Q1 - 1:58ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)14
15
Q1 - 2:19SASFinley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)14
15
Q1 - 2:40ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)14
13
Q1 - 2:40SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen13
13
Q1 - 2:40ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Milicic13
13
Q1 - 2:40ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)13
13
Q1 - 2:40SASOberto S.FOUL (P2.T3)13
13
Q1 - 2:40ORLTurkoglu 2' Layup (7 PTS)13
13
Q1 - 2:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
13
Q1 - 2:49SASMISS Parker 1' Layup11
13
Q1 - 3:01SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
13
Q1 - 3:03ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
13
Q1 - 3:09SASOberto L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)11
13
Q1 - 3:09ORLMagic Rebound11
13
Q1 - 3:10ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup11
13
Q1 - 3:13ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
13
Q1 - 3:15SASMISS Ginobili 8' Running Jump Shot11
13
Q1 - 3:18SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
13
Q1 - 3:20SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup11
13
Q1 - 3:35ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Bogans11
13
Q1 - 3:35SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan11
13
Q1 - 3:35ORLBogans Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T5)11
13
Q1 - 3:37ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
13
Q1 - 3:39SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot11
13
Q1 - 3:59ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)11
13
Q1 - 4:25SASGinobili 1' Layup (2 PTS)8
13
Q1 - 4:30ORLDuncan STEAL (1 STL)8
11
Q1 - 4:35ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11
Q1 - 4:37SASMISS Parker 1' Layup8
11
Q1 - 4:49ORLMilicic 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
11
Q1 - 5:07ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11
Q1 - 5:09SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
11
Q1 - 5:12SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
11
Q1 - 5:13SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot6
11
Q1 - 5:34SASSPURS Rebound6
11
Q1 - 5:34ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw Technical6
11
Q1 - 5:34SASElson T.FOUL (P2.T1)6
11
Q1 - 5:34SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)6
11
Q1 - 5:34ORLBogans Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)6
11
Q1 - 5:46SASParker 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)6
11
Q1 - 5:51ORLHorry STEAL (1 STL)6
9
Q1 - 6:05ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending6
9
Q1 - 6:05SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)6
9
Q1 - 6:12SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry6
7
Q1 - 6:12ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P1.T4)6
7
Q1 - 6:29ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS)6
7
Q1 - 6:44SASSUB: Horry FOR Elson4
7
Q1 - 6:44SASElson Foul Turnover (P2.T4)4
7
Q1 - 6:44SASElson OFF.Foul (P2)4
7
Q1 - 6:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
7
Q1 - 6:52ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
7
Q1 - 7:06ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
7
Q1 - 7:10ORLMISS Howard Alley Oop Dunk4
7
Q1 - 7:14ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7
Q1 - 7:17SASMISS Duncan Layup4
7
Q1 - 7:32ORLMilicic 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)4
7
Q1 - 7:47SASElson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)2
7
Q1 - 7:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7
Q1 - 7:57ORLMISS Milicic 9' Jump Hook Shot2
7
Q1 - 8:21SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)2
7
Q1 - 8:23SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
7
Q1 - 8:26ORLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)2
7
Q1 - 8:37SASElson P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
7
Q1 - 8:53SASParker 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
7
Q1 - 9:05ORLMilicic P.FOUL (P1.T3)2
5
Q1 - 9:14SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
5
Q1 - 9:16ORLMISS Milicic 1' Layup2
5
Q1 - 9:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
5
Q1 - 9:31SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 22
5
Q1 - 9:31SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
5
Q1 - 9:31ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
4
Q1 - 9:35ORLBogans P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 9:48ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)2
4
Q1 - 9:48ORLMagic Rebound2
4
Q1 - 9:48ORLElson BLOCK (1 BLK)2
4
Q1 - 10:13SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:19ORLTurkoglu 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:46SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
4
Q1 - 11:07SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:09ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:28SASParker 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:34SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:36ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.93 46.3%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
16
28
57%
SAS
13
25
52%
Midrange
ORL
11
25
44%
SAS
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
1
1.5
12
8%
13%
SAS
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
Free Throws
ORL
17
23
74%
SAS
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2292%11.0 / 12
J. Nelson1856%9.0 / 16
D. Howard945%4.5 / 10
C. Arroyo956%4.5 / 8
D. Milicic630%3.0 / 10
K. Bogans450%2.0 / 4
J. Redick433%2.0 / 6
B. Outlaw250%1.0 / 2
K. Dooling0-0.0 / 4
T. Ariza0-0.0 / 2
P. Garrity0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili3178%15.5 / 20
T. Duncan1963%9.5 / 15
M. Finley1275%6.0 / 8
T. Parker836%4.0 / 11
B. Barry867%4.0 / 6
J. Vaughn6100%3.0 / 3
B. Bowen440%2.0 / 5
F. Oberto450%2.0 / 4
F. Elson220%1.0 / 5
R. Horry233%1.0 / 3
M. Bonner233%1.0 / 3
B. Udrih0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
71
+8
-16
79
SAS
74
+13
-11
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.93 46.3%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
109.2
ORL 85.1
SAS 115.3 +30.2
Pace
89.8
89.8
ORL 87.4 +2.7
SAS 84.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.5
ORL 16.5 −0.5
SAS 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
52.1%
ORL 43.8%
SAS 51.9% +8.1%
TO %
18.0%
14.7%
ORL 19.3%
SAS 12.1% −7.2%
ORB %
29.3%
24.5%
ORL 16.2%
SAS 29.3% +13.1%
FTrt
39.3
31.3
ORL 35.4 +12.6
SAS 22.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
60.5%
ORL 35.7%
SAS 66.7% +31.0%
STL %
7.6%
8.0%
ORL 3.4%
SAS 9.4% +6.0%
BLK %
8.5%
7.8%
ORL 5.3%
SAS 7.5% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
54.7%
ORL 46.3%
SAS 55.7% +9.4%
Rim FG%
61.6%
62.1%
ORL 57.1% +5.1%
SAS 52.0%
Mid FG%
38.3%
40.4%
ORL 44.0% +3.4%
SAS 40.6%
3P %
35.6%
38.1%
ORL 8.3%
SAS 45.5% +37.2%
FT %
70.2%
75.1%
ORL 73.9%
SAS 88.9% +15.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
34.9%
ORL 43.1% +11.4%
SAS 31.6%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
40.5%
ORL 38.5% −2.0%
SAS 40.5%
3P Att. %
15.8%
24.7%
ORL 18.5%
SAS 27.8% +9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions8785
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points7498
Rebounds3543
Assists1024
Steals38
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)31 (0)
Field Goals28-6536-79
At-the-Rim FG16-2813-25
Midrange FG11-2513-32
2-Point FG27-5326-57
3-Point FG1-1210-22
Free Throws17-2316-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
34.4
9
45%
9
0
1
1
2
4
3
6
1-4
25%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 275 · 22
33.3
6
30%
4
1
0
2
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
31.5
18
56%
7
4
0
0
3
1
1
6
2-3
67%
8-11
73%
0-4
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
30.6
22
92%
4
1
1
0
2
3
0
4
7-9
78%
6-6
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 215 · 27
25.3
4
50%
3
0
0
0
3
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
22.4
4
33%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
19.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
3
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
16.5
9
56%
3
3
1
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22
13.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
8.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 31
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'8" 225 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · C · 6'11" 240 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
46%
35
10
3
3
16
0
6
29
17-23
74%
27-53
51%
1-12
8%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.