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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 2, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Magic22%8574
3Spurs78%9598
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.2
34.4
35.5
9
46%
9
0
1
1
1
2
3
6
1-4
25%
4-8
6-11
50%
55%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.7
33.3
29.1
6
30%
4
1
0
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-9
4-9
22%
44%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.1
31.5
31.6
18
55%
7
4
0
1
0
3
1
6
2-3
67%
8-11
4-9
73%
46%
0-4
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
30.6
26.9
22
92%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
7-9
78%
6-6
3-6
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.8
25.3
13.6
4
52%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-2
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.7
22.4
4.7
4
34%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-3
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.8
19.1
20.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.6
16.5
16.0
9
53%
3
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.7
13.4
18.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.9
8.3
13.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.5
5.2
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.0
5.1
0
0-0
43%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.0
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.4
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.9
33.7
31.5
19
60%
10
4
3
1
2
1
3
7
3-4
75%
8-13
7-13
62%
53%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
29.6
29.6
8
36%
5
4
1
1
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
4-11
7-13
36%
54%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.7
25.4
25.5
4
41%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.2
22.9
19.3
8
67%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
2-4
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.0
15.8
22.5
2
20%
2
0
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.6
26.9
24.0
31
75%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
5-10
3-7
50%
52%
6-9
67%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.0
23.5
21.9
12
75%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
2-4
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.9
19.1
12.4
4
50%
7
2
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.1
18.4
15.9
6
80%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.5
13.0
16.2
2
35%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.9
8.8
10.5
2
35%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
2.9
8.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.8
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.0
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.