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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 2, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hornets32%8893
6Bulls68%94104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.8
37.6
33.8
16
50%
4
6
1
2
0
4
0
4
5-7
71%
4-9
5-11
44%
45%
1-4
25%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.4
35.6
32.5
10
56%
13
0
0
1
0
2
6
7
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
55%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
34.3
35.1
12
51%
3
2
3
1
2
2
1
2
2-2
100%
5-11
7-15
45%
48%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.4
33.4
32.2
11
38%
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
5-6
83%
3-12
6-13
25%
44%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
26.6
23.6
12
52%
3
1
0
1
0
5
1
2
5-6
83%
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
1-4
25%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.0
22.9
23.0
13
66%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
41%
2-3
67%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.7
13.7
15.3
5
83%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.8
13.2
12.8
5
36%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
1-5
20%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 32.1
12.4
4.3
4
42%
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
4-4
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.4
10.4
14.2
5
46%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
40%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
6.6
0
1-1
47%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
2.1
0
0-1
43%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.8
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
42.1
35.2
24
63%
7
3
2
1
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
12-19
7-14
63%
52%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.5
38.3
34.3
7
47%
7
2
1
2
2
1
2
5
1-1
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.9
35.5
30.1
27
70%
4
4
2
1
1
2
1
3
5-5
100%
8-14
5-10
57%
47%
2-3
67%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.2
34.1
31.2
22
62%
4
4
0
1
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.5
23.6
12.6
10
108%
7
0
2
1
3
7
1
6
6-6
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.5
23.9
25.7
2
25%
3
9
1
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.7
14.4
12.4
6
75%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.4
13.7
10.7
3
32%
2
1
0
0
0
3
2
0
1-4
25%
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.8
7.3
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.7
6.5
9.1
3
52%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.6
0.6
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 25.0
4.4
0
0-1
43%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.3
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 21.0
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.