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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 2, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Kings39%98116
7Lakers61%101108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.3
39.7
35.6
19
59%
1
6
1
2
1
1
0
1
3-5
60%
5-9
5-11
56%
46%
2-5
40%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.1
37.3
37.2
20
58%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-5
80%
5-10
6-10
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.8
36.7
31.6
33
78%
4
7
1
1
0
1
0
4
12-14
86%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
5-9
56%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.9
28.9
32.3
8
82%
5
5
0
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
17.7
18.8
6
60%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.2
23.8
26.5
6
61%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
22.0
18.1
12
76%
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.2
21.1
14.0
12
54%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
4-7
57%
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
8.3
23.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
4.5
13.5
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
2.2
0
0-0
47%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.8
2.0
0
0-1
50%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 28.5
40.7
37.5
30
58%
4
10
0
1
0
1
0
4
9-9
100%
9-17
8-15
53%
50%
1-5
20%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.3
37.6
36.9
26
56%
13
6
1
1
0
1
3
10
9-10
90%
7-15
4-9
47%
51%
1-4
25%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 19.3
28.4
29.1
11
70%
6
2
0
0
2
4
0
6
1-2
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
55%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.7
24.3
27.7
8
67%
1
3
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
0-1
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
21.3
17.0
7
70%
7
1
0
0
0
6
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 34.4
25.1
10.3
12
86%
3
3
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
6-7
0-1
86%
48%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.0
19.6
24.5
0
0%
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
52%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.0
19.5
7.7
7
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
41%
1-4
25%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 31.9
12.2
13.2
3
50%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 24.1
10.3
17.1
2
33%
5
0
0
0
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.3
1.1
7.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.3
31.4
1
4-8
47%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.