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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Knicks35%94104
23Hawks65%99100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.0
51.1
39.6
38
62%
5
9
5
1
1
1
0
5
10-11
91%
5-12
4-8
42%
48%
6-14
43%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.3
41.0
24.1
6
43%
7
1
3
1
0
4
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.2
30.2
38.1
9
29%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
3-8
38%
3-12
7-12
25%
57%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.8
13.6
29.8
7
58%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
5-10
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.9
10.2
37.0
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.0
41.3
17.1
26
60%
6
3
3
1
0
2
1
5
8-13
62%
6-11
1-3
55%
45%
2-5
40%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
38.0
8.3
12
87%
13
1
1
0
0
0
4
9
2-2
100%
5-6
1-2
83%
49%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
33.0
14.2
4
25%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-5
2-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.5
2.7
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.3
2.0
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.3
1.9
10.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.8
4.8
0
1-1
45%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.0
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
49.1
41.0
32
62%
8
7
3
1
0
4
1
7
3-4
75%
7-16
7-15
44%
51%
5-8
63%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.2
44.2
38.6
20
55%
11
6
1
1
3
9
3
8
10-12
83%
5-12
6-13
42%
49%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.1
40.0
24.2
12
85%
9
1
2
1
1
3
2
7
6-7
86%
3-4
4-8
75%
48%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.7
29.3
32.9
14
51%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.8
15.4
19.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.7
41.4
30.2
14
76%
10
3
1
1
1
1
2
8
5-5
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.8
22.7
20.1
5
42%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
17.1
17.8
3
75%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
5.5
5.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
0.3
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.5
5.2
0
0-1
49%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
3.3
0
0-1
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.