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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Raptors33%9197
9Cavaliers67%97120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.9
38.4
35.8
25
46%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
7-7
100%
9-22
7-13
41%
49%
0-2
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.9
23.8
28.8
9
43%
7
7
2
1
1
2
2
5
1-1
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
44%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.8
23.6
20.5
5
43%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
20.6
23.4
5
50%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.2
19.3
28.3
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 28.4
34.9
20.3
24
61%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
8-14
2-5
57%
43%
2-4
50%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
23.0
6.5
3
17%
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-6
1-2
17%
50%
0-2
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
18.9
22.4
3
50%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
14.2
9.7
12
73%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
4-5
80%
4-6
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.8
12.0
3.4
6
58%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
2-5
40%
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-0
-
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.8
6.0
1.6
5
91%
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
0
3-4
75%
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.0
5.3
1.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-0
0%
35%
0-1
0%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.3
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
37.4
39.3
36
66%
5
6
0
1
3
2
2
3
15-17
88%
9-17
9-18
53%
53%
1-3
33%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.1
37.0
25.0
27
72%
5
5
1
1
1
4
0
5
3-4
75%
9-13
4-8
69%
44%
2-4
50%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.3
31.2
26.4
3
17%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.7
17.8
24.5
4
29%
9
0
1
0
2
1
4
5
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.4
17.0
26.4
3
26%
4
0
0
1
0
2
4
0
1-2
50%
1-5
4-9
20%
50%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
27.1
27.6
14
69%
11
1
0
1
2
2
3
8
6-7
86%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
24.6
16.9
12
75%
9
3
1
0
1
0
1
8
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
4-6
67%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.9
21.1
19.0
4
50%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.3
13.5
5.5
14
90%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
3-3
100%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.3
5.3
7.3
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.1
4.5
1.9
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
1-1
100%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.5
3.5
5.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.0
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.1
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.