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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pistons61%9992
25Grizzlies39%9589
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.4
40.5
37.1
19
64%
5
9
1
1
0
1
1
4
8-9
89%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
40.1
35.8
13
45%
8
5
0
1
0
2
1
7
1-1
100%
6-14
5-12
43%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.0
36.8
39.2
12
50%
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-11
7-14
55%
49%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.0
33.9
39.8
17
62%
6
1
0
1
1
1
0
6
1-4
25%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
2-2
100%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.0
11.6
7.9
5
43%
2
0
1
0
2
3
2
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.5
29.9
24.3
9
57%
8
1
0
1
5
1
3
5
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.5
19.9
12.0
7
58%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
12.8
12.2
6
50%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
2-5
40%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
8.9
7.9
3
61%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.9
4.7
9.4
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.1
0.7
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.8
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.5
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.0
40.5
39.2
24
53%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
5-8
63%
8-14
4-8
57%
51%
1-5
20%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
40.5
34.8
12
43%
8
2
2
1
0
1
5
3
1-2
50%
4-10
4-10
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
39.9
38.2
22
48%
15
2
0
1
1
1
3
12
10-13
77%
6-17
8-15
35%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.5
33.7
29.8
5
36%
4
8
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
1-3
33%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.4
22.5
22.5
2
26%
9
0
1
1
0
1
6
3
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.7
31.2
23.2
13
48%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
3-6
50%
5-11
4-8
45%
51%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.9
14.9
14.7
4
40%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.4
14.3
10.3
7
50%
3
3
2
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
38%
1-2
50%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.9
2.4
6.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.6
9.2
0
1-2
46%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.2
5.7
0
1-1
47%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.3
4.5
0
1-1
48%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.9
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.