Final Win Prob. pScore
2213%86
98
187%100
103
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
122.58075.0
DAL logo Mavericks
124.18388.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL98
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DALCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)98
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALSUB: Croshere FOR Dampier98
103
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 3)98
103
Q4 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Terry 15 AST)98
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)98
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLMagic Rebound98
9.1%
101
90.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
7.8%
101
92.2%
Q4 - 1:14ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)98
6.8%
101
93.2%
Q4 - 1:14ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)97
5.7%
101
94.3%
Q4 - 1:14DALStackhouse S.FOUL (P1.PN)96
101
Q4 - 1:30ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 3)96
101
Q4 - 1:30DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)96
5.0%
101
95.0%
Q4 - 1:30ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P5.PN)96
100
Q4 - 1:30DALHoward Layup (20 PTS) (Terry 14 AST)96
100
Q4 - 1:33ORLTerry STEAL (2 STL)96
12.9%
98
87.1%
Q4 - 1:43DALTerry 16' Fadeaway Jumper (29 PTS) (Stackhouse 5 AST)96
21.3%
98
78.7%
Q4 - 1:57ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)96
29.8%
96
70.2%
Q4 - 1:57ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)95
27.9%
96
72.1%
Q4 - 1:57DALTerry S.FOUL (P2.PN)94
96
Q4 - 2:01ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)94
23.7%
96
76.3%
Q4 - 2:04ORLMISS Turkoglu 11' Running Jump Shot94
16.3%
96
83.7%
Q4 - 2:26ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
24.8%
96
75.2%
Q4 - 2:27DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot94
20.8%
96
79.2%
Q4 - 2:43ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)94
13.7%
96
86.3%
Q4 - 2:43ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)93
12.0%
96
88.0%
Q4 - 2:43DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)92
96
Q4 - 2:43DALDampier P.FOUL (P4.PN)92
96
Q4 - 3:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)92
10.7%
96
89.3%
Q4 - 3:01ORLHoward S.FOUL (P3.PN)92
95
Q4 - 3:01DALNowitzki Driving Layup (21 PTS)92
95
Q4 - 3:19ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)92
20.6%
93
79.4%
Q4 - 3:37DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
16.2%
93
83.8%
Q4 - 3:37DALDampier Tip Shot (8 PTS)90
16.2%
93
83.8%
Q4 - 3:39DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
26.6%
91
73.4%
Q4 - 3:56ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)90
21.3%
91
78.7%
Q4 - 3:56ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)89
20.2%
91
79.8%
Q4 - 3:56DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Harris88
91
Q4 - 3:56DALHarris P.FOUL (P6.PN)88
91
Q4 - 4:13DALHarris 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Terry 13 AST)88
15.8%
91
84.2%
Q4 - 4:27ORLBogans 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)88
21.2%
89
78.8%
Q4 - 4:43DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)86
15.7%
89
84.3%
Q4 - 4:55ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Ariza86
86
Q4 - 4:55ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Dooling86
86
Q4 - 4:55ORLDooling P.FOUL (P2.T4)86
86
Q4 - 5:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
28.3%
86
71.7%
Q4 - 5:04ORLMISS Milicic 14' Jump Shot86
30.5%
86
69.5%
Q4 - 5:17ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Arroyo86
86
Q4 - 5:17DALHoward Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)86
36.0%
86
64.0%
Q4 - 5:35DALSUB: Harris FOR Stackhouse86
86
Q4 - 5:35ORLAriza Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)86
28.3%
86
71.7%
Q4 - 6:00DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Terry 12 AST)86
36.1%
86
63.9%
Q4 - 6:25ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
47.9%
83
52.1%
Q4 - 6:25ORLAriza Layup (11 PTS)86
47.9%
83
52.1%
Q4 - 6:27ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot84
35.5%
83
64.5%
Q4 - 6:55DALHoward 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Terry 11 AST)84
40.9%
83
59.1%
Q4 - 7:12DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
44.0%
81
56.0%
Q4 - 7:14ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 284
45.0%
81
55.0%
Q4 - 7:14ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
48.7%
81
51.3%
Q4 - 7:14DALDampier L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)83
81
Q4 - 7:14ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
44.6%
81
55.4%
Q4 - 7:16ORLMISS Dooling 7' Hook Shot83
39.5%
81
60.5%
Q4 - 7:28ORLSUB: Howard FOR Turkoglu83
81
Q4 - 7:28ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)83
81
Q4 - 7:37DALHoward Running Layup (16 PTS) (Nowitzki 7 AST)83
44.7%
81
55.3%
Q4 - 7:49DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
51.2%
79
48.8%
Q4 - 7:50ORLMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot83
53.5%
79
46.5%
Q4 - 8:15DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
54.6%
79
45.4%
Q4 - 8:15DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
55.8%
78
44.2%
Q4 - 8:15ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P4.T3)83
77
Q4 - 8:2983
77
Q4 - 8:29ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P2.T2)83
77
Q4 - 8:39ORLMilicic Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)83
61.3%
77
38.7%
Q4 - 9:02DALTerry 18' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)81
51.8%
77
48.2%
Q4 - 9:12ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P3.T1)81
75
Q4 - 9:30ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)81
58.2%
75
41.8%
Q4 - 9:30DALSUB: Dampier FOR Croshere80
75
Q4 - 9:30DALCroshere S.FOUL (P3.T4)80
75
Q4 - 9:30ORLAriza 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)80
75
Q4 - 9:35ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
45.9%
75
54.1%
Q4 - 9:36DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
44.2%
75
55.8%
Q4 - 10:04ORLArroyo 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)78
38.1%
75
61.9%
Q4 - 10:12DALSUB: Terry FOR Harris76
75
Q4 - 10:12DALHarris P.FOUL (P5.T3)76
75
Q4 - 10:25ORLMagic Rebound76
32.9%
75
67.1%
Q4 - 10:26DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot76
31.5%
75
68.5%
Q4 - 10:51ORLArroyo 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)76
28.3%
75
71.7%
Q4 - 10:57DALHarris P.FOUL (P4.T2)74
75
Q4 - 11:10ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
23.2%
75
76.8%
Q4 - 11:11ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 174
20.2%
75
79.8%
Q4 - 11:11DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T1)74
75
Q4 - 11:11ORLAriza Running Layup (6 PTS)74
75
Q4 - 11:19DALSUB: Howard FOR Terry72
75
Q4 - 11:19DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Diop72
75
Q4 - 11:19ORLMagic Rebound72
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q4 - 11:20ORLMISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot72
14.6%
75
85.4%
Q4 - 11:41ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q4 - 11:43DALMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot72
15.6%
75
84.4%
Q4 - 12:0072
75
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL72
13.8%
75
86.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Stackhouse 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
15.6%
75
84.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0DALCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
15.7%
75
84.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLMagic Rebound71
75
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 271
13.3%
75
86.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0DALSUB: Harris FOR Howard71
75
Q3 - 0:27.0DALCroshere S.FOUL (P2.PN)71
75
Q3 - 0:27.0DAL71
75
Q3 - 0:47.0DALCroshere 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Terry 10 AST)71
13.8%
75
86.2%
Q3 - 1:03ORLArroyo 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)71
16.6%
73
83.4%
Q3 - 1:06ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 1:07ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot69
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q3 - 1:28DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)69
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 1:34ORLDiop STEAL (1 STL)69
19.5%
70
80.5%
Q3 - 1:54DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)69
22.5%
70
77.5%
Q3 - 2:16ORLAriza 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)69
28.9%
67
71.1%
Q3 - 2:40ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
25.2%
67
74.8%
Q3 - 2:41DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
24.2%
67
75.8%
Q3 - 2:56ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Nelson67
67
Q3 - 2:56ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Milicic67
67
Q3 - 2:56ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 2)67
67
Q3 - 2:56DALMAVERICKS Rebound67
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 2:56DALMISS Stackhouse Running Layup67
24.2%
67
75.8%
Q3 - 3:03DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
20.7%
67
79.3%
Q3 - 3:04DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 267
23.5%
67
76.5%
Q3 - 3:04DALSUB: Croshere FOR Nowitzki67
67
Q3 - 3:04DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
21.5%
67
78.5%
Q3 - 3:04ORLNelson S.FOUL (P3.PN)67
66
Q3 - 3:29ORLTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bogans 3 AST)67
23.9%
66
76.1%
Q3 - 3:36ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
21.0%
66
79.0%
Q3 - 3:37DALMISS Howard Running Layup65
20.0%
66
80.0%
Q3 - 3:58ORLMilicic 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)65
18.0%
66
82.0%
Q3 - 4:20DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)63
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 4:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
20.3%
63
79.7%
Q3 - 4:35ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot63
21.4%
63
78.6%
Q3 - 5:01DALHoward 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)63
22.9%
63
77.1%
Q3 - 5:14ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
25.6%
61
74.4%
Q3 - 5:14ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)62
24.9%
61
75.1%
Q3 - 5:14DALDiop S.FOUL (P3.T4)61
61
Q3 - 5:26ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
23.0%
61
77.0%
Q3 - 5:27DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot61
22.0%
61
78.0%
Q3 - 5:46DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Harris61
61
Q3 - 5:46DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier61
61
Q3 - 5:46DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)61
61
Q3 - 5:47ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)61
19.8%
61
80.2%
Q3 - 6:00DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
15.3%
61
84.7%
Q3 - 6:00DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
15.8%
60
84.2%
Q3 - 6:00ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P2.PN)58
59
Q3 - 6:01DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
16.9%
59
83.1%
Q3 - 6:04ORLNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)58
17.6%
59
82.4%
Q3 - 6:30DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)58
19.5%
59
80.5%
Q3 - 6:41ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)58
24.8%
56
75.2%
Q3 - 6:41DALDampier S.FOUL (P2.T3)57
56
Q3 - 6:41ORLNelson Running Layup (11 PTS)57
56
Q3 - 6:56DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)55
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 7:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
21.2%
54
78.8%
Q3 - 7:06ORLHoward Slam Dunk (18 PTS)55
21.2%
54
78.8%
Q3 - 7:08ORLMISS Milicic Layup53
17.2%
54
82.8%
Q3 - 7:26DALHarris Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)53
18.9%
54
81.1%
Q3 - 7:41ORLNelson 12' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)53
21.3%
52
78.7%
Q3 - 7:59DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
18.9%
52
81.1%
Q3 - 7:59DALMAVERICKS Rebound51
51
Q3 - 7:59DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 251
19.3%
51
80.7%
Q3 - 7:59ORLBogans P.FOUL (P3.PN)51
51
Q3 - 7:59ORLTerry STEAL (1 STL)51
18.8%
51
81.2%
Q3 - 8:12DALNowitzki 19' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Terry 9 AST)51
21.1%
51
78.9%
Q3 - 8:25ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)51
23.5%
49
76.5%
Q3 - 8:42ORLMagic Rebound49
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q3 - 8:43DALMISS Howard 10' Running Jump Shot49
20.3%
49
79.7%
Q3 - 8:54ORLNelson P.FOUL (P2.T4)49
49
Q3 - 9:09ORLTurkoglu 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS)49
18.2%
49
81.8%
Q3 - 9:23DALDampier L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)47
49
Q3 - 9:23ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q3 - 9:23DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
15.6%
49
84.4%
Q3 - 9:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q3 - 9:33DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 147
15.9%
49
84.1%
Q3 - 9:33ORLBogans S.FOUL (P2.T3)47
49
Q3 - 9:33DALDampier Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)47
49
Q3 - 9:45ORLHoward L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)47
47
Q3 - 9:45DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q3 - 9:46ORLMISS Milicic Layup47
18.9%
47
81.1%
Q3 - 9:58DALTerry 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)47
20.6%
47
79.4%
Q3 - 10:16ORLBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)47
22.4%
45
77.6%
Q3 - 10:34DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)44
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q3 - 10:52DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q3 - 10:55ORLMISS Milicic 4' Hook Shot44
23.2%
42
76.8%
Q3 - 11:14ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 2)44
42
Q3 - 11:15DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
24.3%
42
75.7%
Q3 - 11:15DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q3 - 11:15ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)44
40
Q3 - 11:30ORLMilicic 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)44
26.7%
40
73.3%
Q3 - 11:40DALHarris P.FOUL (P3.T1)42
40
Q3 - 12:0042
40
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL42
24.3%
40
75.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLTurkoglu Running Layup (13 PTS)42
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0DALTerry 14' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0DALCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 140
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0DALHarris S.FOUL (P2.PN)40
38
Q2 - 0:37.0ORLAriza Slam Dunk (2 PTS)40
38
Q2 - 0:39.0DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)38
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0DALSUB: Croshere FOR Nowitzki36
38
Q2 - 0:56.0DALSUB: Harris FOR Buckner36
38
Q2 - 0:56.0DALDiop S.FOUL (P2.T3)36
38
Q2 - 1:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)36
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 1:03DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot36
14.6%
38
85.4%
Q2 - 1:19ORLTurkoglu 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)36
13.8%
38
86.2%
Q2 - 1:44DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 8 AST)34
11.9%
38
88.1%
Q2 - 1:57DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 1:59ORLMISS Howard 7' Turnaround Hook Shot34
15.8%
35
84.2%
Q2 - 2:17DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier34
35
Q2 - 2:17DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Howard34
35
Q2 - 2:17ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)34
35
Q2 - 2:17DALTerry Foul Turnover (P2.T7)34
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 2:17DALTerry OFF.Foul (P1)34
35
Q2 - 2:23ORLHoward Layup (14 PTS)34
14.8%
35
85.2%
Q2 - 2:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)32
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 2:26ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 2:54DALNowitzki Running Layup (9 PTS) (Terry 7 AST)32
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 3:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
14.3%
33
85.7%
Q2 - 3:04ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot32
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q2 - 3:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
16.2%
33
83.8%
Q2 - 3:20DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
15.6%
33
84.4%
Q2 - 3:33ORLRedick 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
14.3%
33
85.7%
Q2 - 3:46DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q2 - 3:46ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Milicic30
32
Q2 - 3:46DALMAVERICKS Rebound30
32
Q2 - 3:46DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 230
13.2%
32
86.8%
Q2 - 3:46ORLMilicic S.FOUL (P3.PN)30
32
Q2 - 4:01DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
12.7%
32
87.3%
Q2 - 4:02DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.7%
32
86.3%
Q2 - 4:06ORLMilicic P.FOUL (P2.T4)30
32
Q2 - 4:22ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)30
12.7%
32
87.3%
Q2 - 4:37ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
10.3%
32
89.7%
Q2 - 4:39DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper27
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q2 - 4:59ORLSUB: Redick FOR Dooling27
32
Q2 - 4:59ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)27
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q2 - 4:59ORLMagic Rebound27
10.3%
32
89.7%
Q2 - 5:00ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q2 - 5:26DALHoward 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)27
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 5:32DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q2 - 5:34ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot27
11.8%
30
88.2%
Q2 - 5:56ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
12.6%
30
87.4%
Q2 - 5:58DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 127
12.5%
30
87.5%
Q2 - 5:58DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)27
30
Q2 - 5:58ORLDooling S.FOUL (P1.T3)27
30
Q2 - 5:58DALTerry Driving Layup (5 PTS)27
30
Q2 - 6:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
13.9%
28
86.1%
Q2 - 6:03ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot27
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q2 - 6:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
15.6%
28
84.4%
Q2 - 6:15DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
15.1%
28
84.9%
Q2 - 6:31ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Ariza27
28
Q2 - 6:31ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Arroyo27
28
Q2 - 6:31ORLMilicic P.FOUL (P1.T2)27
28
Q2 - 6:42ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)27
13.9%
28
86.1%
Q2 - 6:57ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
12.8%
28
87.2%
Q2 - 6:59DALMISS Buckner 19' Jump Shot25
12.3%
28
87.7%
Q2 - 7:10DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q2 - 7:11ORLMISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot25
11.6%
28
88.4%
Q2 - 7:27DALSUB: Howard FOR Harris25
28
Q2 - 7:27DALHarris P.FOUL (P1.T2)25
28
Q2 - 7:29DALSUB: Buckner FOR Stackhouse25
28
Q2 - 7:29ORLMagic Rebound25
12.4%
28
87.6%
Q2 - 7:29ORLNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)25
11.6%
28
88.4%
Q2 - 7:44ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
12.5%
28
87.5%
Q2 - 7:46DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot25
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q2 - 7:57DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q2 - 7:59DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot25
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q2 - 8:06ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
28
Q2 - 8:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q2 - 8:27ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 125
11.4%
28
88.6%
Q2 - 8:27ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Garrity25
28
Q2 - 8:27DALSUB: Dampier FOR Diop25
28
Q2 - 8:27DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Croshere25
28
Q2 - 8:27DALDiop S.FOUL (P1.T1)25
28
Q2 - 8:27ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)25
28
Q2 - 8:4423
28
Q2 - 8:44DALCroshere Foul Turnover (P1.T6)23
10.1%
28
89.9%
Q2 - 8:44DALCroshere OFF.Foul (P1)23
28
Q2 - 9:00ORLHoward Layup (8 PTS)23
9.2%
28
90.8%
Q2 - 9:16DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
8.3%
28
91.7%
Q2 - 9:34ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)21
7.5%
28
92.5%
Q2 - 9:34ORLMagic Rebound21
8.3%
28
91.7%
Q2 - 9:35ORLMISS Ariza 18' Fadeaway Jumper21
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q2 - 9:53DALSUB: Terry FOR Howard21
28
Q2 - 9:53ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)21
28
Q2 - 10:01DALCroshere Layup (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)21
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q2 - 10:07DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q2 - 10:11ORLMISS Arroyo Running Layup21
9.5%
26
90.5%
Q2 - 10:31DALCroshere Slam Dunk (4 PTS)21
10.2%
26
89.8%
Q2 - 10:36DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
11.1%
24
88.9%
Q2 - 10:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q2 - 10:38ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot21
11.5%
24
88.5%
Q2 - 10:40ORLMISS Dooling 6' Jump Shot21
11.5%
24
88.5%
Q2 - 11:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
12.4%
24
87.6%
Q2 - 11:03DALMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot21
12.0%
24
88.0%
Q2 - 11:21ORLArroyo 19' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)21
11.3%
24
88.7%
Q2 - 11:28ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q2 - 11:30DALMISS Harris Running Layup19
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q2 - 11:45DALCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
9.4%
24
90.6%
Q2 - 11:46ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot19
9.7%
24
90.3%
Q2 - 12:0019
24
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL19
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Stackhouse 14' Jump Shot19
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0ORLArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
9.5%
24
90.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
8.5%
24
91.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
8.6%
23
91.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLBogans L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)17
22
Q1 - 0:35.0DALCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
9.7%
22
90.3%
Q1 - 1:00DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 1:00DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 1:00ORLAriza S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
20
Q1 - 1:03ORLHoward STEAL (2 STL)17
11.3%
20
88.7%
Q1 - 1:21DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
12.0%
20
88.0%
Q1 - 1:36DALCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
11.3%
20
88.7%
Q1 - 1:37ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot17
11.5%
20
88.5%
Q1 - 1:51DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier17
20
Q1 - 1:51ORLMagic Rebound17
12.0%
20
88.0%
Q1 - 1:52DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot17
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 2:18ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)17
11.3%
20
88.7%
Q1 - 2:31ORLMagic Rebound14
9.4%
20
90.6%
Q1 - 2:31ORLDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)14
9.0%
20
91.0%
Q1 - 2:47DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
9.4%
20
90.6%
Q1 - 2:47DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 2:47ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson14
18
Q1 - 2:47ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Howard14
18
Q1 - 2:47DALSUB: Croshere FOR Nowitzki14
18
Q1 - 2:47DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
18
Q1 - 2:47ORLNelson S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
18
Q1 - 3:02ORLTurkoglu Running Layup (6 PTS)14
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 3:21DALDampier Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)12
9.3%
18
90.7%
Q1 - 3:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 3:31ORLMISS Milicic 11' Hook Shot12
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 3:48DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
11.0%
16
89.0%
Q1 - 3:48DALMAVERICKS Rebound12
15
Q1 - 3:48DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 212
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 3:48DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Terry12
15
Q1 - 3:48ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
15
Q1 - 3:51ORLHarris STEAL (1 STL)12
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 3:58DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
11.9%
15
88.1%
Q1 - 4:02ORLTurkoglu 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 4:19DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 4:33ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)10
9.6%
15
90.4%
Q1 - 4:43ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 4:44DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot10
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 5:07DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
9.8%
15
90.2%
Q1 - 5:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 210
9.9%
15
90.1%
Q1 - 5:08ORLMagic Rebound10
15
Q1 - 5:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 210
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 5:08DALSUB: Harris FOR Buckner10
15
Q1 - 5:08DALBuckner S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
15
Q1 - 5:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 5:09ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 5:09ORLMISS Milicic Tip Shot10
10.0%
15
90.0%
Q1 - 5:11ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot10
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 5:27DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)10
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 5:44ORLHoward Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)10
11.3%
13
88.7%
Q1 - 6:07DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
10.4%
13
89.6%
Q1 - 6:18ORLNelson Running Layup (2 PTS)8
9.8%
13
90.2%
Q1 - 6:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
9.3%
13
90.7%
Q1 - 6:33DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
9.2%
13
90.8%
Q1 - 6:50ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
8.9%
13
91.1%
Q1 - 7:07ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.4%
13
90.6%
Q1 - 7:09DALMISS Dampier Layup6
9.2%
13
90.8%
Q1 - 7:10DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
8.9%
13
91.1%
Q1 - 7:12DALMISS Buckner Driving Layup6
9.3%
13
90.7%
Q1 - 7:24ORLTurkoglu 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
8.9%
13
91.1%
Q1 - 7:40DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)4
8.7%
13
91.3%
Q1 - 7:52DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
9.2%
11
90.8%
Q1 - 7:53ORLMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
9.3%
11
90.7%
Q1 - 8:12ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
11
Q1 - 8:18DALHoward 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)4
9.7%
11
90.3%
Q1 - 8:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.2%
9
89.8%
Q1 - 8:23ORLHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)4
10.4%
9
89.6%
Q1 - 8:45DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)4
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 8:56DALMAVERICKS Rebound4
11.5%
7
88.5%
Q1 - 8:58DALMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot4
11.8%
7
88.2%
Q1 - 9:03ORLHoward STEAL (1 STL)4
11.6%
7
88.4%
Q1 - 9:19DALDampier Dunk (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)4
12.1%
7
87.9%
Q1 - 9:27ORLHoward 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
12.6%
5
87.4%
Q1 - 9:57DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)2
12.3%
5
87.7%
Q1 - 10:15DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.8%
3
87.2%
Q1 - 10:16ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot2
12.9%
3
87.1%
Q1 - 10:25ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.2%
3
86.8%
Q1 - 10:27DALMISS Buckner Driving Layup2
13.1%
3
86.9%
Q1 - 10:42DALMAVERICKS Rebound2
12.9%
3
87.1%
Q1 - 10:43ORLMISS Howard 11' Fadeaway Jumper2
13.0%
3
87.0%
Q1 - 11:01DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)2
13.2%
3
86.8%
Q1 - 11:21ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:21ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:21DALHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.4%
0
86.6%
Q1 - 11:35DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot0
13.4%
0
86.6%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Howard: Tip to Nowitzki0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLDAL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.11 55.7%
DAL
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
22
59%
DAL
11
17
65%
Midrange
ORL
21
42
50%
DAL
18
33
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
DAL
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
ORL
18
25
72%
DAL
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2566%12.5 / 19
H. Turkoglu1963%9.5 / 15
J. Nelson1794%8.5 / 9
T. Ariza1169%5.5 / 8
C. Arroyo1071%5.0 / 7
D. Milicic729%3.5 / 12
K. Bogans770%3.5 / 5
J. Redick250%1.0 / 2
K. Dooling0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Terry2981%14.5 / 18
D. Nowitzki2463%12.0 / 19
J. Howard2158%10.5 / 18
D. Harris1083%5.0 / 6
E. Dampier880%4.0 / 5
A. Croshere8100%4.0 / 4
J. Stackhouse319%1.5 / 8
G. Buckner0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
70
+15
-10
85
DAL
74
+9
-9
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.11 55.7%
DAL
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
110.8
ORL 122.5
DAL 124.1 +1.6
Pace
89.8
90.0
ORL 75.0
DAL 88.9 +13.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.8
ORL 19.2
DAL 16.2 −3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.9%
ORL 54.1%
DAL 59.9% +5.8%
TO %
18.0%
14.5%
ORL 12.4%
DAL 9.9% −2.5%
ORB %
29.3%
28.8%
ORL 28.6% +5.3%
DAL 23.3%
FTrt
39.3
31.7
ORL 33.8
DAL 33.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
54.2%
ORL 36.8%
DAL 84.2% +47.4%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
ORL 5.0%
DAL 8.4% +3.4%
BLK %
8.5%
7.9%
ORL 8.0% +1.7%
DAL 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
54.1%
ORL 55.7%
DAL 62.0% +6.3%
Rim FG%
61.6%
58.4%
ORL 59.1%
DAL 64.7% +5.6%
Mid FG%
38.3%
43.3%
ORL 50.0%
DAL 54.5% +4.5%
3P %
35.6%
38.1%
ORL 40.0%
DAL 42.9% +2.9%
FT %
70.2%
80.5%
ORL 72.0%
DAL 75.0% +3.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
30.1%
ORL 29.7% +5.8%
DAL 23.9%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
48.1%
ORL 56.8%
DAL 46.5% −10.3%
3P Att. %
15.8%
21.8%
ORL 13.5%
DAL 29.6% +16.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLDAL
Possessions8083
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points98103
Rebounds3332
Assists1432
Steals47
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (4)25 (1)
Field Goals38-7438-71
At-the-Rim FG13-2211-17
Midrange FG21-4218-33
2-Point FG34-6429-50
3-Point FG4-109-21
Free Throws18-2518-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
40.7
25
66%
10
4
0
4
1
3
4
6
7-11
64%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
40.0
19
63%
7
5
0
0
2
5
1
6
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
1-4
25%
F · 7'0" 275 · 22
37.8
7
29%
8
0
1
0
1
3
4
4
1-2
50%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
30.1
17
94%
1
0
1
0
5
3
0
1
5-5
100%
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
G · 6'5" 215 · 27
28.9
7
70%
4
3
0
0
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22
22.1
11
69%
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1-3
33%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
17.9
10
71%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-7
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
5.0
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 238 · 31
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
#33 · F · 6'8" 225 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · C · 6'11" 240 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
56%
33
14
4
4
10
0
10
23
18-25
72%
34-64
53%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.