Final Win Prob. pScore
1537%96
81
1863%100
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
92.08886.7
ORL logo Magic
111.28990.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL81
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILIlyasova Layup (7 PTS)81
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILMISS Greer 21' Jump Shot79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILGreer 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0ORLMISS Diener 21' Jump Shot76
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:02ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:04ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MILMISS Noel 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MILReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20MILMISS Villanueva Dunk76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41ORLMISS Diener 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11MILVillanueva S.FOUL (P4.PN)73
97
Q4 - 2:28MILGreer 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42MILReiner Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)70
95
Q4 - 2:42ORLAriza T.FOUL (P1.T2)70
95
Q4 - 2:42MILVillanueva L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)70
95
Q4 - 2:42ORLMAGIC Rebound70
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42ORLMISS Garrity Driving Layup70
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MILIlyasova 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)70
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22ORLGarrity 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29MILReiner P.FOUL (P1.T4)68
93
Q4 - 3:33ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35MILMISS Reiner 14' Jump Shot68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55ORLAriza Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01MILMISS Greer 21' Jump Shot68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14ORLSUB: Diener FOR Arroyo68
91
Q4 - 4:14MILBucks Rebound68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15ORLMISS Arroyo Driving Layup68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MILNoel 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38MILNoel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40ORLMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot66
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52MILAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)66
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Milicic66
91
Q4 - 5:07MILSUB: Reiner FOR Patterson66
91
Q4 - 5:07MILSUB: Noel FOR Bell66
91
Q4 - 5:07MILBucks Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)66
91
Q4 - 5:09ORLAriza Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)66
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15MILBell Layup (10 PTS)66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21ORLAriza Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33MILVillanueva Traveling Turnover (P2.T19)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51ORLDooling Layup (8 PTS)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57MILDooling STEAL (2 STL)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Howard64
87
Q4 - 6:06MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Williams64
87
Q4 - 6:06MILSUB: Greer FOR Redd64
87
Q4 - 6:06MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)64
87
Q4 - 6:12ORLDooling Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17MILArroyo STEAL (1 STL)64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P5.T17)64
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:37ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot64
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P3.T2)64
85
Q4 - 6:49ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)64
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:01MILPatterson Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)64
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:14MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15ORLMISS Redick 16' Jump Shot62
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24MILRedd P.FOUL (P1.T3)62
85
Q4 - 7:36MILBell Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T16)62
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:52ORLHoward Layup (10 PTS)62
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)62
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 8:09MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 8:25ORLRedick 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)62
83
Q4 - 8:3762
81
Q4 - 8:37MILPatterson L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)62
81
Q4 - 8:37MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)62
81
Q4 - 8:54ORLArroyo Driving Layup (2 PTS)59
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 9:01ORLMAGIC Rebound59
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 9:01MILHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)59
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 9:10MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 9:12ORLMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot59
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 9:31MILWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)59
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 9:38ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P2.T1)57
79
Q4 - 9:42MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q4 - 9:44ORLMISS Ariza 8' Hook Shot57
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q4 - 10:07MILDooling STEAL (1 STL)57
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 10:34ORLDooling Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)57
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 10:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)57
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 10:45MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot57
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 10:54MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 10:55ORLMISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot57
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 11:05MILPatterson P.FOUL (P3.T1)57
77
Q4 - 11:22MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 11:22MILPatterson Tip Shot (12 PTS)57
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 11:24MILMISS Patterson Layup55
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 11:48ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)55
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 12:0055
75
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL55
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMilicic S.FOUL (P2.PN)53
75
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P1.T4)53
75
Q3 - 0:10.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 0:12.0ORLMISS Redick 14' Jump Shot53
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0ORLRedick Driving Layup (5 PTS)53
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 1:07MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 1:23ORLMilicic Foul Turnover (P1.T15)51
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 1:23ORLMilicic OFF.Foul (P1)51
73
Q3 - 1:34MILBell Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)51
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 1:51ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson49
73
Q3 - 1:51MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Skinner49
73
Q3 - 1:51MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)49
73
Q3 - 1:53ORLAriza Layup (12 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)49
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 2:18MILPatterson Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)49
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 2:36ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)47
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q3 - 2:58MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)47
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 3:14ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)44
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 3:14ORLSUB: Redick FOR Turkoglu44
67
Q3 - 3:14MILPatterson S.FOUL (P2.PN)44
67
Q3 - 3:14ORLAriza Layup (9 PTS)44
67
Q3 - 3:37MILWilliams Layup (4 PTS)44
1.4%
65
98.6%
Q3 - 3:49MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 3:51ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q3 - 3:57MILAriza STEAL (1 STL)42
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 4:10ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)42
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q3 - 4:10ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q3 - 4:12ORLMISS Ariza Layup42
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 4:35ORLMAGIC Rebound42
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q3 - 4:35ORLJump Ball Milicic vs. Skinner: Tip to Turkoglu42
65
Q3 - 4:36ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot42
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 5:00MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)42
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q3 - 5:00MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)41
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q3 - 5:00ORLNelson S.FOUL (P2.T3)40
65
Q3 - 5:22ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)40
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q3 - 5:35ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
1.2%
63
98.8%
Q3 - 5:38MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot40
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q3 - 5:49ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 5:49ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 5:49MILSUB: Patterson FOR Bogut40
61
Q3 - 5:49ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)40
61
Q3 - 5:49MILBogut S.FOUL (P4.T4)40
61
Q3 - 5:49ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
1.7%
61
98.3%
Q3 - 5:50ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 6:07MILBogut P.FOUL (P3.T3)40
61
Q3 - 6:07ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 6:08ORLMISS Ariza Layup40
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q3 - 6:23ORLMAGIC Rebound40
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 6:24MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q3 - 6:31ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P2.T2)40
61
Q3 - 6:33ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)40
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q3 - 6:45MILBogut L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)40
61
Q3 - 6:45ORLMAGIC Rebound40
1.9%
61
98.1%
Q3 - 6:45MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot40
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 7:05ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)40
2.6%
61
97.4%
Q3 - 7:16MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q3 - 7:16MILSkinner Illegal Assist Turnover (P3.T13)40
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q3 - 7:17MILMISS Redd Layup40
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 7:31MILBucks Rebound40
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q3 - 7:31ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot40
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q3 - 7:44MILRedd 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS)40
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q3 - 7:46MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q3 - 7:48MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
2.7%
58
97.3%
Q3 - 8:01ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Howard38
58
Q3 - 8:01ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T12)38
3.2%
58
96.8%
Q3 - 8:01ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P4)38
58
Q3 - 8:19MILWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
2.7%
58
97.3%
Q3 - 8:29ORLBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)36
2.4%
58
97.6%
Q3 - 8:48MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
2.0%
58
98.0%
Q3 - 8:48MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
2.0%
58
98.0%
Q3 - 8:48ORLHoward S.FOUL (P3.T1)34
58
Q3 - 8:56MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q3 - 8:59MILMISS Bogut 19' Jump Shot34
1.6%
58
98.4%
Q3 - 9:11MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
1.9%
58
98.1%
Q3 - 9:13ORLMISS Milicic 11' Jump Shot34
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q3 - 9:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)34
1.6%
58
98.4%
Q3 - 9:29MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot34
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q3 - 9:45ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)34
1.9%
58
98.1%
Q3 - 10:07MILHoward STEAL (1 STL)34
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q3 - 10:24ORLTurkoglu Driving Finger Roll (19 PTS)34
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q3 - 10:36ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)34
3.6%
53
96.4%
Q3 - 10:41MILMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot34
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q3 - 10:58ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q3 - 10:58ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
4.3%
52
95.7%
Q3 - 10:58MILSkinner S.FOUL (P1.T1)34
51
Q3 - 11:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)34
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q3 - 11:17MILMISS Redd 22' Jump Shot34
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q3 - 11:35ORLTurkoglu Layup (17 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)34
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q3 - 11:41MILNelson STEAL (3 STL)34
6.5%
49
93.5%
Q3 - 12:0034
49
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL34
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound34
6.5%
49
93.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Ariza 17' Jump Shot34
7.6%
49
92.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0MILGreer 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
7.1%
49
92.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLAriza Foul Turnover (P1.T10)32
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLAriza OFF.Foul (P1)32
49
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
5.5%
49
94.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 232
5.6%
49
94.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
6.1%
49
93.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P1.PN)31
49
Q2 - 0:47.0ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)31
5.3%
49
94.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0MILGreer 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 1:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 1:02MILMISS Villanueva 16' Jump Shot29
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 1:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 1:12ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot29
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q2 - 1:26ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
4.0%
49
96.0%
Q2 - 1:28MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot29
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 1:47ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)29
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 1:47MILSUB: Greer FOR Williams29
48
Q2 - 1:47ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)29
4.4%
48
95.6%
Q2 - 1:47MILWilliams S.FOUL (P3.PN)29
47
Q2 - 1:49ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 1:50MILMISS Redd Layup29
5.2%
47
94.8%
Q2 - 2:10ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)29
6.0%
47
94.0%
Q2 - 2:14MILSUB: Bell FOR Patterson29
45
Q2 - 2:29ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 2:31MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 229
6.8%
45
93.2%
Q2 - 2:31MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q2 - 2:31ORLBogans S.FOUL (P2.PN)28
45
Q2 - 2:46MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)28
45
Q2 - 2:51ORLNelson Driving Layup (7 PTS)28
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 3:01ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
7.7%
43
92.3%
Q2 - 3:03MILMISS Villanueva 15' Turnaround Jump Shot28
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 3:24ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)28
8.8%
43
91.2%
Q2 - 3:32MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Bell28
40
Q2 - 3:32MILWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T4)28
40
Q2 - 3:39MILPatterson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)28
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 4:00ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)28
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 4:00ORLTurkoglu 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 4:03ORLMISS Turkoglu 5' Jump Shot28
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 4:21ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)28
38
Q2 - 4:21MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
13.8%
38
86.2%
Q2 - 4:21ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Howard27
38
Q2 - 4:21MILSUB: Williams FOR Greer27
38
Q2 - 4:21MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
13.3%
38
86.7%
Q2 - 4:21ORLHoward S.FOUL (P2.T4)26
38
Q2 - 4:42ORLMilicic Slam Dunk (9 PTS)26
12.5%
38
87.5%
Q2 - 4:46ORLSUB: Howard FOR Ariza26
36
Q2 - 4:46ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Dooling26
36
Q2 - 4:46ORLMAGIC Rebound26
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 4:46ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 5:07MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
14.3%
36
85.7%
Q2 - 5:07MILSUB: Bogut FOR Villanueva25
36
Q2 - 5:07ORLDooling S.FOUL (P1.T3)25
36
Q2 - 5:07MILRedd Layup (6 PTS) (Greer 1 AST)25
36
Q2 - 5:20ORLTurkoglu 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
11.6%
36
88.4%
Q2 - 5:34ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Arroyo23
34
Q2 - 5:37ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)23
12.8%
34
87.2%
Q2 - 5:39MILMISS Greer 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
13.2%
34
86.8%
Q2 - 5:58ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)23
14.2%
34
85.8%
Q2 - 5:58MILSUB: Redd FOR Ilyasova23
33
Q2 - 5:58MILIlyasova S.FOUL (P2.T3)23
33
Q2 - 5:58ORLMilicic Finger Roll (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)23
33
Q2 - 6:12MILPatterson Layup (6 PTS)23
17.5%
31
82.5%
Q2 - 6:23MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
16.2%
31
83.8%
Q2 - 6:26MILMISS Villanueva 8' Jump Shot21
15.0%
31
85.0%
Q2 - 6:39MILBucks Rebound21
16.2%
31
83.8%
Q2 - 6:39ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 6:39ORLMISS Milicic Layup21
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 6:39ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 6:39ORLMISS Milicic Tip Shot21
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 6:42ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 221
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 6:42ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 6:42MILIlyasova S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
30
Q2 - 6:59ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)21
30
Q2 - 7:06MILVillanueva Layup (9 PTS)21
16.2%
30
83.8%
Q2 - 7:08MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)19
14.7%
30
85.3%
Q2 - 7:10MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q2 - 7:17MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q2 - 7:18ORLMISS Ariza Layup19
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 7:29ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)19
13.3%
30
86.7%
Q2 - 7:32MILGreer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q2 - 7:32MILMilicic BLOCK (2 BLK)19
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q2 - 7:33MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q2 - 7:33MILMISS Villanueva Layup19
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q2 - 7:37MILMISS Ilyasova 15' Jump Shot19
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q2 - 7:52ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q2 - 7:52ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Outlaw19
29
Q2 - 7:52ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Howard19
29
Q2 - 7:52ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q2 - 7:52MILVillanueva S.FOUL (P2.T1)19
28
Q2 - 8:15MILGreer Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
16.6%
28
83.4%
Q2 - 8:19MILBucks Rebound17
15.1%
28
84.9%
Q2 - 8:20MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
14.2%
28
85.8%
Q2 - 8:3617
28
Q2 - 8:36ORLOutlaw P.FOUL (P2.T2)17
28
Q2 - 8:39ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
15.1%
28
84.9%
Q2 - 8:39ORLAriza Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)17
15.1%
28
84.9%
Q2 - 8:41ORLMISS Outlaw Layup17
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q2 - 8:53MILVillanueva 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)17
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q2 - 9:06MILBucks Rebound15
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q2 - 9:06ORLMISS Outlaw Layup15
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q2 - 9:07ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q2 - 9:09ORLMISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot15
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q2 - 9:19MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q2 - 9:19MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q2 - 9:19ORLOutlaw S.FOUL (P1.T1)13
26
Q2 - 9:26MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Bogut13
26
Q2 - 9:26MILVillanueva Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)13
12.7%
26
87.3%
Q2 - 9:26ORLMAGIC T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Howard )12
26
Q2 - 9:52ORLAriza Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)12
11.6%
26
88.4%
Q2 - 9:59ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
12.7%
24
87.3%
Q2 - 10:00MILMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot12
13.1%
24
86.9%
Q2 - 10:21ORLHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)12
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q2 - 10:26MILOutlaw STEAL (1 STL)12
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q2 - 10:32ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)12
17.1%
22
82.9%
Q2 - 10:41MILPatterson Layup (4 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)12
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q2 - 10:45ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)10
14.3%
22
85.7%
Q2 - 10:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)10
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q2 - 10:59MILMISS Patterson Layup10
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q2 - 11:15ORLDooling Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)10
14.7%
22
85.3%
Q2 - 11:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q2 - 11:39MILMISS Villanueva 12' Jump Shot10
16.4%
20
83.6%
Q2 - 12:0010
20
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL10
17.4%
20
82.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)10
17.5%
20
82.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0ORLMISS Milicic 18' Jump Shot10
17.2%
20
82.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)10
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot10
16.8%
20
83.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
17.5%
20
82.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
17.2%
20
82.8%
Q1 - 1:00MILRedd Layup (4 PTS)10
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 1:17ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)8
15.3%
20
84.7%
Q1 - 1:45MILVillanueva 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
17.0%
18
83.0%
Q1 - 1:47MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 1:49MILHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)6
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 1:58MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 2:00ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
15.0%
18
85.0%
Q1 - 2:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 2:23MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
15.1%
18
84.9%
Q1 - 2:29ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)6
18
Q1 - 2:42ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)6
15.8%
18
84.2%
Q1 - 3:02MILPatterson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)6
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 3:02MILPatterson OFF.Foul (P1)6
18
Q1 - 3:12MILBucks Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)6
18
Q1 - 3:14ORLBogans Driving Layup (5 PTS)6
16.0%
18
84.0%
Q1 - 3:20MILBogans STEAL (1 STL)6
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 3:41ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)6
18.6%
16
81.4%
Q1 - 3:57MILWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T3)6
13
Q1 - 3:59MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
21.5%
13
78.5%
Q1 - 3:59MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 3:59ORLBogans S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
13
Q1 - 4:10ORLNelson Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)4
21.4%
13
78.6%
Q1 - 4:10MILWilliams T.FOUL (P0.T2)4
12
Q1 - 4:11MILBucks Rebound4
12
Q1 - 4:11MILMISS Redd Free Throw Technical4
22.7%
12
77.3%
Q1 - 4:11ORLMAGIC T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Turkoglu )4
12
Q1 - 4:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 4:26ORLMISS Milicic 5' Hook Shot4
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 4:32ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 4:34MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 4:53ORLNelson Layup (4 PTS)4
23.0%
12
77.0%
Q1 - 5:05MILPatterson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 5:15MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 5:17ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot2
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 5:32MILVillanueva Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)2
22.2%
10
77.8%
Q1 - 5:55ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)2
23.9%
10
76.1%
Q1 - 6:09MILNelson STEAL (2 STL)2
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 6:12ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)2
24.0%
10
76.0%
Q1 - 6:15ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 6:17MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 6:36ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
24.3%
10
75.7%
Q1 - 6:36ORLNelson OFF.Foul (P1)2
10
Q1 - 6:45MILVillanueva L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)2
10
Q1 - 6:45ORLMAGIC Rebound2
23.2%
10
76.8%
Q1 - 6:45ORLMISS Milicic 6' Hook Shot2
24.0%
10
76.0%
Q1 - 6:56MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Skinner2
10
Q1 - 6:56MILSUB: Patterson FOR Bell2
10
Q1 - 6:56MILBogut P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
10
Q1 - 6:57MILTurkoglu STEAL (2 STL)2
23.4%
10
76.6%
Q1 - 7:08ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
24.7%
10
75.3%
Q1 - 7:08ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P1)2
10
Q1 - 7:16ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
23.6%
10
76.4%
Q1 - 7:18MILMISS Skinner 14' Jump Shot2
24.0%
10
76.0%
Q1 - 7:41ORLMilicic Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)2
25.3%
10
74.7%
Q1 - 8:03MILSkinner 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)2
26.7%
8
73.3%
Q1 - 8:05MILBucks Rebound0
25.6%
8
74.4%
Q1 - 8:05MILMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)0
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 8:16MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 8:19ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
25.7%
8
74.3%
Q1 - 8:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
25.1%
8
74.9%
Q1 - 8:28MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 8:43MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)0
8
Q1 - 8:48ORLMilicic 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
26.7%
8
73.3%
Q1 - 8:58MILTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)0
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 9:24ORLTurkoglu 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 9:36ORLJump Ball Bogans vs. Bell: Tip to Nelson0
4
Q1 - 9:48MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 10:01ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)0
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 10:06MILNelson STEAL (1 STL)0
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 10:30ORLTurkoglu 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 10:36ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 10:37MILMISS Redd Layup0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 10:48MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 10:51ORLMISS Bogans 14' Jump Shot0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 10:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:00MILMISS Bell 11' Jump Shot0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:07MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 11:08ORLMISS Howard Layup0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:18ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 11:20MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:35MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:38ORLMISS Milicic 7' Hook Shot0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Bogut: Tip to Nelson0
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMILORL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.96 48.2%
ORL
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
15
27
56%
ORL
26
38
68%
Midrange
MIL
11
32
34%
ORL
8
25
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
ORL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIL
17
20
85%
ORL
16
17
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd1536%7.5 / 21
R. Patterson1470%7.0 / 10
C. Villanueva1137%5.5 / 15
L. Greer1161%5.5 / 9
C. Bell1050%5.0 / 10
M. Williams857%4.0 / 7
E. Ilyasova770%3.5 / 5
B. Skinner250%1.0 / 2
D. Noel250%1.0 / 2
J. Reiner150%0.5 / 1
A. Bogut0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2583%12.5 / 15
T. Ariza2067%10.0 / 15
D. Howard1083%5.0 / 6
D. Milicic941%4.5 / 11
J. Nelson964%4.5 / 7
K. Dooling880%4.0 / 5
K. Bogans744%3.5 / 8
J. Redick750%3.5 / 7
C. Arroyo220%1.0 / 5
P. Garrity250%1.0 / 2
T. Diener0-0.0 / 2
B. Outlaw0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
69
+14
-19
83
ORL
72
+15
-17
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.96 48.2%
ORL
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.1
105.1
MIL 92.0
ORL 111.2 +19.2
Pace
92.3
89.8
MIL 86.7
ORL 90.3 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.2
MIL 16.6
ORL 15.9 −0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.0%
MIL 42.1%
ORL 53.2% +11.1%
TO %
15.7%
18.0%
MIL 18.3%
ORL 17.4% −0.9%
ORB %
27.8%
29.3%
MIL 27.9%
ORL 32.3% +4.4%
FTrt
28.6
39.3
MIL 26.3 +4.5
ORL 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
53.0%
MIL 36.7%
ORL 59.0% +22.3%
STL %
7.7%
7.6%
MIL 10.2%
ORL 13.5% +3.3%
BLK %
4.4%
8.5%
MIL 4.8%
ORL 8.5% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
53.0%
MIL 48.2%
ORL 55.6% +7.4%
Rim FG%
58.1%
61.6%
MIL 55.6%
ORL 68.4% +12.8%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.3%
MIL 34.4% +2.4%
ORL 32.0%
3P %
35.6%
35.6%
MIL 23.5%
ORL 33.3% +9.8%
FT %
73.3%
70.2%
MIL 85.0%
ORL 94.1% +9.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.1%
40.1%
MIL 35.5%
ORL 48.7% +13.2%
Mid Att. %
37.0%
44.1%
MIL 42.1%
ORL 32.1% −10.1%
3P Att. %
21.9%
15.8%
MIL 22.4% +3.1%
ORL 19.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILORL
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points8199
Rebounds3341
Assists1123
Steals912
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (4)31 (3)
Field Goals30-7639-78
At-the-Rim FG15-2726-38
Midrange FG11-328-25
2-Point FG26-5934-63
3-Point FG4-175-15
Free Throws17-2016-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 215 · 28
35.9
15
36%
4
2
1
0
3
1
1
3
9-12
75%
3-13
23%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
34.6
10
50%
1
2
2
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-6
33%
G · 6'1" 198 · 24
32.5
8
57%
6
4
0
0
3
3
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 22
25.9
0
0%
3
0
2
0
3
4
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 255 · 31
15.2
2
50%
5
0
1
1
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 23
31.2
11
37%
6
2
1
1
2
4
3
3
5-5
100%
3-10
30%
0-3
0%
F · 6'5" 223 · 32
29.4
14
70%
1
0
2
0
2
4
1
0
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
15.5
11
61%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
9.6
7
70%
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23
5.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 25
5.1
1
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 31
#21 · F · 6'6" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 6'11" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#52 · F · 6'10" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
48%
33
11
9
3
19
0
12
21
17-20
85%
26-59
44%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.