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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 5, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bucks37%9681
18Magic63%10099
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
35.9
36.3
15
35%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
9-12
75%
3-13
6-12
23%
48%
0-3
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.0
34.6
33.4
10
45%
1
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
2-6
33%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.2
32.5
40.2
8
57%
6
4
0
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
6-13
57%
46%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
25.9
35.9
0
0%
3
0
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
6-11
0%
53%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.8
15.2
21.2
2
50%
5
0
1
0
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.5
31.2
23.7
11
36%
6
2
1
1
1
2
3
3
5-5
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
50%
0-3
0%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.6
29.4
28.2
14
71%
1
0
2
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
53%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
15.5
4.1
11
61%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
0-1
57%
42%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
9.6
3.1
7
70%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
1-2
50%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
5.1
7.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 24.9
5.1
2.3
1
35%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.8
7.1
0
1-2
41%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.8
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.7
32.9
32.2
9
39%
7
1
0
1
2
1
3
4
1-1
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.8
28.8
21.5
7
44%
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
28.6
31.5
25
84%
9
4
2
1
0
2
1
8
2-2
100%
7-9
3-7
78%
48%
3-5
60%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.1
27.7
30.5
9
60%
1
6
3
1
0
3
1
0
1-1
100%
4-5
5-9
80%
51%
0-2
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.2
26.4
36.0
10
85%
9
2
1
1
2
5
0
9
2-2
100%
4-5
7-12
80%
59%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.7
31.6
18.5
20
67%
6
3
1
1
1
2
1
5
8-9
89%
6-11
3-5
55%
52%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.8
19.2
18.0
8
80%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.6
16.1
16.7
2
20%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.7
15.2
9.9
7
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.5
5.1
6.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.0
4.2
3.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.9
4.1
8.4
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.4
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.