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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 5, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets51%9185
9Cavaliers49%9091
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.8
39.3
32.8
25
37%
7
4
0
1
0
3
0
7
2-5
40%
7-22
7-14
32%
46%
3-10
30%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.6
35.1
31.7
7
39%
8
2
3
1
0
1
1
7
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
41%
2-5
40%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.5
34.1
33.7
15
76%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.5
27.4
23.1
16
43%
11
2
1
0
2
5
6
5
6-8
75%
5-15
6-12
33%
52%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.7
27.2
14.6
8
50%
9
2
1
1
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.3
24.2
24.6
5
36%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.7
19.5
20.0
3
80%
10
0
0
0
2
0
3
7
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.1
19.4
27.6
2
25%
3
2
0
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-10
25%
46%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.7
13.9
16.1
4
40%
4
0
0
0
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.7
13.6
0
1-3
48%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.6
5.9
0
0-1
43%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.3
5.4
0
1-1
43%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.4
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.9
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
41.6
37.8
32
57%
12
8
0
1
0
3
1
11
5-9
56%
9-18
8-17
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.1
41.4
30.1
22
58%
6
7
0
1
1
3
1
5
6-9
67%
5-11
4-10
45%
43%
2-4
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.7
26.9
21.7
8
40%
5
0
2
0
3
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.4
26.2
22.4
8
44%
8
0
2
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.3
25.1
28.0
2
13%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
45%
0-1
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.9
22.9
19.7
4
100%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
41%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
21.8
27.1
4
67%
5
1
2
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
20.9
19.9
6
60%
4
0
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.3
13.0
9.2
5
50%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.1
0.2
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.3
6.4
0
0-1
41%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.1
2.4
0
0-0
43%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.0
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.7
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.