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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 5, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs60%9088
13Clippers40%8774
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.9
30.8
29.9
9
46%
12
3
0
1
2
5
2
10
1-2
50%
4-9
6-12
44%
52%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.1
28.8
20.9
10
51%
4
6
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
44%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.0
25.1
24.4
3
31%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.7
23.2
28.2
6
47%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.2
23.1
19.1
11
62%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
55%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.6
25.9
24.6
16
69%
8
4
0
1
0
3
2
6
7-8
88%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.0
23.1
20.5
10
51%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
22.2
14.8
14
89%
2
3
1
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
2-3
67%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.0
20.6
13.2
2
100%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.5
12.9
13.8
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.9
3.0
8.0
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.8
1.2
8.0
3
85%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.0
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 31.5
42.2
33.4
9
51%
2
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.3
38.8
28.1
19
48%
5
4
2
1
0
3
2
3
5-6
83%
7-16
4-9
44%
46%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 28.0
35.6
36.0
15
45%
8
4
1
1
1
2
3
5
3-4
75%
6-15
7-14
40%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.9
28.4
31.9
6
27%
7
0
0
1
3
2
1
6
2-3
67%
2-10
5-10
20%
48%
0-0
-
Daniel Ewing
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.9
26.3
24.7
2
25%
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.0
30.8
25.4
10
31%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-11
2-5
45%
45%
0-5
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.8
25.1
1.8
9
57%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
0-0
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 25.8
11.6
19.4
4
67%
1
1
3
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.6
1.2
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
5.8
0
0-1
44%
Yaroslav Korolev
F · 6'9" 203 · 19.8
4.3
0
0-1
43%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 35.4
4.1
0
0-1
48%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 34.9
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 21.5
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.