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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 6, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11SuperSonics52%101100
25Knicks48%10099
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.6
43.8
32.3
29
56%
8
7
2
1
0
3
1
7
8-9
89%
6-13
5-11
46%
49%
3-9
33%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
43.5
40.0
24
55%
8
7
0
1
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
6-15
6-11
40%
51%
4-7
57%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.7
40.0
29.6
23
86%
1
9
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
6-8
75%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
38.5
31.8
4
100%
5
3
2
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
4-8
100%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
22.4
26.9
12
86%
5
0
0
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
6-7
4-8
86%
54%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.1
26.8
10.8
8
50%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.1
13.3
21.2
0
0%
1
0
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.8
8.0
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.8
3.5
5.9
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
0.3
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.9
4.9
0
0-1
49%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.8
2.5
0
0-1
49%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.0
46.8
40.8
40
80%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
6-7
86%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
8-11
73%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.2
39.2
33.9
15
56%
8
2
1
1
1
5
4
4
5-10
50%
5-9
7-11
56%
58%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.9
36.3
27.6
12
40%
9
5
0
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
2-10
20%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.3
34.1
27.8
4
42%
4
3
2
1
1
2
2
2
0-4
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.8
19.0
23.7
5
34%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.0
29.3
23.8
10
41%
6
3
2
1
1
3
1
5
5-7
71%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
1-3
33%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.3
20.8
7.2
9
100%
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
7-8
88%
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
8.6
16.9
2
69%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
6.0
19.3
2
100%
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.9
29.4
1
4-7
60%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.3
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.5
2.7
0
0-1
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.0
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.