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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards48%9897
28Hawks52%99100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.0
40.7
29.4
19
58%
11
3
2
1
0
4
6
5
1-1
100%
9-16
5-11
56%
47%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
39.4
32.3
22
54%
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
9-16
4-9
56%
48%
1-4
25%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.2
38.9
33.7
28
62%
5
4
4
1
1
2
0
5
8-8
100%
7-10
5-10
70%
47%
2-9
22%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.9
26.4
24.0
6
31%
1
2
2
1
0
5
0
1
3-4
75%
0-5
3-6
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.3
25.0
24.9
4
50%
7
0
0
1
3
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.0
17.7
18.1
4
42%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.1
14.8
12.4
4
40%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.8
10.6
11.6
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.6
9.9
22.3
2
53%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.5
6.2
14.9
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.5
5.9
17.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.6
4.5
6.9
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.1
Mike Hall
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.7
45.9
30.5
7
24%
13
2
0
1
1
4
3
10
3-4
75%
2-12
4-7
17%
56%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
44.2
22.0
19
70%
3
4
1
1
1
4
1
2
7-8
88%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
2-3
67%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.1
39.4
27.1
27
64%
12
4
1
1
3
4
6
6
7-9
78%
10-17
4-8
59%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.3
27.2
37.5
13
70%
3
0
1
1
3
4
0
3
3-3
100%
5-7
6-13
71%
49%
0-1
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
23.1
4.9
8
69%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
32.2
2.3
13
56%
5
4
0
0
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
4-5
0-1
80%
45%
0-4
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.8
15.8
19.9
7
47%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
7-8
88%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
12.0
6.8
6
75%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
0.1
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
10.8
0
1-2
49%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.5
5.5
0
0-1
49%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.9
1.9
0
0-1
46%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.7
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.