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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets67%96111
23Celtics33%9180
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.6
40.5
32.4
14
71%
3
7
1
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
3-5
60%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.5
34.4
33.2
15
50%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
5-11
45%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.8
33.9
34.6
25
61%
2
9
1
1
0
6
0
2
8-10
80%
4-10
8-16
40%
48%
3-6
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.7
27.7
19.1
14
64%
11
2
2
1
0
1
8
3
2-2
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
54%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.5
18.5
25.1
11
51%
5
4
1
0
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
4-9
7-13
44%
53%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.3
26.5
24.2
8
80%
4
5
3
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.1
23.8
24.4
12
60%
5
0
1
0
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
47%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.7
22.6
19.6
4
72%
7
1
0
0
2
0
2
5
2-4
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
4.6
15.2
5
87%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
1-1
100%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.3
4.6
4.0
0
0%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.7
2.9
4.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
1-1
100%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.6
4.4
0
0-1
45%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.7
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.4
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.2
34.1
38.1
20
45%
13
3
1
1
0
4
4
9
4-7
57%
8-19
7-14
42%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 29.4
32.7
38.2
20
59%
2
2
1
1
0
3
1
1
7-7
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
47%
1-3
33%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 23.6
30.4
34.2
7
48%
0
5
2
1
1
1
0
0
3-3
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
21.2
23.1
0
0%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 22.3
16.4
19.5
5
108%
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
2
3-3
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 21.0
26.3
15.1
4
50%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
40%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
25.8
21.2
2
7%
4
2
1
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-12
2-5
8%
45%
0-2
0%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
17.5
6.3
9
69%
5
0
0
0
0
2
4
1
5-8
63%
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.5
12.9
31.8
9
58%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-4
25%
4-6
4-9
67%
48%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 21.7
12.0
5.8
4
29%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 31.9
10.8
2.6
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
4
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.0
4.9
0
1-1
48%
Allan Ray
· 6'2" 205 · 22.7
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 25.1
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.