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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pacers22%9272
6Jazz78%10194
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.9
37.7
31.2
12
56%
7
3
2
1
1
2
0
7
4-4
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.8
36.5
31.3
15
47%
3
1
1
1
2
4
1
2
2-2
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
45%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.5
34.6
35.1
5
27%
7
2
1
1
2
4
0
7
2-5
40%
0-6
4-8
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.0
30.1
32.1
5
21%
2
6
0
2
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-7
4-10
14%
43%
1-5
20%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.4
19.5
34.0
11
47%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
4-10
7-16
40%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30.1
25.0
17.3
4
69%
9
1
1
1
0
0
1
8
0-2
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 38.7
24.5
15.8
12
75%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
2-4
50%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 25.1
10.5
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.6
9.1
4.5
6
61%
4
0
0
0
0
6
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
5.9
8.1
2
53%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.1
3.5
10.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25.0
3.1
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.8
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.2
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.7
35.5
32.4
17
61%
3
6
0
1
0
5
1
2
2-2
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
51%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.3
31.0
27.5
14
38%
16
4
1
1
0
0
6
10
4-6
67%
5-16
7-12
31%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.6
29.1
29.4
11
66%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
43%
0-2
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.8
19.3
30.0
8
35%
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
6-8
75%
1-6
5-10
17%
52%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
19.1
22.9
9
77%
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.8
25.7
26.6
14
47%
4
2
2
1
0
5
2
2
4-4
100%
5-13
4-9
38%
51%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.7
25.6
26.7
8
38%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
49%
0-2
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.3
19.0
14.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.1
17.8
17.6
6
104%
5
2
5
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.6
12.1
4.6
6
75%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
44%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
3.4
4.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.0
2.5
4.8
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.