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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats12%96106
2Suns88%111115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
48.1
33.6
22
45%
15
2
0
2
1
3
6
9
4-5
80%
9-20
7-13
45%
51%
0-2
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.5
41.5
26.5
16
87%
6
0
0
1
0
2
1
5
5-5
100%
1-3
2-6
33%
44%
3-4
75%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.7
36.5
30.2
13
38%
8
8
3
1
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
5-13
3-8
38%
41%
1-4
25%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.4
12.3
14.0
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.6
12.1
21.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.6
42.4
28.8
22
53%
5
3
2
0
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
7-14
3-8
50%
41%
2-6
33%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.3
36.7
21.2
13
49%
13
0
0
1
1
1
5
8
1-3
33%
6-12
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.3
20.9
23.3
14
65%
3
9
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
41%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
10.5
8.3
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
4.0
10.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.4
12.0
0
1-3
43%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
5.3
0
0-1
41%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.4
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.1
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 28.8
44.9
29.8
16
53%
11
1
1
2
6
2
3
8
0-0
-
5-12
4-8
42%
57%
2-3
67%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 33.1
42.0
34.1
24
72%
6
11
2
1
0
4
1
5
6-6
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
56%
2-4
50%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.5
41.1
36.7
18
60%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
5-11
45%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 24.9
22.1
12.4
0
0%
5
3
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.3
20.1
38.0
10
63%
6
0
0
1
1
4
0
6
2-2
100%
4-7
9-15
57%
57%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 24.3
42.0
34.1
32
74%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
52%
7-11
64%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.4
29.6
23.1
10
57%
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
2-6
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 34.4
15.3
22.5
2
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36.4
7.7
8.6
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-3
33%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.2
8.3
0
1-3
50%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.1
2.3
0
0-0
46%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 34.1
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.