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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 8, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs62%97100
15Kings38%9393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.9
37.3
32.0
16
49%
13
2
2
1
2
1
3
10
6-10
60%
5-12
7-13
42%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.7
34.8
28.1
7
39%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
44%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
32.0
24.6
15
37%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
5-7
71%
5-17
6-11
29%
53%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.2
16.0
20.7
3
38%
0
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
1-3
33%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.0
11.9
20.7
4
100%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.6
29.1
25.5
31
76%
5
3
4
1
0
3
0
5
8-10
80%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
5-9
56%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.0
19.5
14.1
9
58%
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
4
3-4
75%
3-6
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.0
16.2
25.0
6
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-2
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.1
16.0
23.3
2
100%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.9
15.8
6.9
7
88%
2
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.5
11.5
13.6
0
0%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
17.1
1
2-4
47%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.8
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.0
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.1
44.0
37.0
26
56%
12
0
0
1
0
4
3
9
5-7
71%
9-17
5-10
53%
52%
1-3
33%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.2
37.8
26.2
8
68%
5
5
2
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.8
36.9
31.6
12
39%
3
6
2
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
45%
1-4
25%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.9
30.6
31.4
8
49%
8
3
0
1
0
3
0
8
4-5
80%
2-6
4-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
20.1
20.1
8
40%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-10
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.3
27.0
18.3
21
69%
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
3-5
60%
9-13
3-6
69%
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
20.6
22.2
6
77%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
17.3
20.3
4
67%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
5.7
9.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 32.0
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.8
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.