Final Win Prob. pScore
1937%90
91
963%95
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo Timberwolves
102.28992.7
MIA logo Heat
116.79086.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIN91
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)91
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MINMISS Blount 12' Jump Shot91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MINBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Williams Finger Roll91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIASUB: Williams FOR Walker91
103
Q4 - 0:57.0MINJaric Violation:Kicked Ball91
103
Q4 - 0:57.0MINFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MINSUB: McCants FOR Davis91
103
Q4 - 0:58.0MIASUB: Walker FOR O'Neal91
103
Q4 - 0:58.0MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)91
103
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAHEAT Rebound91
102
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MINFoye P.FOUL (P2.PN)91
102
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MINFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)88
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:49MINTimberwolves Rebound87
99
Q4 - 1:49MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 287
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:49MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.PN)87
99
Q4 - 2:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)87
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 2:00MIASUB: Haslem FOR Williams87
98
Q4 - 2:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)87
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 2:00MINBlount S.FOUL (P5.T4)87
97
Q4 - 2:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 2:18MINMISS Foye 19' Jump Shot87
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 2:27MINDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 2:54MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)87
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 2:54MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.PN)86
97
Q4 - 2:54MINGarnett Layup (21 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)86
97
Q4 - 2:59MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)84
97
Q4 - 2:59MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P2.T4)84
97
Q4 - 3:07MIAPayton P.FOUL (P2.T3)84
97
Q4 - 3:09MIASUB: Jones FOR Walker84
97
Q4 - 3:09MIAWalker P.FOUL (P3.T2)84
97
Q4 - 3:24MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Bank Shot (29 PTS)84
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 3:44MINMISS Foye Layup84
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 3:54MIAWalker P.FOUL (P2.T1)84
95
Q4 - 4:00MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P4.T19)84
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 4:03MINSUB: Davis FOR McCants84
95
Q4 - 4:03MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)84
95
Q4 - 4:24MINBlount Dunk (17 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)84
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 4:40MIAPosey Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)82
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 5:03MINFoye 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)82
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 5:13MINMcCants REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 5:44MINFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)80
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 5:59MIAO'Neal Reverse Layup (27 PTS)77
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:15MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 6:17MINMISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot77
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 6:31MINTimberwolves Rebound77
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 6:33MINMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot77
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 6:41MINFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 177
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 6:43MINFoye Violation:Lane77
91
Q4 - 6:43MIASUB: Williams FOR Jones77
91
Q4 - 6:43MINBlount S.FOUL (P4.T3)77
91
Q4 - 6:43MIAO'Neal Layup (25 PTS)77
91
Q4 - 6:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Payton 17' Fadeaway Jumper77
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 7:09MINFoye Driving Layup (4 PTS)77
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 7:27MIAPayton Driving Layup (4 PTS)75
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 7:36MINSUB: Garnett FOR Smith75
87
Q4 - 7:36MINSUB: McCants FOR Davis75
87
Q4 - 7:36MINSUB: Jaric FOR James75
87
Q4 - 7:36MIAHEAT Rebound75
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Walker 8' Running Jump Shot75
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 7:57MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 7:59MINMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot75
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 8:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)75
3.7%
87
96.3%
Q4 - 8:13MIAHEAT Rebound75
86
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 275
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 8:13MINBlount S.FOUL (P3.T2)75
86
Q4 - 8:2975
86
Q4 - 8:29MINSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T12)75
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 8:29MINSmith OFF.Foul (P4)75
86
Q4 - 8:42MINBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot75
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 9:07MINBlount Dunk (15 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)75
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 9:14MIASUB: Posey FOR Mourning73
86
Q4 - 9:14MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Williams73
86
Q4 - 9:14MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P4.T18)73
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P3)73
86
Q4 - 9:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 9:22MINMISS Smith Tip Shot73
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 9:23MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 9:25MINMISS Blount 8' Jump Shot73
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 9:40MINDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 9:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 9:58MINMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot73
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)73
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 10:20MINSUB: Blount FOR Garnett73
85
Q4 - 10:20MINSmith S.FOUL (P3.T1)73
85
Q4 - 10:20MIAMourning Layup (13 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)73
85
Q4 - 10:36MINGarnett Dunk (19 PTS) (James 1 AST)73
6.4%
83
93.6%
Q4 - 10:44MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)71
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q4 - 10:59MINFoye 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)71
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q4 - 11:17MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)69
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
4.8%
81
95.2%
Q4 - 11:37MINMISS Garnett 13' Jump Shot69
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q4 - 11:45MINJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q4 - 11:47MINMISS Garnett 16' Jump Shot69
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q4 - 12:0069
81
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
4.8%
81
95.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Walker 49' 3PT Jump Shot69
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0MINMISS James 16' Jump Shot69
5.7%
81
94.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)69
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)69
6.9%
80
93.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0MINSmith S.FOUL (P2.PN)69
79
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0MINMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot69
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T16)69
9.3%
79
90.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P2)69
79
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0MINMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)69
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
9.8%
79
90.2%
Q3 - 1:17MIAHEAT Rebound69
78
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 269
10.4%
78
89.6%
Q3 - 1:17MINSUB: Smith FOR Madsen69
78
Q3 - 1:17MINMadsen P.FOUL (P3.PN)69
78
Q3 - 1:37MINDavis 19' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)69
10.0%
78
90.0%
Q3 - 1:51MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)67
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q3 - 2:10MINDavis Driving Layup (19 PTS)67
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q3 - 2:29MINSUB: James FOR Hudson65
76
Q3 - 2:29MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal65
76
Q3 - 2:29MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)65
76
Q3 - 2:30MIAJones Driving Finger Roll (12 PTS)65
8.8%
76
91.2%
Q3 - 2:40MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
10.5%
74
89.5%
Q3 - 2:42MINMISS Hudson 18' Jump Shot65
11.0%
74
89.0%
Q3 - 2:56MIAWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)65
12.3%
74
87.7%
Q3 - 3:05MINMadsen P.FOUL (P2.T4)65
71
Q3 - 3:23MINDavis Driving Dunk (17 PTS)65
17.4%
71
82.6%
Q3 - 3:26MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)63
15.1%
71
84.9%
Q3 - 3:38MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q3 - 3:38MINSUB: Foye FOR Jaric62
71
Q3 - 3:38MIASUB: Payton FOR Haslem62
71
Q3 - 3:38MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)62
12.5%
71
87.5%
Q3 - 3:38MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.PN)61
71
Q3 - 3:54MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)61
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 4:08MINHudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)61
15.3%
68
84.7%
Q3 - 4:08MINHudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
15.0%
68
85.0%
Q3 - 4:08MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P2.PN)59
68
Q3 - 4:20MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)59
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 159
13.2%
68
86.8%
Q3 - 4:21MINMadsen S.FOUL (P1.T3)59
68
Q3 - 4:21MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)59
68
Q3 - 4:30MINJaric Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
15.3%
66
84.7%
Q3 - 4:30MINSUB: Madsen FOR Blount58
66
Q3 - 4:30MINJaric Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
14.7%
66
85.3%
Q3 - 4:30MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)57
66
Q3 - 4:34MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)57
13.5%
66
86.5%
Q3 - 4:48MINJaric Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)57
11.3%
66
88.7%
Q3 - 5:02MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
13.9%
66
86.1%
Q3 - 5:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
15.7%
64
84.3%
Q3 - 5:10MINMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot57
16.5%
64
83.5%
Q3 - 5:27MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)57
18.4%
64
81.6%
Q3 - 5:29MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)57
64
Q3 - 5:29MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot57
17.5%
64
82.5%
Q3 - 5:50MINHudson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
15.7%
64
84.3%
Q3 - 6:01MIAO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T13)55
14.3%
64
85.7%
Q3 - 6:23MINBlount 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hudson 4 AST)55
12.3%
64
87.7%
Q3 - 6:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)53
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 6:41MIAHEAT Rebound53
63
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 253
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 6:41MINHudson S.FOUL (P1.T2)53
63
Q3 - 6:44MINWilliams STEAL (3 STL)53
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q3 - 6:59MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q3 - 7:09MINDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
14.6%
61
85.4%
Q3 - 7:09MINDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
14.3%
61
85.7%
Q3 - 7:09MIAWalker S.FOUL (P1.T4)51
61
Q3 - 7:26MIASUB: Walker FOR Posey51
61
Q3 - 7:26MIAPosey L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)51
61
Q3 - 7:26MINTimberwolves Rebound51
12.9%
61
87.1%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 7:47MINHudson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)51
11.1%
61
88.9%
Q3 - 7:52MIAO'Neal Layup (22 PTS)51
12.8%
61
87.2%
Q3 - 8:04MINGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)51
14.8%
59
85.2%
Q3 - 8:16MIAO'Neal Dunk (20 PTS)51
17.0%
59
83.0%
Q3 - 8:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
19.0%
57
81.0%
Q3 - 8:34MINMISS Hudson 17' Jump Shot51
19.8%
57
80.2%
Q3 - 8:44MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T12)51
21.7%
57
78.3%
Q3 - 9:02MINGarnett 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
19.3%
57
80.7%
Q3 - 9:16MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)49
17.2%
57
82.8%
Q3 - 9:16MINJaric Violation:Lane49
56
Q3 - 9:16MIAHEAT Rebound49
56
Q3 - 9:16MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 249
18.2%
56
81.8%
Q3 - 9:16MINBlount S.FOUL (P2.T1)49
56
Q3 - 9:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS O'Neal Layup49
18.7%
56
81.3%
Q3 - 9:28MINJaric Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)49
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q3 - 9:42MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)49
19.4%
56
80.6%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
18.7%
56
81.3%
Q3 - 9:58MINBlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q3 - 9:58MINTimberwolves Rebound48
56
Q3 - 9:58MINMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 248
16.7%
56
83.3%
Q3 - 9:58MIAPosey S.FOUL (P3.T2)48
56
Q3 - 10:14MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)48
17.5%
56
82.5%
Q3 - 10:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
22.0%
53
78.0%
Q3 - 10:34MINMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot48
22.7%
53
77.3%
Q3 - 10:47MINBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
24.6%
53
75.4%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS O'Neal Layup48
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q3 - 11:03MINDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
22.2%
53
77.8%
Q3 - 11:03MINDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)47
21.8%
53
78.2%
Q3 - 11:03MIAPosey S.FOUL (P2.T1)46
53
Q3 - 11:06MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)46
20.1%
53
79.9%
Q3 - 11:28MINGarnett 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)46
17.8%
53
82.2%
Q3 - 11:47MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)44
15.9%
53
84.1%
Q3 - 12:0044
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIN44
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
22.3%
50
77.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot44
21.6%
50
78.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0MINGarnett Follow Up Dunk (11 PTS)44
20.6%
50
79.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MINMISS Jaric 3PT Jump Shot42
17.0%
50
83.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAPosey Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)42
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0MINWilliams STEAL (2 STL)42
20.6%
48
79.4%
Q2 - 1:05MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
22.6%
48
77.4%
Q2 - 1:11MINJaric P.FOUL (P2.T4)42
46
Q2 - 1:27MINDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jaric 5 AST)42
25.6%
46
74.4%
Q2 - 1:44MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
20.3%
46
79.7%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Jones 8' Running Jump Shot39
19.8%
46
80.2%
Q2 - 2:04MINHudson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
18.7%
46
81.3%
Q2 - 2:18MIAJones 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)37
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 2:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q2 - 2:28MINMISS Hudson Layup37
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q2 - 2:42MIASUB: Jones FOR Walker37
46
Q2 - 2:42MIASUB: Posey FOR Payton37
46
Q2 - 2:42MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
46
Q2 - 2:49MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)37
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 2:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q2 - 2:53MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
20.8%
44
79.2%
Q2 - 2:53MINMISS Garnett Tip Shot37
19.3%
44
80.7%
Q2 - 2:56MINMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot37
19.3%
44
80.7%
Q2 - 3:10MIAO'Neal Dunk (17 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)37
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 3:27MINHudson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)37
22.9%
42
77.1%
Q2 - 3:32MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)37
25.5%
42
74.5%
Q2 - 3:54MINGarnett Layup (9 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)37
22.8%
42
77.2%
Q2 - 4:00MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS)35
21.1%
42
78.9%
Q2 - 4:06MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
23.0%
40
77.0%
Q2 - 4:08MINMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot35
23.8%
40
76.2%
Q2 - 4:19MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)35
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 4:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
23.0%
40
77.0%
Q2 - 4:21MINMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot35
23.8%
40
76.2%
Q2 - 4:25MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 4:28MINMISS Hudson 12' Jump Shot35
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 4:45MINDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 135
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 4:46MINJaric S.FOUL (P1.T3)35
40
Q2 - 4:46MIAWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
40
Q2 - 4:55MINSUB: Jaric FOR McCants35
38
Q2 - 4:55MINDavis Violation:Kicked Ball35
38
Q2 - 5:06MINGarnett 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)35
28.0%
38
72.0%
Q2 - 5:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)33
25.6%
38
74.4%
Q2 - 5:14MIAHEAT Rebound33
37
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 233
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 5:14MIASUB: Williams FOR Jones33
37
Q2 - 5:14MINSUB: Hudson FOR James33
37
Q2 - 5:14MINDavis S.FOUL (P1.T2)33
37
Q2 - 5:32MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
25.7%
37
74.3%
Q2 - 5:34MINMISS Garnett 13' Jump Shot33
26.3%
37
73.7%
Q2 - 5:47MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
37
Q2 - 5:47MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T7)33
27.9%
37
72.1%
Q2 - 5:47MIAPayton OFF.Foul (P1)33
37
Q2 - 5:51MINWalker STEAL (2 STL)33
25.6%
37
74.4%
Q2 - 6:05MINSUB: Blount FOR Smith33
37
Q2 - 6:05MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)33
28.3%
37
71.7%
Q2 - 6:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
25.6%
37
74.4%
Q2 - 6:30MINMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
26.4%
37
73.6%
Q2 - 6:41MINSUB: Davis FOR Foye33
37
Q2 - 6:41MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning33
37
Q2 - 6:41MINTimberwolves Rebound33
28.3%
37
71.7%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS Walker 8' Running Hook Shot33
27.4%
37
72.6%
Q2 - 7:05MINSmith Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)33
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)31
23.7%
37
76.3%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
21.7%
37
78.3%
Q2 - 7:42MINMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot31
22.3%
37
77.7%
Q2 - 8:00MINGarnett Violation:Defensive Goaltending31
37
Q2 - 8:00MIAMourning 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)31
23.7%
37
76.3%
Q2 - 8:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)31
26.0%
35
74.0%
Q2 - 8:18MINMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
26.6%
35
73.4%
Q2 - 8:23MINJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
28.1%
35
71.9%
Q2 - 8:25MINMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot31
26.6%
35
73.4%
Q2 - 8:4731
35
Q2 - 8:47MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)31
28.1%
35
71.9%
Q2 - 8:53MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
26.0%
35
74.0%
Q2 - 8:55MINMISS McCants 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
26.6%
35
73.4%
Q2 - 9:04MINTimberwolves Rebound31
35
Q2 - 9:04MINMISS Garnett Free Throw Technical31
28.0%
35
72.0%
Q2 - 9:04MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Walker )31
35
Q2 - 9:22MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
28.0%
35
72.0%
Q2 - 9:22MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
28.8%
34
71.2%
Q2 - 9:22MINSUB: McCants FOR Davis31
33
Q2 - 9:22MIASUB: Haslem FOR Posey31
33
Q2 - 9:22MINSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)31
33
Q2 - 9:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)31
30.2%
33
69.8%
Q2 - 9:30MINMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
31.0%
33
69.0%
Q2 - 9:38MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
32.6%
33
67.4%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Payton Layup31
31.9%
33
68.1%
Q2 - 9:45MINWalker STEAL (1 STL)31
30.3%
33
69.7%
Q2 - 9:52MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
32.6%
33
67.4%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
31.9%
33
68.1%
Q2 - 10:09MINDavis 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
30.3%
33
69.7%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMourning Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
28.2%
33
71.8%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Jones Layup29
32.0%
31
68.0%
Q2 - 10:45MINDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q2 - 10:45MIASUB: Jones FOR Williams28
31
Q2 - 10:45MINDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T1)27
31
Q2 - 11:01MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Hook Shot27
27.8%
31
72.2%
Q2 - 11:25MINJames 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q2 - 11:42MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)25
24.4%
31
75.6%
Q2 - 12:0025
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
26.3%
29
73.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
26.3%
29
73.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MINMISS Smith 9' Jump Hook Shot25
27.1%
29
72.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T3)25
29
Q1 - 0:28.0MINSUB: James FOR Jaric25
29
Q1 - 0:28.0MINTimberwolves Rebound25
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0MINMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot25
27.1%
29
72.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0MINFoye S.FOUL (P1.T4)25
28
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAPosey Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)25
28
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0MINMISS Jaric 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 1:04MINBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
34.4%
26
65.6%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS Mourning 9' Jump Hook Shot25
33.9%
26
66.1%
Q1 - 1:26MINBlount 5' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)25
32.9%
26
67.1%
Q1 - 1:39MIASUB: Payton FOR Jones23
26
Q1 - 1:39MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal23
26
Q1 - 1:39MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem23
26
Q1 - 1:39MINSUB: Foye FOR Hudson23
26
Q1 - 1:39MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)23
26
Q1 - 1:47MIAJones Layup (7 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)23
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q1 - 1:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
32.9%
24
67.1%
Q1 - 1:51MINMISS Davis 7' Jump Shot23
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q1 - 1:53MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Jones Dunk23
33.9%
24
66.1%
Q1 - 1:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)23
32.9%
24
67.1%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS Haslem 6' Jump Shot23
33.9%
24
66.1%
Q1 - 2:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
32.8%
24
67.2%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot23
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q1 - 2:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
32.8%
24
67.2%
Q1 - 2:10MINHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)23
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q1 - 2:20MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
34.5%
24
65.5%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q1 - 2:44MINDavis 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
32.8%
24
67.2%
Q1 - 2:52MINDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q1 - 2:54MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
30.0%
24
70.0%
Q1 - 3:15MIAJones Violation:Defensive Goaltending21
24
Q1 - 3:15MINSmith Layup (4 PTS)21
28.7%
24
71.3%
Q1 - 3:32MIAJones Tip Shot (5 PTS)19
26.9%
24
73.1%
Q1 - 3:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
28.7%
22
71.3%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot19
30.0%
22
70.0%
Q1 - 4:04MINBlount 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jaric 4 AST)19
29.1%
22
70.9%
Q1 - 4:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)17
27.6%
22
72.4%
Q1 - 4:21MINBlount S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
21
Q1 - 4:21MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)17
21
Q1 - 4:40MINBlount Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)17
30.9%
19
69.1%
Q1 - 4:50MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)17
32.8%
19
67.2%
Q1 - 5:07MINSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Jaric 3 AST)17
34.5%
17
65.5%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
33.0%
17
67.0%
Q1 - 5:24MINWilliams STEAL (1 STL)15
31.1%
17
68.9%
Q1 - 5:41MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS)15
33.0%
17
67.0%
Q1 - 5:53MINSUB: Smith FOR Garnett15
15
Q1 - 5:53MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
15
Q1 - 5:53MINGarnett P.FOUL (P2.T2)15
15
Q1 - 6:07MINGarnett 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
34.4%
15
65.6%
Q1 - 6:22MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
32.9%
15
67.1%
Q1 - 6:39MINDavis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jaric 2 AST)13
34.5%
13
65.5%
Q1 - 6:52MINDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 111
32.9%
13
67.1%
Q1 - 6:54MINBlount Violation:Lane11
13
Q1 - 6:54MINGarnett S.FOUL (P1.T1)11
13
Q1 - 6:54MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)11
13
Q1 - 7:11MINBlount Dunk (6 PTS) (Jaric 1 AST)11
34.4%
11
65.6%
Q1 - 7:34MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)9
33.2%
11
66.8%
Q1 - 7:40MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
36.0%
8
64.0%
Q1 - 7:42MINMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
36.5%
8
63.5%
Q1 - 7:58MINGarnett Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)9
37.6%
8
62.4%
Q1 - 7:58MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Jones )8
8
Q1 - 8:08MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)8
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 8:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
37.4%
6
62.6%
Q1 - 8:18MINMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot8
37.8%
6
62.2%
Q1 - 8:27MIAPosey P.FOUL (P1.T2)8
6
Q1 - 8:31MINBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
38.7%
6
61.3%
Q1 - 8:33MINMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot8
37.8%
6
62.2%
Q1 - 8:53MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T2)8
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 8:53MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P1)8
6
Q1 - 8:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 8:54MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot8
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 9:19MINHudson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 9:25MIAWilliams 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 9:39MINBlount 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)6
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 9:54MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 10:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 10:02MINMISS Jaric 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 10:14MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:36MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)4
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 10:48MIAJump Ball Jones vs. Garnett: Tip to Posey4
0
Q1 - 10:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot4
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:08MINGarnett 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:27MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 11:48MINBlount Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)2
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Garnett: Tip to Hudson0
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMINMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
16
22
73%
MIA
23
30
77%
Midrange
MIN
17
43
40%
MIA
13
23
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
MIN
16
19
84%
MIA
15
25
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett2361%11.5 / 19
R. Davis2153%10.5 / 20
M. Blount1757%8.5 / 15
R. Foye1267%6.0 / 9
T. Hudson844%4.0 / 9
C. Smith660%3.0 / 5
M. Jaric225%1.0 / 4
M. James233%1.0 / 3
R. McCants0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal3280%16.0 / 20
J. Williams2077%10.0 / 13
E. Jones1554%7.5 / 14
A. Mourning1488%7.0 / 8
J. Posey1071%5.0 / 7
U. Haslem650%3.0 / 6
A. Walker425%2.0 / 8
G. Payton440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
76
+9
-13
85
MIA
72
+11
-18
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
104.2
MIN 102.2
MIA 116.7 +14.4
Pace
91.4
90.1
MIN 92.7 +6.2
MIA 86.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.5
MIN 15.5 −1.1
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
50.6%
MIN 48.7%
MIA 62.5% +13.8%
TO %
16.2%
15.3%
MIN 13.2% −5.4%
MIA 18.6%
ORB %
25.2%
24.9%
MIN 18.4%
MIA 30.0% +11.6%
FTrt
29.1
32.1
MIN 24.7
MIA 34.7 +10.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.7%
57.6%
MIN 47.2% +9.1%
MIA 38.1%
STL %
7.0%
7.6%
MIN 7.9% +2.3%
MIA 5.6%
BLK %
6.2%
8.8%
MIN 5.7% +2.6%
MIA 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.4%
MIN 52.3%
MIA 62.5% +10.2%
Rim FG%
58.7%
61.8%
MIN 72.7%
MIA 76.7% +4.0%
Mid FG%
42.4%
40.5%
MIN 39.5%
MIA 56.5% +17.0%
3P %
35.3%
34.3%
MIN 25.0%
MIA 31.6% +6.6%
FT %
79.2%
69.0%
MIN 84.2% +24.2%
MIA 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.1%
34.9%
MIN 28.6%
MIA 41.7% +13.1%
Mid Att. %
53.1%
40.7%
MIN 55.8%
MIA 31.9% −23.9%
3P Att. %
16.7%
24.5%
MIN 15.6%
MIA 26.4% +10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMINMIA
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points91105
Rebounds2840
Assists1716
Steals75
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals36-7742-72
At-the-Rim FG16-2223-30
Midrange FG17-4313-23
2-Point FG33-6536-53
3-Point FG3-126-19
Free Throws16-1915-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 195 · 27
40.8
21
53%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
6-6
100%
6-14
43%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
39.4
23
61%
11
4
0
0
1
2
3
8
5-7
71%
9-17
53%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 31
35.9
17
57%
5
0
1
1
1
5
1
4
1-2
50%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 224 · 28
32.4
2
25%
0
5
2
1
2
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 178 · 31
25.1
8
44%
0
4
1
0
4
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 218 · 23
22.6
12
67%
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 265 · 23
17.5
6
60%
3
0
1
0
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 32
14.1
2
33%
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 22
9.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 255 · 31
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 201 · 23
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
#23 · F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#41 · F · 6'9" 222 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
52%
28
17
7
3
13
0
7
21
16-19
84%
33-65
51%
3-12
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.