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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 10, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies34%96115
26Bobcats66%101107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
44.2
29.7
31
66%
15
4
1
0
2
3
3
12
5-8
63%
13-19
6-12
68%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.1
38.7
36.9
17
54%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
52%
3-9
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
34.3
35.2
16
64%
10
2
0
1
0
4
1
9
7-8
88%
3-7
5-10
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.7
32.8
21.5
18
75%
6
3
0
0
2
7
3
3
6-7
86%
6-9
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.5
25.7
31.8
6
65%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.4
22.3
13.2
9
65%
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
38%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.0
19.6
15.0
6
51%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.3
17.5
17.6
9
85%
2
0
0
1
3
0
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.4
2.5
20.5
3
104%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.2
2.5
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.6
5.7
0
1-1
46%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.9
4.5
0
0-0
40%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.9
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
45.0
36.5
24
50%
17
2
2
2
2
0
5
12
11-16
69%
5-15
8-14
33%
55%
1-2
50%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.6
34.9
17.2
16
78%
2
6
4
1
0
0
1
1
5-5
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
3-4
75%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.7
34.1
30.8
24
55%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-6
50%
9-12
4-8
75%
44%
1-7
14%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.5
22.9
30.2
10
42%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-4
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.4
8.3
13.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.3
35.7
21.5
9
41%
6
7
2
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.9
22.2
22.7
13
51%
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
3-6
50%
5-10
4-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
21.9
25.2
6
41%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.6
15.0
31.8
3
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-9
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.4
8.7
0
1-2
46%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
7.7
0
1-2
50%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.1
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.