Final Win Prob. pScore
953%98
94
2147%97
92
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo Cavaliers
104.49092.1
MIL logo Bucks
102.29088.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE94
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)94
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot94
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILSUB: Williams FOR Skinner94
92
Q4 - 0:10.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)94
92
Q4 - 0:10.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)94
83.1%
92
16.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 194
85.5%
92
14.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0CLESUB: Snow FOR Pavlovic94
92
Q4 - 0:11.0CLESUB: Newble FOR Marshall94
92
Q4 - 0:11.0MILSkinner S.FOUL (P4.T4)94
92
Q4 - 0:11.0CLEVarejao Layup (6 PTS) (James 9 AST)94
92
Q4 - 0:26.0MILSUB: Skinner FOR Williams92
92
Q4 - 0:26.0CLESUB: Marshall FOR Snow92
92
Q4 - 0:26.0CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Newble92
92
Q4 - 0:26.0CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)92
92
Q4 - 0:26.0CLECavaliers Rebound92
67.2%
92
32.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot92
59.7%
92
40.3%
Q4 - 0:43.0CLEJames Driving Layup (32 PTS)92
44.5%
92
55.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)90
30.1%
92
69.9%
Q4 - 1:04CLESUB: Snow FOR Marshall90
92
Q4 - 1:04MILSUB: Bell FOR Skinner90
92
Q4 - 1:04MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)90
92
Q4 - 1:04CLEMarshall L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)90
92
Q4 - 1:04CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T20)90
19.9%
92
80.1%
Q4 - 1:09CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)90
33.6%
92
66.4%
Q4 - 1:11MILMISS Patterson 14' Jump Shot90
29.9%
92
70.1%
Q4 - 1:32CLEJames Running Layup (30 PTS)90
23.9%
92
76.1%
Q4 - 1:43CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
17.5%
92
82.5%
Q4 - 1:45MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot88
15.3%
92
84.7%
Q4 - 2:04MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
10.6%
92
89.4%
Q4 - 2:06CLEMISS Marshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
12.6%
92
87.4%
Q4 - 2:26MILRedd 8' Jump Shot (29 PTS)88
18.9%
92
81.1%
Q4 - 2:46CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)88
23.6%
90
76.4%
Q4 - 2:46CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)87
21.6%
90
78.4%
Q4 - 2:46MILBogut S.FOUL (P2.T3)86
90
Q4 - 2:53MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)86
21.1%
90
78.9%
Q4 - 2:53MILBUCKS Rebound86
89
Q4 - 2:53MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 286
22.0%
89
78.0%
Q4 - 2:53CLEHughes S.FOUL (P5.T3)86
89
Q4 - 3:06CLEMarshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (James 8 AST)86
18.8%
89
81.2%
Q4 - 3:16CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
9.5%
89
90.5%
Q4 - 3:18MILMISS Bogut 9' Jump Shot83
8.0%
89
92.0%
Q4 - 3:38CLEJames Layup (26 PTS)83
9.3%
89
90.7%
Q4 - 3:43CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)81
89
Q4 - 3:52MILWilliams Layup (6 PTS)81
6.5%
89
93.5%
Q4 - 3:56CLEWilliams STEAL (1 STL)81
9.0%
87
91.0%
Q4 - 3:57CLECavaliers Rebound81
13.0%
87
87.0%
Q4 - 3:57MILMISS Williams Running Jump Shot81
11.6%
87
88.4%
Q4 - 4:09MILBUCKS Rebound81
8.8%
87
91.2%
Q4 - 4:11MILMISS Patterson Hook Shot81
11.4%
87
88.6%
Q4 - 4:13MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
8.8%
87
91.2%
Q4 - 4:16MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
11.4%
87
88.6%
Q4 - 4:29CLEHughes Foul Turnover (P5.T18)81
8.7%
87
91.3%
Q4 - 4:29CLEHughes OFF.Foul (P4)81
87
Q4 - 4:39MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (26 PTS)81
12.6%
87
87.4%
Q4 - 4:46CLENewble P.FOUL (P1.T2)81
85
Q4 - 4:52MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
17.0%
85
83.0%
Q4 - 4:54CLEMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot81
18.9%
85
81.1%
Q4 - 5:08MILSkinner 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)81
27.1%
85
72.9%
Q4 - 5:19MILSUB: Skinner FOR Villanueva81
83
Q4 - 5:19CLEJames P.FOUL (P5.T1)81
83
Q4 - 5:40CLEMarshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 7 AST)81
33.8%
83
66.2%
Q4 - 5:51CLENewble REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
20.7%
83
79.3%
Q4 - 5:52MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
19.0%
83
81.0%
Q4 - 6:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)78
18.7%
83
81.3%
Q4 - 6:06MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot78
22.3%
83
77.7%
Q4 - 6:22MILSUB: Bogut FOR Skinner78
83
Q4 - 6:22MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)78
83
Q4 - 6:25CLEJames 29' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)78
18.6%
83
81.4%
Q4 - 6:30CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
11.2%
83
88.8%
Q4 - 6:32MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q4 - 6:37MILSUB: Redd FOR Bell75
83
Q4 - 6:48CLENewble 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hughes 6 AST)75
8.3%
83
91.7%
Q4 - 6:58MILSkinner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)72
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q4 - 7:20CLESUB: Hughes FOR Snow72
83
Q4 - 7:20CLEMarshall Foul Turnover (P1.T17)72
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 7:20CLEMarshall OFF.Foul (P1)72
83
Q4 - 7:24CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q4 - 7:26MILMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q4 - 7:37MILBUCKS Rebound72
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q4 - 7:38CLEMISS Snow 17' Jump Shot72
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q4 - 7:50MILWilliams P.FOUL (P4.T2)72
83
Q4 - 7:59MILPatterson 7' Jump Shot (24 PTS)72
6.1%
83
93.9%
Q4 - 8:24CLEJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)72
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q4 - 8:43MILSUB: Williams FOR Redd69
81
Q4 - 8:43CLESUB: Newble FOR Brown69
81
Q4 - 8:43CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)69
81
Q4 - 8:46MILVillanueva 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bell 5 AST)69
5.9%
81
94.1%
Q4 - 9:00MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)69
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q4 - 9:01CLEMISS James 14' Jump Shot69
9.8%
79
90.2%
Q4 - 9:14MILRedd Layup (24 PTS)69
11.2%
79
88.8%
Q4 - 9:33CLEMarshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Snow 4 AST)69
13.9%
77
86.1%
Q4 - 9:55MILPatterson Layup (22 PTS)66
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q4 - 10:10CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
12.7%
75
87.3%
Q4 - 10:10CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)65
12.1%
75
87.9%
Q4 - 10:10MILSUB: Skinner FOR Bogut64
75
Q4 - 10:10MILPatterson S.FOUL (P3.T1)64
75
Q4 - 10:29MILPatterson 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)64
10.3%
75
89.7%
Q4 - 10:46CLEMarshall Layup (10 PTS)64
12.6%
73
87.4%
Q4 - 10:47CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
10.2%
73
89.8%
Q4 - 10:48CLEMISS James Layup62
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q4 - 11:00CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
10.2%
73
89.8%
Q4 - 11:02CLEMISS Snow 16' Jump Shot62
10.2%
73
89.8%
Q4 - 11:21MILBogut Layup (13 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)62
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q4 - 11:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
14.0%
71
86.0%
Q4 - 11:36CLEMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
14.8%
71
85.2%
Q4 - 12:0062
71
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL62
16.6%
71
83.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound62
13.9%
71
86.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
15.7%
71
84.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)62
15.3%
71
84.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0CLEMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
16.0%
71
84.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0MILPatterson Layup (18 PTS)62
17.7%
71
82.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0CLEPatterson STEAL (3 STL)62
21.3%
69
78.7%
Q3 - 0:58.0MILPatterson 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)62
24.4%
69
75.6%
Q3 - 1:14MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
29.4%
67
70.6%
Q3 - 1:16CLEMISS Gooden 17' Jump Shot62
30.5%
67
69.5%
Q3 - 1:37MILVillanueva Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)62
33.2%
67
66.8%
Q3 - 1:46CLERedd STEAL (1 STL)62
38.1%
65
61.9%
Q3 - 2:04CLEPavlovic Violation:Defensive Goaltending62
65
Q3 - 2:04MILRedd Layup (22 PTS)62
43.2%
65
56.8%
Q3 - 2:16MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
47.8%
63
52.2%
Q3 - 2:18CLEMISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 262
48.4%
63
51.6%
Q3 - 2:18CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
51.4%
63
48.6%
Q3 - 2:18MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Skinner61
63
Q3 - 2:18MILSUB: Patterson FOR Williams61
63
Q3 - 2:18MILSkinner S.FOUL (P3.T3)61
63
Q3 - 2:18CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
47.8%
63
52.2%
Q3 - 2:20CLEMISS Gooden 5' Jump Shot61
44.6%
63
55.4%
Q3 - 2:46MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)61
47.8%
63
52.2%
Q3 - 3:12CLEVarejao Layup (4 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)61
52.8%
61
47.2%
Q3 - 3:22CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)59
61
Q3 - 3:31MILBell Driving Layup (5 PTS)59
48.5%
61
51.5%
Q3 - 3:52MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)59
52.7%
59
47.3%
Q3 - 3:54CLEMISS Gooden Layup59
54.2%
59
45.8%
Q3 - 4:20MILRedd 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS)59
57.5%
59
42.5%
Q3 - 4:34CLESUB: Varejao FOR Ilgauskas59
57
Q3 - 4:34CLEIlgauskas L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)59
57
Q3 - 4:34MILBUCKS Rebound59
61.0%
57
39.0%
Q3 - 4:36CLEMISS Pavlovic 21' Jump Shot59
62.5%
57
37.5%
Q3 - 4:44MILRedd Driving Layup (18 PTS)59
65.8%
57
34.2%
Q3 - 5:01MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
68.2%
55
31.8%
Q3 - 5:03CLEMISS Ilgauskas 9' Jump Shot59
69.4%
55
30.6%
Q3 - 5:19MILRedd Layup (16 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)59
72.1%
55
27.9%
Q3 - 5:28MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)59
53
Q3 - 5:28CLEHughes P.FOUL (P3.T3)59
53
Q3 - 5:46CLEGooden 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Snow 3 AST)59
75.0%
53
25.0%
Q3 - 6:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
71.6%
53
28.4%
Q3 - 6:10MILBogut Dunk (11 PTS)57
71.6%
53
28.4%
Q3 - 6:13MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot57
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 6:21CLEPavlovic P.FOUL (P1.T2)57
51
Q3 - 6:33MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
74.5%
51
25.5%
Q3 - 6:35CLEMISS Hughes 17' Jump Shot57
75.5%
51
24.5%
Q3 - 6:41MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)57
77.7%
51
22.3%
Q3 - 7:03CLEPavlovic 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS)57
73.6%
51
26.4%
Q3 - 7:28MILSkinner Dunk (6 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)55
70.7%
51
29.3%
Q3 - 7:43CLEPavlovic 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)55
73.7%
49
26.3%
Q3 - 7:54MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)52
67.4%
49
32.6%
Q3 - 8:05CLESkinner STEAL (1 STL)52
63.3%
49
36.7%
Q3 - 8:17CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
67.0%
49
33.0%
Q3 - 8:18MILMISS Bell Free Throw 2 of 252
66.6%
49
33.4%
Q3 - 8:18MILBUCKS Rebound52
49
Q3 - 8:18MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 252
64.3%
49
35.7%
Q3 - 8:18CLESUB: Snow FOR James52
49
Q3 - 8:18CLEHughes S.FOUL (P2.T1)52
49
Q3 - 8:21MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
63.3%
49
36.7%
Q3 - 8:23CLEMISS Hughes 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
64.5%
49
35.5%
Q3 - 8:33CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
67.0%
49
33.0%
Q3 - 8:35MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot52
65.9%
49
34.1%
Q3 - 8:54CLEJames 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hughes 5 AST)52
63.3%
49
36.7%
Q3 - 9:01CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
59.9%
49
40.1%
Q3 - 9:04MILMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot50
58.8%
49
41.2%
Q3 - 9:19CLEJames Foul Turnover (P5.T13)50
56.3%
49
43.7%
Q3 - 9:19CLEJames OFF.Foul (P4)50
49
Q3 - 9:23CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
59.9%
49
40.1%
Q3 - 9:25MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot50
58.8%
49
41.2%
Q3 - 9:31MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
56.2%
49
43.8%
Q3 - 9:33CLEMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
57.4%
49
42.6%
Q3 - 9:44MILWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T7)50
59.9%
49
40.1%
Q3 - 9:44MILWilliams OFF.Foul (P3)50
49
Q3 - 9:57CLEJames Foul Turnover (P4.T12)50
56.2%
49
43.8%
Q3 - 9:57CLEJames OFF.Foul (P3)50
49
Q3 - 10:06MILWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T2)50
49
Q3 - 10:23MILBogut P.FOUL (P1.T1)50
49
Q3 - 10:24MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)50
59.8%
49
40.2%
Q3 - 10:35CLEIlgauskas Layup (6 PTS) (Hughes 4 AST)50
56.2%
49
43.8%
Q3 - 10:45CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
52.7%
49
47.3%
Q3 - 10:48MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot48
51.6%
49
48.4%
Q3 - 11:15CLEGooden 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)48
49.4%
49
50.6%
Q3 - 11:37MILWilliams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
46.2%
49
53.8%
Q3 - 12:0046
47
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE46
49.4%
47
50.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
53.1%
47
46.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
52.0%
47
48.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0CLESUB: Brown FOR James46
47
Q2 - 0:14.0CLESUB: Snow FOR Ilgauskas46
47
Q2 - 0:14.0MILSUB: Greer FOR Skinner46
47
Q2 - 0:14.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)46
47
Q2 - 0:14.0CLEGooden Foul Turnover (P3.T11)46
50.3%
47
49.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0CLEGooden OFF.Foul (P1)46
47
Q2 - 0:19.0MILRedd 28' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
52.8%
47
47.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
60.2%
44
39.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0CLEMISS James 17' Jump Shot46
61.0%
44
39.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0MILSkinner P.FOUL (P2.T3)46
44
Q2 - 1:04CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
62.5%
44
37.5%
Q2 - 1:06MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot46
61.8%
44
38.2%
Q2 - 1:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
60.2%
44
39.8%
Q2 - 1:25CLEMISS Hughes 6' Jump Shot46
60.9%
44
39.1%
Q2 - 1:32CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
62.5%
44
37.5%
Q2 - 1:34MILMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot46
61.8%
44
38.2%
Q2 - 1:46MILSUB: Redd FOR Patterson46
44
Q2 - 1:46MIL46
44
Q2 - 1:50CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hughes 3 AST)46
60.3%
44
39.7%
Q2 - 1:59MILPatterson 3' Layup (14 PTS)43
52.9%
44
47.1%
Q2 - 2:18CLEJames 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
56.5%
42
43.5%
Q2 - 2:40MILPatterson Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)41
53.4%
42
46.6%
Q2 - 2:56CLEPavlovic Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)41
50.2%
42
49.8%
Q2 - 2:58CLESUB: Ilgauskas FOR Marshall39
42
Q2 - 2:58CLESUB: Gooden FOR Varejao39
42
Q2 - 2:58CLECavaliers Rebound39
47.0%
42
53.0%
Q2 - 2:58CLESkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)39
44.8%
42
55.2%
Q2 - 2:59CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
47.0%
42
53.0%
Q2 - 3:01CLEMISS James 15' Jump Shot39
45.1%
42
54.9%
Q2 - 3:22CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Snow39
42
Q2 - 3:22CLECavaliers Rebound39
47.6%
42
52.4%
Q2 - 3:24MILMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
46.5%
42
53.5%
Q2 - 3:30CLEPatterson STEAL (2 STL)39
44.0%
42
56.0%
Q2 - 3:50MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)39
47.6%
42
52.4%
Q2 - 3:50MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
48.6%
41
51.4%
Q2 - 3:50CLEHughes S.FOUL (P1.T3)39
40
Q2 - 4:04MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
50.5%
40
49.5%
Q2 - 4:06CLEMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
51.5%
40
48.5%
Q2 - 4:14CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)39
53.7%
40
46.3%
Q2 - 4:17MILMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot39
52.7%
40
47.3%
Q2 - 4:27CLESnow Layup (2 PTS) (James 5 AST)39
50.5%
40
49.5%
Q2 - 4:44MILSkinner Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)37
47.6%
40
52.4%
Q2 - 4:58MILSUB: Williams FOR Greer37
38
Q2 - 4:58MILSUB: Bogut FOR Villanueva37
38
Q2 - 4:58MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
38
Q2 - 5:00CLEJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
50.4%
38
49.6%
Q2 - 5:05CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
45.0%
38
55.0%
Q2 - 5:07MILMISS Patterson 18' Jump Shot34
44.1%
38
55.9%
Q2 - 5:26CLEJames 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Snow 2 AST)34
42.1%
38
57.9%
Q2 - 5:41CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
39.2%
38
60.8%
Q2 - 5:42MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
36.4%
38
63.6%
Q2 - 5:42MILMISS Villanueva Layup32
38.3%
38
61.7%
Q2 - 5:43MILMISS Villanueva Layup32
38.3%
38
61.7%
Q2 - 5:48CLEGreer STEAL (1 STL)32
36.4%
38
63.6%
Q2 - 5:50CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
39.1%
38
60.9%
Q2 - 5:52MILMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot32
38.3%
38
61.7%
Q2 - 6:09CLEJames Layup (4 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)32
36.5%
38
63.5%
Q2 - 6:14MILVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
34.4%
38
65.6%
Q2 - 6:27MILGreer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
31.4%
38
68.6%
Q2 - 6:29CLEMISS Marshall 5' Hook Shot30
32.3%
38
67.7%
Q2 - 6:44MILSkinner Layup (2 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)30
34.3%
38
65.7%
Q2 - 7:03MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
37.2%
36
62.8%
Q2 - 7:05CLEMISS Snow Layup30
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 7:15CLESUB: Hughes FOR Pavlovic30
36
Q2 - 7:15CLESUB: James FOR Brown30
36
Q2 - 7:15CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)30
36
Q2 - 7:25MILGreer 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)30
39.9%
36
60.1%
Q2 - 7:42MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
45.3%
33
54.7%
Q2 - 7:44CLEMISS Pavlovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
46.2%
33
53.8%
Q2 - 8:00MILSUB: Greer FOR Redd30
33
Q2 - 8:00MILRedd Foul Turnover (P1.T3)30
48.3%
33
51.7%
Q2 - 8:00MILRedd OFF.Foul (P1)30
33
Q2 - 8:15CLEPavlovic Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)30
45.8%
33
54.2%
Q2 - 8:38MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
48.4%
33
51.6%
Q2 - 8:38MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
49.3%
32
50.7%
Q2 - 8:3830
31
Q2 - 8:38CLEVarejao S.FOUL (P2.T2)30
31
Q2 - 8:48CLEBrown Layup (2 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)30
51.2%
31
48.8%
Q2 - 9:01CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
48.4%
31
51.6%
Q2 - 9:03MILMISS Bell 28' 3PT Jump Shot28
47.6%
31
52.4%
Q2 - 9:15CLEMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
45.7%
31
54.3%
Q2 - 9:15CLEMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
45.1%
31
54.9%
Q2 - 9:15MILVillanueva S.FOUL (P1.T2)26
31
Q2 - 9:29MILPatterson 5' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)26
43.1%
31
56.9%
Q2 - 9:43CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
45.7%
29
54.3%
Q2 - 9:43CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
44.8%
29
55.2%
Q2 - 9:43MILSUB: Skinner FOR Bogut24
29
Q2 - 9:43MILPatterson P.FOUL (P1.T1)24
29
Q2 - 9:56CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
43.1%
29
56.9%
Q2 - 9:58MILMISS Villanueva 12' Jump Shot24
42.3%
29
57.7%
Q2 - 10:12MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
40.8%
29
59.2%
Q2 - 10:13MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 224
43.0%
29
57.0%
Q2 - 10:13MILSUB: Bell FOR Williams24
29
Q2 - 10:13MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
41.7%
29
58.3%
Q2 - 10:13CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR James24
28
Q2 - 10:13CLEVarejao S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
28
Q2 - 10:36CLEMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)24
43.3%
28
56.7%
Q2 - 11:03MILPatterson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)21
38.6%
28
61.4%
Q2 - 11:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q2 - 11:12MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
42.8%
26
57.2%
Q2 - 11:21MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q2 - 11:23CLEMISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 11:44MILPatterson Reverse Layup (4 PTS)21
43.6%
26
56.4%
Q2 - 12:0021
24
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE21
46.0%
24
54.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
48.6%
24
51.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
47.8%
24
52.2%
Q1 - 0:09.0CLEMarshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)21
46.5%
24
53.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0CLECavaliers Rebound18
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0CLEMISS James Layup18
39.8%
24
60.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0CLECavaliers Rebound18
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0MILMISS Williams Layup18
40.5%
24
59.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0CLEJames Foul Turnover (P3.T7)18
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0CLEJames OFF.Foul (P1)18
24
Q1 - 0:57.0MILPatterson 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)18
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q1 - 1:12CLESUB: Brown FOR Hughes18
22
Q1 - 1:12CLESUB: Marshall FOR Gooden18
22
Q1 - 1:12MILBUCKS Rebound18
44.7%
22
55.3%
Q1 - 1:14MILMISS Williams 2' Layup18
45.8%
22
54.2%
Q1 - 1:19CLEBogut STEAL (2 STL)18
44.7%
22
55.3%
Q1 - 1:31MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
46.3%
22
53.7%
Q1 - 1:34MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
44.6%
22
55.4%
Q1 - 1:36CLEMISS Hughes 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
45.1%
22
54.9%
Q1 - 1:42CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
46.2%
22
53.8%
Q1 - 1:44MILMISS Redd Layup18
45.8%
22
54.2%
Q1 - 1:50CLEPatterson STEAL (1 STL)18
44.6%
22
55.4%
Q1 - 2:06CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
46.7%
22
53.3%
Q1 - 2:08MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot18
46.1%
22
53.9%
Q1 - 2:27CLEJames Layup (2 PTS)18
44.8%
22
55.2%
Q1 - 2:31CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
42.1%
22
57.9%
Q1 - 2:33MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot16
41.6%
22
58.4%
Q1 - 2:44MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
22
Q1 - 2:46MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
40.3%
22
59.7%
Q1 - 2:48CLEMISS Varejao 13' Jump Shot16
40.9%
22
59.1%
Q1 - 3:04CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
42.7%
22
57.3%
Q1 - 3:06CLEMISS Hughes 18' Jump Shot16
41.1%
22
58.9%
Q1 - 3:28CLESUB: Snow FOR Pavlovic16
22
Q1 - 3:28CLESUB: Varejao FOR Ilgauskas16
22
Q1 - 3:28MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Skinner16
22
Q1 - 3:28MILSUB: Patterson FOR Bell16
22
Q1 - 3:28CLECavaliers Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)16
22
Q1 - 3:31MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)16
42.6%
22
57.4%
Q1 - 3:37MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
47.2%
19
52.8%
Q1 - 3:39CLEMISS Ilgauskas 5' Hook Shot16
47.9%
19
52.1%
Q1 - 3:55MILBogut Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)16
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q1 - 4:17CLEIlgauskas 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)16
51.7%
17
48.3%
Q1 - 4:38MILBogut Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)14
49.8%
17
50.2%
Q1 - 4:55CLEGooden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)14
51.7%
15
48.3%
Q1 - 5:16MILBogut 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)14
53.7%
15
46.3%
Q1 - 5:36CLEPavlovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
55.3%
13
44.7%
Q1 - 5:38CLECavaliers Rebound14
57.4%
13
42.6%
Q1 - 5:39CLEMISS James 11' Jump Shot14
56.0%
13
44.0%
Q1 - 5:53CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
57.4%
13
42.6%
Q1 - 5:55MILMISS Williams 4' Running Jump Shot14
56.7%
13
43.3%
Q1 - 6:00MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
55.3%
13
44.7%
Q1 - 6:02CLEMISS Hughes 17' Jump Shot14
56.0%
13
44.0%
Q1 - 6:05CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
57.2%
13
42.8%
Q1 - 6:07MILMISS Bogut Layup14
56.7%
13
43.3%
Q1 - 6:27CLEIlgauskas 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)14
55.3%
13
44.7%
Q1 - 6:41CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
53.6%
13
46.4%
Q1 - 6:43MILMISS Skinner 13' Jump Shot12
53.0%
13
47.0%
Q1 - 6:59CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
51.8%
13
48.2%
Q1 - 6:59CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)11
51.4%
13
48.6%
Q1 - 6:59MILSkinner S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
13
Q1 - 7:16MILRedd 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)10
50.3%
13
49.7%
Q1 - 7:23CLEBogut STEAL (1 STL)10
51.8%
11
48.2%
Q1 - 7:28CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
53.6%
11
46.4%
Q1 - 7:30MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot10
53.1%
11
46.9%
Q1 - 7:38MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
51.8%
11
48.2%
Q1 - 7:40MILMISS Redd Layup10
53.1%
11
46.9%
Q1 - 7:48CLEHughes Layup (4 PTS)10
51.8%
11
48.2%
Q1 - 7:54CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
50.4%
11
49.6%
Q1 - 7:56MILMISS Redd 9' Jump Shot8
49.9%
11
50.1%
Q1 - 8:17CLEGooden 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
49.0%
11
51.0%
Q1 - 8:34CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)6
11
Q1 - 8:40MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
47.8%
11
52.2%
Q1 - 8:54CLEHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 8:54CLEHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
50.4%
8
49.6%
Q1 - 8:54MILWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
8
Q1 - 9:06MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)4
50.0%
8
50.0%
Q1 - 9:33CLEGooden Dunk (4 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)4
52.5%
5
47.5%
Q1 - 9:37MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
51.3%
5
48.7%
Q1 - 9:49MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
50.5%
5
49.5%
Q1 - 9:50CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
51.4%
5
48.6%
Q1 - 9:50CLEMISS Ilgauskas Tip Shot2
50.8%
5
49.2%
Q1 - 9:52CLEMISS Ilgauskas Layup2
50.8%
5
49.2%
Q1 - 10:02CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
51.8%
5
48.2%
Q1 - 10:03MILMISS Bogut Layup2
51.5%
5
48.5%
Q1 - 10:08MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.9%
5
49.1%
Q1 - 10:10CLEMISS Gooden 15' Jump Shot2
51.2%
5
48.8%
Q1 - 10:13CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
51.8%
5
48.2%
Q1 - 10:15CLEMISS James 8' Jump Shot2
51.2%
5
48.8%
Q1 - 10:39MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)2
52.0%
5
48.0%
Q1 - 10:56CLEGooden Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 11:14MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
53.5%
2
46.5%
Q1 - 11:14MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
53.6%
1
46.4%
Q1 - 11:14CLEIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:28CLEGooden 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:35CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.1%
0
46.9%
Q1 - 11:38MILMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot0
53.0%
0
47.0%
Q1 - 11:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 11:46CLEMISS James Alley Oop Layup0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Hughes0
52.7%
0
47.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCLEMIL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.15 57.3%
MIL
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
15
26
58%
MIL
24
36
67%
Midrange
CLE
9
25
36%
MIL
9
30
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
11
16.5
21
52%
79%
MIL
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
CLE
13
15
87%
MIL
8
12
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3267%16.0 / 24
D. Marshall1986%9.5 / 11
D. Gooden1359%6.5 / 11
S. Pavlovic770%3.5 / 5
Z. Ilgauskas643%3.0 / 7
A. Varejao675%3.0 / 4
L. Hughes420%2.0 / 10
I. Newble3150%1.5 / 1
E. Snow225%1.0 / 4
S. Brown250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2956%14.5 / 26
R. Patterson2480%12.0 / 15
A. Bogut1359%6.5 / 11
B. Skinner880%4.0 / 5
M. Williams620%3.0 / 15
C. Bell536%2.5 / 7
C. Villanueva422%2.0 / 9
L. Greer3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
70
+10
-20
80
MIL
79
+10
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.15 57.3%
MIL
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
107.1
CLE 104.4 +2.2
MIL 102.2
Pace
90.5
92.3
CLE 92.1 +4.1
MIL 88.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
CLE 15.6 −0.7
MIL 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
50.4%
CLE 56.3% +5.7%
MIL 50.6%
TO %
15.0%
15.7%
CLE 20.3%
MIL 11.1% −9.2%
ORB %
29.7%
27.8%
CLE 20.6% +2.7%
MIL 17.9%
FTrt
32.0
28.6
CLE 20.8 +6.3
MIL 14.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
56.7%
CLE 62.9% +9.1%
MIL 53.8%
STL %
8.3%
7.7%
CLE 8.9%
MIL 10.0% +1.1%
BLK %
6.9%
4.4%
CLE 4.5% +2.5%
MIL 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
52.9%
CLE 57.3% +6.2%
MIL 51.1%
Rim FG%
59.1%
58.1%
CLE 57.7%
MIL 66.7% +9.0%
Mid FG%
37.1%
40.0%
CLE 36.0% +6.0%
MIL 30.0%
3P %
35.2%
35.6%
CLE 52.4% +17.1%
MIL 35.3%
FT %
69.6%
73.3%
CLE 86.7% +20.0%
MIL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
41.1%
CLE 36.1%
MIL 43.4% +7.3%
Mid Att. %
42.5%
37.0%
CLE 34.7% −1.4%
MIL 36.1%
3P Att. %
21.1%
21.9%
CLE 29.2% +8.7%
MIL 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEMIL
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points9492
Rebounds3934
Assists2221
Steals89
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)27 (2)
Field Goals35-7239-83
At-the-Rim FG15-2624-36
Midrange FG9-259-30
2-Point FG24-5133-66
3-Point FG11-216-17
Free Throws13-158-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 185 · 28
37.4
4
20%
4
6
0
0
6
5
0
4
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 22
36.5
32
67%
8
9
3
1
6
5
0
8
4-4
100%
8-16
50%
4-6
67%
G · 6'7" 235 · 23
27.1
7
70%
1
1
2
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 250 · 25
25.8
13
59%
8
1
1
0
4
1
2
6
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 32
18.7
6
43%
5
0
1
2
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 260 · 24
29.1
6
75%
10
1
0
0
0
2
2
8
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
26.1
2
25%
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 34
21.4
19
86%
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
G · 6'3" 215 · 21
9.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32
8.5
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
G · 6'1" 203 · 36
#1 · G · 6'2" 200 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#27 · F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
57%
39
22
8
3
20
0
7
32
13-15
87%
24-51
47%
11-21
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.