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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 11, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Bulls65%9594
26Celtics35%9078
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.2
43.2
28.6
26
73%
3
7
3
1
1
3
1
2
3-4
75%
7-10
3-7
70%
47%
3-6
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.5
40.7
34.7
10
61%
14
2
2
2
2
1
2
12
2-5
40%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
38.1
36.3
17
72%
4
5
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
8-11
8-14
73%
52%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.9
35.5
34.5
21
73%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
7-11
6-12
64%
47%
2-3
67%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.4
21.0
14.9
4
20%
9
2
0
0
0
1
3
6
2-4
50%
1-8
2-4
13%
45%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.7
20.1
18.9
2
33%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.6
18.3
17.9
8
32%
4
0
1
1
2
2
1
3
2-6
33%
3-10
2-5
30%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.5
15.6
26.4
6
100%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.6
4.7
5.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.9
1.3
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.4
1.2
6.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 25.0
0.5
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 21.0
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.3
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 21.0
46.9
22.5
12
33%
7
8
3
1
0
2
2
5
2-7
29%
5-15
2-6
33%
41%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 29.4
34.5
35.0
8
25%
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
4-5
80%
2-12
6-12
17%
47%
0-2
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
32.6
26.8
15
48%
3
1
0
1
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
45%
1-5
20%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.2
29.8
35.1
10
50%
6
0
1
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-10
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 22.3
21.1
20.5
2
50%
5
0
0
0
3
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 21.8
24.0
15.1
7
55%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
20.5
24.2
6
60%
0
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
2-5
40%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
17.6
12.2
11
81%
7
0
0
0
1
0
4
3
3-4
75%
4-5
1-2
80%
45%
0-0
-
Allan Ray
· 6'2" 205 · 22.7
13.1
11.8
7
70%
4
1
1
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
40%
1-1
100%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 23.6
20.7
1
2-5
48%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.5
15.3
0
2-5
48%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 31.9
4.7
0
0-1
42%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.0
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.