Final Win Prob. pScore
1333%97
104
867%102
106
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo Wizards
115.69097.0
MIA logo Heat
119.18983.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA104
106
Q4 - 0:00.0WASJones STEAL (2 STL)104
106
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS)104
106
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)104
104
Q4 - 0:03.0WASArenas Free Throw 3 of 3 (33 PTS)104
104
Q4 - 0:03.0WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 3 (32 PTS)103
104
Q4 - 0:03.0WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 3 (31 PTS)102
104
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAPayton S.FOUL (P3.PN)101
104
Q4 - 0:03.0WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)101
104
Q4 - 0:03.0WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)101
104
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2101
104
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)101
104
Q4 - 0:03.0WASStevenson S.FOUL (P2.PN)101
103
Q4 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Williams FOR Walker101
103
Q4 - 0:04.0WASJamison Foul Turnover (P4.T13)101
103
Q4 - 0:04.0WASJamison OFF.Foul (P4)101
103
Q4 - 0:06.0MIASUB: Posey FOR Williams101
103
Q4 - 0:06.0WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)101
103
Q4 - 0:06.0WASJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)101
103
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Walker Tip Shot101
103
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)101
103
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 2101
103
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHEAT Rebound101
103
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 2101
103
Q4 - 0:08.0WASArenas P.FOUL (P3.PN)101
103
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
103
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
103
Q4 - 0:37.0WASHayes P.FOUL (P1.T4)101
103
Q4 - 0:38.0WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)101
103
Q4 - 0:38.0WASSUB: Hayes FOR Haywood100
103
Q4 - 0:38.0MIASUB: Williams FOR O'Neal100
103
Q4 - 0:38.0WASWizards Rebound100
103
Q4 - 0:38.0WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2100
103
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P5.PN)100
103
Q4 - 0:42.0WASJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)100
103
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
103
Q4 - 1:00MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)100
103
Q4 - 1:01WASMISS Jamison 21' Jump Shot100
103
Q4 - 1:19MIAJones Layup (18 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)100
103
Q4 - 1:38WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)100
101
Q4 - 1:38WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)99
101
Q4 - 1:38MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P5.PN)98
101
Q4 - 2:03MIAHaslem Layup (9 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)98
101
Q4 - 2:20WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
99
Q4 - 2:20WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)97
99
Q4 - 2:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)96
99
Q4 - 2:20MIAWalker S.FOUL (P4.T4)96
99
Q4 - 2:34MIAO'Neal 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)96
99
Q4 - 2:53WASStevenson 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)96
97
Q4 - 3:19MIAPayton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)94
97
Q4 - 3:42WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)94
94
Q4 - 3:42WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)93
94
Q4 - 3:42MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T3)92
94
Q4 - 3:58WASSUB: Stevenson FOR Hayes92
94
Q4 - 3:58WASSUB: Butler FOR Daniels92
94
Q4 - 3:58WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)92
94
Q4 - 4:05MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)92
94
Q4 - 4:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)92
91
Q4 - 4:20WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
91
Q4 - 4:43WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
91
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 192
91
Q4 - 4:45WASArenas S.FOUL (P2.T3)92
91
Q4 - 4:45MIAWalker 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS)92
91
Q4 - 5:02MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)92
89
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
89
Q4 - 5:24WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)92
89
Q4 - 5:24WASSUB: Haywood FOR Thomas91
89
Q4 - 5:24WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)91
89
Q4 - 5:24MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P4.T2)90
89
Q4 - 5:31WASJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)90
89
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
89
Q4 - 5:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
89
Q4 - 5:45WASMISS Hayes 20' Jump Shot90
89
Q4 - 5:56MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning90
89
Q4 - 5:5690
89
Q4 - 5:56MIAPayton P.FOUL (P2.T1)90
89
Q4 - 6:01MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
89
Q4 - 6:01WASSUB: Jamison FOR Songaila90
88
Q4 - 6:01MIAHEAT Rebound90
88
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 290
88
Q4 - 6:01WASThomas S.FOUL (P3.T2)90
88
Q4 - 6:21WASArenas 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS)90
88
Q4 - 6:40MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)88
88
Q4 - 7:04WASDaniels 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)88
85
Q4 - 7:27WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
85
Q4 - 7:28MIAHEAT Rebound86
85
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 286
85
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 286
85
Q4 - 7:28WASThomas S.FOUL (P2.T1)86
85
Q4 - 7:50WASHayes Layup (2 PTS)86
85
Q4 - 7:52WASHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
85
Q4 - 7:53WASMISS Hayes Layup84
85
Q4 - 8:12MIAJones Layup (10 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)84
85
Q4 - 8:16MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
83
Q4 - 8:17WASMISS Arenas 22' Jump Shot84
83
Q4 - 8:38MIAWalker 12' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)84
83
Q4 - 8:48WASSongaila Foul Turnover (P2.T12)84
81
Q4 - 8:48WASSongaila OFF.Foul (P4)84
81
Q4 - 9:06MIAMourning Layup (15 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)84
81
Q4 - 9:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
79
Q4 - 9:18WASMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)84
79
Q4 - 9:26WASSUB: Songaila FOR Jamison84
79
Q4 - 9:26WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)84
79
Q4 - 9:34MIAJones Layup (8 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)84
79
Q4 - 9:39WASPayton STEAL (1 STL)84
77
Q4 - 9:54MIAMourning Layup (13 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)84
77
Q4 - 10:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
75
Q4 - 10:04WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
75
Q4 - 10:13MIASUB: Haslem FOR Williams84
75
Q4 - 10:13WASArenas Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)84
75
Q4 - 10:13MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mourning )83
75
Q4 - 10:32WASWizards Rebound83
75
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
75
Q4 - 10:39MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
75
Q4 - 10:41WASMISS Arenas 21' Jump Shot83
75
Q4 - 10:48WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
75
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
75
Q4 - 11:09WASThomas Layup (9 PTS)83
75
Q4 - 11:11WASThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)81
75
Q4 - 11:12WASMISS Jamison Layup81
75
Q4 - 11:13WASJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)81
75
Q4 - 11:15WASMISS Hayes 3PT Jump Shot81
75
Q4 - 11:19WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
75
Q4 - 11:21WASMISS Jamison 12' Jump Shot81
75
Q4 - 11:44MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)81
75
Q4 - 12:0081
72
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS81
72
Q3 - 0:00.0WASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)81
72
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Posey 21' Jump Shot81
72
Q3 - 0:06.0WASStevenson P.FOUL (P1.T4)81
72
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
72
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot81
72
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAHEAT Rebound81
72
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Payton 22' Jump Shot81
72
Q3 - 0:48.0WASSUB: Thomas FOR Haywood81
72
Q3 - 0:48.0WASHaywood Foul Turnover (P2.T10)81
72
Q3 - 0:48.0WASHaywood OFF.Foul (P4)81
72
Q3 - 1:00MIAMourning Tip Shot (11 PTS)81
72
Q3 - 1:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)81
70
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Payton Layup81
70
Q3 - 1:03MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
70
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
70
Q3 - 1:18WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
70
Q3 - 1:18WASWizards Rebound80
70
Q3 - 1:18WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 280
70
Q3 - 1:18MIAPosey S.FOUL (P2.PN)80
70
Q3 - 1:18WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
70
Q3 - 1:19WASMISS Jamison Layup80
70
Q3 - 1:25MIAPosey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)80
70
Q3 - 1:25MIAJump Ball Posey vs. Arenas: Tip to Butler80
70
Q3 - 1:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
70
Q3 - 1:34WASMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)80
70
Q3 - 1:36WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
70
Q3 - 1:38WASMISS Jamison 9' Jump Shot80
70
Q3 - 1:54MIAWalker 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)80
70
Q3 - 2:17WASButler Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)80
68
Q3 - 2:23WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
68
Q3 - 2:25MIAMISS Posey 22' Jump Shot78
68
Q3 - 2:43WASHaywood Layup (9 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST)78
68
Q3 - 2:52WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
68
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot76
68
Q3 - 3:05WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)76
68
Q3 - 3:05MIAPosey Violation:Lane75
68
Q3 - 3:05MIAMourning S.FOUL (P3.T4)75
68
Q3 - 3:05WASHaywood 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Arenas 5 AST)75
68
Q3 - 3:22MIAWalker Driving Layup (5 PTS)73
68
Q3 - 3:34MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal73
66
Q3 - 3:34MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)73
66
Q3 - 3:42WASJamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)73
66
Q3 - 3:47WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
66
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot70
66
Q3 - 4:01WASArenas Free Throw 3 of 3 (22 PTS)70
66
Q3 - 4:01WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 3 (21 PTS)69
66
Q3 - 4:01MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem68
66
Q3 - 4:01MIASUB: Payton FOR Jones68
66
Q3 - 4:01WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 3 (20 PTS)68
66
Q3 - 4:01MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T3)67
66
Q3 - 4:08MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)67
66
Q3 - 4:24WASStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
64
Q3 - 4:24WASWizards Rebound66
64
Q3 - 4:24WASMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 266
64
Q3 - 4:24MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T2)66
64
Q3 - 4:27WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)66
64
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
64
Q3 - 4:48WASArenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)66
64
Q3 - 5:07MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)63
64
Q3 - 5:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
62
Q3 - 5:10MIAMISS Haslem 8' Turnaround Hook Shot63
62
Q3 - 5:32WASStevenson Layup (5 PTS)63
62
Q3 - 5:37WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)61
62
Q3 - 5:38MIAMISS Posey Driving Layup61
62
Q3 - 5:52MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)61
62
Q3 - 5:52WASJamison P.FOUL (P3.T3)61
62
Q3 - 6:05WASArenas 31' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)61
62
Q3 - 6:31WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
62
Q3 - 6:32MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 258
62
Q3 - 6:32WASJamison Violation:Lane58
62
Q3 - 6:32MIAHEAT Rebound58
62
Q3 - 6:32MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 258
62
Q3 - 6:32WASJamison S.FOUL (P2.T2)58
62
Q3 - 6:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
62
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot58
62
Q3 - 6:47WASJones STEAL (1 STL)58
62
Q3 - 7:06MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS)58
62
Q3 - 7:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
60
Q3 - 7:19WASMISS Arenas 21' Jump Shot58
60
Q3 - 7:25WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
60
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
60
Q3 - 7:33MIAHEAT Rebound58
60
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS O'Neal Layup58
60
Q3 - 7:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
60
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Posey Driving Finger Roll58
60
Q3 - 7:56WASJamison Driving Layup (23 PTS)58
60
Q3 - 8:20MIAHaslem Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)56
60
Q3 - 8:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
58
Q3 - 8:26WASMISS Stevenson 20' Fadeaway Jumper56
58
Q3 - 8:38MIAHaslem Tip Shot (5 PTS)56
58
Q3 - 8:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
56
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS Haslem Layup56
56
Q3 - 8:54WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
56
Q3 - 8:54WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)55
56
Q3 - 8:54MIAPosey S.FOUL (P1.T1)54
56
Q3 - 8:59WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)54
56
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 254
56
Q3 - 9:00MIAHEAT Rebound54
56
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 254
56
Q3 - 9:00WASJamison S.FOUL (P1.T1)54
56
Q3 - 9:24WASJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)54
56
Q3 - 9:38MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)51
56
Q3 - 9:55WASJamison 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Haywood 2 AST)51
56
Q3 - 10:17WASWizards Rebound49
56
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
56
Q3 - 10:28MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)49
56
Q3 - 10:36WASJamison 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)49
56
Q3 - 10:47WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
56
Q3 - 10:48MIAMISS Jones Layup47
56
Q3 - 11:09WASStevenson Driving Layup (3 PTS)47
56
Q3 - 11:18WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
56
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot45
56
Q3 - 11:40WASJamison 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
56
Q3 - 12:0043
56
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
56
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS43
56
Q2 - 0:00.0WASArenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
56
Q2 - 0:06.0MIASUB: Wright FOR Haslem40
56
Q2 - 0:06.0WASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Stevenson40
56
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T3)40
56
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P3)40
56
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
56
Q2 - 0:11.0WASMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
56
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)40
56
Q2 - 0:39.0WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
53
Q2 - 0:39.0WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
53
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)38
53
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
53
Q2 - 0:56.0WASStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)38
50
Q2 - 0:56.0WASSUB: Songaila FOR Thomas37
50
Q2 - 0:56.0MIASUB: Walker FOR Mourning37
50
Q2 - 0:56.0WASWizards Rebound37
50
Q2 - 0:56.0WASMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 237
50
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P1.PN)37
50
Q2 - 0:56.0WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
50
Q2 - 0:57.0WASMISS Stevenson Driving Layup37
50
Q2 - 1:16MIAMourning Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)37
50
Q2 - 1:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
48
Q2 - 1:37WASMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)37
48
Q2 - 2:01MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
48
Q2 - 2:01MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
47
Q2 - 2:01WASThomas S.FOUL (P1.T3)37
46
Q2 - 2:09WASArenas P.FOUL (P1.T2)37
46
Q2 - 2:26WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
46
Q2 - 2:26WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
46
Q2 - 2:26MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.PN)35
46
Q2 - 2:26WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
46
Q2 - 2:27WASMISS Butler 7' Fadeaway Jumper35
46
Q2 - 2:45WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
46
Q2 - 2:47MIAPosey 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)35
46
Q2 - 3:00WASButler Foul Turnover (P1.T8)35
44
Q2 - 3:00WASButler OFF.Foul (P1)35
44
Q2 - 3:04WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
44
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
44
Q2 - 3:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
44
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Mourning 8' Jump Shot35
44
Q2 - 3:36MIAHEAT Rebound35
44
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup35
44
Q2 - 3:49WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
44
Q2 - 3:49WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
44
Q2 - 3:49MIAMourning L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)33
44
Q2 - 3:49WASWizards Rebound33
44
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
44
Q2 - 4:07WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
44
Q2 - 4:07WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
44
Q2 - 4:07MIASUB: Posey FOR Payton31
44
Q2 - 4:0731
44
Q2 - 4:07MIAPayton S.FOUL (P1.T4)31
44
Q2 - 4:17MIAPayton 16' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)31
44
Q2 - 4:38WASThomas 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS)31
42
Q2 - 4:40WASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
42
Q2 - 4:42WASMISS Jamison 20' Jump Shot29
42
Q2 - 5:00MIAPayton Driving Layup (12 PTS)29
42
Q2 - 5:19WASJamison Driving Layup (8 PTS)29
40
Q2 - 5:41MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS)27
40
Q2 - 5:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
38
Q2 - 6:01WASMISS Stevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
38
Q2 - 6:16WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
38
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS Haslem Layup27
38
Q2 - 6:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
38
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
38
Q2 - 6:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
38
Q2 - 6:48WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 227
38
Q2 - 6:48WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
38
Q2 - 6:48MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal26
38
Q2 - 6:48MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)26
38
Q2 - 6:48WASStevenson T.FOUL (P0.T1)26
37
Q2 - 6:48MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.T3)26
37
Q2 - 6:48WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
37
Q2 - 6:49WASMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot26
37
Q2 - 7:14MIAJones 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)26
37
Q2 - 7:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
35
Q2 - 7:30WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 126
35
Q2 - 7:30MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker26
35
Q2 - 7:30MIAWalker S.FOUL (P3.T2)26
35
Q2 - 7:30WASThomas Layup (2 PTS)26
35
Q2 - 7:31WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
35
Q2 - 7:32WASMISS Arenas Driving Layup24
35
Q2 - 7:45WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)24
35
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 224
35
Q2 - 7:47WASSUB: Thomas FOR Haywood24
35
Q2 - 7:47MIAHEAT Rebound24
35
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 224
35
Q2 - 7:47WASHaywood S.FOUL (P3.T1)24
35
Q2 - 8:03WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
35
Q2 - 8:03WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
35
Q2 - 8:03MIAWalker S.FOUL (P2.T1)22
35
Q2 - 8:11WASWizards Rebound22
35
Q2 - 8:12MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
35
Q2 - 8:30MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning22
35
Q2 - 8:30MIASUB: Williams FOR Posey22
35
Q2 - 8:30MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)22
35
Q2 - 8:38WASArenas Driving Layup (6 PTS)22
35
Q2 - 8:56MIAJones 19' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)20
35
Q2 - 9:17WASJamison 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
33
Q2 - 9:19WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
33
Q2 - 9:21WASMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot18
33
Q2 - 9:35WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
33
Q2 - 9:37MIAMISS Walker 9' Running Hook Shot18
33
Q2 - 9:43WASWalker STEAL (3 STL)18
33
Q2 - 10:01MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
33
Q2 - 10:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
30
Q2 - 10:09WASMISS Butler Reverse Layup18
30
Q2 - 10:12WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
30
Q2 - 10:14WASMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)18
30
Q2 - 10:24WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
30
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot18
30
Q2 - 10:42MIAMourning Violation:Defensive Goaltending18
30
Q2 - 10:42WASButler 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)18
30
Q2 - 10:53MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
30
Q2 - 10:53MIAWalker OFF.Foul (P1)16
30
Q2 - 11:06MIAMourning Violation:Defensive Goaltending16
30
Q2 - 11:06WASJamison Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)16
30
Q2 - 11:12WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
30
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Posey Driving Layup14
30
Q2 - 11:18WASWalker STEAL (2 STL)14
30
Q2 - 11:33MIAHEAT Violation: Delay of game Violation14
30
Q2 - 11:35MIAPayton 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)14
30
Q2 - 11:44WASWalker STEAL (1 STL)14
28
Q2 - 12:0014
28
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA14
28
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
28
Q1 - 0:02.0WASMISS Blatche 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
28
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMourning Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)14
28
Q1 - 0:23.0WASWilliams STEAL (2 STL)14
26
Q1 - 0:25.0WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
26
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
26
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
26
Q1 - 0:36.0WASMISS Songaila 21' Jump Shot14
26
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
26
Q1 - 0:53.0WASSongaila S.FOUL (P3.T4)14
25
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAPayton 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
25
Q1 - 1:08WASDaniels 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
23
Q1 - 1:25MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
23
Q1 - 1:43WASSongaila 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
21
Q1 - 2:01MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)10
21
Q1 - 2:22WASBlatche 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
18
Q1 - 2:28WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
18
Q1 - 2:43MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18
Q1 - 2:45WASMISS Mason Jr. 22' Jump Shot8
18
Q1 - 2:57WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)8
18
Q1 - 2:58MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)8
18
Q1 - 3:10WASWizards Violation: Delay of game Violation8
15
Q1 - 3:10WASSUB: Blatche FOR Butler8
15
Q1 - 3:10MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem8
15
Q1 - 3:10WASSongaila Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
15
Q1 - 3:10WASSongaila OFF.Foul (P2)8
15
Q1 - 3:30MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)8
15
Q1 - 3:44WASWilliams STEAL (1 STL)8
12
Q1 - 4:08WASWizards Rebound8
12
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 28
12
Q1 - 4:08MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
12
Q1 - 4:08WASSongaila S.FOUL (P1.T3)8
11
Q1 - 4:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)8
11
Q1 - 4:27WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
11
Q1 - 4:27WASMISS Songaila 7' Jump Shot8
11
Q1 - 4:38WASMISS Butler Driving Layup8
11
Q1 - 5:07MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)8
11
Q1 - 5:22WASSUB: Songaila FOR Arenas8
9
Q1 - 5:22WASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Stevenson8
9
Q1 - 5:22WASSUB: Daniels FOR Jamison8
9
Q1 - 5:22MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
9
Q1 - 5:22MIAHEAT Rebound8
9
Q1 - 5:23WASMISS Arenas 18' Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 5:27WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
9
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS Mourning Dunk8
9
Q1 - 5:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
9
Q1 - 5:34MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Bank Shot8
9
Q1 - 5:44MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
9
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 6:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9
Q1 - 6:02WASMISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 6:13MIASUB: Payton FOR Jones8
9
Q1 - 6:13WASSUB: Thomas FOR Haywood8
9
Q1 - 6:13MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T4)8
9
Q1 - 6:19WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
9
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 6:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
9
Q1 - 6:35WASMISS Haywood 7' Turnaround Hook Shot8
9
Q1 - 6:44MIAMourning L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)8
9
Q1 - 6:44WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
9
Q1 - 6:45WASMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 6:50WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
9
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot8
9
Q1 - 7:07MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
9
Q1 - 7:09WASMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 7:19WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
9
Q1 - 7:21MIAMISS Posey 9' Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 7:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
9
Q1 - 7:27MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 7:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
9
Q1 - 7:34WASMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 7:52WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9
Q1 - 7:54MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 8:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
9
Q1 - 8:04WASMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 8:22MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)8
9
Q1 - 8:38WASArenas Layup (4 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)8
7
Q1 - 8:57MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
7
Q1 - 9:08WASArenas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
5
Q1 - 9:22WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
5
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 24
5
Q1 - 9:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
5
Q1 - 9:24WASHaywood S.FOUL (P2.T2)4
4
Q1 - 9:37WASHaywood Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 9:52MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal4
4
Q1 - 9:52MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 9:52MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P2)4
4
Q1 - 10:03MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 10:05WASMISS Haywood 14' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 10:16MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:30WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:30WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 10:30MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 10:41WASWizards Rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:02WASHaywood 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:14MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:21WASHaywood Violation:Lane0
1
Q1 - 11:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
1
Q1 - 11:21WASHaywood S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:31WASMISS Jamison 10' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:47WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:49MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Haywood: Tip to Williams0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.13 56.5%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
13
21
62%
MIA
23
35
66%
Midrange
WAS
14
38
37%
MIA
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
MIA
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
Free Throws
WAS
35
41
85%
MIA
10
25
40%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Arenas3372%16.5 / 23
A. Jamison2659%13.0 / 22
B. Haywood1267%6.0 / 9
E. Thomas9113%4.5 / 4
D. Stevenson840%4.0 / 10
A. Daniels6100%3.0 / 3
C. Butler425%2.0 / 8
D. Songaila233%1.0 / 3
J. Hayes225%1.0 / 4
A. Blatche250%1.0 / 2
R. Mason Jr.0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1860%9.0 / 15
G. Payton1765%8.5 / 13
A. Mourning1657%8.0 / 14
S. O'Neal1255%6.0 / 11
J. Williams1139%5.5 / 14
U. Haslem1146%5.5 / 12
A. Walker1150%5.5 / 11
J. Posey1042%5.0 / 12
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
76
+15
-14
91
MIA
84
+19
-5
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.13 56.5%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.6
104.2
WAS 115.6
MIA 119.1 +3.5
Pace
94.6
90.1
WAS 97.0 +14.0
MIA 83.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.5
WAS 14.8 −2.5
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
50.6%
WAS 47.3%
MIA 52.7% +5.4%
TO %
13.9%
15.3%
WAS 13.3%
MIA 4.7% −8.6%
ORB %
28.1%
24.9%
WAS 35.7% +4.4%
MIA 31.3%
FTrt
35.6
32.1
WAS 56.2 +28.7
MIA 27.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
57.6%
WAS 31.3%
MIA 58.1% +26.8%
STL %
8.1%
7.6%
WAS 1.1%
MIA 9.0% +7.9%
BLK %
7.3%
8.8%
WAS 4.8%
MIA 6.8% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
52.4%
WAS 56.5% +6.0%
MIA 50.5%
Rim FG%
57.8%
61.8%
WAS 61.9%
MIA 65.7% +3.8%
Mid FG%
39.9%
40.5%
WAS 36.8%
MIA 37.0% +0.2%
3P %
34.8%
34.3%
WAS 35.7% +1.2%
MIA 34.5%
FT %
76.5%
69.0%
WAS 85.4% +45.4%
MIA 40.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
34.9%
WAS 28.8%
MIA 38.5% +9.7%
Mid Att. %
41.0%
40.7%
WAS 52.1%
MIA 29.7% −22.4%
3P Att. %
23.7%
24.5%
WAS 19.2%
MIA 31.9% +12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points104106
Rebounds4842
Assists1025
Steals18
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)5 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (0)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (6)27 (1)
Field Goals32-7343-91
At-the-Rim FG13-2123-35
Midrange FG14-3810-27
2-Point FG27-5933-62
3-Point FG5-1410-29
Free Throws35-4110-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
42.6
33
72%
4
6
1
1
3
3
1
3
16-17
94%
4-10
40%
3-6
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 31
39.2
26
59%
15
0
0
0
4
4
3
12
6-6
100%
7-14
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'7" 228 · 27
36.8
4
25%
5
1
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 218 · 26
34.5
8
40%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 263 · 27
25.9
12
67%
8
2
0
1
2
4
2
6
6-7
86%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 29
20.5
9
113%
6
0
0
1
1
3
4
2
3-5
60%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 32
13.4
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 248 · 29
9.7
2
33%
2
0
0
0
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
8.7
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21
3.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30
#52 · C · 6'11" 230 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'5" 193 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'8" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
56%
48
10
1
3
14
0
15
33
35-41
85%
27-59
46%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.