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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 11, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Wizards33%97104
8Heat67%102106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.2
42.6
38.8
33
70%
4
6
1
2
1
3
1
3
16-17
94%
4-10
5-11
40%
47%
3-6
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
39.2
35.1
26
60%
15
0
0
1
0
4
3
12
6-6
100%
7-14
5-10
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.0
36.8
35.0
4
25%
5
1
0
2
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-8
6-13
25%
47%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.9
34.5
26.1
8
41%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-4
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.3
25.9
27.4
12
66%
8
2
0
1
1
2
2
6
6-7
86%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
20.5
14.7
9
73%
6
0
0
0
1
1
4
2
3-5
60%
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.0
13.4
18.1
6
104%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.1
9.7
12.3
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.6
8.7
14.1
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.5
5.5
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.6
3.2
10.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.1
8.3
0
0-0
41%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.8
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.6
Mike Hall
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.4
37.8
34.3
18
60%
4
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
6-7
2-4
86%
49%
2-8
25%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.3
34.9
33.5
11
38%
2
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
0-4
3-5
0%
51%
3-9
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
34.4
26.9
11
46%
10
3
0
1
0
1
2
8
1-2
50%
5-11
4-7
45%
53%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.2
31.7
30.9
10
42%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-7
2-3
14%
50%
2-4
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.0
17.6
31.4
12
57%
6
2
0
0
0
2
3
3
2-8
25%
5-7
9-14
71%
60%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.6
30.1
22.9
17
64%
4
7
1
1
0
0
2
2
1-3
33%
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
2-3
67%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.1
28.9
13.3
16
59%
7
1
0
0
4
0
3
4
2-6
33%
7-11
2-4
64%
57%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
24.5
24.7
11
48%
5
2
3
1
0
1
2
3
0-1
0%
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
1-5
20%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.3
0.1
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
3.6
0
0-1
49%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.7
3.5
0
0-1
47%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
2.9
0
1-1
51%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.1
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.