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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 11, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks62%99108
11Lakers38%9572
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
35.4
31.2
24
63%
4
2
4
1
0
0
1
3
7-7
100%
4-13
5-11
31%
50%
3-3
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.7
29.3
37.4
19
59%
5
2
1
1
1
2
1
4
7-7
100%
6-13
8-16
46%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
24.8
35.1
14
61%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-8
5-9
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
19.1
29.3
2
53%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
57%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
19.1
20.0
2
20%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
27.9
22.6
10
67%
4
4
3
1
0
2
1
3
0-1
0%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.1
25.7
16.0
4
67%
13
1
1
0
1
2
3
10
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.5
21.6
17.6
4
29%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.9
17.6
10.1
13
75%
8
1
1
0
0
1
1
7
5-6
83%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.3
11.1
27.0
13
65%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
3-8
56%
44%
1-1
100%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
4.2
2.0
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
4.2
1.6
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.1
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 28.5
36.5
34.7
25
46%
9
3
0
1
0
5
2
7
13-18
72%
6-17
7-14
35%
48%
0-2
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.3
29.1
28.6
4
25%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
29.1
27.5
9
45%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 19.4
23.8
28.7
2
25%
4
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
53%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.8
6.4
27.5
2
53%
0
0
2
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.0
24.2
27.5
10
63%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
4-9
44%
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.3
23.6
5.1
6
38%
5
1
1
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 31.9
22.9
18.0
7
88%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-1
100%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 34.4
17.3
13.7
0
0%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 24.2
14.0
6.3
7
61%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-4
25%
3-4
1-1
75%
52%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.0
13.0
19.4
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-5
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.0
9.2
0
1-2
48%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.3
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.