Final Win Prob. pScore
268%100
90
2032%93
101
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
102.38887.0
MIL logo Bucks
116.18788.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL90
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASMISS Udrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)90
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Ginobili90
100
Q4 - 0:32.0SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan90
100
Q4 - 0:32.0SASSUB: Bonner FOR Bowen90
100
Q4 - 0:32.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASBowen P.FOUL (P4.PN)90
99
Q4 - 0:33.0SASGinobili Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T11)90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0SASGinobili OFF.Foul (P3)90
99
Q4 - 0:40.0MILGreer Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0MILGreer Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0SASBowen P.FOUL (P3.PN)90
97
Q4 - 0:52.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 0:52.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILBogut S.FOUL (P5.PN)88
97
Q4 - 0:57.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 1:16MILGreer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 1:18SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 1:28SASSpurs Rebound88
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 1:28MILMISS Greer Driving Layup88
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 1:44MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 1:46SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q4 - 2:03MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS)88
2.5%
97
97.5%
Q4 - 2:24SASUdrih Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)88
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 2:39SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)86
95
Q4 - 2:41MILGreer 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Redd 5 AST)86
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 3:03MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
7.8%
92
92.2%
Q4 - 3:05SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
9.0%
92
91.0%
Q4 - 3:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)86
12.6%
92
87.4%
Q4 - 3:22MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
10.7%
92
89.3%
Q4 - 3:38SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
12.9%
92
87.1%
Q4 - 3:38SASSpurs Rebound85
92
Q4 - 3:38SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 285
11.7%
92
88.3%
Q4 - 3:38MILPatterson P.FOUL (P2.PN)85
92
Q4 - 3:51MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)85
12.8%
92
87.2%
Q4 - 3:51MILBUCKS Rebound85
8.9%
92
91.1%
Q4 - 3:51MILMISS Bogut 16' Jump Shot85
11.5%
92
88.5%
Q4 - 4:16MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
8.6%
92
91.4%
Q4 - 4:18SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 285
9.0%
92
91.0%
Q4 - 4:18SASSpurs Rebound85
92
Q4 - 4:18SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 285
11.0%
92
89.0%
Q4 - 4:18SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)85
92
Q4 - 4:18MILBogut S.FOUL (P4.T4)85
92
Q4 - 4:35MILGreer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bogut 6 AST)85
12.3%
92
87.7%
Q4 - 4:53SASUdrih Layup (2 PTS)85
22.7%
89
77.3%
Q4 - 5:07MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
21.6%
89
78.4%
Q4 - 5:07MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
23.5%
88
76.5%
Q4 - 5:07MILSUB: Bogut FOR Skinner83
87
Q4 - 5:07SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.PN)83
87
Q4 - 5:11MILGreer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
27.5%
87
72.5%
Q4 - 5:21SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
29.6%
87
70.4%
Q4 - 5:46MILGreer Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)83
34.8%
87
65.2%
Q4 - 5:46SASSUB: Udrih FOR Finley83
86
Q4 - 5:46SASSUB: Bowen FOR Parker83
86
Q4 - 5:46MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)83
86
Q4 - 5:46SASParker S.FOUL (P2.T4)83
86
Q4 - 5:46MILGreer 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)83
86
Q4 - 5:55SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)83
50.9%
84
49.1%
Q4 - 6:17MILBell Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)80
39.1%
84
60.9%
Q4 - 6:17SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T3)80
83
Q4 - 6:17MILBell Layup (11 PTS) (Patterson 4 AST)80
83
Q4 - 6:27MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
53.7%
81
46.3%
Q4 - 6:28MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
59.1%
81
40.9%
Q4 - 6:36SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T2)80
81
Q4 - 6:39MILGreer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
53.6%
81
46.4%
Q4 - 6:40SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
56.0%
81
44.0%
Q4 - 6:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)80
61.3%
81
38.7%
Q4 - 6:52MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot80
59.0%
81
41.0%
Q4 - 7:08MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
55.6%
81
44.4%
Q4 - 7:09SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 280
56.6%
81
43.4%
Q4 - 7:09MILSUB: Redd FOR Noel80
81
Q4 - 7:09SASSpurs Rebound80
81
Q4 - 7:09SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 280
60.4%
81
39.6%
Q4 - 7:09MILSkinner S.FOUL (P1.T3)80
81
Q4 - 7:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)80
62.8%
81
37.2%
Q4 - 7:20MILMISS Bell 11' Jump Shot80
60.7%
81
39.3%
Q4 - 7:31MILSUB: Skinner FOR Bogut80
81
Q4 - 7:31SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T1)80
81
Q4 - 7:42SASDuncan Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)80
55.5%
81
44.5%
Q4 - 8:00MILPatterson Layup (12 PTS)78
49.0%
81
51.0%
Q4 - 8:21SASFinley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)78
57.7%
79
42.3%
Q4 - 8:38MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Greer 3 AST)75
44.4%
79
55.6%
Q4 - 8:53SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
57.5%
76
42.5%
Q4 - 8:53SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
56.5%
76
43.5%
Q4 - 8:53SASSUB: Duncan FOR Elson73
76
Q4 - 8:5373
76
Q4 - 8:53MILGreer S.FOUL (P2.T2)73
76
Q4 - 9:13MILPatterson 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
52.6%
76
47.4%
Q4 - 9:38SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)73
58.7%
74
41.3%
Q4 - 9:54MILBogut Dunk (13 PTS) (Greer 2 AST)70
46.4%
74
53.6%
Q4 - 10:17SASParker 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)70
54.0%
72
46.0%
Q4 - 10:38MILGreer 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Patterson 3 AST)68
48.1%
72
51.9%
Q4 - 11:02SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)68
60.3%
69
39.7%
Q4 - 11:09MILSUB: Bell FOR Ilyasova65
69
Q4 - 11:09MILSUB: Noel FOR Redd65
69
Q4 - 11:22MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)65
49.4%
69
50.6%
Q4 - 11:45MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)65
44.3%
69
55.7%
Q4 - 11:47SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 265
45.0%
69
55.0%
Q4 - 11:47SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
48.8%
69
51.2%
Q4 - 11:47SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen64
69
Q4 - 11:47MILGreer P.FOUL (P1.T1)64
69
Q4 - 12:0064
69
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS64
44.0%
69
56.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound64
44.0%
69
56.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bowen 70' 3PT Jump Shot64
40.6%
69
59.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILRedd 6' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Greer 1 AST)64
45.1%
69
54.9%
Q3 - 0:11.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)64
50.8%
67
49.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
52.1%
67
47.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILGreer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)64
55.2%
67
44.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
50.7%
67
49.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASMISS Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
52.1%
67
47.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0MILIlyasova Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T17)64
55.2%
67
44.8%
Q3 - 1:05SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
51.1%
67
48.9%
Q3 - 1:05SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
50.3%
67
49.7%
Q3 - 1:05MILBogut S.FOUL (P3.PN)62
67
Q3 - 1:25SASSpurs Rebound62
45.7%
67
54.3%
Q3 - 1:25SASSUB: Barry FOR Horry62
67
Q3 - 1:25MILMISS Greer 21' Jump Shot62
44.4%
67
55.6%
Q3 - 1:47SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)62
41.3%
67
58.7%
Q3 - 2:09SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
47.4%
67
52.6%
Q3 - 2:11MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot62
46.0%
67
54.0%
Q3 - 2:25SASBowen Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)62
42.7%
67
57.3%
Q3 - 2:25SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn61
67
Q3 - 2:25SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan61
67
Q3 - 2:25SASSpurs Rebound61
67
Q3 - 2:25SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 361
41.1%
67
58.9%
Q3 - 2:25SASSpurs Rebound61
67
Q3 - 2:25SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 361
43.8%
67
56.2%
Q3 - 2:25MILRedd S.FOUL (P2.T4)61
67
Q3 - 2:47MILRedd Layup (23 PTS) (Bogut 5 AST)61
42.6%
67
57.4%
Q3 - 3:02SASVaughn Foul Turnover (P1.T9)61
49.3%
65
50.7%
Q3 - 3:02SASVaughn OFF.Foul (P2)61
65
Q3 - 3:14MILSUB: Greer FOR Bell61
65
Q3 - 3:14SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)61
65
Q3 - 3:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
54.0%
65
46.0%
Q3 - 3:14MILBogut Tip Shot (11 PTS)61
54.0%
65
46.0%
Q3 - 3:16MILMISS Bell Layup61
61.3%
63
38.7%
Q3 - 3:34SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)61
58.0%
63
42.0%
Q3 - 3:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
62.6%
63
37.4%
Q3 - 4:00SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker61
63
Q3 - 4:00MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 161
62.0%
63
38.0%
Q3 - 4:00SASBowen S.FOUL (P2.T4)61
63
Q3 - 4:00MILRedd Layup (21 PTS)61
63
Q3 - 4:04MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
66.3%
61
33.7%
Q3 - 4:06SASIlyasova BLOCK (1 BLK)61
67.7%
61
32.3%
Q3 - 4:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
70.7%
61
29.3%
Q3 - 4:15MILMISS Bogut Layup61
69.4%
61
30.6%
Q3 - 4:25SASHorry Layup (3 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)61
66.3%
61
33.7%
Q3 - 4:32MILPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)59
63.0%
61
37.0%
Q3 - 4:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
58.2%
61
41.8%
Q3 - 4:39MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
61.6%
61
38.4%
Q3 - 4:50SASIlyasova STEAL (2 STL)59
58.2%
61
41.8%
Q3 - 5:09MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)59
63.2%
61
36.8%
Q3 - 5:21SASHorry P.FOUL (P1.T3)59
59
Q3 - 5:32MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
66.5%
59
33.5%
Q3 - 5:34SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot59
67.7%
59
32.3%
Q3 - 5:50MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)59
70.5%
59
29.5%
Q3 - 5:50SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry59
58
Q3 - 5:50MILBUCKS Rebound59
58
Q3 - 5:50MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 259
71.0%
58
29.0%
Q3 - 5:50MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Skinner59
58
Q3 - 5:50SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T2)59
58
Q3 - 5:59MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
70.1%
58
29.9%
Q3 - 6:03SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
71.7%
58
28.3%
Q3 - 6:15SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
74.1%
58
25.9%
Q3 - 6:16MILMISS Skinner 12' Jump Shot59
73.1%
58
26.9%
Q3 - 6:34SASBarry Layup (17 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)59
70.6%
58
29.4%
Q3 - 6:55MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Skinner 2 AST)57
67.4%
58
32.6%
Q3 - 7:07MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
70.5%
56
29.5%
Q3 - 7:09SASMISS Parker Layup57
71.6%
56
28.4%
Q3 - 7:20SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
73.8%
56
26.2%
Q3 - 7:22SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
71.6%
56
28.4%
Q3 - 7:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
73.8%
56
26.2%
Q3 - 7:33MILMISS Bell 2' Layup57
72.8%
56
27.2%
Q3 - 7:49MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)57
56
Q3 - 7:50SASBarry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)57
70.6%
56
29.4%
Q3 - 8:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
63.9%
56
36.1%
Q3 - 8:03MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot54
63.0%
56
37.0%
Q3 - 8:14MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
60.3%
56
39.7%
Q3 - 8:15SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot54
61.5%
56
38.5%
Q3 - 8:20MILPatterson P.FOUL (P1.T3)54
56
Q3 - 8:21MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)54
64.1%
56
35.9%
Q3 - 8:24SASRedd STEAL (1 STL)54
60.3%
56
39.7%
Q3 - 8:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
64.1%
56
35.9%
Q3 - 8:38SASMISS Horry 22' Jump Shot54
61.5%
56
38.5%
Q3 - 8:49SASBarry Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)54
64.1%
56
35.9%
Q3 - 8:49SASBarry Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)53
60.5%
56
39.5%
Q3 - 8:49MILSUB: Patterson FOR Williams52
56
Q3 - 8:49MILWilliams Ejection:Second Technical52
56
Q3 - 8:49MILWilliams T.FOUL (P5.T2)52
56
Q3 - 8:49MILWilliams T.FOUL (P5.T2)52
56
Q3 - 8:49MILWilliams P.FOUL (P5.T2)52
56
Q3 - 9:09MILWilliams 4' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)52
57.5%
56
42.5%
Q3 - 9:30MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
60.9%
54
39.1%
Q3 - 9:32MILMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot52
63.4%
54
36.6%
Q3 - 9:52SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)52
60.9%
54
39.1%
Q3 - 9:52MILWilliams S.FOUL (P4.T1)51
54
Q3 - 9:52SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)51
54
Q3 - 10:01SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
51.1%
54
48.9%
Q3 - 10:03MILMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot48
50.0%
54
50.0%
Q3 - 10:18SASElson L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)48
54
Q3 - 10:18SASSUB: Horry FOR Elson48
54
Q3 - 10:18SASBarry 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)48
47.5%
54
52.5%
Q3 - 10:36SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
43.9%
54
56.1%
Q3 - 10:39MILMISS Skinner 19' Jump Shot46
42.8%
54
57.2%
Q3 - 11:04SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)46
41.9%
54
58.1%
Q3 - 11:22MILBell Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)43
35.5%
54
64.5%
Q3 - 11:25MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
32.2%
54
67.8%
Q3 - 11:27SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot43
33.2%
54
66.8%
Q3 - 11:39MILBogut 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS)43
35.5%
54
64.5%
Q3 - 12:00BUCKS Violation: Delay of game Violation43
52
Q3 - 12:0043
52
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL43
38.4%
52
61.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL43
52
Q2 - 0:00.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
38.4%
52
61.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot43
40.9%
52
59.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)43
52
Q2 - 0:11.0MILBUCKS Rebound43
40.4%
52
59.6%
Q2 - 0:13.0SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot43
41.1%
52
58.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)43
42.8%
52
57.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASBell STEAL (2 STL)43
40.3%
52
59.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
42.8%
52
57.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0MILMISS Ilyasova 17' Jump Shot43
42.0%
52
58.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
40.2%
52
59.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot43
41.0%
52
59.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
42.8%
52
57.2%
Q2 - 1:01SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
42.2%
52
57.8%
Q2 - 1:29MILIlyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)43
43.8%
52
56.2%
Q2 - 1:37MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)43
49
Q2 - 1:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
51.2%
49
48.8%
Q2 - 1:45SASDuncan Tip Shot (8 PTS)43
51.2%
49
48.8%
Q2 - 1:48SASMISS Duncan Layup41
45.4%
49
54.6%
Q2 - 2:07MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)41
48.6%
49
51.4%
Q2 - 2:15MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
51.7%
47
48.3%
Q2 - 2:16SASMISS Ginobili Tip Shot41
52.7%
47
47.3%
Q2 - 2:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
54.9%
47
45.1%
Q2 - 2:21SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot41
52.7%
47
47.3%
Q2 - 2:42MILRedd Layup (12 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)41
54.9%
47
45.1%
Q2 - 2:56SASParker 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)41
58.0%
45
42.0%
Q2 - 3:10MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
56.0%
45
44.0%
Q2 - 3:10MILSUB: Skinner FOR Bogut39
44
Q2 - 3:10SASSUB: Horry FOR Barry39
44
Q2 - 3:10MILBUCKS Rebound39
44
Q2 - 3:10MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 1 of 239
56.7%
44
43.3%
Q2 - 3:10SASBarry S.FOUL (P1.T3)39
44
Q2 - 3:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)39
55.4%
44
44.6%
Q2 - 3:24SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 239
55.9%
44
44.1%
Q2 - 3:24SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
57.8%
44
42.2%
Q2 - 3:24MILIlyasova S.FOUL (P1.T4)38
44
Q2 - 3:51MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
55.9%
44
44.1%
Q2 - 4:07SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
59.3%
42
40.7%
Q2 - 4:07SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
58.7%
42
41.3%
Q2 - 4:07MILSUB: Bell FOR Williams36
42
Q2 - 4:07MILWilliams S.FOUL (P3.T3)36
42
Q2 - 4:14SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley36
42
Q2 - 4:14SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)36
42
Q2 - 4:16MILPatterson Layup (8 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)36
56.5%
42
43.5%
Q2 - 4:21SASPatterson STEAL (1 STL)36
59.3%
40
40.7%
Q2 - 4:43MILIlyasova 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)36
62.4%
40
37.6%
Q2 - 5:00SASParker Driving Layup (8 PTS)36
65.0%
38
35.0%
Q2 - 5:21MILBogut Dunk (7 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)34
63.0%
38
37.0%
Q2 - 5:35SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)34
65.8%
36
34.2%
Q2 - 5:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
60.1%
36
39.9%
Q2 - 5:44MILMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot31
59.3%
36
40.7%
Q2 - 5:52SASIlyasova STEAL (1 STL)31
57.3%
36
42.7%
Q2 - 6:05SASSUB: Barry FOR Ely31
36
Q2 - 6:05MILSUB: Redd FOR Noel31
36
Q2 - 6:05MILBogut P.FOUL (P2.T2)31
36
Q2 - 6:11MILPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)31
60.6%
36
39.4%
Q2 - 6:25SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
57.3%
36
42.7%
Q2 - 6:48MILWilliams 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
55.0%
36
45.0%
Q2 - 6:56MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
57.4%
34
42.6%
Q2 - 6:59SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot29
58.4%
34
41.6%
Q2 - 7:17MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)29
61.1%
34
38.9%
Q2 - 7:38SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)29
66.2%
31
33.8%
Q2 - 7:50SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
61.1%
31
38.9%
Q2 - 7:53MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
60.2%
31
39.8%
Q2 - 8:13MILNoel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
59.0%
31
41.0%
Q2 - 8:15SASMISS Parker Layup26
59.8%
31
40.2%
Q2 - 8:36MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
61.5%
31
38.5%
Q2 - 8:36MILSUB: Bogut FOR Reiner26
30
Q2 - 8:36SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry26
30
Q2 - 8:36MILSUB: Williams FOR Bell26
30
Q2 - 8:36MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
62.4%
30
37.6%
Q2 - 8:36SASEly S.FOUL (P2.T2)26
29
Q2 - 8:36MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
64.2%
29
35.8%
Q2 - 8:37MILMISS Noel 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
65.9%
29
34.1%
Q2 - 8:59SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
64.2%
29
35.8%
Q2 - 8:59SASSpurs Rebound25
29
Q2 - 8:59SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 225
63.4%
29
36.6%
Q2 - 8:5925
29
Q2 - 8:59MILNoel S.FOUL (P1.T1)25
29
Q2 - 9:01MILNoel Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)25
64.2%
29
35.8%
Q2 - 9:08SASEly P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
29
Q2 - 9:24SASParker 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)25
61.7%
29
38.3%
Q2 - 9:45SASSpurs Violation: Delay of game Violation23
29
Q2 - 9:45SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili23
29
Q2 - 9:45SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn23
29
Q2 - 9:45MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Bogut23
29
Q2 - 9:45MILNoel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)23
59.2%
29
40.8%
Q2 - 10:00MILReiner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
56.5%
29
43.5%
Q2 - 10:02SASMISS Finley 14' Jump Shot23
57.8%
29
42.2%
Q2 - 10:20MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Noel 1 AST)23
59.6%
29
40.4%
Q2 - 10:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)23
64.4%
26
35.6%
Q2 - 10:39SASMISS Vaughn 21' Jump Shot23
65.2%
26
34.8%
Q2 - 11:04MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)23
66.8%
26
33.2%
Q2 - 11:21MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
71.1%
23
28.9%
Q2 - 11:23SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot23
71.8%
23
28.2%
Q2 - 11:41MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)23
73.2%
23
26.8%
Q2 - 12:0023
23
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL23
71.1%
23
28.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound23
71.1%
23
28.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Patterson 28' 3PT Jump Shot23
72.6%
23
27.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
71.4%
23
28.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASSUB: Ely FOR Elson22
23
Q1 - 0:02.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
71.1%
23
28.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILSUB: Noel FOR Redd21
23
Q1 - 0:02.0MILRedd S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
23
Q1 - 0:12.0MILSkinner 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
68.9%
23
31.1%
Q1 - 0:12.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
71.4%
21
28.6%
Q1 - 0:15.0MILMISS Bogut Layup21
72.5%
21
27.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)21
71.4%
21
28.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
72.5%
21
27.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
71.4%
21
28.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASMISS Elson Layup21
71.9%
21
28.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0MILPatterson Layup (4 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)21
72.9%
21
27.1%
Q1 - 1:05SASGinobili Layup (2 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)21
75.5%
19
24.5%
Q1 - 1:10MILPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)19
73.1%
19
26.9%
Q1 - 1:21SASElson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)19
71.8%
19
28.2%
Q1 - 1:21SASElson OFF.Foul (P2)19
19
Q1 - 1:38MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)19
73.1%
19
26.9%
Q1 - 1:46SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan19
19
Q1 - 1:46MILBUCKS Rebound19
71.8%
19
28.2%
Q1 - 1:46MILMISS Bell Layup19
72.7%
19
27.3%
Q1 - 1:49SASBell STEAL (1 STL)19
71.8%
19
28.2%
Q1 - 1:54MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)19
73.1%
19
26.9%
Q1 - 2:06MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)19
71.8%
19
28.2%
Q1 - 2:09SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
72.2%
19
27.8%
Q1 - 2:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
73.3%
19
26.7%
Q1 - 2:14SASMISS Ginobili Layup19
72.2%
19
27.8%
Q1 - 2:26MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
73.3%
19
26.7%
Q1 - 2:26MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
73.9%
18
26.1%
Q1 - 2:26SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen19
17
Q1 - 2:26MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)19
17
Q1 - 2:26SASVaughn S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
17
Q1 - 2:28MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
75.3%
17
24.7%
Q1 - 2:30SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
75.8%
17
24.2%
Q1 - 2:48MILRedd Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)19
76.7%
17
23.3%
Q1 - 3:03SASVaughn 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
78.8%
15
21.2%
Q1 - 3:12SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker17
15
Q1 - 3:29MILRedd Layup (6 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)17
77.2%
15
22.8%
Q1 - 3:46SASParker Layup (4 PTS)17
78.7%
13
21.3%
Q1 - 4:05MILRedd Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
76.5%
13
23.5%
Q1 - 4:17SASDuncan 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)15
77.8%
11
22.2%
Q1 - 4:35MILSUB: Patterson FOR Williams13
11
Q1 - 4:35SASSUB: Horry FOR Elson13
11
Q1 - 4:35MILWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T5)13
76.4%
11
23.6%
Q1 - 4:35MILWilliams OFF.Foul (P2)13
11
Q1 - 4:52MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
74.8%
11
25.2%
Q1 - 4:54SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot13
75.3%
11
24.7%
Q1 - 4:58SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry13
11
Q1 - 4:58SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)13
11
Q1 - 5:02SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
75.9%
11
24.1%
Q1 - 5:04MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
75.4%
11
24.6%
Q1 - 5:28SASDuncan 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)13
74.2%
11
25.8%
Q1 - 5:47MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
72.9%
11
27.1%
Q1 - 5:47MILSkinner Tip Shot (4 PTS)11
72.9%
11
27.1%
Q1 - 5:49MILMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot11
75.2%
9
24.8%
Q1 - 5:49MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
74.1%
9
25.9%
Q1 - 5:52MILMISS Williams Layup11
75.2%
9
24.8%
Q1 - 6:05SASElson Dunk (4 PTS)11
74.4%
9
25.6%
Q1 - 6:21SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
72.9%
9
27.1%
Q1 - 6:24MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot9
72.5%
9
27.5%
Q1 - 6:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
71.4%
9
28.6%
Q1 - 6:39SASMISS Duncan Layup9
71.8%
9
28.2%
Q1 - 6:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
72.8%
9
27.2%
Q1 - 6:39SASSkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)9
71.8%
9
28.2%
Q1 - 6:58MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
72.7%
9
27.3%
Q1 - 6:58SASElson S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
8
Q1 - 6:58MILBogut Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
8
Q1 - 7:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
75.3%
6
24.7%
Q1 - 7:06SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
75.7%
6
24.3%
Q1 - 7:21MILBogut Foul Turnover (P3.T4)9
76.4%
6
23.6%
Q1 - 7:21MILBogut OFF.Foul (P1)9
6
Q1 - 7:24SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T1)9
6
Q1 - 7:25MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
75.1%
6
24.9%
Q1 - 7:28MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot9
76.0%
6
24.0%
Q1 - 7:42SASBarry Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)9
74.9%
6
25.1%
Q1 - 7:47MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)7
73.8%
6
26.2%
Q1 - 8:01MILBUCKS Rebound7
72.6%
6
27.4%
Q1 - 8:03SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot7
73.0%
6
27.0%
Q1 - 8:23MILSkinner Layup (2 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)7
73.5%
6
26.5%
Q1 - 8:36SASParker Layup (2 PTS)7
74.4%
4
25.6%
Q1 - 8:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
73.3%
4
26.7%
Q1 - 8:46MILMISS Redd Layup5
72.9%
4
27.1%
Q1 - 8:58MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
72.0%
4
28.0%
Q1 - 9:00SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Bank Shot5
72.3%
4
27.7%
Q1 - 9:18MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
72.9%
4
27.1%
Q1 - 9:30MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
71.9%
4
28.1%
Q1 - 9:32SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot5
72.1%
4
27.9%
Q1 - 9:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
72.4%
4
27.6%
Q1 - 9:47MILMISS Skinner 3' Layup5
72.1%
4
27.9%
Q1 - 9:55MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
71.5%
4
28.5%
Q1 - 9:56SASMISS Parker Layup5
71.7%
4
28.3%
Q1 - 10:16MILRedd 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
71.7%
4
28.3%
Q1 - 10:33SASBarry 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
71.7%
2
28.3%
Q1 - 10:52MILBogut Dunk (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)2
70.3%
2
29.7%
Q1 - 11:09SASElson Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
70.2%
0
29.8%
Q1 - 11:25MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 11:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
69.0%
0
31.0%
Q1 - 11:37SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot0
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 11:46MILWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
68.3%
0
31.7%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASMIL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.03 51.7%
MIL
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
24
58%
MIL
22
33
67%
Midrange
SAS
7
22
32%
MIL
9
22
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
MIL
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
SAS
18
28
64%
MIL
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Barry2091%10.0 / 11
T. Parker1544%7.5 / 17
T. Duncan1341%6.5 / 16
M. Ginobili1243%6.0 / 14
M. Finley964%4.5 / 7
B. Bowen857%4.0 / 7
F. Elson467%2.0 / 3
B. Udrih467%2.0 / 3
R. Horry338%1.5 / 4
J. Vaughn250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2966%14.5 / 22
R. Patterson1488%7.0 / 8
L. Greer14100%7.0 / 7
A. Bogut1372%6.5 / 9
C. Bell1246%6.0 / 13
E. Ilyasova975%4.5 / 6
B. Skinner650%3.0 / 6
M. Williams425%2.0 / 8
D. Noel0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+8
-9
87
MIL
69
+14
-18
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.03 51.7%
MIL
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
107.1
SAS 102.3
MIL 116.1 +13.8
Pace
89.8
92.3
SAS 87.0
MIL 88.0 +0.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.1
SAS 16.5
MIL 16.4 −0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
50.4%
SAS 50.0%
MIL 58.9% +8.9%
TO %
14.7%
15.7%
SAS 11.5% −8.3%
MIL 19.8%
ORB %
24.5%
27.8%
SAS 16.7%
MIL 36.7% +20.0%
FTrt
31.3
28.6
SAS 38.9 +14.2
MIL 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
56.7%
SAS 67.7% +3.6%
MIL 64.1%
STL %
8.0%
7.7%
SAS 9.1% +2.2%
MIL 6.9%
BLK %
7.8%
4.4%
SAS 7.3% +3.0%
MIL 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
52.9%
SAS 51.7%
MIL 59.4% +7.7%
Rim FG%
62.1%
58.1%
SAS 58.3%
MIL 66.7% +8.4%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.0%
SAS 31.8%
MIL 40.9% +9.1%
3P %
38.1%
35.6%
SAS 38.5%
MIL 44.4% +5.9%
FT %
75.1%
73.3%
SAS 64.3%
MIL 83.3% +19.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
41.1%
SAS 33.3%
MIL 45.2% +11.9%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
37.0%
SAS 30.6%
MIL 30.1% −0.4%
3P Att. %
24.7%
21.9%
SAS 36.1% +11.5%
MIL 24.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIL
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points90101
Rebounds2646
Assists2125
Steals86
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)18 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals31-7239-73
At-the-Rim FG14-2422-33
Midrange FG7-229-22
2-Point FG21-4631-55
3-Point FG10-268-18
Free Throws18-2815-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 250 · 31
36.8
13
41%
13
4
1
3
4
2
3
10
3-8
38%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
36.8
8
57%
3
2
0
0
0
4
0
3
2-4
50%
0-0
-
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
35.2
15
44%
1
8
1
0
1
2
0
1
3-4
75%
6-15
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
29.5
20
91%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
4-8
50%
F · 7'0" 240 · 31
16.9
4
67%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
28.8
12
43%
3
3
0
1
2
3
2
1
7-8
88%
1-4
25%
1-6
17%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37
20.0
3
38%
3
0
4
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
16.2
9
64%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
3-4
75%
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
7.6
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29
6.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
5.8
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#45 · C · 6'10" 260 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C · 6'10" 245 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
52%
26
21
8
4
9
0
7
19
18-28
64%
21-46
46%
10-26
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.